BMO 29th GLOBAL METALS & MINING CONFERENCE
24th-26th February 2020
ASX: PDN
DISCLAIMER AND NOTES
JORC MINERAL RESOURCES AND ORE RESERVES
This presentation contains summary information about the Company's activities current as at the date of this presentation. The information in this presentation is of a general background nature and does not purport to be complete or contain all the information investors would require to evaluate their investment in the Company, nor does it contain all the information which would be required in a prospectus or product disclosure statement prepared in accordance with the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). The Company is not responsible for updating, nor undertakes to update, this presentation. This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Company's other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements, available at http://www.paladinenergy.com.au.
This presentation includes statements that may be deemed "forward-looking statements". All statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical facts, that address future production, reserve or resource potential, exploration drilling, exploitation activities and events or developments that the Company expects to occur, are forward-looking statements.
Although the Company believes the expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from the expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed those in forward looking statements include market prices, exploitation and exploration successes, continued availability of capital and financing and general economic, market or business conditions and risk factors associated with the uranium industry generally.
Investors are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The Company does not assume any obligation to update or revise its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. No representation is made or will be made that any forward-looking statements will be achieved or will prove to be correct.
The information in this presentation relating to the Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves for all of the Company's deposits other than Langer Heinrich, Michelin, Jacques Lake and Manyingee was prepared and first disclosed under the JORC Code 2004. It has not been updated since to comply with the JORC Code 2012 on the basis that this information has not materially changed since it was last reported. Refer to the Resource and Reserve Tables slide in the Appendix of this presentation.
Competent Persons Statement
Figures for Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves detailed in this presentation were compiled by David Princep of Gill Lane Consulting from Paladin Annual Reports and ASX announcements as noted in the Appendix. Mr. Princep is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy and a Chartered Professional Geologist. Mr. Princep has sufficient experience that is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (JORC 2012). Mr Princep approves of and consents to the inclusion of the information in this announcement in the form and context in which it appears.
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 2 |
CORPORATE PROFILE
WHO IS PALADIN?
ASX listed independent uranium company with a focus in Africa, Australia and Canada
14 years of production history across two mines in Africa, Langer Heinrich (Namibia) and Kayelekera (Malawi)
Both mines are on care and maintenance (C&M), preserving our resource and shareholder value in the current low uranium price environment
Non-core assets reviewed to preserve cash leading to the proposed sale of the Kayelekera mine
Large and globally diversified uranium exploration portfolio - ~320Mlb1
MARKET SNAPSHOT ASX: PDN
Shares on issue | 2.027B |
Share price (as at 17 February 2020) A$ | 0.09c |
Market capitalisation A$ | 178.5M |
Market capitalisation US$2 | 121.3M |
Unrestricted Cash US$3 | 37.7M |
Debt US$4 | 138.8M |
SUBSTANTIAL SHAREHOLDERS4
Paradice, Maso (Form 604 dated 20/10/19) | 13.55% |
Tembo Capital Management | 13.05% |
Value Partners | 8.03% |
Hopu Clean Energy | 7.03% |
- Measured, indicated and inferred resources for the Michelin, Mount Isa and Manyingee Projects (including Carley Bore) on a 100% Project basis
- A$/US$ exchange rate 0.68
- As at 31 December 2019 and excluding restricted cash of US$11M
- As at 31 December 2019
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 3 |
MEET THE NEW BOARD AND CEO
Cliff Lawrenson - Non-Executive Chairman
Mining executive with deep expertise in the minerals and energy sectors derived from global experience having worked extensively in project development and investment banking. A successful track record of leading strategic direction in companies and executing corporate transactions.
Peter Main - Non-Executive Director
Mining and finance professional with extensive experience of the financial markets with a wealth of industry experience, having spent almost 15 years in a variety of roles in the mining industry from operations through to CEO of a TSX-V listed mining company
Peter Watson - Non-Executive Director
Chemical engineer with extensive experience in the global resources sector across senior technical, project, and management roles as well as running ASX-listed companies. His
experience includes project development, project delivery, asset optimization and mining facilities operations across multiple commodities and global jurisdictions.
