Monro, Inc. Investor Presentation November 2020
Safe Harbor Statement and Non-GAAP Measures
Certain statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical fact, including estimates, projections, statements related to our business plans and operating results are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Monro has identified some of these forward-looking statements with words such
as "anticipates," "believes," "expects," "estimates," "is likely," "predicts," "projects," "forecasts," "may," "will," "should," and
"intends" and the negative of these words or other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements are based on Monro's current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions as of the date such statements are made, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward- looking statements, to include the significant uncertainty relating to the duration and scope of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on our customers, executive officers and employees. Additional information regarding these risks and uncertainties are described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in the "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" sections of our most recently filed periodic reports on Forms 10-K and Form 10-Q, which are available on Monro's website at https://corporate.monro.com/investors/financial-information/. Monro assumes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements for any reason, even if new information becomes available in the future.
In addition to including references to diluted earnings per share ("EPS"), which is a generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") measure, this presentation includes references to adjusted diluted earnings per share, which is a non- GAAP financial measure. Monro has included a reconciliation from adjusted diluted EPS to its most directly comparable GAAP measure, diluted EPS in Slide 11. Management views this non-GAAP financial measure as a way to better assess comparability between periods because management believes the non-GAAP financial measure shows the Company's core business operations while excluding certain non-recurring items and items related to our Monro.Forward or acquisition initiatives.
This non-GAAP financial measure is not intended to represent, and should not be considered more meaningful than, or as an alternative to, its most directly comparable GAAP measure. This non-GAAP financial measure may be different from similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies.
2
Company Overview
A Leading Chain of Independently Owned and Operated Tire and Auto Service Locations
- Dominant in the Northeastern U.S. and expanding in Southern and Western markets
- Fiscal 2020 sales of $1,256.5 million
- 1,242 company operated stores in 32 states and 97 franchised locations as of November 2, 2020
- 39 acquisitions in the past 8 fiscal years, adding 518 locations, $710 million in revenue and entry into 13 new states
- Operating two store formats in key markets
−Service brand stores - 443 stores
- 75% maintenance service, 25% tires
- $675,000 a year in sales per store
−Tire brand stores - 799 stores (excluding wholesale)
- 55% tires, 45% maintenance service
- $1.0 million a year in sales per store
- 7 wholesale locations and 3 retread facilities
Store locations as of 11/2/2020
3
A Unique Operating Model
Monro Has a Diversified Supply Chain, Sourcing High Quality, Low-Cost Parts Direct and a Strong Portfolio of Tire Brands
PARTS
Monro sources these parts from leading | Secondary parts distribution: | |
aftermarket parts suppliers: | ||
Brake Rotors and Pads | ||
| Filters | |
| Steering and Suspension | |
| Wipers | |
| Belts |
TIRES
Store locations as of 11/2/2020 | 4 |
A Favorable Industry Backdrop
Favorable Industry Backdrop for Automotive Services with the
Vehicles in Operation Expected to Grow Significantly Over the Next Few Years
20U.S. Annual Light Vehicle Sales
18 | |||||||||||||||
16 | |||||||||||||||
14 | |||||||||||||||
12 | |||||||||||||||
10 | |||||||||||||||
8 | |||||||||||||||
6 | |||||||||||||||
4 | |||||||||||||||
2 | |||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||
04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
Source: FRED Economic data, Light weight Vehicle Sales: Autos and Light Trucks
