Projected Income Statement: MTY Food Group Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MTY Food Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: November 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 531 299 501 711 656 633 520 478
Change - -43.69% 67.56% 41.92% -7.74% -3.53% -17.85% -8.08%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/14/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MTY Food Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: November 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 5.624 6.763 12.66 32.17 27.73 16.5 18.67 14.5
Change - 20.25% 87.17% 154.14% -13.81% -40.49% 13.13% -22.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 128 132.5 130.1 152.4 177.1 131.8 132.1 133
Change - 3.52% -1.81% 17.12% 16.18% -25.6% 0.25% 0.7%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/14/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MTY Food Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: November 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.96% 30.55% 26.15% 23.25% 22.81% 22.3% 22.22% 22%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.6% 22.47% 19.03% 15.6% 14.89% 15.49% 14.94% 15.09%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) - - - - - - - -
FCF margin (%) 25.05% 24.01% 18.16% 13.03% 15.27% 11.3% 11.36% 11.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 4.2% 3.8% 4%
ROE - 13.93% 10.91% 14.51% - 12.9% 11% 11.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.85x 1.78x 2.68x 2.62x 2.48x 2.44x 2.01x 1.83x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.15x 2.26x 3.85x 4.67x 3.71x 4.8x 3.94x 3.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.1% 1.23% 1.77% 2.75% 2.39% 1.42% 1.6% 1.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.08% 4.01% 6.76% 11.83% 10.48% 6.35% 7.22% 5.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.39% 5.1% 9.73% 21.11% 15.66% 12.52% 14.13% 10.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - 8.25 8 8.11
Change - - - - - - -3.03% 1.37%
Dividend per Share 1 0.185 0.37 0.84 1 1.12 1.32 1.435 1.445
Change - 100% 127.03% 19.05% 12% 17.86% 8.71% 0.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.54 26.25 29.63 33.35 - - - -
Change - 11.52% 12.87% 12.53% - - - -
EPS 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 24,706 24,706 24,413 24,388 23,535 22,841 22,841 22,841
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/14/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio - -
PBR - -
EV / Sales 1.33x 1.24x
Yield 3.28% 3.57%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
40.21CAD
Average target price
43.33CAD
Spread / Average Target
+7.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MTY Stock
  4. Financials MTY Food Group Inc.