Q4 2020 Results Conference Call
Rainer Seele
Chairman of the
Executive Board and CEO
February 4, 2021
OMV Aktiengesellschaft
Disclaimer
This report contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of terms such as "outlook," "expect," "anticipate," "target," "estimate," "goal," "plan," "intend," "may," "objective," "will", and similar terms or by their context. These forward-looking statements are based on beliefs and assumptions currently held by and information currently available to OMV. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, both known and unknown, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the future and are outside the control of OMV. Consequently, the actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Therefore, recipients of this report are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.
Neither OMV nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of any of the forward-looking statements contained in this report. OMV disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect actual results, revised assumptions and expectations, and future developments and events. This report does not contain any recommendation or invitation to buy or sell securities in OMV.
2 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Macro environment - improved crude oil and gas prices, but still below prior-year level
Oil prices
USD/bbl
70 | 63 | ||||||||
60 | 61 | 50 | 44 | ||||||
50 | 43 | ||||||||
40 | 47 | 30 | 37 | 42 | |||||
30 | |||||||||
Average Brent price | |||||||||
20 | 26 | ||||||||
Average realized crude price | |||||||||
10 | |||||||||
0 | |||||||||
Q4/19 | Q1/20 | Q2/20 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 |
Gas prices
EUR/MWh
14 | 13.0 | Realized gas price (Upstream) 1 | 13.8 | ||||||
11.0 | Central European Gas Hub | ||||||||
12 | 8.8 | ||||||||
10 | 11.3 | 10.6 | 8.2 | 9.3 | |||||
8 | |||||||||
6 | 6.7 | 7.3 | |||||||
4 | |||||||||
2 | |||||||||
0 | |||||||||
Q4/19 | Q1/20 | Q2/20 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 |
OMV indicator refining margin Europe
USD/bbl
6 | 5.0 | 4.9 | ||||
5 | ||||||
4 | ||||||
3 | 2.3 | |||||
2 | 0.9 | |||||
1 | ||||||
0 | ||||||
Q4/19 | Q1/20 | Q2/20 | Q3/20 |
Ethylene/propylene net margin 2
EUR/t
500 | 363 | 459 | 393 | 375 | ||
400 | ||||||
300 | ||||||
200 | ||||||
100 | ||||||
0 | ||||||
Q4/19 | Q1/20 | Q2/20 | Q3/20 |
1.7
Q4/20
369
Q4/20
Note: All figures are quarterly averages. | |
3 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021 | 1 Converted to MWh using a standardized calorific value across the portfolio |
2 | Spread between market prices of ethylene/propylene and naphtha including standard processing consumption |
Key messages
FINANCIAL
PERFORMANCE
Clean CCS Operating Result
of EUR 524 mn
(33)% y-o-y
+65% q-o-q
Borealis fully consolidated starting
end of October 2020
Quarterly cash flow from operating
activities1 of EUR 0.8 bn
2020 Dividend Per Share
of EUR 1.85 2
STRONG | DELIVERING THE |
OPERATIONS | STRATEGY |
Quarterly production of | Closed acquisition of additional |
472 kboe/d | 39% share in Borealis |
Production cost | Signed divestment of OMV retail |
at USD 6.2/boe | network in Germany to EG Group |
Refinery utilization rate in | Signed divestment of Upstream |
Europe of 81% | business in Kazakhstan |
Strong polyolefin sales | FID for biofuel production (co- |
processing) in Austria | |
Committed to H2Accelerate |
1 Excluding net working capital effects | 2 as proposed by the Executive Board; subject to confirmation by the Supervisory Board and the AGM 2021 |
4 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Clean CCS Operating Result substantially impacted by lower oil prices and reduced demand
Clean CCS Operating Result | Clean CCS net income attributable | Clean CCS Earnings Per Share | |||
EUR mn | to stockholders | EUR | |||
Upstream | Corporate & Other | EUR mn | |||
Downstream | |||||
781 | |||||||||
0.95 | |||||||||
459 | 524 | 0.67 | |||||||
184 | 310 | ||||||||
317 | 219 | ||||||||
385 | 335 | 369 | 80 | 0.24 | |||||
(63) | (24) | 6 | (29) | ||||||
Q4/19 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 | Q4/19 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 | Q4/19 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 |
5 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Upstream - weaker realized oil and gas prices and lower production
Clean Operating Result | Q4/20 vs. Q4/19 |
EUR mn
Significantly weaker market environment
(275)-60% | Average realized oil price decreased by 32% | ||||
| Average realized gas price declined by 18% | ||||
459 | |||||
Negative FX impact | |||||
Production of 472 kboe/d (-33 kboe/d) | |||||
Libya (-16 kboe/d) | |||||
Romania (-11 kboe/d) | |||||
354 | New Zealand (-10 kboe/d) | ||||
184 | Russia (-9 kboe/d) | ||||
83 | Norway (-5 kboe/d) | ||||
Malaysia (+21 kboe/d) due to start-up of SK408 gas field | |||||
4 | |||||
Sales volumes decreased by 23 kboe/d due to lower production | |||||
Q4/19 | Market effects 1 | DD&A 2 | Q4/20 | Production costs decreased to USD 6.2/boe (-3%) | |
Operational | Lower depreciation due to lower production volumes as well as the | ||||
performance | |||||
1 Market effects defined as oil and gas prices, foreign exchange impact, price effect on royalties, and | effect from impairments and reserves revision | ||||
hedging, selling, and distribution costs in Russia |
2 Depreciation, Depletion, and Amortization
6 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Downstream - weaker market environment almost offset by Borealis full consolidation and positive hedging impact
Clean CCS Operating Result | Q4/20 vs. Q4/19 |
EUR mn
(16) | Weaker market environment | |||||
Refining indicator margin Europe at USD 1.7/bbl (-66%) | ||||||
385 | Ethylene/propylene net margin at EUR 369/t (+2%) | |||||
369 | Operational performance | |||||
50 | ||||||
Borealis | 82 | Positive contribution from margin hedging | ||||
Petchem | 35 | 112 | 162 | Lower refinery utilization rate and refined product sales | ||
46 | Strong retail performance | |||||
Gas | 84 | |||||
Decreased commercial fuels performance mainly caused by | ||||||
significant drop in jet fuel demand | ||||||
43 | Lower gas storage result, partly compensated by significantly | |||||
Fuels & | higher power result in Romania | |||||
Others 1 | 79 | Lower ADNOC Refining & Trading JV contribution due to | ||||
216 | ||||||
significantly lower refining margin | ||||||
85 | Go live of ADNOC Global Trading in December | |||||
Borealis (fully consolidated starting October 29, 2020) | ||||||
Q4/19 | Market effects 2 | Operational | Borealis | Q4/20 | Higher polyolefin sales volumes with stronger margins and | |
performance | positive inventory effects; lower fertilizer business |
- Including at-equity contribution from ADNOC Refining & Trading JV
- Market effects defined as refining indicator margin and petrochemical margins; do not yet include result impact from Borealis crackers
- Improved Borouge performance
7 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Stringent cost discipline
OPEX savings
In EUR mn | ~ 650 |
>430
>330
>200
>460
Operational efficiency in both |
Upstream and Downstream |
Process optimization and |
harmonization |
Capture economies of scale and |
strictly manage overhead costs |
Leverage digitalization and |
optimize IT processes |
Procurement savings and |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
Efficiency program 2015-20171
Efficiency program 2018-20202
Response to challenging environment in 2020 3 1 versus 2015 on a comparable basis
2 versus 2017 on a comparable basis
3 versus 2019 on a comparable basis
contractor renegotiations |
8 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
OMV Group - good organic free cash flow of EUR 1.3 bn in 2020
Cash flow 12m/20 vs. 12m/19
EUR bn
4.3
Decrease of EUR 1.5 bn in cash flow from operating activities excluding net | |
working capital effects | |
Borealis dividend of EUR 108 mn (12/19: EUR 297 mn) | |
Net working capital effects of EUR 351 mn (12m/19: EUR (208) mn) | |
2.8 | Cash flow from operating activities of EUR 3.1 bn (12m/19: EUR 4.1 bn) |
2.1 | Organic cash flow from investing activities 1 at EUR (1.9) bn |
(12m/19: EUR (1.9) bn) | |
Organic free cash flow before dividends of EUR 1.3 bn | |
1.3 | (12m/19: EUR 2.1 bn) |
Payment of dividends of EUR 879 mn (12m/19: EUR 858 mn) Inorganic cash flow from investing activities of EUR (4.1) bn
Thereof acquisition of 39% share in Borealis EUR (3.9) bn
2019 | 2020 |
Cash flow from operating activities excl. net working capital effects
Organic free cash flow before dividends 2
- Organic cash flow from investing activities is cash flow from investing activities excluding divestments and material inorganic cash flow components (e.g. acquisitions).
- Organic free cash flow before dividends is cash flow from operating activities less organic cash flow from investing activities.
9 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Borealis - strong and stable cash flow generation in 2020
Borealis
Operating cash flow 2020
(including dividends from at-equity participations)
EUR bn
1.51.6
1.1
Ø 2015-2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
Note: Borealis stand-alone view
10 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Uses of cash in 2020
- Running CAPEX of around EUR 0.5 bn p.a.
- Dividends
- M&A
- Acquisition of NOVA Chemicals' 50% ownership interest in Novealis (Baystar JV 50% Total, 50% Novealis)
- Acquisition of a controlling stake in South Korean compounder DYM Solution Co.
- Growth projects
- PDH Kallo plant in Belgium
- Baystar JV steam cracker and Borstar® PE plant in Texas, USA
Temporary increase in net debt following Borealis acquisition
Gearing ratio excluding leases
Gearing ratio excluding leases considering divestments signed
Net debt excluding leases in EUR bn
3.6 | 3.4 |
3.2 | |
22% | 21% |
19% | |
1.8 | |
11% |
8.1
Signed
>1.0 divestments
41%
~35%
End of Dec. 2020
OMV cash position
EUR 2.9 bn
End of Dec. 2020 OMV undrawn committed credit facilities
EUR 4.2 bn
2019 | Q1/20 | Q2/20 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 | |
Leverage | 22% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 32% |
ratio | |||||
Note: Gearing ratio excluding leases is defined as net debt excluding leases-to-equity
|Leverage ratio defined as net debt including leases-to-capital employed
11 OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Clear commitment to our progressive dividend policy
Dividend Per Share
EUR
CAGR | |
+13% | 1.85 |
1.75 | |
1.75 |
1.50
1.20
1.00
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
- Record dividend of EUR 1.85 per 2020 proposed (+6% vs. 2019)
- We are committed to deliver an attractive shareholder return
- Progressive dividend policy: OMV aims to increase the dividend or at least maintain it at the respective previous year's level
12 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Disciplined capital spending supports high free cash flows from combined businesses
Organic CAPEX
EUR bn
Borealis Organic CAPEX before full consolidation
OMV Organic CAPEX from Borealis after full consolidation
OMV Group Organic CAPEX 1
2.5 - 3.0
2.8 | 2.7 | ||
0.5 | 2.4 | ||
0.5 | |||
0.2 |
2.3
1.7
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022+ |
1 2020 excluding Borealis EUR 0.2 bn after full consolidation 13 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Main projects in 2021
- EUR 2.7 bn
- thereof ~EUR 200 mn leases
- Upstream
- Malaysia, UAE, New Zealand, Norway
- Downstream
- Energy transition projects (e.g. Re-Oil®, co- processing)
- Expansion of steam cracker in Burghausen
- Borealis
- PDH Kallo plant in Belgium
Borealis synergies of at least EUR 800 mn by year-end 2025
≥800
EUR mn by year-end 2025
~200 ~200 ~200
~150
50-80
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
Operational cost savings
Combined purchasing
Debottlenecking
Value chain optimization
Tax benefits
14 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Update on the EUR 2 bn divestment program
Signed divestments | Ongoing divestments |
51% share in Gas Connect Austria
- Closing expected in H1/21
- Net debt reduction of EUR 570 mn
OMV retail network in Germany
- Closing expected in 2021
- Net debt reduction of ~ EUR 500 mn
Kazakhstan Upstream operations | EUR 2 bn |
- Closing expected in H1/21
New Zealand - Maari field
- Closing expected in H1/21
- EUR 1 bn
Divestment of the NITRO business1
- Fertilizer, technical nitrogen and the melamine products
- Leading European player
- Non-coreasset
Divestment of operations in Slovenia
- 120 retail sites and commercial business
- Limited integration with refinery
Other assets already announced
- Four oil fields in Malaysia
Additional assets to be announced in 2021
15 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021 | 1 Ammonia, Nitric Acid, Fertilizers (excluding Rosier), and Melamine |
Outlook 2021
2020 | Outlook 2021 | |||
Brent oil price (USD/bbl) | 42 | 50-55 | ||
