Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: Dicembre 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 214,953 215,322 196,458 194,448 207,167 211,467 - -
Change - 0.17% -8.76% -1.02% 6.54% 2.08% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 230,853 239,822 204,649 203,482 219,178 225,096 224,300 220,055
Change - 3.88% -14.67% -0.57% 7.71% 2.7% -0.35% -1.89%
P/E ratio 30.4x 26.7x 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 19.3x 16.4x 15.2x
PBR 3.88x 3.78x 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.72x 4.59x 4.22x
PEG - 1.9x 0x -0.4x 0x -0.8x 0.9x 2.04x
Capitalization / Revenue 4.53x 4.43x 3.81x 3.85x 4.56x 4.2x 4.02x 3.97x
EV / Revenue 4.87x 4.93x 3.96x 4.03x 4.82x 4.47x 4.26x 4.13x
EV / EBITDA 14.6x 14.2x 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 11.3x 10.4x 9.9x
EV / EBIT 16.4x 15.6x 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 11.9x 11.2x 10.7x
EV / FCF 17.9x 20.5x 15.4x 17x 16.6x 15.3x 13.9x 12.9x
FCF Yield 5.58% 4.87% 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 6.55% 7.2% 7.74%
Dividend per Share 2 3.025 3.375 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.767 3.923 4.143
Rate of return 3.19% 3.57% 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.56% 3.71% 3.92%
EPS 2 3.12 3.55 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.492 6.46 6.941
Distribution rate 97% 95.1% 31.4% 110% 53.5% 68.6% 60.7% 59.7%
Net sales 1 47,445 48,659 51,626 50,545 45,440 50,371 52,646 53,263
EBITDA 1 15,809 16,845 18,246 18,613 17,937 19,964 21,504 22,226
EBIT 1 14,112 15,416 16,588 16,665 16,372 18,963 20,045 20,524
Net income 1 7,147 8,072 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,017 12,574 13,274
Net Debt 1 15,900 24,500 8,191 9,034 12,011 13,629 12,833 8,588
Reference price 2 94.92 94.67 87.82 90.40 100.79 105.77 105.77 105.77
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,264,608 2,274,506 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 - -
Announcement Date 1/29/20 1/26/21 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
19.26x4.47x11.27x+3.56%211B
62.29x16.15x45.73x+0.65%716B
33.54x11.65x23.53x+1.49%474B
22.6x4.34x12.64x+3.15%373B
38.5x6.8x14.73x+3.41%323B
14.3x4.37x10.29x+3.00%257B
15.42x3.64x9.49x+3.85%233B
24.83x4.35x13.59x+2.30%209B
31.3x6.04x10.52x+3.21%152B
16.54x3.29x8.53x+6.42%149B
Average 27.86x 6.51x 16.03x +3.10% 309.77B
Weighted average by Cap. 33.94x 8.44x 21.41x +2.52%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart NOVARTIS-AG

Historical PBR trend

evolution-chart NOVARTIS-AG

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

evolution-chart NOVARTIS-AG

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

evolution-chart NOVARTIS-AG

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart NOVARTIS-AG
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