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Important information concerning this presentation
This presentation, prepared by Nexa Resources S.A. (herein referred to as the "Company" or "Nexa"), is solely for informational purposes. Disclosure of this presentation, its contents, extracts or abstracts to third parties is not authorized without express and prior written consent from the Company.
Certain statements disclosed herein are "forward-looking statements" in which statements contained herein that the information is not clearly historical in nature are forward-looking, and the words "anticipate," "believe," "continues," "expect," "estimate," "intend," "strategy," "project" and similar expressions and future or conditional verbs such as "will," "would," "should," "could," "might," "can," "may," or similar expressions are generally intended to identify forward-looking such statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof and are based on the Company's current plans and expectations and are subject to a number of known and unknown uncertainties and risks, many of which are beyond the Company's control. As a consequence, current plans, anticipated actions, and future financial position and results of operations may differ significantly from those expressed in any forward-looking statements in the presentation. You are cautioned not to unduly rely on such forward-looking statements when evaluating the information presented herein and we do not intend to update any of these forward-looking statements.
This presentation includes the Company's unaudited non-IFRS measures, including: adjusted EBITDA; net debt; working capital; cash cost net of by-products. The Company presents non-IFRS measures when we due to the belief that the additional information is useful and meaningful to investors. Non-IFRS measures do not have any standardized meaning and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The presentation of non-IFRS measures is not intended to be a substitute for, and should not be considered in isolation from, the financial measures reported in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"), as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board.
The information and opinions contained herein should not be construed as a recommendation to potential investors and no investment decision should be based on the truthfulness, timeliness or completeness of such information or opinions. None of the advisors to the Company or any parties related to them or their representatives shall be liable for any losses that may result from the use or contents of this presentation.
This presentation also contains information concerning the Company's industry that are based on industry publications, surveys and forecasts. The information contained herein involves and assumes a number of assumptions and limitations, and the Company did not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of such information.
All dollar amounts referenced in this presentation, unless otherwise indicated, are expressed in United States dollars. The contents hereof should not be construed as investment, legal, tax or other advice and you should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax and other related matters concerning an investment in the Company. The Company is not acting on your behalf and does not regard you as a customer or a client. It will not be responsible to you for providing protections afforded to clients or for advising you on the relevant transaction. There is no obligation to update the information included in this presentation.
Certain information contained in this presentation with respect to the Company's Morro Agudo, Shalipayco, Magistral and Florida Canyon Zinc projects are preliminary economic assessments within the meaning of NI 43-101 (as defined herein). Such preliminary economic assessments are preliminary in nature, including certain information as of inferred mineral resources that are too speculative geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty that such preliminary economic assessments will be realized. The bases for such preliminary economic assessments (including certain qualifications and assumptions) are described in the Company's documents filed with the SEC and in each of the provinces and territories of Canada.
Nexa | A resilient performance in a challenging scenario
Effective response to COVID-19. Crisis committee remains in place.
Production guidance achievedSales exceeded annual guidance
Costs reduction and improved
operational performance | Nexa Way
program on track
Strong balance sheet
Disciplined capital allocation
Social and environmental commitment
2.29x
498kt | 585kt |
zinc equivalent | Metal |
production | sales |
(down 18% from 2019) | (down 6% from 2019) |
Financial leverage
US$
403 million
Adjusted EBITDA
(up 15% from 2019)
US$ 336 million US$ 35 million
CAPEX(a)
(a) Tax credits of US$18 million
CASH DIVIDEND
Nexa | 2020 Social and Environmental Highlights
Woman in mining: expand and strengthen the participation of women.
Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP): since 2019 we participate on the Water category index and in 2020 we've also participated on the Climate category index.
Tailings Dams website: enhance transparency on our tailings dams management.
Actions with unions: ensuring stability and operational continuity during the pandemic.
Communities: inclusion and social development of our host communities.
Energy and Emissions: natural gas in Cajamarquilla.
EXPLORATION AND PRE FEASIBILITYFEASIBILITYCONSTRUCTION
Note: Estimated timeline as of January 2021. ¹Annual zinc equivalent production; ²In 2021, we expect to advance further detailed engineering and optimization opportunities to mitigate the risk of project execution, before consideration of project approval. 3Capital allocation strategy in response to COVID-19; 4 FEL3 resumed 1Q21, as expected.
Aripuanã | Project
Competitive cash cost position with attractive returns
Project overview
• 11 years LOM¹ with excellent potential to extend mine life beyond 20 years2 based on current inferred resources and exploration drilling campaigns (i.e., the current Babaçu drilling activities indicate room for further resource expansion)
• Zinc equivalent³ average production¹ 119kt/yr
• Sustainable project:
Tailings disposal: 50% dry stacks and 50% cement paste backfill
100% process water recirculation, with minimal discharge to the environment
Highlights
• Estimated start-up early 2022
• Estimated project CAPEX of US$547 million (US$312 million invested since the project execution approval)
• Status (December, 2020):
• 70.3% overall physical progress
• 99.8% of engineering completed
• 93% of procurement completed
• 80% of long lead equipment delivered to site
• 100% of construction packages awarded and renegotiated
• All permits have been obtained and all the environmental programs are in place.
1Based only on current mineral reserves; ²Based on significant currently inferred mineral resources and Nexa's good track record of conversion to indicated resources; 3Consolidated mining production in kton of zinc equivalent calculated by converting copper, lead, silver and gold contents to a zinc equivalent grade based on consensus LT forecasts
Aripuanã | Project (cont'd)
Exploration activity update
Continuous drilling have increased the Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves at Aripuanã and demonstrates the potential for further increases
Exploratory drilling on the northwest extension of the Babaçu body in 4Q20 was executed, totaling 3,741 meters in 2020.
For 1Q21, we will continue the extension drilling in the Babaçu NW Exploration Target to prove continuity of mineralization to the northwest below the Ambrex deposit.
In addition to the Arex, Link and Ambrex extensions, Babaçu has the potential to expand the life of mine of Aripuanã or increase production capacity due to its robust mineralized zones in very close proximity to Ambrex
4Q20 and 2020 Consolidated results
Net Revenue1
(US$ million)
586
635
538
4Q19
3Q20
Adjusted EBITDA
1,951
• Net revenue in 4Q20 increased by 8%, mainly driven by higher zinc and copper prices
• In 2020, net revenue decrease by 16% due to lower average prices for zinc and metal prices ad and lower volumes (COVID-19 impacts)
4Q20
2019
2020
(US$ million)
403
4Q19
3Q20
(1) Includes intersegment revenues
• Adj EBITDA in 4Q20 was positively affected by lower operating costs & expenses; higher Zn prices; and the BRL devaluation versus U.S. dollar
• Adj EBITDA in 2020 increase driven by lower mining & smelting unit cash costs; lower expenses; and positive effect from BRL devaluation
4Q20
2019
2020
Mining segment
Zinc production
(000 ton)
83
4Q19
92
3Q20
82
4Q20
2019
Net Revenue
(US$ million)
234
2020
269
4Q19
3Q20
206
4Q20
2019
Adjusted EBITDA
(US$ million)
87
13
67
2020
4Q19
3Q20
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q20 zinc production was 11% higher driven by Cerro Lindo's higher zinc average grade and Vazante recovery from 4Q19 temporary capacity reduction
2020 zinc production decreased by 13% year-over-year mainly impacted by Peruvian mines shutdown
4Q20 net revenue was up 15% mainly driven by increased production, and higher prices
2020 net revenue down 25% due to the temporary suspension of our Peruvian operations, lower zinc and lead prices, and higher TCs
4Q20 Adj EBITDA significantly recovered from 4Q19 due to higher zinc prices and by-products credits, and lower operating costs and expenses
2020 Adj EBITDA was down from 2019, affected by lower volumes and average prices; which were partially offset by lower investments and costs
Mining segment
2020 results mainly impacted by lower volumes and market related factors
US$ million
Comments
Mining Cash Cost 2020 vs. 2019 (US$/lb)
Market related factors had a negative variation impact of US$49 million
Strong performance in Brazil partially offset lower volumes in Peru (COVID-19 mandatory measures)
Lower operating costs
Mineral exploration and project evaluation expenses were also down from 2019
(1) Includes: Other income and expenses
0.00
20192020
0.94
Mining Consolidated
Cerro Lindo El PorvenirAtacochaVazanteMorro Agudo
Mining segment | guidance
Production by metal is expected to increase in the 2021-2023 period
Zinc equivalent
Zinc
Copper
Lead
000 ton
2021e
691
678
PRODUCTION
2021e
Comments
000 ton
384
376
000 ton
2022e
2023e
2022e
2023e
Upper rangeLower range
• 2021-2023 production guidance :
At the midpoint of the range, zinc equivalent metal production forecasted to increase 7% on average mostly driven by the start-up of Aripuanã in 2022.