Average realized gas price (EUR/MWh) | 8.9 | > 10 | ||
Total hydrocarbon production (kboe/d) | 463 | ~ 480 | ||
OMV indicator refining margin in Europe (USD/bbl) | 2.4 | > 2.4 | ||
European ethylene indicator margin (EUR/t) | 435 | 435 | ||
European propylene indicator margin (EUR/t) | 364 | 364 | ||
European polyethylene indicator margin (EUR/t) 1 | 350 | > 350 | ||
European polypropylene indicator margin (EUR/t) 2 | 413 | > 413 | ||
Utilization rate European refineries (%) | 86 | 86 | ||
Organic CAPEX (EUR bn) | 1.9 1 | 2.7 |
1 | HD BM FD EU Domestic EOM (ICIS low) - Ethylene CP WE (ICIS) | |
16 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021 | 2 | PP Homo FD EU Domestic EOM (ICIS low) - Propylene CP WE (ICIS) |
3 Including Borealis CAPEX, consolidated since Oct 29, 2020 |
Updated strategic priorities 2025
STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
- Transition into an integrated chemical company
- Continue to leverage the proven concept
of integration along the value chain
- Maximize value of existing traditional oil and gas portfolio
- Expand portfolio of low- and zero-carbonproducts
17 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK
- Clean CCS operating result of EUR ≥5 bn by 2025
- Cash flow from operating activities 1 of EUR ≥ 5 bn by 2025
- ROACE target ≥ 12%
- Positive free cash flow after dividends
- Gearing ratio target of ≤ 30%
- Progressive dividend policy
- Strengthen balance sheet and deliver attractive shareholder returns
1 Excluding net working capital effects
Updated strategic priorities 2025
EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION
- Run portfolio for value, harvesting the cash flow
- Maintain production corridor of ~ 450-500 kboe/d, with overweight on gas
- Manage production cost below USD 7/boe
- Drive digital transformation to further strengthen competitiveness
- Lower carbon intensity by ≥ 60% vs. 2010
CHEMICALS & MATERIALS
REFINING & MARKETING
- Leverage Borealis as platform for chemicals growth
- Realize integration synergies with Borealis of EUR ≥ 800 mn
- Strive for leadership in circular plastics economy
- Optimize asset utilization and maximize margin generation across the integrated value chain
- Reduce carbon footprint of our operations
- Become the leading gas integrated supplier with a strong market presence from Northwest to Southeast Europe
- Achieve 10% gas market share in Germany
18 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
BACKUP
OMV Aktiengesellschaft
Upstream - improved crude oil and gas prices, supported by production resumption in Libya
Clean Operating Result
EUR mn
+208
184
7
78
124
(24)
Q3/20 | Market effects 1 Operational | DD&A 2 | Q4/20 |
performance |
- Market effects defined as oil and gas prices, foreign exchange impact, price effect on royalties and hedging, selling and distribution costs in Russia
- Depreciation, Depletion, and Amortization
Q4/20 vs. Q3/20
- Improved market environment
- Realized oil price increased by 11%
- Realized gas price increased by 27%
- No realized hedging loss
- Negative effect due to weaker USD/EUR
- Production of 472 kboe/d (+28 kboe/d)
- Libya (+21 kboe/d)
- Russia (+11 kboe/d)
- Norway (+6 kboe/d)
- Malaysia (-4 kboe/d)
- New Zealand (-4 kboe/d)
- Higher sales volumes (+ 32 kboe/d) following production
- Production costs decreased to USD 6.2/boe (- 17%)
20 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Downstream - improved results supported by significantly higher contribution from Borealis
Clean CCS Operating Result | Q4/20 vs. Q3/20 | |||
EUR mn | Better market environment | |||
+35 | Higher refining margin at USD 1.7/bbl (+95%) | |||
Slightly lower ethylene/propylene net margin (-2%) | ||||
369 | Operational performance | |||
334 | 24 | Utilization rate decreased from 90% to 81% | ||
Borealis | 59 | 92 | 103 | Lower total refined product sales by 7% |
162 | ||||
Lower retail performance due to seasonality and impact of | ||||
Petchem | 47 | lockdowns | ||
Slightly lower commercial fuels performance | ||||
Gas | 78 | 43 | Almost stable gas result | |
ADNOC Refining & Trading: higher contribution due to | ||||
79 | slightly higher refining margin | |||
