Projected Income Statement: Orange

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 23,489 24,269 25,298 27,002 22,482 28,117 30,210 29,471
Change - 3.32% 4.24% 6.74% -16.74% 25.06% 7.44% -2.45%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/13/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,132 7,660 7,371 6,815 6,425 6,609 6,637 6,621
Change - 7.4% -3.77% -7.54% -5.72% 2.87% 0.42% -0.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,565 3,576 3,864 5,239 3,770 3,252 3,560 3,771
Change - -35.74% 8.05% 35.58% -28.04% -13.73% 9.47% 5.92%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/13/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 30% 29.55% 29.82% 29.54% 30.08% 30.77% 32.31% 32.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.72% 18.74% 13.67% 12.71% 13.63% 12.64% 15.17% 16.23%
EBT Margin (%) 9.95% 4.09% 8.93% 8.53% 10.57% 7.62% 13.36% 14.24%
Net margin (%) 11.41% 0.55% 4.94% 5.53% 5.84% 3.78% 7.52% 8.22%
FCF margin (%) 13.17% 8.41% 8.89% 11.87% 9.36% 8.06% 8.67% 9.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 115.41% 1,534.76% 180.06% 214.71% 160.43% 213.51% 115.29% 111.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.5% 0.22% 1.97% 2.22% 2.2% 2.28% 3.11% 3.31%
ROE 14.59% 6.1% 6.69% 7.67% 7.39% 6.39% 9.29% 9.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.85x 1.93x 1.95x 2.07x 1.86x 2.27x 2.28x 2.18x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 6.79x 6.55x 5.15x 5.96x 8.65x 8.49x 7.82x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.87% 18.01% 16.96% 15.45% 15.96% 16.39% 16.16% 16.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.25% 60.96% 56.86% 52.28% 53.06% 53.26% 50% 48.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 128.16% 214.21% 190.76% 130.08% 170.42% 203.22% 186.42% 175.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.731 4.228 4.182 4.531 3.833 3.47 3.707 3.797
Change - -10.64% -1.09% 8.35% -15.4% -9.48% 6.85% 2.42%
Dividend per Share 1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.72 0.768 0.7858 0.8108
Change - 0% 0% 0% 2.86% 6.67% 2.32% 3.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.98 12.16 11.96 11.97 11.95 11.69 12.56 13.04
Change - -6.33% -1.66% 0.1% -0.14% -2.19% 7.43% 3.83%
EPS 1 1.71 - 0.73 0.85 0.82 0.5708 1.164 1.267
Change - - - 16.44% -3.53% -30.39% 103.96% 8.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,658,157 2,631,971 2,657,122 2,659,182 2,658,153 2,658,600 2,658,600 2,658,600
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/13/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 25.9x 12.7x
PBR 1.26x 1.18x
EV / Sales 1.67x 1.69x
Yield 5.2% 5.32%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
14.77EUR
Average target price
15.95EUR
Spread / Average Target
+7.99%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise