Teleconference presentation 04 February 2021
FOURTH QUARTER
RESULTS 2020
AGENDA OF TODAY
- Executive summary
- Business update incl. Programme NOW
- Q4 2020 Financials
- Financial guidance
- Appendix
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which include estimates of financial performance and targets. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties. Therefore, actual future results and trends may differ materially from what is forecast in this report due to a variety of factors.
2 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
CONTINUED BRAND
MOMENTUM DRIVES
STRONG PERFORMANCE
- COVID-19creates elevated uncertainty about 2021
Solid execution of | Digital initiatives | Sell-out growth |
social distancing battle | continue to drive | positive in 5 out of 7 |
plan pays off | strong online growth | key markets |
(+104% in Q4) |
3 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
PROGRAMME NOW NEARING ITS
CONCLUSION AND CONTINUE TO IMPROVE
THE FOUNDATION OF PANDORA
- Later in 2021, Pandora will communicate a new strategy, changing focus from transformation to growth
The new operating model | Brand momentum | Cost reset delivering |
has proven successful - | continues to improve - | savings of DKK 1.6 |
visible progress across the | investments in brand, | billion p.a. - funding the |
value chain | digital and organisation | transformation journey |
are paying off |
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AGENDA OF TODAY
- Executive summary
- Business update incl. Programme NOW
- Q4 2020 Financials
- Financial guidance
- Appendix
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PROGRAMME NOW APPROACHING COMPLETION
Turnaround objectives
Brand
Relevance
Brand
Access
Cost reset
Initiatives
Data-driven growth and personalisation
Win in China
Omnichannel capabilities
New store concept
Cost reset continuation
- Digital spend optimised and increased to reach a targeted audience
- Step-changingdata-drivene-mail marketing - material performance improvement both in terms of traffic and conversion rate
- China continues to be challenging, as expected
- New Chinese management team in place to create and execute on growth plan
- China remains top priority and a significant growth opportunity for Pandora
- "Click & collect" rolled out to more than 400 concept stores in US and UK
- Endless Aisle implemented in most key markets
- Newly established team ready to drive development of the new store concept
- Full-scaletesting expected in H2 2021 with first roll-out in 2022
- DKK 1.6 billion cost reduction target delivered
- The Cost reset team will remain in place after Programme NOW - leverage further cost reduction opportunities
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PROGRAMME NOW
TIMELINE
Nov 2018 | May 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q4 2020 |
Programme NOW | Early initiatives | Step-change in like-for- | Reorganisation | Back to positive |
initiated | unfolding | like trajectory | completed | growth |
Programme NOW | ||||
rescoped |
Diagnosis concluded - | |||
Initiatives of Programme | Brand relaunch | Positive LFL before | Significant improvement |
NOW revealed | effectuated | COVID-19 implications | in sell-out |
Feb 2019 | Aug 2019 | Jan Feb 2020 | Q3 2020 |
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MAINTAINING OUR INDUSTRY-LEADING BRAND POSITION
Global Share of Search - Google | Global unaided brand awareness |
Q4 2020 | Q4 2020 |
1/3 of all Google | Number 1 in 5 out of | |
searches for branded | 7 key markets | |
jewellery globally was | ||
for PANDORA | #2 in the US | |
• Two closest global competitors both | • | Number 1 in Italy, France, Germany, UK, and |
have a ~10% share of searches | Australia | |
• | Number 2 in US |
•Source: Google Trends . Share of Search (%) is (Searches Pandora)/(Searches Pandora + Searches relevant competitor brands)
Source Female unaided brand awareness: Internal brand tracker. Old monthly brand tracker (August 2018- June 2020) and new brand tracker setup (August 2020- ) were compared for
comparison purposes. Sample sizes: Old setup (n=400 females per month/market) and New setup (n= 300 females per month/market). The tracker looks at women aged 18-64 and includes markets IT, FR, DE, ES, UK, US, CA, AU weighted according to population size
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POSITIVE SELL-OUT
GROWTH IN 5 OUT
OF 7 KEY MARKETS
IN Q4 2020
• Programme NOW is yielding visible results continuing the positive trajectory and momentum in Q4 2020 - China is challenging, as expected
• Q4 performance was supported by better product availability - the new operating model shows its worth
• In order to spread our traffic during a peak season with social distancing requirements, Q4 2020 had slightly more promotional days than Q4 2019
9 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
Temp. closed | ||
SELL-OUT | Q4 | stores due to |
DEVELOPMENT | 2020 | COVID-19, %* |
US | +22% | 5% |
UK | +1% | 24% |
Italy | -12% | 8% (30%)1 |
France | 1% | 30% |
Germany | 5% | 25% |
China | -25% | 1% |
Australia | 19% | 8% |
Group | 1% | Around 10% |
*Average closures throughout Q4
1Italy store closures of 8% only include stores closed for a full week, but actual closing days are up to 30% in Q4
SOCIAL DISTANCING BATTLE PLAN PROVED SUCCESSFUL - CERTAIN INITIATIVES TO CONTINUE
Increased online capacity
Operational effectiveness was kept high supported by increased investments in online capacity
Virtual try on
Enabled customers to virtually inspect items outside of the store: using simulated try-on
Remote shopping assistant