• 2021 cash cost guidance is expected to decrease year-over-year:
higher by-product credits; lower benchmark TCs; and increased production volumes
48
2021e
2022e
Cash cost
46 49
38 42
2023e
US$/lb
Mining cash cost(1)(2)
Cerro Lindo 0.00
El Porvenir 0.52
Atacocha 0.27
Vazante 0.47
Morro Agudo 0.79
(1) C1 Weighted Cash cost net of by-products credits is measured with respect to zinc sold per mine. (2) Cash cost numbers include COVID-19 incremental costs.
000 ton
2021e
2022e
2023e
0.33
Smelting segment
2020 results positively impacted mainly by higher TCs and lower corporate expensesMetal Sales (Zinc metal + Oxide)
(000 ton)
162
162
158
Net Revenue
(US$ million)
422
4Q19
460
3Q20
482
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q19
3Q20
4Q20
2019
Adjusted EBITDA
(US$ million)
86
83
3Q20
2020
4Q19
56
4Q20
2019
2020
4Q20 metal sales up 2% from 3Q20, mainly driven by demand recovery in our home markets
2020 metal sales were 6% lower due to the decrease in production in the Cajamarquilla and Juiz de Fora smelters (COVID-19 related measures), partially offset by Três Marias' solid performance
4Q20 net revenue was 5% higher, following higher average zinc prices
2020 net revenue was down 17% y-o-y mainly due to the pandemic-related slowdown in industrial activities and lower average zinc price
4Q20 EBITDA was up 47% y-o-y driven by higher TCs, lower operating costs and corporate expenses
2020 EBITDA increased by 50% driven by higher TCs, the BRL depreciation and lower corporate expenses
US$ million
Market-related
Comments
Smelter Cash Cost 2020 vs. 2019 (US$/lb)
Market related factors such as prices, TCs and FX had a positive variation impact of US$45 million
By-products had a negative variation of US$20 million
Lower operating costs (energy prices and higher silicate mix) and corporate expenses
(1) Includes: Other income and expenses and Project Evaluation
Smelting Consolidated
CajamarquillaTrês MariasJuiz de Fora
Smelting segment | guidance
Steady sales increase expected over next 3 years driven by regular production
Comments
• 2021-2023 metal sales guidance:
Metal sales volume at the midpoint of the guidance range in 2021 is estimated to increase 7% compared to 2020.
For 2022, metal sales volume is estimated to increase 3kt over 2021, and to remain stable in 2023 over 2022.
• 2021 cash cost guidance is expected to increase year-over- year:
2021 cash cost guidance (US$/lb)
2021e
Smelting cash cost(1)(2)
0.95
higher LME prices,
Cajamarquilla
0.96
compared to 2020.
Três Marias
0.93
Juiz de Fora
0.96
increasing
lower benchmark TCs; and
Metal sales (Zinc metal + Oxide) - Mid range
000 ton
2021e
2022e
Upper rangeLower range
Cash cost
US$/lb
rawmaterialcosts
(1) C1 Weighted Cash cost net of by-products credits is measured with respect to zinc sold per smelter. (2) Cash cost numbers include and contemplate COVID-19 incremental costs.
2023e
Smelting segment | historical EBITDA
Zinc PricesTC BenchmarkBenchmark TC (3-year average)
2018
EBITDA (US$MM)EBITDA Margin (%)
2,922
147
177
2019
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20
4Q20
2020
2020
2,546
245
188
Liquidity and Indebtedness
Debt profile (as of December 31, 2020) - (Pro-forma)
Debt amortization schedule - (US$ million)
Average debt maturity: 5.4 years @4.68% avg. cost
Net debt1
(US$ million)
970
September 30, 2020 December 31, 2020
924
Net Debt/LTM Adj. EBITDA
3.23x
2.29x
• Nexa successfully obtained waivers in respect of certain financial covenants
Net Debt/LTM Adj. EBITDA driven by:
• Higher adjusted EBITDA
• Lower Net debt
Extended debt profile. Only 7.2% of the total debt matures until December 2021 and 29.6% matures between 2022 and 2026, while 63.2% of total debt matures after 2027.