Ian Purdy - Chief Executive Officer
Highly-respected executive with over three decades' experience within Australian and international resources companies.
Ian has delivered significant shareholder value through managing and optimizing operations, delivering large projects and executing on business improvements and asset sales. Ian also has extensive capital markets experience and a proven track record of delivering company funding requirements.
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 4 |
A FIRST PRODUCER IN A RECOVERED URANIUM MARKET
LANGER HEINRICH
A low cost, long life uranium mine
LANGER HEINRICH MINE
- A strategic, tier one mine, historical production capacity 5.2Mlb pa
- Langer Heinrich is fully permitted and licensed
- 17-yearmine life remaining
- Our relationships and products are market proven
- Proven top 10 uranium mine by production when operated1
- Replacement cost >US$600M today and approximately five years to plan, design, construct and commission
- Langer Heinrich has produced and marketed approximately 43Mlb2 of U3O4 over 10 years of production history
1 UxC Uranium Production Cost Study - August 2017 2 Approximately 43Mlb of U3O4 produced from 2007 to 2018
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 6 |
NAMIBIA - PREMIER GLOBAL URANIUM JURISDICTION
- Namibia is a premier uranium jurisdiction
- Supplies 5% of the world's uranium (>15Mlb pa)
- 40+ years production history
- Stable government with history of supporting investment
- Politically/socially supportive
- Excellent infrastructure:
- Port
- Road
- Rail
- Water
- Power
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 7 |
PREFEASIBILITY STUDY HIGHLIGHTS
- Prefeasibility Study confirms 12-month execution lead time to low risk restart Langer Heinrich
- Aspirational average life of mine AISC target US$30/lb achievable
- Capital and Operations start up costs (including asset debottlenecking and efficiency improvements) of US$80M
- Opportunity to increase production at restart to 6.5Mlb pa with additional, high return discretionary capital of US$30M
- Potential for further AISC improvements as identified in the Concept Study of approximately US$4.50/lb through significant process changes
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 8 |
PFS1 HAS CONFIRMED RAPID RESTART PLAN
- PFS1 confirms Concept Study results of comparatively low initial restart expenditure requirements of ~US$80M for ~5.2Mlb pa production capacity
Plant Repair & De- | Operations Restart Costs |
Preservation Costs | US$42M |
US$38M | (includes: first fill of reagents, |
recommissioning, mobilisation of | |
equipment and tailings dam | |
costs) |
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 9 |
PALADIN IDENTIFIES LOW COST EXPANSION OPPORTUNITY BEYOND 5.2MLB PA
Low Cost
US$30M (in addition to the
US$80M) for 1.3Mlb capacity expansion
2021 Production Potential
Potential to recommence production during 2021 if the right market conditions materialise in the near term (price and funding dependent)
Low Risk
No novel technology or processes. Grow by optimising our current approach
Expand
Production
to 6.5Mlb Capacity
Care and Maintenance
Activities
Undergoing full review of Care and Maintenance for risk management assurance and to reduce holding costs
High return expansion
Capital intensity of US$23/lb (leach debottlenecking, surge capacity, water storage, automation & reliability program)
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 10 |
WORLD-WIDE PRODUCT COST CURVE - ALL PROJECTS
Full Production Cost ($US/lb U O ) 3 8
