Financial & Operating Results
February 11, 2021
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2020
Caution regarding forward-looking statements
From time to time, Manulife makes written and/or oral forward-looking statements, including in this presentation. In addition, our representatives may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, the media and others. All such statements are made pursuant to the "safe harbour" provisions of Canadian provincial securities laws and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
The forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to our business continuity plans and measures implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and its expected impact on our businesses, operations, earnings and results; the Company's strategic priorities and 2022 targets for net promoter score, employee engagement, its high potential businesses, expense efficiency and portfolio optimization; and its medium-term targets for core EPS growth, core ROE, leverage ratio and common share dividend payout ratio; near-term core earnings run-rate; our invested asset portfolio strategy and performance; and also relate to, among other things, our objectives, goals, strategies, intentions, plans, beliefs, expectations and estimates, and can generally be identified by the use of words such as "will", "expect", "estimate", "believe", "plan", "objective", "continue", and "goal", (or the negative thereof) and words and expressions of similar import, and include statements concerning possible or assumed future results. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, such statements involve risks and uncertainties, and undue reliance should not be placed on such statements and they should not be interpreted as confirming market or analysts' expectations in any way.
Certain material factors or assumptions are applied in making forward-looking statements and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations include but are not limited to: general business and economic conditions (including but not limited to the performance, volatility and correlation of equity markets, interest rates, credit and swap spreads, currency rates, investment losses and defaults, market liquidity and creditworthiness of guarantors, reinsurers and counterparties); the severity, duration and spread of the COVID-19 outbreak, as well as actions that may be taken by governmental authorities to contain COVID-19 or to treat its impact; changes in laws and regulations; changes in accounting standards applicable in any of the territories in which we operate; changes in regulatory capital requirements applicable in any of the territories in which we operate; our ability to execute strategic plans and changes to strategic plans; downgrades in our financial strength or credit ratings; our ability to maintain our reputation; impairments of goodwill or intangible assets or the establishment of provisions against future tax assets; the accuracy of estimates relating to morbidity, mortality and policyholder behaviour; the accuracy of other estimates used in applying accounting policies, actuarial methods and embedded value methods; our ability to implement effective hedging strategies and unforeseen consequences arising from such strategies; our ability to source appropriate assets to back our long-dated liabilities; level of competition and consolidation; our ability to market and distribute products through current and future distribution channels; unforeseen liabilities or asset impairments arising from acquisitions and dispositions of businesses; the realization of losses arising from the sale of investments classified as available-for-sale; our liquidity, including the availability of financing to satisfy existing financial liabilities on expected maturity dates when required; obligations to pledge additional collateral; the availability of letters of credit to provide capital management flexibility; accuracy of information received from counterparties and the ability of counterparties to meet their obligations; the availability, affordability and adequacy of reinsurance; legal and regulatory proceedings, including tax audits, tax litigation or similar proceedings; our ability to adapt products and services to the changing market; our ability to attract and retain key executives, employees and agents; the appropriate use and interpretation of complex models or deficiencies in models used; political, legal, operational and other risks associated with our non-North American operations; acquisitions or divestitures, and our ability to complete transactions; environmental concerns; our ability to protect our intellectual property and exposure to claims of infringement; and our inability to withdraw cash from subsidiaries.
Additional information about material risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations and about material factors or assumptions applied in making forward-looking statements may be found in our 2020 Management's Discussion and Analysis under "Risk Factors and Risk Management" and "Critical Actuarial and Accounting Policies" and in the "Risk Management" note to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2020 as well as elsewhere in our filings with Canadian and U.S. securities regulators. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are, unless otherwise indicated, stated as of the date hereof and are presented for the purpose of assisting investors and others in understanding our financial position and results of operations, our future operations, as well as our objectives and strategic priorities, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.
Conference Call Participants | |
Roy Gori, | Rahim Hirji |
President & Chief Executive Officer. | Chief Risk Officer. |
Mike Doughty, | Naveed Irshad, |
General Manager, Canada. | Head of North American Legacy Business. |
Steve Finch, | Paul Lorentz, |
Chief Actuary. | President & CEO, Global Wealth and Asset Management. |
Marianne Harrison, | Anil Wadhwani, |
General Manager, U.S. | General Manager, Asia. |
Scott Hartz, | Phil Witherington, |
Chief Investment Officer. | Chief Financial Officer. |
Agenda
• Overview and strategic update
Roy Gori, President & Chief Executive Officer
• Financial and operating results
Phil Witherington, Chief Financial Officer
• Question & Answer session
Overview and strategic update
Roy Gori,
President & Chief Executive Officer
Full year 2020 financial highlights
Note: Comparison to full year 2019. Percentage changes in net income attributed to shareholders, core earnings, APE Sales, and Total AUMA are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
1Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test (LICAT) Total Ratio of The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company (MLI) as at December 31, 2020. 2Total Assets Under Management and Administration as at December 31, 2020.
Delivered solid results in 2020 across all metrics, in light of the challenging environment
Net income attributed to | Annual Dividend | |
Core earnings | New business value | |
shareholders | (C$ billions) | (C$ per share) |
(C$ billions) | ||
(C$ billions) | ||
+14% CAGR-9% | +19% CAGR-13% |
+4%
+12%
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2016
2017
2018
2019
Note: Percentage changes in net income attributed to shareholders, core earnings and new business value are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
1 Reflects the charge in 2017 related to the impact of U.S. Tax Reform, and changes to the portfolio asset mix backing certain legacy businesses.
2020
Our Global WAM business performed very well in 2020, AUMA grew by 12% and our Core EBITDA margin continued to expand and reached 29.2%
Strong growth in assets under management &administration across all global business lines…
RetirementRetailInstitutional
(C$ billions)1
+12%
2016
…and a resilient core EBITDA margin
Core EBITDA1,2 C$ millions
Core EBITDA2
Margin (%)
2,000 1,800
29.2%
2017
2018
2019
2020
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2018
2016
2017
2019
2020
Note: Percentage change in assets under management and administration is stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
1 Global WAM AUMA and core EBITDA for 2016 and 2017 have been updated to reflect changes in reporting.
2 Core EBITDA and core EBITDA margin are non-GAAP measures. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0
The diversity of Manulife's Asia business was a key factor in the resilience that we demonstrated throughout 2020
Solid Core Earnings growth fueled by
Hong Kong and Asia OtherRobust NBV contribution from
Asia Other showcases the emerging market opportunity
JapanAsia OtherHong Kong
Note: Percentage changes in core earnings and new business value are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below. Order of the vertical bars on the chart correspond to the order in the legend.
-90 20161
-137 20171
-126
-124
-119
2018
2019
2020
2016
2017
1 Restated for the change in reporting segments effective March 31, 2018.
(US$ millions)
Hong Kong NBV margin in line with industry leaders and Asia Other NBV margin trending upwards as we scale
JapanAsia OtherHong Kong
(%)
22%
2018
2019
2020
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Manulife Asia emerged from 2020 in a stronger position, with higher market rankings in 6 markets; Manulife is ranked in the "Top 5" in 7 markets in Asia
APE Sales
Rank
▲
Agency
• +21% growth in Agency Headcount in 2020; >115,000 insurance agents
Hong Kong
Hong Kong MPF1
#5 #1
▲2 -
Agency APE Sales Rank:China2
Top 3
▲1
#1 in #1 in Vietnam Cambodia
Top 3 in China2
#3 in Hong Kong
#3 in Indonesia
Singapore
#3
▼1
Bancassurance
• 9 exclusive bank partners gives us access to 16 million customers
Vietnam
#1
-
• Including VietinBank4: 10 exclusive bank partners and access to 30 million customers
• Early extension of bancassurance agreement with PT Bank Danamon Indonesia to 2036
Indonesia
Malaysia
#8 #8
▲1 ▲1
• >100 bank partners
Cambodia
#1
▲1
PhilippinesJapan3
#4 #4
▲1
Bancassurance APE Sales Rank:
-
#1 in | #1 in | #2 in | #7 in | #8 in |
Singapore | Cambodia | Vietnam | Indonesia | Hong Kong |
Sources: Data published by local regulators, competitors and insurance associations and informal (industry exchange) market share data
Note: APE Sales information is as of 3Q20 YTD except for Philippines which is based on FY2019. Myanmar started operations in 2H20. APE Sales is a Non-GAAP financial measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below
1 Hong Kong MPF based on net flows. 2 China pertains to agency business (foreign insurers only). 3 Rankings are based on foreign players only. 4 The exclusive bancassurance agreement with VietinBank is pending regulatory approval.
Full year 2020 strategic update
Progress update
• Released a total of $5.9 billion of capital through portfolio optimization initiatives since 2018,including $780 million in 2020
• Achieved 2022 target three years ahead of schedule
• Core general expenses1 declined by 3%2 in 2020 compared with 2019
• Expense Efficiency ratio of 52.9% in 2020
• Delivered cumulative expense efficiencies of $1.0 billion in 2020, two years ahead of schedule
• Highest potential businesses contributed 66% to core earnings in 2020, vs. 57% in 2019
• Entered an exclusive 16-year bancassurance partnership with VietinBank3 and extended our bancassurance agreement with PT Bank Danamon Indonesia to 2036
• Increased the number of insurance agents in Asia by 21% in 2020 (>115,000)
• Completed the formation of our joint venture with Mahindra Finance in India
• rNPS score of +12, 11 point improvement from 2017 baseline and 4 point improvement from 2019
• Invested over $650 million in digital capabilities since 2018
• Ranked in the 80th percentile amongst global financial services and insurance peers on our 2020 employee engagement survey
High Performing Team
• Named a World's Best Employer by Forbes, ranked in the top 100 best employers globally
• Committed to invest more than $3.5 million to promote diversity, equity and inclusion in our workplace and communities we serve
Note: See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" above. Please refer to "Strategic priorities progress update" in our 2020 Management's Discussion and Analysis.
1 Core general expenses are general expenses included in core earnings ("core expenses"). 2 Percentage change in core expenses is stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below. 3 Subject to regulatory approval.
Summary
Demonstrated Manulife's resilience and delivered solid results in 2020
Our strategy is sound and our five strategic priorities have not changed
Manulife is in a position of strength and we remain committed to our medium-term financial targets
The importance of insurance has been heightened by the pandemic, for both health protection and financial planning
Manulife is set up for success as the global economy transitions to recovery and we continue to focus on execution
Financial and operating results
Phil Witherington,
Chief Financial Officer
4Q20 and full year 2020 financial summary
Fourth Quarter | Full Year | ||||||
(C$ millions, unless noted) | 4Q19 | 4Q20 | Change2 | 2019 | 2020 | Change2 | |
Profitability | Net income attributed to shareholders | $1,228 | $1,780 | ▲ 44% | $5,602 | $5,871 | ▲ 4% |
Core earnings | $1,477 | $1,474 | In line | $6,004 | $5,516 | ▼ 9% | |
Core return on equity (annualized) | 12.5% | 11.6% | ▼ 0.9 pps | 13.1% | 10.9% | ▼ 2.2 pps | |
Expense efficiency ratio | 54.2% | 52.7% | ▼ 1.5 pps | 52.0% | 52.9% | ▲ 0.9 pps | |
Growth | APE sales (C$ billions) | $1.5 | $1.4 | ▼ 5% | $6.0 | $5.6 | ▼ 8% |
New business value | $526 | $489 | ▼ 7% | $2,050 | $1,802 | ▼ 13% | |
Global WAM net flows (C$ billions) | $4.9 | $2.8 | ▼ $2.1 | $(0.9) | $8.9 | ▲ $9.8 | |
Global WAM AUMA (C$ billions) | $681 | $754 | ▲ 12% | $681 | $754 | ▲ 12% | |
Global WAM average AUMA (C$ billions) | $668 | $733 | ▲ 10% | $651 | $698 | ▲ 6% | |
Balance Sheet | MLI's LICAT total ratio1 | 140% | 149% | ▲ 9 pps | 140% | 149% | ▲ 9 pps |
Financial leverage ratio | 25.1% | 26.6% | ▲ 1.5 pps | 25.1% | 26.6% | ▲ 1.5 pps | |
Remittances (C$ billions) | $2.8 | $1.6 | ▼ 43% | ||||
Dividend per common share | 25.0¢ | 28.0¢ | ▲ 12% | $1.00 | $1.12 | ▲ 12% |
1 Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test Ratio of The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company (MLI). 2 Percentage changes in net income, core earnings, core expenses, APE sales, new business value, and AUMA, are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
Delivered core earnings of $5.5 billion and net income of $5.9 billion in 2020, a strong outcome given the challenging backdrop
Core earnings | Net income attributed to | Earnings reconciliation for the fourth quarter of 2020 |
(C$ millions) | shareholders | (C$ millions, except per share amounts) |
(C$ millions) | ||
In line |
Post-Tax
1,477 | 1,474 |
4Q19
4Q20
4Q19
4Q20
-9%
Core earnings before core investment gains
Core investment gains
Core earnings
Investment-related experience Direct impact of interest rates Direct impact of equity markets Reinsurance transactions
Net income attributed to shareholders
Per Share
$1,474
$0.74
-
-
$1,474 $0.74
585 0.30
(674) (0.34)
351 0.18
44 0.01
$1,780
$0.89
2019
2020
2019
2020
Solid core earnings driven by in-force growth, lower expenses, and higher fee income from higher average AUMA in Global WAM
Source of earnings1
(C$ millions)
286
Expected profit from in-force business Impact of new business
Core investment gains
Experience gains (losses) (excluding core investment gains) Management actions and changes in assumptions Earnings on surplus funds
128
285 -
286 128
285 -
(143)
(57)
(659) (248)
12
8
62 234
186
154
235 317
Other
42
48
47 52
Insurance
Global Wealth and Asset Management Manulife Bank
1,523
1,518
1,111 1,720
294
361
294 361
51
65
51 65
Unallocated overhead Income before income taxes Income tax (expense) recovery Earnings available to shareholders
(129)
(177)
(129) (177)
(262) 1,477
1,739
(293) 1,474
1,767
(99) 1,228
1,327
1,969 (189) 1,780
• In-force growth driven by Asia and the U.S.
• Impact of new business reflects favourable product mix in Hong Kong and Vietnam, offset by lower sales volumes in Canada Individual Insurance and U.S. International
• Absence of core investment gains
• Unfavourable policyholder experience in
4Q20 driven by losses in U.S. Life, partially offset by gains in U.S. LTC and Canada Long-Term Disability
• Lower earnings on surplus driven by lower yields and change in asset mix, partially offset by higher average asset levels and gains on seed money investments
• Higher earnings in Global WAM driven by higher average asset levels
1 The Source of Earnings (SOE) analysis is prepared following OSFI regulatory guidelines and draft guidelines of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries. The SOE is used to identify the primary sources of gains or losses in each reporting period. The expected profit from in-force business denominated in foreign currencies is translated at the current quarter's statement of income rate.
Double-digit core earnings growth in Global WAM, Asia, and Canada in 4Q20
Core earnings
(C$ millions)
4Q194Q20
20192020
+16%
+4%
+5%
Global WAM
Asia
Canada
U.S.
(863) | |
(196) | |
Corporate | Corporate |
and Other | and Other |
Global WAM
Asia
Canada
U.S.
Modest decline in NBV and APE sales in light of the challenging sales environment
New business value (NBV)
(C$ millions)
APE sales
(C$ millions)
-7%526
4Q19
U.S.CanadaAsia
-5%1,495
-8%6,037
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
U.S.CanadaAsia
• 4Q20 NBV decreased by 7% primarily driven by lower sales volumes in Hong Kong and less favourable product mix in Japan
• 4Q20 APE sales decreased by 5% primarily driven by the U.S. and Canada
• Modest increase in 4Q20 Asia APE sales driven by growth in Japan and Asia Other, partially offset by lower sales in Hong Kong
2020
Note: New business value and APE sales exclude Global Wealth and Asset Management, the Bank and P&C reinsurance businesses. Percentage changes are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below. Order of the vertical bars on the chart correspond to the order in the legend.
Delivered strong Global WAM net inflows of $8.9 billion in 2020
Global WAM net flows by business line
(C$ billions)
2.0
RetirementRetailInstitutional
Global WAM net flows by geography
(C$ billions)
4.9 1.0 0.2
2.8
2.2
3.7
2.2
8.93
AsiaCanadaU.S.1
3.9
(5.8)
(1.6)
(0.9)2
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
• Lower 4Q20 net inflows driven by outflows in U.S. Institutional and Retirement, partially offset by higher Retail gross flows across all geographies and lower redemptions in Asia Institutional and Canada Retirement
Note: Order of the vertical bars on the chart correspond to the order in the legend.
1 U.S. business line includes Europe. 2 Includes an $8.5 billion redemption due to the decision by one institutional client in Canada to internalize the management of several large, primarily fixed income, mandates in 3Q19. 3 Includes the funding of a $6.9 billion mandate from a new Canadian institutional client in 2Q20 and $5.0 billion redemption of an equity mandate in Institutional Asset Management in the U.K. in 3Q20.
Record high Global WAM average AUMA and strong Core EBITDA margin
Average Global WAM AUMA
(C$ billions)
+10%
+6%
4Q19
4Q20
2019
Core EBITDA margin
(%)
+340 bps
2020
4Q19
4Q20
• Increase in 4Q20 average Global WAM AUMA driven by favourable market impacts and net inflows
• Increase in 4Q20 core EBITDA margin reflecting our scale and commitment to expense efficiency
Percentage changes are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
+170 bps
2019
2020
Delivered $1.0 billion of expense efficiencies, achieving the 2022 target two years ahead of schedule
Total annual expense efficiencies
(C$, pre-tax)
$1.0 billion target achieved in 2020
$700 million bottom line impact in 2019
$300 million bottom line impact in 2018
Note: See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" above.
• Delivered $1.0 billion of sustainable expense efficiencies to-date, $300 million of which was incremental in 2020
• Expense initiatives have delivered significant efficiencies:
• Digitization, including automation and robotics
• Vendor management
• People management
• Real estate optimization
• On track to achieve the expense efficiency ratio target of <50% by 2022
Our culture of expense efficiency has resulted in a 3% reduction in 2020 core general expenses while continuing to invest in our digital capabilities
Core general expenses1
(C$ millions)
-3%
Expense efficiency ratio
(%)
7,675 | 7,501 |
2,055 | 1,968 |
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
2016
2017
2018
Note: Percentage changes are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below. 1 Core general expenses are general expenses included in core earnings ("core expenses").
Medium-term target of <50%
2019
2020
Manulife maintained a strong capital position throughout 2020 despite the global pandemic
Capital Metrics | |
Capital over | |
MLI LICAT1 ratio | Supervisory Target |
(%) | (C$ billions) |
150 145 140 135 130 125 120 115 110 105 100
Financial leverage ratio
(%)
(1Q18)
Medium-term target of 25%
2017
2018
2019
2020
1 Life Insurance Capital Adequacy Test (LICAT) Total Ratio of The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company (MLI). 2 For LICAT, the 4Q19 ratio reflects the impact of the $0.5 billion capital redeemed in January 2020 (announced in November 2019) as the LICAT ratio reflects capital redemptions once the intention to redeem has been announced. 3 For LICAT, the 4Q20 ratio reflects the impact of the $350 million capital redeemed in January 2021 (announced in November 2020) as the LICAT ratio reflects capital redemptions once the intention to redeem has been announced.
Financial targets
Core EPS growth
Core ROE
Leverage ratio
Dividend payout1
Expense efficiency ratio
Capital benefits (cumulative)
2017
+13% 11.3% 30.3% 37%
55.4%
Note: See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" above. 1 Dividend payout ratio based on core earnings per share.
2018
+23% 13.7% 28.6% 33%
52.0% $3.0 billion
2019
+8% 13.1% 25.1% 34%
52.0% $5.1 billion
SAVE THE DATE:
Manulife Investor Day 2021
When: Tuesday, June 29th, 2021
Where: Virtual
Registration will open in February 2021
Question & Answer session
Appendix
• Diversity of Manulife's business
• Digital Capabilities
• Invested Asset Mix
• Credit Experience
• Segment Performance
• Assets Under Management and Administration
• Earnings Sensitivities
The diversity of Manulife's business differentiates us from our peers and has been a key factor in the resilience that we've demonstrated throughout 2020
Core earnings and net income attributed to shareholders
(C$ billions)
2018
Net IncomeCore earnings
2019
2020
1 Based on 2020 results 2 Excludes Corporate & Other 3 Based on pre-tax
Core Earnings1, 2
AsiaU.S.
CanadaGlobal WAM
Expected profit from in-force business1, 2, 3
Global WAM AUMA by business line1
RetirementRetailInstitutional
APE Sales1
New Business Value1
Global WAM Core EBITDA by region1
Expanding digital channels and operations in the current environment, with sustained customer experience benefits
APE sales available to be sold via Virtual F2F1 methods2
STP4
Digital claim submissionAuto-underwriting
Global WAM
AsiaCanadaU.S.
2019
2020
91% | 93% |
2019
2020
2019
2020
1 Virtual face-to-face, includes digital as well as non-digital solutions. 2 Represents the percentage of 2019 APE sales that are currently available for sale via virtual face-to-face methods (applies to Asia, Canada and U.S.). 3 Reflects Global WAM's AUMA available to new and existing retail and retirement customers. 4 Straight-through processing includes money movement
Customer adoption of our digital capabilities continued to increase in 2020, but showed signs of stabilizing
• Group Benefits Canada introduced Health by Design, a proactive approach using the latest science, technology and predictive analytics
• Added Amazon Halo wellness band to devices supported by John Hancock Vitality in the U.S.
• Launched a new retirement planner tool in our Global WAM U.S. business to deliver an innovative and engaging way for customers to visualize and plan for their retirement
• Launched eClaims in Philippines, Malaysia and Cambodia; Electronic submissions are now live in all of our markets
Global WAM
Asia
Canada
U.S.
* Compared to pre-COVID-19 levels
1 Personal Accounts and Tax-Deductible Voluntary Contribution. 2 Out of total eligible Retail Insurance policies.
Diversified high quality asset mix avoids risk concentrations
Total invested assets
(C$411.0 billion, carrying values as of December 31, 2020)
Fixed Income & OtherAlternative Long-Duration Assets (ALDA)
Timberland & Farmland 1%
Oil & Gas 1%
Real Estate 3%
Real Estate Interests 1%
Infrastructure 2%
Private Placement Debt 10%
Securitized MBS/ABS 1%Mortgages1 12%Cash & Short-Term Securities 6%
Loans2 1% Other 1%
Private Equity & Other 2%Public Equities
• High quality and diverse asset mix
• 97% of fixed income assets are investment grade
• Large holdings in defensive Government and Utility bonds
• ALDA sell-down has reduced exposure in guaranteed segments
• No Collateralized Loan Obligations ("CLO") exposure
• ALDA generates enhanced yield; minimizes need to pursue riskier fixed income strategy
• Portfolio positioned at the low end of the risk-return spectrum with ~60% in infrastructure and unlevered commercial real estate
• Robust risk management framework
• Has supported our underwriting and favourable credit quality
1 Includes government insured mortgages ($6.6 billion or 12% of total mortgages). 2 Includes Policy Loans and Loans to Bank Clients.
Credit experience
Net credit experience
(C$ millions, post-tax)
Credit Experience
(C$ millions)
Change in ratings Impairments, net of recoveries Release of best estimate credit Net Credit Experience
4Q19
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20 4Q20
4Q19 11 (8) 62 65
1Q20 (108) (7) 65 (50)
2Q20 4 (93) 69 (20)
3Q20 4Q20
(18) 1
(68) (4)
59 61
(27)
58
Global WAM: Delivered double-digit core earnings in 4Q20 and strong net inflows in 2020
WAM core earnings
WAM net flows
WAM gross flows
(C$ millions)
(C$ billions)
(C$ billions)
4Q19
AsiaCanadaU.S.1
+7%
1,100
4.9
2.8
2.2
2.2
(1.6)
AsiaCanadaU.S.1
8.9
-4%32.9
3.9
AsiaCanadaU.S.1
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
• +15% 4Q20 core earnings growth driven by higher average AUMA and disciplined expense management, partially offset by unfavourable impacts from changes in product mix, lower fee spread in the U.S. Retirement business, and lower tax benefits
• Lower 4Q20 net inflows driven primarily by outflows in U.S. Institutional and Retirement, partially offset by higher retail gross flows across all geographies
• Lower 4Q20 gross flows driven by lower sales in U.S. Retirement and non-recurrence of several large sales in U.S. Institutional in 4Q19, partially offset by the higher retail gross flows across all geographies
Note: Percentage changes are stated on a constant exchange rate basis, a Non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below. Order of the vertical bars on the chart correspond to the order in the legend.
1 U.S. business line includes Europe.
Asia: Strong double-digit core earnings growth in 4Q20; lower NBV and APE sales amid the challenging sales environment
Core earnings
New business value
APE sales
(US$ millions)
(US$ millions)
(US$ millions)
4Q19 4Q20
Asia OtherJapanHong KongRegional Office
+4%
-5%
259 35 131
Asia OtherJapanHong Kong
+2%
366 443
Asia OtherJapanHong Kong
4Q19 4Q20 2019 2020 4Q19 4Q20 2019 2020
• +16% core earnings growth in 4Q20 primarily driven by in-force business growth across Asia, favourable new business primarily from product mix in Hong Kong and Vietnam, and disciplined expense management, partially offset by lower new business volumes in Hong Kong
• Decline in 4Q20 new business value due to lower sales volumes in Hong Kong and less favourable product mix in Japan, partially offset by higher sales and more favourable product mix in Asia Other
• Delivered modest 4Q20 APE sales as growth in Japan from COLI and higher Asia Other sales from Vietnam and Singapore, were partially offset by lower sales in Hong Kong, due to tightening of COVID-19 containment measures
Canada: Delivered double-digit core earnings growth in 4Q20
Core earnings
New business value
APE sales
(C$ millions)
(C$ millions)
(C$ millions)
+10%
-2%
Manulife BankAnnuities
+10%
316
4Q19
Insurance
+8%
+9%
Individual InsuranceGroup Insurance
1,148Annuities
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
• Higher 4Q20 core earnings primarily reflecting favourable insurance policyholder experience, partially offset by a number of small experience-related items
• Higher 4Q20 new business value primarily driven by higher margins across all business lines, partially offset by lower volumes in small and mid-size group insurance and individual insurance
• Lower 4Q20 APE sales driven by lower small and mid-size group and individual insurance sales due to the adverse impact of COVID-19, partially offset by higher sales in our lower risk segregated funds
U.S.: Solid core earnings, and lower new business value and APE sales due to the COVID-19 pandemic
Core earnings
New business value
APE sales
(US$ millions)
(US$ millions)
(US$ millions)
-1%
+5%
371
367
1,485
-26%
-27%
-28%
-14%
123 | 120 |
248 | 247 |
4Q19
4Q20
2019
U.S. Annuities
U.S. Insurance
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
4Q20
2019
2020
• Modest decrease in 4Q20 core earnings driven by unfavourable life insurance policyholder experience including modest COVID-19 related claim losses and the non-recurrence of tax benefits in 4Q19, partially offset by favourable LTC policyholder experience due to COVID 19, higher in-force earnings and expense efficiencies
• Lower 4Q20 new business value driven by lower international universal life sales volumes
• Lower 4Q20 APE sales as international universal life sales were unfavourably impacted by COVID-19 and domestic universal life sales decreased compared to a strong 4Q19, which benefited from higher sales in advance of anticipated regulatory changes
Total company AUMA
Assets under management and administration (AUMA)
(C$ billions)
Net Customer
AUMA (12/31/2019)
CashflowsInvestment
IncomeCurrency & Other
AUMA (12/31/2020)
OtherGlobal WAM
• The favourable impact of investment income was partially offset by the unfavourable impact of a stronger Canadian dollar
Interest rate related sensitivities remain well within our risk appetite limits
Potential impact1 on net income of an immediate parallel change in "all rates":
3Q20 4Q20
(C$ millions)
Excluding change in market value of AFS bonds held in surplus From fair value changes in AFS bonds held in surplus, if realized2 MLI's LICAT total ratio (change in percentage points)3
-50 bps $ nil $ 2,400 7
+50 bps $ (200) $ (2,200)
(7)
-50 bps $ nil $ 2,100 8
+50 bps $ (100) $ (1,900)
(7)
Potential impact1 on net income of a parallel change in corporate bond spreads:
3Q20 4Q20
(C$ millions)
Corporate spreads
-50 bps $ (1,000)
MLI's LICAT total ratio (change in percentage points)3
(5)
+50 bps $ 800 4
-50 bps $ (1,000)
(4)
+50 bps $ 900 4
Potential impact1 on net income of a parallel change in swap spreads:
3Q20 4Q20
(C$ millions)
Swap spreads
MLI's LICAT total ratio (change in percentage points)
-20 bps $ nil nil
+20 bps $ nil nil
-20 bps $ nil nil
+20 bps $ nil nil
1 All estimated sensitivities are approximate and based on a single parameter. No simple formula can accurately estimate ultimate future impact. Please refer to "Caution related to sensitivities" in our 2020 Management's Discussion and Analysis. 2 The amount of gain or loss that can be realized on AFS fixed income assets held in the surplus segment depends on the aggregate amount of unrealized gain or loss. 3 In accordance with OFSI guidelines, lower interest rates and/or corporate bond spreads could trigger a switch to a more adverse prescribed interest stress scenario that would increase LICAT capital. Refer to the "Interest Rate and Spread Risk Sensitivities and Exposure Measures" section in our 2020 Management's Discussion and Analysis.
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders arising from a 10% change in public equity returns1,2
• Core earnings: Represents the estimated earnings impact on seed money investments (immediate impact)
• Direct impact of equity markets: Represents the estimated earnings impact on variable annuity guarantees and general fund equity investments (immediate impact)
1 All estimated sensitivities are approximate and based on a single parameter. No simple formula can accurately estimate ultimate future impact. Please refer to "Caution related to sensitivities" in our 2020 Management's Discussion and Analysis. 2 The table excludes the impacts from asset-based fees earned on assets under management and policyholder account value. 3 Consists largely of markets in Asia where we operate.
Performance and Non-GAAP Measures
Manulife uses a number of non-GAAP financial measures to measure overall performance and to assess each of its businesses.
A financial measure is considered a non-GAAP measure for Canadian securities law purposes if it is presented other than in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles used for the Company's audited financial statements. Non-GAAP measures include core earnings (loss); core ROE; diluted core earnings per common share ("core EPS"); core earnings before income taxes, depreciation and amortization ("core EBITDA"); core EBITDA margin; core investment gains; core general expenses ("core expenses"); constant exchange rate basis (measures that are reported on a constant exchange rate basis include percentage growth/declines in net income attributed to shareholders, core earnings, core expenses, sales, APE sales, gross flows, core EBITDA, new business value and assets under management and administration); capital; embedded value; new business value; new business value margin; sales; APE sales; gross flows; net flows; assets under management and administration; average assets under management and administration and expense efficiency ratio. Non-GAAP financial measures are not defined terms under GAAP and, therefore, are unlikely to be comparable to similar terms used by other issuers. Therefore, they should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for any other financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. For more information on non-GAAP financial measures, including those referred to above, see "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" in our 2020 Management's Discussion and Analysis.
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Manulife Financial Corporation published this content on 11 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 15 February 2021 09:02:01 UTC.