(1) Gross debt (US$2,024 million) minus cash and cash equivalents (US$1,086 million), minus financial investments (US$35 million), plus negative derivatives (US$5 million), plus Lease Liabilities (US$26 million).
Nexa | Disciplined capital allocation
Capital expenditures
2019
450
2020
2021e
Exploration and Project evaluation
AripuanãOthers (1)Sustaining (2)HSE
Others (3)
CAPEX before tax credits was US$354 million in 2020. Total CAPEX was US$336 million.
o Aripuanã totaled US$187 million, 55% of total investment.
o Essential sustaining (including investment of US$115 million.
2021 estimated CAPEX of US$450 million.
HSE)
o Resume our sustaining and HSE investments, similar to pre-pandemic levels.
113
2019
Mineral explorationMineral rightsSustainingProject Evaluation
Exploration and Project Evaluation expenses in 2020 were US$54 million.
2021 estimated investment of US$71 million, following the resumption of exploration and mine development activities.
2020
2021e
In addition, we expect to invest US$9 million in technology and contribute US$10 million to our host communities
(1) Including Vazante LOM extension, Magistral FEL3 and Bonsucesso FEL3 studies completion. (2) Investments in tailing disposal are included in sustaining expenses. (3) Modernization, IT and others; including tax credits of US$18 million in 2020 with respect of ongoing projects.
Cash Flow | 4Q20
US$ million
Adjusted EBITDA
Working Capital¹
167
132
TaxesSustaining Interest paid FCF beforeCAPEX²
expansion and othersOther Capex³
Loans/CapitalOther non-Investments reduction of operational4 subsidiary
FCF
FCF before expansion positively impacted by a solid operating income and changes in working capital
Strong operating cash generation created a cash cushion allowing us to comfortably invest US$100mm CAPEX in
4Q20 and still generate positive FCF
Cash Flow | 2020
US$ million
Working Capital¹
Adjusted EBITDA
TaxesSustaining CAPEX²
Interest FCF beforepaidexpansion and othersOtherLoans/ Capital PremiumCapex³ Investments reduction paid on of bonds subsidiary repurchase
Dividends Other non- operational4
FCF
FCF before expansion positively impacted by a solid operating income and changes in working capital
Positive FCF driven by positive operating income, working capital, and US$500mm bond offering in 2020
Global outlook | Zinc
LME average price1
US$/ton
2,628
2,388
2,335
4Q19
3Q20
4Q20
2019
Zinc concentrate supply2
2020
Zinc price increase mostly driven by strong economic activity in China and a weaker U.S. dollar.
Million ton
2017
2018
2019
2017 estimate
2020
Most of mines in China and Latin America have resumed activities in 2H20 but concentrate supply has not been sufficient to meet the improved demand from smelters, particularly in China.
Chinese spot TCs for imported material have decreased and reached their lowest level in December at US$85/t.
2021e
2022e
Actual & 2020 estimate
2023e
(¹) Based on daily prices, as traded in the London Metal Exchange. (²) Wood Mackenzie forecast for total stocks (LME+SHFE+Shadow) for 4Q20.
LME average prices | base metals
COVID-19 outbreak and its impact are still uncertain. Supply disruption could be higher than the historical average, which combined with demand recovery could support higher prices
Copper | Lead | Silver |
LME average price¹ | LME average price¹ | LME average price¹ |
US$/ton | US$/ton | US$/ton |
5,881
6,519
7,166
6,000
6,181
4Q19
3Q20
4Q20
2019
2020
LME price evolution¹ US$/ton
(¹) Based on daily prices, as traded in the London Metal Exchange.
2,045
1,901
1,873
4Q19
3Q20
4Q20
2019
2020
LME price evolution¹ US$/ton
17.3
24.3
24.4
4Q19
3Q20
4Q20
2019
2020
LME price evolution¹ US$/ton
Nexa | 2021 priorities
Continue capturing gains from our Nexa Way program gaining through increased efficiency, productivity and cost reduction initiatives
Deliver the construction of Aripuanã's mine and plant on time and on budget
Continue to deliver on guidance: production, sales and costs
Continue to progress on Magistral and Bonsucesso engineering studies
We remain positive in industry fundamentals and we're confident
Nexa has a unique position to generate value for all its stakeholders
IR Contact:
ir@nexaresources.comhttps://ir.nexaresources.com
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Nexa Resources SA published this content on 12 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 12 February 2021 14:38:02 UTC.