Highest Average Monthly Freight Indices in 13 Years
Handysize Market Spot Rates | Supramax Market Spot Rates |
US$/day net* | |||||||||||
40,000 | |||||||||||
35,000 | |||||||||||
11 October 2021 | |||||||||||
30,000 | $30,830 | ||||||||||
25,000 | |||||||||||
20,000 | |||||||||||
15,000 | |||||||||||
10,000 | |||||||||||
5,000 | |||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
BHSI 38,000 dwt (tonnage adjusted)
- Excludes 5% commission Source: Baltic Exchange
US$/day net* | |||||||||||
40,000 | |||||||||||
11 October 2021 | |||||||||||
35,000 | $35,860 | ||||||||||
30,000 | |||||||||||
25,000 | |||||||||||
20,000 | |||||||||||
15,000 | |||||||||||
10,000 | |||||||||||
5,000 | |||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
BSI 58,000 dwt
Pacific Basin | 2 |
Our Strongest Quarterly TCE Performance Since 2008
Handysize Core Business TCE
US$/day net* | |||||
45,000 | |||||
40,000 | |||||
35,000 | |||||
30,000 | 26,950 | 29,070* | |||
25,000 | 3Q = 24,350 | 95% | |||
of | |||||
20,000 | days | ||||
15,000 | |||||
10,000 | |||||
5,000 | |||||
- | |||||
1Q21 | 2Q21 | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct |
Indicative Core Fleet P&L Breakeven Level incl G&A for 1H21 = US$8,630
Supramax Core Business TCE
US$/day net* | |||||
45,000 | |||||
39,310 | 40,200* | ||||
40,000 | |||||
3Q = 36,270 | |||||
35,000 | 94% | ||||
of | |||||
30,000 | days | ||||
25,000 | |||||
20,000 | |||||
15,000 | |||||
10,000 | |||||
5,000 | |||||
- | |||||
1Q21 | 2Q21 | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct |
Indicative Core Fleet P&L Breakeven Level incl G&A for 1H21 = US$10,170
Our results are driven by our larger core fleet with substantially fixed costs, which includes an increased proportion of Supramax vessels that benefit from larger upside in strong markets
Our monthly TCE rates continue to improve
- Increasing market freight rates and the benefit of progressively stronger fixtures in 3Q21 will appear mainly in our 4Q21 earnings
- Our current 4Q21 TCE cover rate is US$25,160 for Handysize and US$35,000 for Supramax
- With over 30% of our vessel days still uncovered in 4Q21, we have significant opportunity to add cargo fixtures to our book at high market spot rates
October TCE is indicative only as voyages are still in progress | Pacific Basin | 3 | |
Supramax cover excludes scrubber benefit, currently about US$800 per day | |||
*Excludes 5% commission |
Cover as at 11 October 2021
Relative Market Performance
Handysize Performance vs Index (BHSI)*
US$/Day net* | Under/Outperformance |
6,000 | Rolling 12 months | ||||||||||||||||
4,000 | |||||||||||||||||
2,580 | 1,970 | ||||||||||||||||
2,000 | |||||||||||||||||
330 | |||||||||||||||||
- | |||||||||||||||||
(370) | (930) | ||||||||||||||||
(2,000) | |||||||||||||||||
(3,060) | (2,950) | ||||||||||||||||
(4,000) | |||||||||||||||||
1Q20 | 2Q20 | 3Q20 | 4Q20 | 1Q21 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | |||||||||||
BHSI 38,000 dwt (tonnage adjusted) | |||||||||||||||||
*Excludes 5% commission |
Operating Activity Margin | ||||||||||||||||||
US$/Day (net) | ||||||||||||||||||
6,000 | Under/Outperformance | 5,430 | ||||||||||||||||
Rolling 12 months | ||||||||||||||||||
4,000 | ||||||||||||||||||
2,400 | 2,750 | |||||||||||||||||
2,000 | ||||||||||||||||||
960 | 760 | |||||||||||||||||
260 | ||||||||||||||||||
- | ||||||||||||||||||
(230) | ||||||||||||||||||
(2,000)
1Q20 | 2Q20 | 3Q20 | 4Q20 | 1Q21 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 |
Supramax Performance vs Index (BSI)* | |||||||||||||||||||
US$/Day net* | Under/Outperformance | ||||||||||||||||||
6,000 | 5,080 | ||||||||||||||||||
Rolling 12 months | |||||||||||||||||||
4,000 | 3,480 | 3,710 | |||||||||||||||||
1,780 | 2,290 | ||||||||||||||||||
2,000 | |||||||||||||||||||
- | |||||||||||||||||||
(2,000) | (1,170) | (2,650) | |||||||||||||||||
(4,000) | |||||||||||||||||||
1Q20 | 2Q20 | 3Q20 | 4Q20 | 1Q21 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | |||||||||||||
BSI 58,000 dwt |
Includes scrubber benefit *Excludes 5% commission
Due to the sharp market rise and the 1-3 month lag between fixing and executing voyages, our relative performance has lagged the spot market for most of 2021
Our Supramaxes have caught up and are again outperforming the BSI index
Our Handysizes will need more time to catch up as the BHSI continues to rise more sharply than BSI and we have more lower-paying backhaul cover in our Handysize cargo book secured in earlier, weaker markets. Handysize performance improved significantly in September
Our Operating Activity Margin has increased significantly partly due to our decision to take in tonnage (particularly Supramaxes)
early in the market recovery | 4 |
Pacific Basin |
Minor Bulk was a Key Demand Driver in the Third Quarter
Minor Bulk +14% YTD | Grain + Soybean -2% YTD | ||||||||
Million tonnes annualised | Million tonnes annualised | ||||||||
2,100 | 700 | ||||||||
2,000 | 650 | ||||||||
1,900 | 600 | ||||||||
1,800 | 550 | ||||||||
1,700 | 500 | ||||||||
1,600 | 450 | ||||||||
1,500 | 400 | ||||||||
1,400 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 350 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
1,300 | 300 | Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun | Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec | ||||||
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun | Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec |
Coal +9% YTD | Iron Ore +3% YTD | ||||||||
Million tonnes annualised | Million tonnes annualised | ||||||||
1,600 | 1,800 | ||||||||
1,500 | 1,700 | ||||||||
1,400 | 1,600 | ||||||||
1,300 | 1,500 | ||||||||
1,200 | 1,400 | ||||||||
1,100 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 1,300 | ||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | ||||||
1,000 | 1,200 | ||||||||
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul | Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec | Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul | Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec | ||||||
Note: Percentage changes are year-on-year comparisons | Pacific Basin | 5 |
Source: Indicative data and material from Oceanbolt, all rights reserved Data is subject to revision
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Pacific Basin Shipping Limited published this content on 18 October 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 18 October 2021 01:41:01 UTC.