80 | ||
70 | ||
60 | ||
50 | ||
40 | ||
PFS1 US$33/lb for 5.2Mlb1,2 | Langer | |
30 | Concept Study Aspirational Target US$30/lb1 | Heinrich |
PFS1 US$29/lb for 6.5Mlb1,2 | AISC Costs | |
20 | ||
10 |
0
0 | 100 | 200 | 300 | 400 | 500 |
Cumulative Annual Production (Mlbpa)
Source: UxC Production Cost Report 2019 - August 2019
Note 1 AISC: All in Sustaining Cost based on the results of Paladin's Langer Heinrich Concept Study completed in February 2019; 2 ASX Prefeasibility Study Announcement 14 October 2019
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 11 |
OTHER ASSETS
Exploration across two continents
KAYELEKERA MINE SALE IN PROGRESS
- Paladin (Africa) Ltd, which holds an 85% interest in Kayelekera Mine to be sold to Lotus Resources Ltd
- Consideration for the sale:
- A$5M
- A$200,000 cash
- A$4.8M in shares (A$1.8M on completion subject to 12 month escrow, A$3M on third anniversary)
- Deferred Royalty of 3.5% from production capped at A$5M
- US$10M Environmental performance bond to be refunded
- US$4M on completion; US$1M first anniversary; US$2M second anniversary; US$3M third anniversary
- Awaiting final Malawi Government consents
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 13 |
A QUALITY GLOBAL SUITE OF EXPLORATION ASSETS
Canada
Manyingee
41.5Mlb
Michelin
127.7Mlb
148.4Mlb
Mount
Isa
Australia
Mount Isa (100%)
- Six Mineral Development Licences
- Largest uranium deposit in Queensland
- Potential for future development of uranium mine
Status: Pre-development exploration
Manyingee (100%)
| Three mining licences covering |
1,307ha | |
| Over US$17.9M of exploration and |
testing to date including 55,764m |
Global Exploration Project
Resource1
203Mt at 710ppm U3O8 for 317.6Mlb
Michelin (55%)
- 69,825ha mineral licence in Labrador
- 256,771m of cumulative linear drilling
- US$75M of total historical in ground exploration to-date
- Among largest deposits in North America
Status: Pre-development exploration
Carley Bore (100%)
Two exploration licences with retention status 100km south of Manyingee
- Acquired in 2015 for US$13M
-
Potential for "stand alone" or satellite
ISR to Manyingee ISR project
Status: Advanced exploration
of cumulative drilling and field |
leach trial |
Potential for 1-2Mlb pa ISR mine |
Status: Advanced exploration
Source: Paladin Research | 1 Measured, indicated and inferred resources for the Michelin, Mount Isa and Manyingee Projects (including Carley Bore) on a 100% Project basis as at June 2018. |
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 14 |
PROVEN PRODUCER
WHY PALADIN
Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN.ASX)
INVESTMENT DRIVERS
Owner of the globally significant Langer Heinrich deposit in mining friendly Namibia
Existing infrastructure and historic mine development at Langer Heinrich results in a lower incentive price to restart operations than peers require to develop new mines
Langer Heinrich has all the required permits to restart
Production anticipated within 12 months of the commencement of restart works for US$80M of capital
Langer Heinrich is well positioned on the cost curve with an expected All In Sustaining Cost of between US$29/lb and US$33/lb
Nuclear energy remains a global source of low cost and low carbon energy. The nuclear power industry is consuming more uranium now than pre-Fukushima
Appointment of new CEO and a restructured board to provide the technical and commercial skill sets necessary to restart mining activities
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 16 |
WHY URANIUM?
