FY 2022 IR Day
Initiatives for Profit Improvement in Fire Insurance
MS & AD Insurance Group Holdings, Inc.
Yuji Arakawa, Executive Director
Tuesday, October 4, 2022
First Quarter result and Full Year Outlook for Fiscal 2022 (UnderwritingProfit)
- Underwriting profit of domestic non-life insurance(before catastrophe reserve) was decreased by 85.6 billion yen due to (1)loss increase of voluntary automobile insurance compared with FY2021(less accidents following to COVID19) (2)Hail impact of 1st Q while natural catastrophes did not tend to occur.
- EI loss ratio(excluding the impact of natural catastrophes) increased compared with FY2019, but has been in line with the annual forecast.
- The increase(+4.7pp) of EI loss ratio (Casualty and inland transit) was mainly due to foreign currency exchange impact(approx. 5.5pp)
Underwriting profit of two major domestic non life insurance | (¥bn) | ||||||||||||||||
【Factor of incurred loss increase】 | |||||||||||||||||
Simple sum | |||||||||||||||||
(¥bn) | |||||||||||||||||
YoY | Loss Increase in voluntary | 19.4 | |||||||||||||||
Net premium *1 | 713.9 | 1.4 | automobile insurance | ||||||||||||||
Natural catastrophes(hail in | 38.4 | ||||||||||||||||
Earned Premium written※2、※3 | 640.0 | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||
June) in Japan | |||||||||||||||||
Incurred loss(incl. loss adjustment expenses)※2 (-) | 434.7 | 91.9 | |||||||||||||||
Foreign currency exchange | 19.2 | ||||||||||||||||
Expenses and others※2 | (-) | 231.1 | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit/loss prior to reflecting | -5.9 | -85.6 | Total(including the other factor) | 91.9 | |||||||||||||
catastrophe reserve | |||||||||||||||||
*1: | All lines *2 Excluding residential EQ and CALI(compulsory auto liability insurance) | ||||||||||||||||
*3: "Earned premiums" are calculated with adjustments including unearned premiums | 【EI Loss ratio outlook for FY2022】 | ||||||||||||||||
(excl. natural catastrophe policy reserves) and reserve funds | |||||||||||||||||
EI loss ratio of voluntary auto insurance(incl. loss adjustment | Simple sum | ||||||||||||||||
expenses) | |||||||||||||||||
YoY | |||||||||||||||||
(MS・AD Simple sum) | 62.8% excl | . natural | |||||||||||||||
catastrophes(hail | Fire and allied | 68.0% | -12.5pp | ||||||||||||||
in June) impact | |||||||||||||||||
Marine | 51.0% | -11.8pp | |||||||||||||||
54.8% | Personal Accident | 55.5% | 0.7pp | ||||||||||||||
56.3% | |||||||||||||||||
Voluntary Automobile | 60.1% | 3.2pp | |||||||||||||||
50.7% | Other | 58.9% | -0.3pp | ||||||||||||||
47.1% | Total(exc. CALI and residential EQ) | 60.7% | -0.6pp | ||||||||||||||
FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | (excl. natural catastrophes impact) | 57.5% | -0.8pp | |||||||||||
Q1 | Q1 | Q1 | Q1 | ||||||||||||||
1
First Quarter result and Full Year Outlook for FY 2022 (Impact of Natural Catastrophes)
- The hails losses in June relatively high because the hail loss occurred in the area where MS&AD has kept high market share and channel. Following to this hail losses, the incurred loss against natural catastophes budget shows high progress but with the reinsurance recovey, the volatility full year profit will be curbed.
Status of Domestic Natural Catastrophe Losses in the First Quarter
Incurred Loss | Incurred Loss (¥bn) | |||||
FY2021 | FY2022 | Annual | ||||
1st Q | 1st Q | YOY | Outlook | |||
Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance | 0.1 | 19.3 | 19.2 | 40.0 | ||
Aioi Nissay Dowa Insurance | 0.0 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 32.5 | ||
Total | 0.1 | 38.5 | 38.4 | 72.5 | ||
*Fire (excluding earthquakes) EI combined ratio 137.9% (2021 1st Q: 106.7%). Simple sum of the non-consolidated figures of MSI and ADI.
Annual aggeregate ELC cover image
・・・ | Accumulated loss | |||||
Accumulated lloss ELC * | ELC * | |||||
Accumulated loss | ||||||
accumulated loss | 1st accident | XXth accident | ||||
ELC * | ||||||
(per accident) | holding | |||||
2nd accident | ||||||
holding | ||||||
holding | ||||||
Annual Aggregated loss ELC * | Curbing the volatility of the | ||
Annual | Control of annual | ||
balance due to the impact of | |||
Aggregated loss | profit/loss balance | ||
Retention | natural catastrophes | ||
2
Social mission of fire insurance and Current Progress of initiatives for profit improvement
Social mission of fire insurance
- As a safety function indispensable to society, it will provide security and safety in a permanent manner.
- Protect all people in the mother market from intensifying and frequent natural disasters.
Results of initiatives for profit improvement in fire insurance
- Efforts to improve profitability, including insurance premium rate revisions, have made steady progress toward eliminating the deficit in underwriting profits.We expect to gain the profit in the mid-term management plan period.
- The profit improvement initiatives such as reduction of the maximum insurance period (maximum 5 years) in October 2022 accelerated the effectiveness of the initiatives.The risk portfolio has improved significantly.
Ongoing issues
- Following the return of insurance underwriting profits, we will continue initiatives toward VA positive.
Major initiatives
・Eradication of fraudulent insurance claims by specified business operators.
・Strengthen the support for loss prevention and mitigation measures through the use of digital technology (RisTech, cmap, etc.).
・Continued efforts such as segmenting the insurance premium rate of flooding considering the discussion in the meeting of experts.
3
Forecast of fire insurance profitability plan
Forecast of domestic fire insurance underwriting profit
(prior to reflecting catastrophe reserve) *
Plan to break even in FY 2023 and return profitability after FY 2024
(¥bn)
50
9.0 | 17.0 | |
0.0 | ||
0
-50 | -36.8 | ||||
-66.7 | |||||
-100 | (Fiscal | ||||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | |
Result | Plan | Outlook | Outlook | Outlook | year) |
- Simple sum of the non-consolidated figures of MSI and ADI
(Management accounting basis. Excluding foreign fire class such as head office reinsurance).
4
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MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings Inc. published this content on 04 October 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 October 2022 07:41:03 UTC.