Fuels & | 150 | Go live of ADNOC Global Trading in December | ||
Others 1 | Borealis (fully consolidated starting October 29, 2020) | |||
85 | ||||
Improved Borouge performance; fertilizer business down | ||||
Q3/20 | Market effects 2 Operational | Borealis | Q4/20 |
performance |
- Including at-equity contribution from ADNOC Refining & Trading
- Market effects defined as refining indicator margin and petrochemical margins; do not yet include result impact from Borealis crackers
21 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Operational KPIs
Hydrocarbon production | Refined product sales | |||||||
kboe/d | mn t | |||||||
505 | 472 | 5.17 | ||||||
444 | 4.68 | 4.37 | ||||||
Hydrocarbon sales | Refinery utilization rate | ||||||||
kboe/d | % | ||||||||
477 | 422 | 454 | 98 | 90 | |||||
81 | |||||||||
211 | 165 | 190 | Oil & NGL | ||||||
266 | Natural gas | ||||||||
258 | 264 | ||||||||
Retail sales
mn t
1.641.75
1.47
Q4/19 Q3/20 Q4/20
Natural gas sales
TWh
50.4
44.7
33.3
Q4/19 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 | Q4/19 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 | Q4/19 | Q3/20 | Q4/20 |
22 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Strong balance sheet
Balance sheet December 31, 2020 vs. September 30, 2020
EUR bn
49.3 | 49.3 | |||||||||||||||||
41.1 | Stockholders' equity | 13.7 | 41.1 | |||||||||||||||
and hybrid capital | ||||||||||||||||||
22.6 | ||||||||||||||||||
Tangible & | 12.3 | |||||||||||||||||
17.5 | Non-controlling interests | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||
intangible assets | ||||||||||||||||||
Trade payables | 4.3 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||
2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other | 8.3 | 13.1 | Bonds and other | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||
non-current assets | interest-bearing debts | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||
Inventories | ||||||||||||||||||
1.8 | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||
Trade receivables | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||
Cash | 7.3 | 3.3 | Provisions | 6.3 | 5.7 | |||||||||||||
Liabilities associated | ||||||||||||||||||
2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||
with assets held for sale | ||||||||||||||||||
Assets held for sale | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||
Other liabilities | ||||||||||||||||||
Other current assets | 3.5 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||
Sep 30, 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | Sep 30, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
- Deviations predominantly impacted by the acquisition of additional 39% shares in Borealis resulting in full consolidation, resulting in significant increases of:
- Tangible & intangible assets
- Other non-current assets: mainly due to at- equity accounted investments of Borealis - mainly Borouge - only partly offset by de- recognition of previous 36% share of Borealis; also including a significant increase of deferred tax assets due to tax synergies from the Borealis acquisition
- Non-controllinginterest increase related to 25% share of Mubadala in Borealis
- Bonds & other interest bearing debt
- Upstream: Reclassification of Kazakhstan entities & Sapura oil assets to held for sale
23 | OMV Group, Q4 2020 Conference Call, February 4, 2021
Sensitivities of the OMV Group results in 2021
Annual impact excl. hedging | Clean CCS Operating Result | Operating cash flow |
in EUR mn | ||
Brent oil price (USD +1/bbl) | +60 | +25 |
Realized gas price (EUR +1/MWh) 1 | +150 | +100 |
OMV indicator refining margin in Europe (USD +1/bbl) | +110 | +85 |
Ethylene/propylene net margin (EUR +10/t) 1 | +15 | +10 |
EUR/USD (USD changes by USD +0.01) | +20 | +15 |
1 Excluding Borealis
Note: Materially different Brent and FX levels (vs. current levels) would lead to different sensitivity results.
24 | OMV Capital Market Story, January 2021
OMV Aktiengesellschaft
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OMV AG published this content on 04 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 February 2021 11:26:06 UTC.