A solid long-term outlook
U308 Spot price (US$/lb)
THE URANIUM STORY IS COMPELLING
Spot Price 2000 - 2020 | 250.0 | Demand Fulfilment 2011 - 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||
160 | "Under buying" | |||||||||||||||||||
140 | 200.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
120 | ||||||||||||||||||||
150.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
100 | 8 | lb | ||||||||||||||||||
O | M | Mlb | ||||||||||||||||||
U | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
80 | Mlb | 100.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||||||||||||
40 | 50.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
20 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
0 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |||
2003 | Russian Demand | Utility Spot | ||||||||||||||||||
Utility Term | 4Q19 UxC Base UMO Demand | |||||||||||||||||||
Source: IRESS 17 Feb 2020 | TradeTech Q419 UMS Requirements | Source: Paladin Research |
Cumulative supply cuts
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2021 | |||||||||
0 | Langer Heinrich | |||||||||||
-5 | ||||||||||||
-10 | Cominak | |||||||||||
-15 | ||||||||||||
McArthur River | ||||||||||||
-20 | ||||||||||||
Kazakh-Production | ||||||||||||
-25 | ||||||||||||
-30 | Ranger | |||||||||||
-35 | ||||||||||||
Rabbit Lake | ||||||||||||
-40 | ||||||||||||
-45 | Compound | |||||||||||
-50 | Reduction | |||||||||||
-55
Source: Paladin Research
Spot uranium prices | The nuclear power | Since 2013, utilities have | European and US utilities are | Mined supply has |
are near historic | industry is consuming | been "under buying" at | running down stockpiles and | been rapidly cut |
lows | more uranium than pre- | an average rate of 90Mlb | contract positions put in | back |
Fukushima with growth | per year relative to | place pre-Fukushima | ||
in China, India and | consumption" (635Mlb | |||
elsewhere | divided by 7 years) | |||
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 18 |
DEMAND GROWTH FAR EXCEEDS SUPPLY CAPABILITY
Future Contracted Coverage Rates of US & European Utilities
120.00% | |
requirements) | 100.00% |
80.00% | |
of total | 60.00% |
(% | |
Coverage | 40.00% |
Contract | 20.00% |
0.00% |
US Utilities Coverage 2018 | Euratom Utilities Coverage 2018* | ||||
Current supply unable to meet even base case demand | US contract coverage reaching critical lows |
Source: Paladin Research and UxC Uranium Production Cost Study - September 2019
Note*: Euratom - European Atomic Energy Community
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 19 |
SUPPLY SIDE FACTORS
KEY MARKET OBSERVATIONS
Stocks drawn down | Significant decrease |
>400Mlb and +40Mlb | in exploration spend |
taken out of the | since Fukushima, |
supply side in recent | supply side projects |
years (including | reduced by 90% |
Ranger 2019) | (670 projects to 90 |
now) |
New project development timelines stretched:
- Permitting uncertainty remains in many jurisdictions
- May require significantly higher incentive prices +US$60-$80/lb
- Production from new mines likely many years after incentive prices reached
When long-term
contracting returns, enrichment tails will increase, reducing the contribution of secondary production to the market
Kazakhstan production
flat @ <60Mlb to
2021. 15% IPO + (ve)
for transparency.
Changed from volume- based to value-based marketing
MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
The rate of
development of new mines is unlikely to match the demand growth case
Source: UxC Uranium Production Cost Study - September 2019
Potential for | Mines currently |
recovery in | on C&M have a |
uranium prices | significant restart |
timeline | |
advantage |
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 20 |
APPENDIX
RESOURCE & RESERVE TABLES
30 June 2019
Grade ppm | Mlb | Paladin Ownership | Paladin | |||
Ore Reserves | Mt | Attributable | ||||
U3O8 | U3O8 | (%) | ||||
(Mlb) | ||||||
Namibia | Langer Heinrich | |||||
Proven16 | 42 | 525 | 48.5 | 75 | 36.4 | |
Probable16 | 13.1 | 485 | 14.0 | 75 | 10.5 | |
Stockpiles16 | 30.8 | 355 | 24.0 | 75 | 18 | |
Total Namibia | 85.9 | 455 | 86.5 | 75 | 64.9 | |
Malawi | Kayelekera | |||||
Proven16 | 0.4 | 1,170 | 1.0 | 85 | 0.85 | |
Probable16 | 5.3 | 880 | 10.4 | 85 | 8.84 | |
Stockpiles16 | 1.6 | 755 | 2.6 | 85 | 2.21 | |
Total Malawi | 7.3 | 870 | 14.0 | 85 | 11.9 | |
Total Ore Reserves | 93.2 | 490 | 100.5 | 76.8 | ||
Vanadium Mineral Resources | Mt | Grade ppm V2O5 | Mlb V2O5 | Paladin Ownership Paladin Attributable | ||
(100% basis) | (%) | (Mlb) | ||||
Namibia | Langer Heinrich | |||||
Measured1 | 66.2 | 160 | 23.3 | 75 | 17.5 | |
Indicated1 | 18.8 | 140 | 5.8 | 75 | 4.4 | |
Inferred1 | 6.3 | 135 | 1.9 | 75 | 1.4 | |
Stockpiles1 | 30.8 | 115 | 7.8 | 75 | 5.9 | |
Total Namibia | 122.1 | 145 | 38.8 | 75 | 29.1 |
1Refer ASX Announcement dated 14.10.2019 "Prefeasibility Study Delivers Improved Financials and Production Capacity For Langer Heinrich" p6; 2Refer ASX Announcement dated 21.11.08 "Significant Resource Upgrade for Kayelekera"; 3Refer ASX Announcement dated 31.01.2018 "Correction to 30 June 2017 Annual Report" pp13-15;4Refer SEDAR lodgment (TSX:FRG) dated 8.9.2009 "Fronteer Reports Positive Preliminary Economic Assessment for Michelin Uranium Project"; 5Refer Announcement (ASX:SMM) dated 19.10.2010 "Resource Upgrade for the Valhalla Uranium Deposit"; 6Refer ASX Announcement dated 16.04.2012 "Quarterly Activities Report for period ending 31 March 2012"; 7Refer ASX Announcement dated 15.04.2011 "Quarterly Activities Report for period ending 31 March 2011; 8Refer ASX Announcement dated 31.08.2011 "30 June 2011 Annual Report" p29; 9Refer ASX Announcement dated 17.01.2012 "Quarterly Activities Report for period ending 31 December 2011"; 10Refer ASX Announcement dated 13.07.2012 "Quarterly Activities Report for period ending 30 June 2012" ; 11Refer ASX Announcement (ASX:EMX) dated 12.02.2014 "Energia Delivers Significant Uranium Resource Upgrade"; 12Refer ASX Announcement dated 14.01.2014 "Manyingee Minerals Resources - Amendment"; 13Refer ASX Announcement dated 10.12.2008 "Maiden Uranium Resource at Valhalla North Project"; 14Refer ASX Announcement dated 30.08.12 "30 June 2012 Annual Report" p27 and 129; 15Refer ASX Announcement dated 29.08.2013 "30 June 2013 Annual Report" p24; 16Refer ASX Announcement dated 27.08.2019 "30 June 2019 Annual Report" p14.
The Group is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information in the relevant market announcements all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcements continue to apply and have not materially changed.
Mineral Resources | Mt | Grade ppm U3O8 | Mlb U3O8 | Paladin Ownership Paladin Attributable | ||
(100% basis) | (%) | (Mlb) | ||||
Namibia | Langer Heinrich | |||||
Measured1 | 66.2 | 490 | 71.9 | 75 | 53.9 | |
Indicated1 | 18.8 | 435 | 18.0 | 75 | 13.5 | |
Inferred1 | 6.3 | 420 | 5.8 | 75 | 4.4 | |
Stockpiles1 | 30.8 | 355 | 24.0 | 75 | 18.0 | |
Total Namibia | 122.1 | 445 | 119.6 | 75 | 89.7 | |
Malawi | Kayelekera | |||||
Measured2 | 0.7 | 1,010 | 1.7 | 85 | 1.4 | |
Indicated2 | 12.7 | 700 | 19.6 | 85 | 16.7 | |
Inferred2 | 5.4 | 620 | 7.4 | 85 | 6.3 | |
Stockpiles2 | 1.6 | 755 | 2.6 | 85 | 2.2 | |
Total Malawi | 20.4 | 695 | 31.3 | 85 | 26.6 | |
Canada | ||||||
Measured | Michelin3 | 17.6 | 965 | 37.6 | 55 | 20.7 |
Rainbow4 | 0.2 | 920 | 0.4 | 55 | 0.2 | |
Indicated | Gear4 | 0.4 | 770 | 0.6 | 55 | 0.3 |
Inda4 | 1.2 | 690 | 1.8 | 55 | 1.0 | |
Jacques Lake3 | 13.0 | 630 | 18.0 | 55 | 9.9 | |
Michelin3 | 20.6 | 980 | 44.6 | 55 | 24.5 | |
Nash4 | 0.7 | 830 | 1.2 | 55 | 0.7 | |
Rainbow4 | 0.8 | 860 | 1.4 | 55 | 0.8 | |
Inferred | Gear4 | 0.3 | 920 | 0.6 | 55 | 0.3 |
Inda4 | 3.3 | 670 | 4.8 | 55 | 2.6 | |
Jacques Lake3 | 3.6 | 550 | 4.4 | 55 | 2.4 | |
Michelin3 | 4.5 | 985 | 9.9 | 55 | 5.4 | |
Nash4 | 0.5 | 720 | 0.8 | 55 | 0.4 | |
Rainbow4 | 0.9 | 810 | 1.6 | 55 | 0.9 | |
Total Canada | 67.6 | 860 | 127.7 | 55 | 70.2 | |
Australia | ||||||
Measured | Valhalla5 | 16.0 | 820 | 28.9 | 100 | 28.9 |
Indicated | Andersons6 | 1.4 | 1,450 | 4.6 | 100 | 4.6 |
Bikini7 | 5.8 | 495 | 6.3 | 100 | 6.3 | |
Duke Batman8 | 0.5 | 1,370 | 1.6 | 100 | 1.6 | |
Odin9 | 8.2 | 555 | 10.0 | 100 | 10.0 | |
Skal10 | 14.3 | 640 | 20.2 | 100 | 20.2 | |
Valhalla5 | 18.6 | 840 | 34.5 | 100 | 34.5 | |
Carley Bore11 | 5.4 | 420 | 5.0 | 100 | 5.0 | |
Manyingee12 | 8.4 | 850 | 15.7 | 100 | 15.7 | |
Inferred | Andersons6 | 0.1 | 1,640 | 0.4 | 100 | 0.4 |
Bikini7 | 6.7 | 490 | 7.3 | 100 | 7.3 | |
Duke Batman8 | 0.3 | 1,100 | 0.7 | 100 | 0.7 | |
Honey Pot13 | 2.6 | 700 | 4.0 | 100 | 4.0 | |
Mirrioola14 | 2.0 | 560 | 2.5 | 100 | 2.5 | |
Odin9 | 5.8 | 590 | 7.6 | 100 | 7.6 | |
Skal10 | 1.4 | 520 | 1.6 | 100 | 1.6 | |
Valhalla5 | 9.1 | 640 | 12.8 | 100 | 12.8 | |
Watta15 | 5.6 | 400 | 5.0 | 100 | 5.0 | |
Warwai15 | 0.4 | 360 | 0.3 | 100 | 0.3 | |
Carley Bore11 | 17.4 | 280 | 10.6 | 100 | 10.6 | |
Manyingee12 | 5.4 | 850 | 10.2 | 100 | 10.2 | |
Total Australia | 135.4 | 635 | 189.9 | 100 | 189.9 | |
Total Mineral Resources | 345.4 | 615 | 468.6 | 376.4 |
PALADIN ENERGY LTD | 22 |
CONTACTUS
HEAD OFFICE
Level 4, 502 Hay Street
Subiaco Western Australia 6008 T: +61 (0) 8 9381 4366
- paladin@paladinenergy.com.au
www.paladinenergy.com.au
This presentation has been authorised for lodgement by Ian Purdy, CEO, Paladin Energy Limited
Attachments
- Original document
- Permalink
Disclaimer
Paladin Energy Ltd. published this content on 25 February 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 February 2020 23:08:12 UTC