3,300,000 | Total Miles Traveled in U.S. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3,225,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3,150,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3,075,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3,000,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,925,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,850,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,775,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
Source: FRED Economic data, Moving 12-Month Total Vehicle Miles Traveled
U.S. Light Vehicles in Operation (VIO)
300
290
280
270
260
250
240
230
220
210
200 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* 2022*
Source: Lang, IHS Markit. *2020 - 2022 are estimated figures
Key Highlights
- Since March 2020, vehicle miles traveled has been negatively impacted due to the COVID-19 pandemic
- Growing total vehicle population related to consumers owning vehicles longer
- 270+ million vehicles on the road
- Increasing age of vehicles (average of ~12 years)
- 2019 total annual miles driven up ~0.9% y/y
- Increasing complexity of vehicles
- Favorable demographics
5
A Favorable Industry Backdrop
Monro is Well-Positioned to Capitalize on Positive Industry Trends,
with Our Sweet Spot Experiencing the Fastest Growth in Vehicles in Operation
Vehicles in Operation - 0 to 5 Years
120 | +6.56% CAGR | -.03% CAGR | |||||||||||||||||||||
110 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
90 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Vehicles in Operation - 13+ Years
120 | +4.27% CAGR | +1.47% CAGR | |||||||||||||||||||||
110 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
90 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Source for all data: Lang, IHS Markit, 2018
Vehicles in Operation - 6 to 12 Years
120 | -3.97% CAGR | +3.90% CAGR | |||||||||||||||||||||
110 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
90 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Key Highlights
- Strong growth in new vehicles (0-5 years) between 2012 and 2017 is creating a significant tailwind for the 6-12 year old vehicle cohort for the next few years
- 6-12year cohort expected to grow the fastest at +3.9% CAGR for the period 2017-2022
- Monro's targeted market segment is the 6-12 year cohort
6
A Favorable Industry Backdrop
Monro Operates in the $246 Billion Do-It-For-Me* Segment of $308 Billion U.S. Automotive Aftermarket Industry
Automotive Aftermarket DIFM vs. DIY Sales
350,000 | |||||||
300,000 | |||||||
250,000 | |||||||
200,000 | |||||||
150,000 | |||||||
100,000 | |||||||
50,000 | |||||||
0 | |||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
DIFM | DIY | ||||||
Source: Autocare Association Factbook | Census data for 2012; estimates for 2013-2019 |
DIFM vs. DIY Trends
DIFM continues | percentage of |
the automotive aftermarket |
- Vehicle complexity continues to drive shift to DIFM from DIY
-
Future technology advances expected to accelerate shift to
DIFM - DIFM is facing ongoing headwinds from the COVID-19 pandemic, while DIY has been quicker to recover
2010 | % | 2019 | % | CAGR | |
(outlets) | (outlets) | ||||
Dealers | 18,460 | 14.3% | 16,741 | 12.7% | (1.1%) |
General | |||||
Repair | 76,108 | 58.8% | 81,678 | 61.8% | 0.8% |
Garages | |||||
Tire Dealers | 18,675 | 14.4% | 20,299 | 15.4% | 0.9% |
Specialty | 8,663 | 6.7% | 6,150 | 4.7% | (3.7%) |
Repair | |||||
Oil | 7,518 | 5.8% | 7,276 | 5.5% | (0.4%) |
Change/Lube | |||||
Total | 129,424 | 100.0% | 132,144 | 100.0% | |
Source: Autocare Association Factbook
Key Highlights
- Industry still highly fragmented, with significant opportunities for further consolidation
* Includes Replacement Tire Segment | 7 |
Second Quarter Fiscal 2021 Overview
Executing Our Strategy To Position Monro For Long-Term Success
Given continued challenges in the operating environment, focused on profit and cash flow
Driving variable margin | Executing targeted cost | ||||
Right-sizing the business to | |||||
match demand: | improvement: | reductions: | |||
Store hours of operation | | Tire category | | Store management staffing | |
Store staffing levels | | Service labor productivity | | Marketing efficiency | |
| Overhead reductions | ||||
Generated strong cash flow to support business operations and growth strategy
Resumed store rebrand and reimage initiative with the transformation of approximately 40 stores Executed M&A strategy with definitive agreement to acquire 17 stores
8
Second Quarter Fiscal 2021 Sales Highlights
Focused on Aspects of The Business Within Our Control as Demand Remains Soft
Quarterly Comps Trends
5% | |||||||||||
0% | |||||||||||
Q2FY20 | Q3FY20 | Q4FY20 | Q1FY21 | Q2FY21 | |||||||
-5% | |||||||||||
-10% | |||||||||||
-15% | |||||||||||
-20% | |||||||||||
-25% | |||||||||||
-30% | |||||||||||
Q2FY21
Key Highlights
- Comparable store sales of -11.4% due to ongoing COVID-19 headwinds
- Sales from new stores added $9.4M, including sales from recent acquisitions of $8.4M
- Generated strong operating cash flow of ~$126M in the first half of fiscal 2021 driven by profitability and strong working capital management
1Preliminary results through fiscal October ended October 24, 2020
Monthly Comparable Store Sales
0% | |||||||||
-2% | Jul-20 | Aug-20 | Sep-20 | Oct-201 | |||||
-4% | |||||||||
-6% | |||||||||
-8% | |||||||||
-10% | |||||||||
-12% | |||||||||
-14% | |||||||||
Q2FY21
Key Highlights
- Sequential comps improvement in all product and service categories, with tires outperforming all other categories
- Tires: -3%
- Alignments: -16%
- Maintenance: -19%
- Front End/Shocks: -19%
- Brakes: -24%
9
Recent Market Backdrop
Monro Recent Comp Sales and Tire Units Have Correlated with VMT as Well as U.S. Tire Retail Industry (Units)
15% | Monro Comp Sales | Monro Tire Units | Veh. Miles Traveled (U.S.) | U.S. Tire Retail Industry (Units) |
5%
-5%
-15%
-25%
7/11 | 7/18 | 7/25 | 8/1 | 8/8 | 8/15 | 8/22 | 8/29 | 9/5 | 9/12 | 9/19 | 9/26 | 10/3 | 10/10 |
Week Ending
Data Sources:
| Vehicle Miles Traveled - Arity | 10 |
| U.S. Tire Retail Industry (Units) - GfK | |
Second Quarter Fiscal 2021 Results
Managing Business For Profit in a Challenging Demand Environment
Q2FY21 | Q2FY20 | 1HFY21 | 1HFY20 | |||||
Sales (millions) | $288.6 | $324.1 | (11.0%) | $535.6 | $641.2 | (16.5%) | ||
Same Store Sales | -11.4% | 0.0% | (1,140 bps) | -18.7% | 0.4% | (1,910 bps) | ||
Gross Margin | 36.2% | 37.7% | (150 bps) | 35.8% | 39.0% | (320 bps) | ||
Operating Margin | 8.5% | 10.3% | (180 bps) | 6.7% | 10.9% | (420 bps) | ||
Diluted EPS | $.38 | $.60 | (36.7%) | $.47 | $1.26 | (62.7%) | ||
Excluded Costs1 | $.01 | $.02 | $.07 | $.05 | ||||
Adjusted Diluted EPS2 | $.39 | $.62 | (37.1%) | $.54 | $1.31 | (58.8%) | ||
1Excluded costs in Q2FY21 include $.01 per share in Monro.Forward initiatives and management transition costs. Excluded costs in Q2FY20 include $.02 per share of costs related to Monro.Forward initiatives and acquisition due diligence and integration costs. Excluded costs in 1HFY21 include $.06 | |
per share related to store closing costs and approximately $.01 related to management transition and Monro.Forward costs. Excluded costs in 1HFY20 include $.03 per share of costs related to Monro.Forward initiatives and $.02 per share of costs related to acquisition due diligence and integration. | |
2Adjusted diluted EPS is a non-GAAP measure that excludes certain non-recurring items and items related to our Monro.Forward or acquisition initiatives. A reconciliation of net income to adjusted net income and diluted EPS to adjusted diluted EPS is included in our earnings release dated October | 11 |
28, 2020. |
Second Quarter Fiscal 2021 EPS Bridge
$0.70 | Other includes the benefit of cost | |||||
reductions and lower expenses due | ||||||
$.60 | ($.34) | to a year-over-year reduction in the | ||||
$0.60 | number of stores as well as the | |||||
positive impact of non-comp stores, | ||||||
partially offset by higher recruiting | ||||||
expenses | ||||||
$0.50 | ||||||
$0.40 | $.13 | $.39 | ($.01) | $.38 | ||
$0.30 | ||||||
$0.20 | ||||||
$0.10 | ||||||
$0.00 |
Q2FY20 Diluted Earnings | Impact of -11.4% | Other | Q2FY21 Adjusted Diluted | Non-GAAP Adjustments 1 Q2FY21 Diluted Earnings |
Per Share - GAAP | Comp Sales | Earnings Per Share - Non- | Per Share - GAAP | |
GAAP |
1Non-GAAP adjustments in Q2FY21 include $.01 per share in Monro.Forward initiatives and management transition costs. | 12 |
Driving Long-Term Sustainable Growth
Improve Customer Experience | Optimize Product & | ||
• | Online reputation management | Service Offering | |
• | Consistent in-store experience | • | Redefined selling approach |
• | Consistent store appearance | • | Optimized tire assortment |
Scalable Platform to | |
Enhance Customer-Centric | Drive Sustainable |
Engagement | Growth |
- Customer retention
- Customer acquisition
- Omnichannel
Accelerate Productivity & Team Engagement
- Optimized store staffing model
- Clearly defined career path and enhanced training program
- Aligned compensation
Investments in Technology and Data-Driven Analytics to Support Strategic Initiatives
13
Monro.Forward Progress Update
Demonstrated Progress on Monro.Forward Initiatives Will Position Us Well to Emerge Stronger Post-Crisis
Improve Customer Experience
Enhance Customer- Centric Engagement
Optimize Product & Service Offering
Accelerate Productivity & Team Engagement
- Resumed store rebrand and reimage initiative and substantially completed the transformation of approximately 40 stores in attractive markets in Q2FY21
- Outperformance of rebranded stores reinforces strength of strategy
- Modernized store infrastructure and digital phone system driving better customer execution
- Higher ROI marketing spend contributing to improved store traffic trends
- Rollout of new tire pricing and category management technology progressing as planned and on track to be completed by end of Q3FY21
- Leveraging price elasticity analytics to dynamically respond to demand trends
- Ramped store staffing with the right mix of skills to drive top line and labor efficiency
- Leveraging Monro University to facilitate onboarding and training of new teammates
- Utilizing technology-based labor model, with data-drivencloud-based store staffing and scheduling software rollout progressing as planned and expected to be completed by end of Q3FY21
14
Store Rebrand & Reimage Initiative
Store Rebrand & Reimage Initiative is an Important Part of Our Company Transformation
Improve Customer Experience
- Our largest initiative, which focuses on creating a more consistent store appearance and implementing standardized in-store operating procedures
- Have completed the transformation of more than 250 stores in key markets, including rebranding ~85 stores from service branded stores
- On track to complete the transformation of ~100 to ~150 stores during FY21
15
Monro.Forward: Investments in Technology
Significant Investments in Technology to Support Monro.Forward Strategy
Area | Strategic Rationale | Timing |
Business Intelligence | • KPI dashboards for stores and management |
Monro University | • Ensures consistent onboarding and teammate training |
• Develop clear career paths | |
Learning Management System | |
• Deliver standard operating procedure training | |
Store Network | • Enable and support cloud based merchandising strategy |
Infrastructure Upgrade | • Enable customer-facing technology |
Digital Phone and Customer | • Eliminate cost of analog phone system |
• Simplify phone execution for store personnel | |
Communication System | |
• Enable customer-centric call and text messaging management | |
- Launched in Q4 FY18
- Ongoing company-wide expansion
- Launched in Q3 FY19
- Ongoing expansion across store base
- Completed installation across base in Q2 FY21
- Completed installation across base in Q2 FY21
Store Staffing Model & | • Eliminate paper-based scheduling | • Installed in more than 1,050 stores |
• Optimizes store staffing and day part scheduling | • To be implemented across base by Q3 | |
Scheduling System | ||
• Improves part-time scheduling capabilities | FY21 | |
Tire Category Management & | • Enterprise solution to dynamically manage pricing at the SKU level | • Installed in more than 800 stores |
• Partially automates optimization of tire volume/margins by providing | • To be implemented across base by Q3 | |
Pricing System | ||
real-time elasticity | FY21 | |
Cloud-Based Car Inspection | • State of the art technology for technicians to provide industry- | |
leading service | • In pilot stages | |
Scanning Tool | ||
• Provides efficient tool for actively managing customer needs | ||
16
Omnichannel: Amazon.com Collaboration
Collaboration With Amazon.com Supports Monro's Online Tire Retailers Installation Strategy
Amazon.com Collaboration
- Monro's tire installation services available to customers who purchase tires online from Amazon.com and select the Ship-to-Store option
- Amazon tire installation services are now offered at all of Monro's more than 1,200 locations in 32 states
- Enhances customer-centric engagement efforts and omni-channel service offerings, delivering a best-in-class customer experience and building a scalable platform for sustainable growth
17
A Proven M&A Strategy
Monro's Acquisition Strategy Has Delivered Significant Growth Over the Years
A Proven Track Record
- 39 acquisitions in the past 8 fiscal years, adding 518 locations and $710 million in revenue
- Entered 13 new states, expanding our presence in the Southern and Western markets
- Average acquisition size:
