Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 4,241 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,196 24,207 14,471
Change - 126.53% 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -12.67% -10.99% -40.22%
Announcement Date 1/26/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/28/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,478 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 5,181 5,304 5,431
Change - 7.51% 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -6.33% 2.38% 2.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,117 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,234 11,838 12,866
Change - 121.2% -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 7.22% 5.38% 8.68%
Announcement Date 1/26/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/28/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.15% 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 30.38% 30.85% 31.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.6% 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.13% 21.68% 22.58%
EBT Margin (%) 16.49% 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 19.84% 20.58% 21.61%
Net margin (%) 10.53% 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.3% 14.47% 15.36%
FCF margin (%) 13.7% 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 13.94% 14.28% 14.63%
FCF / Net Income (%) 130.09% 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.83% 98.65% 95.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.58% 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.19% 7.74% 8.88%
ROE 12.18% 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 15.2% 16.02% 16.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3x 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.11x 0.95x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.69x 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.42x 2.04x 1.12x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.55% 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 6.43% 6.4% 6.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.26% 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 21.16% 20.74% 19.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.51% 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 46.12% 44.8% 42.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 21.61 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 36.01 38.3 40.68
Change - 71.24% -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% -4.93% 6.36% 6.24%
Dividend per Share 1 6 7 12 13 13 12.03 12.96 14.18
Change - 16.67% 71.43% 8.33% 0% -7.43% 7.69% 9.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 76.93 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 142.9 154.8 168.5
Change - 21.62% 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 5.78% 8.29% 8.89%
EPS 1 9.32 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.63 24.13 27.24
Change - 156.33% 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.88% 11.54% 12.87%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,359 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 497,025 497,025 497,025
Announcement Date 1/26/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/28/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 27.5x 24.7x
PBR 4.17x 3.85x
EV / Sales 4.01x 3.86x
Yield 2.02% 2.18%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
595.70EUR
Average target price
648.61EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.88%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise