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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 157.80 ZAR | +0.36% |
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+0.35% | +71.54% |
| Dec. 10 | MTN South Africa announces consumer contract price adjustments | RE |
| Nov. 17 | MTN Group Limited, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Nov 17, 2025 |
Projected Income Statement: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 179,361 | 181,646 | 207,003 | 221,056 | 188,001 | 223,653 | 250,444 | 284,955 |
| Change | - | 1.27% | 13.96% | 6.79% | -14.95% | 18.96% | 11.98% | 13.78% |
| EBITDA 1 | 81,311 | 76,158 | 90,348 | 88,780 | 59,298 | 95,981 | 112,760 | 132,336 |
| Change | - | -6.34% | 18.63% | -1.74% | -33.21% | 61.86% | 17.48% | 17.36% |
| EBIT 1 | 46,105 | 40,935 | 56,081 | 46,512 | 22,807 | 56,217 | 73,134 | 93,495 |
| Change | - | -11.21% | 37% | -17.06% | -50.97% | 146.49% | 30.09% | 27.84% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -16,651 | -14,173 | -17,686 | -18,954 | -18,350 | -14,922 | -15,475 | -15,197 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 29,086 | 28,816 | 41,497 | 11,768 | -4,417 | 41,596 | 57,377 | 79,973 |
| Change | - | -0.93% | 44.01% | -71.64% | -137.53% | 1,041.73% | 37.94% | 39.38% |
| Net income 1 | 17,022 | 13,750 | 19,337 | 4,092 | -9,592 | 24,982 | 33,193 | 35,721 |
| Change | - | -19.22% | 40.63% | -78.84% | -334.41% | 360.44% | 32.87% | 7.62% |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/12/23 | 3/22/24 | 3/17/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 104,577 | 89,328 | 95,984 | 109,912 | 124,203 | 111,828 | 98,304 | 80,030 |
| Change | - | -14.58% | 7.45% | 14.51% | 13% | -9.96% | -12.09% | -18.59% |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/12/23 | 3/22/24 | 3/17/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 23,502 | 24,413 | 31,398 | 32,187 | 24,288 | 38,493 | 43,403 | 49,226 |
| Change | - | 3.88% | 28.61% | 2.51% | -24.54% | 58.48% | 12.76% | 13.42% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 35,011 | 42,873 | 36,723 | 31,871 | 22,529 | 16,595 | 20,095 | 25,187 |
| Change | - | 22.46% | -14.34% | -13.21% | -29.31% | -26.34% | 21.09% | 25.34% |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/12/23 | 3/22/24 | 3/17/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: MTN Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.33% | 41.93% | 43.65% | 40.16% | 31.54% | 42.92% | 45.02% | 46.44% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 25.71% | 22.54% | 27.09% | 21.04% | 12.13% | 25.14% | 29.2% | 32.81% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 16.22% | 15.86% | 20.05% | 5.32% | -2.35% | 18.6% | 22.91% | 28.07% |
| Net margin (%) | 9.49% | 7.57% | 9.34% | 1.85% | -5.1% | 11.17% | 13.25% | 12.54% |
| FCF margin (%) | 19.52% | 23.6% | 17.74% | 14.42% | 11.98% | 7.42% | 8.02% | 8.84% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 205.68% | 311.8% | 189.91% | 778.86% | -234.87% | 66.43% | 60.54% | 70.51% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.14% | 4.98% | 5.1% | 1.39% | 0.41% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| ROE | 14.43% | 16.62% | 23.4% | 24.4% | 1.34% | 17.43% | 18.96% | 20.72% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.29x | 1.17x | 1.06x | 1.24x | 2.09x | 1.17x | 0.87x | 0.6x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 2.99x | 2.08x | 2.61x | 3.45x | 5.51x | 6.74x | 4.89x | 3.18x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 13.1% | 13.44% | 15.17% | 14.56% | 12.92% | 17.21% | 17.33% | 17.28% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 28.9% | 32.06% | 34.75% | 36.25% | 40.96% | 40.1% | 38.49% | 37.2% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 67.13% | 56.94% | 85.5% | 100.99% | 107.81% | 231.95% | 215.99% | 195.44% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 32.19 | 36.4 | 36.78 | 34.85 | 25.92 | 37.66 | 40.45 | 48.73 |
| Change | - | 13.11% | 1.03% | -5.24% | -25.64% | 45.32% | 7.41% | 20.46% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.806 | 4.607 | 6.031 |
| Change | - | - | 10% | 0% | 0% | 15.35% | 21.04% | 30.9% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 59.05 | 60.05 | 62.96 | 75.74 | 68.33 | 83.68 | 97.52 | 115.9 |
| Change | - | 1.7% | 4.84% | 20.3% | -9.78% | 22.46% | 16.55% | 18.86% |
| EPS 1 | 9.36 | 7.44 | 10.44 | 2.23 | -5.31 | 12.27 | 16.5 | 19.78 |
| Change | - | -20.51% | 40.32% | -78.64% | -338.12% | 331.02% | 34.5% | 19.89% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,798,675 | 1,802,808 | 1,805,685 | 1,806,405 | 1,806,475 | 1,830,441 | 1,830,441 | 1,830,441 |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/12/23 | 3/22/24 | 3/17/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.9x | 9.56x |
| PBR | 1.89x | 1.62x |
| EV / Sales | 1.79x | 1.55x |
| Yield | 2.41% | 2.92% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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