- 13 stores
- ~$20 million in annualized sales growth
Recently Announced Acquisitions
- Announced definitive agreement to acquire 17 stores in Southern California
- Further expands the Company's geographic footprint in the Western United States
- Represents $20M in annualized sales, slightly dilutive to EPS in FY21
- Sales mix of 60% tires and 40% service
Fiscal 2021 Acquisition Outlook
- Resumed acquisition activity as M&A remains a critical pillar of Monro's growth strategy
- Evaluating a robust pipeline of attractive M&A opportunities that support our strategy while maintaining strong financial discipline in the face of an uncertain environment
18
Solid Financial Position and Flexibility
We Remain Well Positioned to Support Our Ongoing Business Operations and Growth Strategy
Disciplined Capital Allocation
First Half of Fiscal 2021
- Reduced bank debt, net of cash by $71M
- Capex of $24M
- Paid $15M in dividends
- Strategically reduced cost structure
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
- Generated strong $126M of operating cash flow during 1HFY21
- Net bank debt of $150M as of September 2020
- Net bank debt-to-EBITDA ratio as of September 2020 of 1.1x
- Liquidity position of ~$420M as of October 24, 2020
19
Investment Highlights
- Leading chain of Company-operated undercar care facilities in the U.S. with a wide breadth of product and service offerings
- Strong position in Northeast, Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic and expanding into Southern and Western markets with a presence in 32 states
- 19 years of consecutive annual sales growth
- Low cost operator with solid operating margins
- Well-positionedto capitalize on a favorable industry backdrop
- Monro.Forward strategy creating a scalable platform to drive sustainable growth, with a focus on operational excellence to increase overall customer lifetime value
- Significant growth opportunity to execute disciplined acquisition strategy in a highly fragmented industry
- Strong balance sheet and cash flow
- Delivering consistent shareholder returns through dividend program
20
Appendix
21
Fiscal 2021 Outlook - Financial Assumptions
Financial Assumptions as of October 28, 2020
Tire and Oil Costs | Stable y/y |
Interest Expense | ~$28M to ~$30M |
Depreciation and Amortization | ~$76M to ~$80M |
Tax Rate | ~24% |
Capital Expenditures | ~$40M to ~$50M |
Weighted Average Number of Diluted | ~34M |
Shares Outstanding | |
Store Closure Operating Income Benefit | ~$3.8M |
Cost Reductions | ~$25M to $30M |
Additional Assumptions
- CapEx range accounting for rebrand of ~100 to 150 stores
- Realized ~$5M in cost savings in Q2 and expect additional savings of ~$5M to $10M in 2HFY21
- Anticipate lower cost savings in 2HFY21 when reinvesting portion of savings to drive top line growth
22
Store Refresh Transformation Timeline
7 Stage Transformation Process from Beginning to End Takes ~17 Weeks
BEFORE | AFTER | |||
Store Readiness | Parts Inventory | Store Inventory Storage | Inventory Assortment | Store Team Trained | Store Interior Remodel | Store Exterior Painted |
on New Operating | and Technology | and New Signage | ||||
for Change | Rebalanced1 | Configured for Tires1 | Reset for Tire Focus1 | |||
Procedures | Installed | Installed | ||||
~17 WEEKS
1Steps are only required for stores that are being rebranded from service format to tire format | 23 |
Monro.Forward Strategic Initiatives
FY19 | Q2 FY19 | Q3 FY19 | Q4 FY19 | FY20 | Q2 FY20 | Q3 FY20 | Q4 FY20 | FY21 | Q2FY21 | Q3FY21 |
Improve
Customer
Experience
Enhance
Customer-Centric
Engagement
Optimize
Product &
Service Offering
Accelerate
Productivity
- Team Engagement
Foundational
Technology &
Tools
Pilot store refresh & | Scale store refresh & operational |
operational excellence | excellence |
Scheduled maintenance in-store selling
Data-driven CRM | Digital phone and customer |
communication system | |
New websites | Data-driven "new customer" |
marketing | |
New in-store sales | Optimize tire assortment |
packages | |
New store comp plans | Monro University (includes |
career path, LMS) | |
Store staffing & scheduling system
Store network infrastructure upgrade
Tire category management & pricing system
Cloud based car inspection tool
= Completed Initiatives | 24 |
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Disclaimer
Monro Muffler Brake Inc. published this content on 16 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 19 November 2020 12:00:03 UTC