Projected Income Statement: Moody's Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Moody's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 3,726 5,511 5,530 4,808 4,454 4,356 3,895 3,255
Change - 47.91% 0.34% -13.06% -7.36% -2.2% -10.58% -16.43%
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/10/22 1/31/23 2/13/24 2/13/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Moody's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 103 139 283 271 317 342.3 367.1 389.2
Change - 34.95% 103.6% -4.24% 16.97% 7.98% 7.23% 6.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,043 1,866 1,191 1,880 2,521 2,536 2,953 3,291
Change - -8.66% -36.17% 57.85% 34.1% 0.61% 16.41% 11.45%
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/10/22 1/31/23 2/13/24 2/13/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Moody's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 49.66% 49.87% 42.57% 43.9% 48.08% 51% 51.81% 52.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.46% 45.74% 34.44% 36.12% 40.56% 44.05% 45.71% 47.16%
EBT Margin (%) 41.5% 44.31% 32.19% 32.71% 38.08% 40.75% 42.93% 44.41%
Net margin (%) 33.1% 35.61% 25.13% 27.16% 29.03% 31.32% 32.47% 33.82%
FCF margin (%) 38.04% 30.01% 21.78% 31.78% 35.57% 32.96% 35.59% 36.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 114.9% 84.28% 86.68% 116.99% 122.5% 105.23% 109.6% 108.72%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.68% 17.05% 9.47% 11.09% 13.66% 15.89% 17.32% 18.82%
ROE 137.09% 98.7% 52.38% 55.06% 59.8% 65.15% 64.22% 62.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.4x 1.78x 2.38x 1.85x 1.31x 1.11x 0.91x 0.69x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.82x 2.95x 4.64x 2.56x 1.77x 1.72x 1.32x 0.99x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.92% 2.24% 5.18% 4.58% 4.47% 4.45% 4.42% 4.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.86% 4.48% 12.16% 10.44% 9.3% 8.72% 8.54% 8.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.04% 7.45% 23.76% 14.41% 12.57% 13.5% 12.43% 11.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.34 12.8 7.98 11.72 15.53 14.96 17.1 19.39
Change - 12.9% -37.65% 46.8% 32.59% -3.67% 14.26% 13.39%
Dividend per Share 1 2.24 2.48 2.8 3.08 3.4 3.92 4.22 4.579
Change - 10.71% 12.9% 10% 10.39% 15.28% 7.67% 8.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.313 14.63 14.56 18.03 19.77 23.04 27.36 33.11
Change - 57.09% -0.49% 23.86% 9.64% 16.51% 18.75% 21.02%
EPS 1 9.39 11.78 7.44 8.73 11.26 13.4 15.18 17.32
Change - 25.45% -36.84% 17.34% 28.98% 19% 13.32% 14.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 187,838 185,900 183,162 183,007 181,231 178,395 178,395 178,395
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/10/22 1/31/23 2/13/24 2/13/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 31.8x 28.1x
PBR 18.5x 15.6x
EV / Sales 10.5x 9.64x
Yield 0.92% 0.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
426.44USD
Average target price
571.79USD
Spread / Average Target
+34.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MCO Stock
  4. Financials Moody's Corporation