Nordex Group
Nordex SE -Updated guidance 2022
25 May 2022
2| Updated Guidance 2022 | › Classification: Public |
Update on the cyber security incident
Details of the incident
- On 31 March 2022, Nordex detected a cyber security intrusion in an early stage
- Nordex initiated its security protocols, immediately shutting down various IT systems across different business units out of precaution
Impact assessment
- Delay in reporting our results as various IT systems were shut down and are being cleansed as a precaution
- Nordex turbines continued operating without restrictions
- Wind farm communication with grid operators and energy traders was and remains unaffected
- No indication that the incident spread to any third- party assets or otherwise beyond Nordex' internal IT infrastructure
- Some delays in production and commissioning experienced due to unavailability of online applications, databases
Nordex response
- Incident response team of internal and external security experts set up immediately
- As part of instantly initiated business continuity measures alternative infrastructure has been ramped-up (critical business functions)
- Extensive investigations and forensic analysis in close cooperation with relevant authorities results in fully understanding of the attack
- Recovery activities and significant hardening of IT systems and IT infrastructure ongoing, majority of services back in operation
3| Updated Guidance 2022 | › Classification: Public |
Ambitious targets set in RePowerEU and by the German government aim on strengthening energy security
EU annual wind installation forecasts vs the targets (GW)
Onshore wind Offshore Wind
2.3x | 48 | ||||||||||||
28 | 30 | ||||||||||||
21 | 21 | ||||||||||||
14 | 16 | ||||||||||||
17 | 17 | ||||||||||||
12 | |||||||||||||
12 | |||||||||||||
3 | 5 | ||||||||||||
3 | |||||||||||||
Annual | |||||||||||||
2020 | 2021e | Annual | EU Green deal | RePowerEU | |||||||||
average | average | avg GW pa | avg GW pa | ||||||||||
2022-2024E | 2025-2030E |
Germany annual wind installation forecasts vs the targets (GW)
Onshore wind
2x | 110 | 2x | 6,2 | |||||||
54 | 3,3 | 3,3 | ||||||||
56 | 1,6 | |||||||||
Cum. | Add'l | 2030 | Yearly | Yearly | Yearly | Avg. GW | ||||
onshore | needed | average | average | average | needed | |||||
wind 2021 | 2019-2021e | 2022-2024e | 2025-2030e | based on the | ||||||
national | ||||||||||
target |
- Annual wind installation in the EU is expected to be significantly below the ambitious target of 48 GW by 2030
- Recent policies are expected to have a positive effect on the development of the renewable energy demand in the mid-term
- Germany's target of 80% renewables share by 2030, requires 110 GW of onshore wind installments until 2030
- Current installation rate is substantially below the requirement as per the forecasts
Sources: REpowerEU, Q4/21 Wood Mackenzie Power & Renewables Report, 1. Nordex analysis
4| Updated Guidance 2022 | › Classification: Public |
While the long term prospects are ever improving, multiple external headwinds will impact margins in the short term
Impact assessment from macro headwinds and internal reconfiguration (% of sales)1
Likely spend up to | Likely impact | Likely cost impact | Total impact of | |
Likely impact of up to 3% | estimated | under 1% | around 5% | |
1.5% | around 4% | |||
Direct impacts - Ukraine Indirect impacts / supply Footprint Reconfiguration | Margin impacts |
chain disruptions | from known |
external events |
Anticipated cost impacts in March 2022
Covid-19 lockdown in Total likely impact in FY22 China + Impact from
Cyber incident
Further headwinds in 2022
- Conflict in Ukraine:
- 280 MW of projects in revenue planning
- Up to EUR 20m in working capital
- Shortages of ships and reliability continues to be challenging
- Steel price inflation and availability issues affecting towers and other components
- Risk of re-negotiations with smaller suppliers
- Footprint reconfiguration
- Closing down blade factory in Germany
- Closed down nacelle assembly in Spain
- Cost savings to cover the costs in 2-3 year timeframe
- • Covid-19 driven lock-down in Shanghai impacting supply chains globally, especially sub component suppliers
• Cyber security incident in Nordex leading to production delays during Q2, but customer data/turbines remain un-affected
1 Based on best high level estimates available today
5 | Updated Guidance 2022 | › Classification: Public |
New guidance for FY 2022
2022 guidance | Updated 2022 | ||||
guidance | |||||
Before any costs related to footprint | |||||
reconfiguration and geopolitical | All inclusive | ||||
events | |||||
Sales: | EUR 5.4 - 6.0bn | EUR 5.2 - 5.7bn | |||
EBITDA margin: | 1.0 - 3.5% | -4% - 0% |
Working capital ratio: | below -7% | below -7% |
CAPEX: | approx. EUR 180m | approx. EUR 180m |
Please note the assumptions underlying the guidance are subject to greater uncertainties than normal
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Nordex SE published this content on 25 May 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 25 May 2022 16:12:39 UTC.