James Institutional Conference
1
Cautionary statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements, which express management's current views concerning future events or results, are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the volatility and level of crude oil and gasoline prices, the pace and success of our expansion plan, our relationship with Walmart, political and regulatory uncertainty, our ability to realize projected synergies from the acquisition of QuickChek and successfully expand our food and beverage offerings, uncontrollable natural hazards, and adverse market conditions or tax consequences, among other things. For further discussion of risk factors, see "Risk Factors" in the Murphy USA registration statement on our latest form 10-Q and 10-K. Murphy USA undertakes no duty to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.
The Murphy USA financial information in this presentation is derived from the audited and unaudited consolidated financial statements of Murphy USA, Inc. for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, and 2015. Please reference our most recent 10-K,10-Q, and 8-K filings for the latest information.
If this presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures, we have provided a reconciliation of such non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP in the Appendix to this presentation.
Christian Pikul, CFA
Vice President of Investor Relations and FP&A
Christian.pikul@murphyusa.com
Murphy USA Inc. | 2 |
Significant shareholder returns since 2013 Spin
Executed long-term strategy | Cumulative Shareholder Returns |
- Unit growth, format evolution, and network improvements grew adjusted EBITDA
- Improved breakeven economics enhanced competitiveness/attractiveness of EDLP offer
- Disciplined capital allocation rewarded long- term investors
Maintained agile business model
- Profitability increased through cycles of both economic growth and contraction
- Relative advantage widened during pandemic induced industry shocks
- Utilized appropriate leverage to enable growth and sustain a conservative B/S
Achieved exceptional 2022 results
- Higher performing new stores accretive to SS metrics and benefited from macro factors
- Investments in fuel pricing, tobacco merchandising, and loyalty led to share gains
- Enhanced FCF generation accelerated share repurchases and organic growth
As of 12/31/2022
620%
248% | 179% | |||||
40% | 57% 22% | 97% | ||||
-18%-20% | ||||||
1-Year | 5-Year | Since Spin | ||||
MUSA | S&P 500 | Russell 2000 | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA Since 2018 | ||||||
$1,200 | $1,191 | |||||
$1,000 | $723 | $828 | ||||
$800 | ||||||
$600 | $412 | $423 | ||||
$400 | ||||||
$200 | ||||||
$0 | ||||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |||
2018 |
Murphy USA Inc. | 3 |
Credible track record underpins next decade of value creation
Past Decade Proof Points
- Added 500+ new stores to the network
- Razed & Rebuilt 177 stores
- Acquired Food & Beverage capabilities through targeted M&A
- Increased profitability through new store performance, captured share with retail pricing excellence, and leveraged scale to enhance fuel supply advantage
- Grew merchandise contribution dollars via share gains in tobacco and increased customer engagement through MDR
- Optimized low-cost structure to support EDLP strategy while building winning culture
- Introduced scalable systems and processes, invested in critical IT infrastructure to support best in class retail capabilities
- Prioritized disciplined capital allocation with growth and share repurchase
- Reduced share count 53% since Spin
- Initiated and grew dividend to provide ratable shareholder distributions
Value Creation Drivers
Organic
Growth
*
Fuel
Contribution
+
Fuel
Breakeven
‐
Corporate
Costs
/
Shareholder
Distributions
Next Decade Objectives
- Add 40 to 50 new stores per annum
- Improve network with Raze and Rebuilds, store remodels, store of the future
- Consider high-quality M&A to build scale and augment unit growth
- Leverage low-price position to drive further share gains from growing customer segments seeking affordability
- Execute distinctive branded F&B initiatives to improve in-store returns
- Expand loyalty reach, impact, and profitability through digital transformation
- Invest in capabilities to preserve and perpetuate our advantaged model over the long-term
- Accelerate high return unit growth
- Allocate excess free cash flow to further reduce share count and grow dividend
- Flex balance sheet as needed to support growth and optimize equity returns
Murphy USA Inc. | 4 |
Industry structure reflects marginal retailer economics
NACS Bottom Half(1) Cost Structure and Profitability | Marginal Player Cost Structure Economics |
Cents per Gallon (cpg), Same Firm Data from 2007 through 2022 | Impact of Relative Pressure on Marginal Retailer |
Operating Profit | Facilities | Payment Fees | FBE | APSM | 9 | ||||||||||||||||
40 | 38 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Volume | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 70K | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||
9 | |||||||||||||||||||||
30 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
25 | 90K | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
22 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 110K | |||||||||||||||||
2 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
15 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 7 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||
10 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 9 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||
6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||
3 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
2022 NACS | Lower | Inside | 2022 Marginal | ||||||||||||||||||
2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | ||||||
Bottom Half | Volume | Sales | Player | ||||||||||||||||||
Cost Structure | Deterioration | Cost Structure |
Fuel Breakeven and Margin Drivers
- Industry Fuel Margin is determined by Marginal Players economics
- Bottom Half Operators price based on Marginal Players that price higher or lower based on their cost structure
- Marginal Player Breakeven economics impacted by lower Fuel Volumes, deteriorating Merchandise Margin and Cost Inflation
- For reference, 2022 OPIS Avg per Store Month Fuel Volumes 70-75K
- Marginal Player 'Profit' is effectively take-home pay which is further constrained by outside inflationary pressures
- NACS 3rd and 4th Quartile Data
- Fuel Breakeven (FBE) is Operating Expenses net of Inside Margin
Source: Analysis of NACS Same Firm Data (2007-2022) will not match Individual SOI annual publications; OPIS DemandPro
Murphy USA Inc. | 5 |
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Murphy USA Inc. published this content on 04 March 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 06 March 2023 15:34:03 UTC.