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| 260.96 USD | -1.58% |
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261.80 | +0.32% |
| Apr. 16 | U.S. lawmakers scale back bill targeting Chinese chipmaking | RE |
| Apr. 16 | Wall Street Decided the Crisis Is Over Before the World Does |  |
Projected Income Statement: Lam Research Corporation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 14,626 | 17,227 | 17,429 | 14,905 | 18,436 | 22,460 | 28,257 | 32,499 |
| Change | - | 17.78% | 1.17% | -14.48% | 23.68% | 21.83% | 25.81% | 15.01% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,912 | 5,732 | 5,698 | 4,872 | 6,343 | 8,109 | 10,330 | 11,714 |
| Change | - | 16.7% | -0.6% | -14.49% | 30.19% | 27.84% | 27.38% | 13.4% |
| EBIT 1 | 4,605 | 5,398 | 5,355 | 4,513 | 5,957 | 7,725 | 10,075 | 11,255 |
| Change | - | 17.24% | -0.8% | -15.73% | 32.01% | 29.68% | 30.42% | 11.71% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -111.2 | -188.7 | -65.65 | 96.31 | -178.2 | -154 | -144.5 | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,371 | 5,193 | 5,109 | 4,360 | 5,958 | 7,831 | 10,810 | 13,856 |
| Change | - | 18.81% | -1.62% | -14.66% | 36.65% | 31.43% | 38.05% | 28.18% |
| Net income 1 | 3,908 | 4,605 | 4,511 | 3,828 | 5,358 | 6,705 | 8,969 | 9,723 |
| Change | - | 17.83% | -2.05% | -15.14% | 39.98% | 25.13% | 33.76% | 8.42% |
| Announcement Date | 7/28/21 | 7/27/22 | 7/26/23 | 7/31/24 | 7/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Lam Research Corporation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -727 | 1,348 | -363 | -865 | -1,906 | -2,179 | -4,656 | -7,563 |
| Change | - | 285.42% | -126.93% | -138.29% | -120.35% | -14.31% | -113.68% | -62.44% |
| Announcement Date | 7/28/21 | 7/27/22 | 7/26/23 | 7/31/24 | 7/30/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Lam Research Corporation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 349.1 | 546 | 501.6 | 396.7 | 759.2 | 861.8 | 932.7 | 1,052 |
| Change | - | 56.41% | -8.14% | -20.91% | 91.39% | 13.52% | 8.23% | 12.8% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 3,239 | 2,554 | 4,677 | 4,256 | 5,414 | 5,554 | 7,524 | 10,007 |
| Change | - | -21.16% | 83.16% | -9.02% | 27.22% | 2.58% | 35.47% | 33% |
| Announcement Date | 7/28/21 | 7/27/22 | 7/26/23 | 7/31/24 | 7/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Lam Research Corporation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 33.58% | 33.27% | 32.69% | 32.69% | 34.41% | 36.11% | 36.56% | 36.04% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 31.48% | 31.34% | 30.73% | 30.28% | 32.31% | 34.4% | 35.66% | 34.63% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 29.88% | 30.15% | 29.32% | 29.25% | 32.32% | 34.86% | 38.26% | 42.64% |
| Net margin (%) | 26.72% | 26.73% | 25.88% | 25.68% | 29.06% | 29.85% | 31.74% | 29.92% |
| FCF margin (%) | 22.15% | 14.82% | 26.84% | 28.55% | 29.37% | 24.73% | 26.63% | 30.79% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 82.87% | 55.45% | 103.69% | 111.18% | 101.04% | 82.83% | 83.89% | 102.91% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 25.67% | 27.84% | 25.08% | 20.4% | 26.59% | 30.15% | 37.36% | 38.56% |
| ROE | 69.8% | 74.85% | 62.27% | 45.71% | 57.93% | 62.19% | 67.69% | 64.29% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.24x | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 0.53x | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.39% | 3.17% | 2.88% | 2.66% | 4.12% | 3.84% | 3.3% | 3.24% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.11% | 9.53% | 8.8% | 8.14% | 11.97% | 10.63% | 9.03% | 8.98% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 10.78% | 21.38% | 10.72% | 9.32% | 14.02% | 15.52% | 12.4% | 10.51% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 2.469 | 2.204 | 3.813 | 3.525 | 4.785 | 5.269 | 6.883 | 7.654 |
| Change | - | -10.73% | 72.98% | -7.56% | 35.76% | 10.11% | 30.65% | 11.2% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.52 | 0.6 | 0.69 | 0.8 | 0.92 | 1.032 | 1.155 | 1.276 |
| Change | - | 15.38% | 15% | 15.94% | 15% | 12.22% | 11.9% | 10.46% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 4.23 | 4.584 | 6.159 | 6.513 | 7.773 | 9.26 | 13.43 | 18.42 |
| Change | - | 8.37% | 34.38% | 5.74% | 19.34% | 19.14% | 45.01% | 37.14% |
| EPS 1 | 2.69 | 3.275 | 3.321 | 2.9 | 4.15 | 5.297 | 7.158 | 7.706 |
| Change | - | 21.75% | 1.4% | -12.68% | 43.1% | 27.65% | 35.13% | 7.65% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,426,193 | 1,387,150 | 1,343,405 | 1,307,410 | 1,279,118 | 1,248,771 | 1,248,771 | 1,248,771 |
| Announcement Date | 7/28/21 | 7/27/22 | 7/26/23 | 7/31/24 | 7/30/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 49.3x | 36.5x |
| PBR | 28.2x | 19.4x |
| EV / Sales | 14.4x | 11.4x |
| Yield | 0.4% | 0.44% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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