Projected Income Statement: Lufthansa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 9,922 9,023 6,871 5,682 5,744 5,730 5,794 5,585
Change - -9.06% -23.85% -17.3% 1.09% -0.24% 1.12% -3.61%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,273 1,329 2,286 4,115 3,743 3,273 3,381 3,523
Change - 4.4% 72.01% 80.01% -9.04% -12.57% 3.32% 4.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,669 -855 2,882 2,134 840 1,425 1,646 1,785
Change - 76.7% 437.08% -25.95% -60.64% 69.64% 15.47% 8.48%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -18.67% 0.2% 11.55% 13.85% 10.6% 10.87% 11.37% 11.74%
EBIT Margin (%) -40.11% -13.97% 4.6% 7.57% 4.38% 4.83% 5.34% 5.85%
EBT Margin (%) -63.51% -15.5% 3.2% 6.54% 4.19% 4.51% 4.73% 5.31%
Net margin (%) -49.49% -13.03% 2.41% 4.72% 3.67% 3.45% 3.67% 4.07%
FCF margin (%) -27% -5.09% 8.79% 6.02% 2.24% 3.61% 3.97% 4.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.56% 39.02% 364.35% 127.56% 60.87% 104.59% 108.1% 101.19%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.37% -5.34% 1.84% 3.77% 2.99% 2.49% 2.78% 3.13%
ROE -487.8% -75.59% 12.31% 18.62% 13.02% 11.35% 11.96% 12.72%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -3.91x 273.42x 1.81x 1.16x 1.44x 1.33x 1.23x 1.1x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.7x -10.55x 2.38x 2.66x 6.84x 4.02x 3.52x 3.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.37% 7.91% 6.98% 11.61% 9.96% 8.28% 8.16% 8.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -50.18% 4,027.27% 60.38% 83.81% 94% 76.19% 71.8% 69.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -34.7% -155.44% 79.32% 192.83% 445.6% 229.66% 205.5% 197.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -4.33 0.8367 4.325 4.138 3.228 3.293 3.517 3.796
Change - 119.32% 416.88% -4.32% -21.99% 2.02% 6.81% 7.92%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.3 0.3 0.3176 0.3477 0.4078
Change - - - - 0% 5.85% 9.48% 17.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.253 3.722 7.031 8.083 9.645 10.08 11.06 12.19
Change - 65.18% 88.88% 14.97% 19.33% 4.46% 9.73% 10.3%
EPS 1 -12.51 -2.99 0.66 1.4 1.15 1.145 1.264 1.478
Change - 76.1% 122.07% 112.12% -17.86% -0.4% 10.39% 16.87%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 597,743 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,198,299 1,198,293 1,198,293 1,198,293
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/3/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 7.39x 6.7x
PBR 0.84x 0.77x
EV / Sales 0.4x 0.38x
Yield 3.75% 4.11%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
8.466EUR
Average target price
7.924EUR
Spread / Average Target
-6.41%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise