Company Valuation: Lundin Gold Inc.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,863 2,515 2,432 3,118 3,934 9,585 9,585 -
Change - 35% -3.31% 28.21% 26.19% 143.63% 0% -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,851 3,491 3,039 3,118 3,985 9,150 8,673 8,192
Change - 22.44% -12.94% 2.58% 27.82% 129.6% -5.21% -5.55%
P/E ratio -11.6x -41.5x 8.71x 31.5x 16.3x 15.6x 13.3x 12.8x
PBR 3.01x 3.41x 2.35x - 3.05x 5.72x 4.38x 3.61x
PEG - 0.7x -0x -0.5x 0x 0x 0.8x 3.22x
Capitalization / Revenue - 5.59x 2.61x 2.81x 3.23x 5.59x 5.08x 5.03x
EV / Revenue - 7.76x 3.26x 2.81x 3.27x 5.34x 4.59x 4.3x
EV / EBITDA -80.8x 15.6x 5.57x 4.9x 5.61x 8.12x 6.86x 6.54x
EV / EBIT -80.4x 22.7x 7.44x 6.86x 7.56x 9.07x 7.93x 7.87x
EV / FCF -5x 50.7x 6.62x 6.21x 11.2x 12.1x 10.8x 10.6x
FCF Yield -20% 1.97% 15.1% 16.1% 8.94% 8.28% 9.24% 9.41%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - 0.405 0.5406 0.929 1.068 1.136
Rate of return - - - 3.06% 3.27% 2.33% 2.68% 2.85%
EPS 2 -0.7161 -0.2637 1.196 0.4204 1.012 2.556 3.006 3.125
Distribution rate - - - 96.3% 53.4% 36.4% 35.5% 36.4%
Net sales 1 - 449.7 933.2 1,111 1,218 1,714 1,888 1,905
EBITDA 1 -35.3 223.3 545.5 636.4 710.1 1,127 1,265 1,252
EBIT 1 -35.47 153.8 408.7 454.2 527 1,009 1,093 1,041
Net income 1 -157.7 -59.21 281.8 99.77 242.3 615.2 737.4 771.7
Net Debt 1 988.4 976.2 607.5 - 50.84 -435.3 -911.6 -1,393
Reference price 2 8.33 10.93 10.42 13.23 16.54 39.89 39.89 39.89
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 223,631 230,088 233,362 235,647 237,860 240,281 240,281 -
Announcement Date 2/20/20 2/24/21 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Yield (Y) Capi.($)
15.61x5.36x8.12x2.33% 6.69B
15.77x3.04x6.88x2.23% 50.53B
24.8x5.92x10.51x1.46% 49.25B
47.67x22.71x29.77x0.94% 29.96B
14.82x2.29x4.83x2.36% 29.7B
12.02x2.85x6.5x2.08% 15.83B
15.06x3x5.89x1.02% 14.57B
16.83x3.17x6.21x2.87% 12.7B
30.75x6.82x12.91x0.45% 9.3B
Average 21.48x 6.13x 10.18x percentage-no-prefix 24.28B
Weighted average by Cap. 22.43x 6.50x 10.72x percentage-no-prefix
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Lundin Gold Inc.