Allowed consumers to call in for a voice appointment to guide them. Was rolled out in UK, US, France and Germany
Pop-up shops
Temporarily opened around
100 pop-up shops in key cities minimising queues and traffic
Redirected traffic
Promoted the online store and the omnichannel service "Endless Aisle" in campaigns and in queues in front of stores
Stretched peak trading periods
Used promotional tactics and media planning to stretch the peak trading period over longer time
Q4 Traffic | Q4 Conversion rate | ||
- growth | - growth | ||
-60% +50% | +65% +30% | ||
O&O | Online | O&O | Online |
concept | concept | ||
stores | stores | ||
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DATA-DRIVEN GROWTH INITIATIVES DRIVES TRAFFIC AND CONVERSION
Example | e-mail marketing delivers significant growth rates proving the opportunities within data-driven growth
A combination of utilising the Pandora Club data, intensifying the focus and optimising the ways of working, e-mail marketing will continue to be an important driver of sales
VISITS | REVENUE | |
DKK | THROUGH E-MAILS | PER E-MAIL |
million revenue | YoY | YoY | ||
in Q4 2020 | ||||
CONVERSION | SENT | |||
RATE | ||||
>110%
compared with
Data-driven
growth initiatives
such as e-mail
marketing support
strong online
organic growth of
104% in Q4
last year
YoYYoY
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Q4 2020 DIGITAL
RESULTS
Global median page | Online conversion rate | Completed the roll out of Click & |
loading time | Collect stores in UK & US in Q4 | |
2.7sec | 3.2% | 7% |
(-42% since the start of the year) | (+30% YoY) | (of online sales in US) |
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Q4 PERFORMANCE -
COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS BLUR THE PICTURE
- Sell-outgrowth in Q4 2020 ended in positive territory
- Sell-outgrowth was impacted by two opposing COVID-19 factors:
- Lockdown of stores dragging down revenue
- A shift in general consumer demand away from travelling etc. and towards among others gifting and jewellery
- We do not have data suggesting what the net impact of these two factors is
- Credit card data from the US, however, suggests that the jewellery category grew significantly in Q4 2020 vs prior year - indicating a material and temporary shift in demand
- Having said that, the scattered market data available indicates that Pandora's overall Q4 performance was better than the market in general
Q4 illustrative performance
1%
Q4 2020 Sell- | Lost revenue in | Lost revenue | Extra spending | Underlying |
out growth | physical stores | recovered online | from consumer | performance |
wallet shifting |
Store operations in Q4 2020
of stores open 100%
of stores with | ||
reduced opening hours | Around | of stores |
temporarily closed
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MANAGING UNCERTAINTY AS LOCKDOWNS
CONTINUES
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PREPARING FOR ANOTHER UNCERTAIN QUARTER
- Pandora will continue to be socially responsible by creating safe environments for store staff and consumers
- Three important trading events, Valentines, Mothers Day in UK and Chinese New Year lies ahead, and are instrumental for a successful Q1
- Pandora will to the extent possible continue the successful initiatives from the Social distancing battle plan in Q4
- Flexibility will be key again this quarter, as the ability to manage inventory between stores and online will secure availability of best sellers in the right channel
- Continued strong traction on cost reset savings funding investments in Media and Marketing
COST SAVINGS RUN-RATE TARGET OF DKK 1.6B DELIVERED
COST CATEGORIES
Cost of sales
Retail expenses
Administrative expenses
IT
Other
ANNUAL RUN RATE TARGET | SAVINGS ACHIEVED | |
COST INITIATIVES & IMPROVEMENTS | BY END 2020 (DKK billion) | (RUN RATE END 2020, DKK billion) |
- Continued incremental savings through optimisation of production
of existing assortment and existing production methods | 0.45 - 0.48 | |
• Design to value review of high-running products done | ||
• | Improved productivity in store (sales per labour hour) | |
• | Further lease cost reductions driven by newly established Global | 0.35 - 0.38 |
Network team |
- New ways of working and travel norms has reduced travel expenses
• | Global Business Services organisation launched - savings to | 0.25 |
materialise from 2022 | ||
• | IT Transformation completed | 0.20 |
• | Efficiencies and savings delivered as planned | |
• Higher efficiency of marketing and media spending from global/local tenders | ||
• Insourcing of critical capabilities reducing external spend | 0.3-0.34 | |
• | Optimisation and retendering of packaging material | |
• | Introduction of sustainability initiatives e.g. 'ask for bags' in store |
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AGENDA OF TODAY
- Executive summary
- Business update incl. Programme NOW
- Q4 2020 Financials
- Financial guidance
- Appendix
16 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
SOLID FINANCIAL RESULTS DESPITE CONTINUED NEGATIVE COVID-19 IMPACT
Revenue
7.9
DKK billion
(4% YoY growth in local
currency)
- Strong performance continues in Q4 despite 10% of the stores being closed due to COVID-19
- Uplift from consumer spending away from traveling and services towards gifting and discretionary goods
Sell-out growth incl.
temporarily closed stores
1%
(-5% in Q4 2019)
- Five out of seven key markets delivered positive sell-out growth despite negative COVID-19 impact
- Social distancing battle plan pays off contributing to the solid Q4 performance
Organic growth | EBIT margin excluding | Free cash flow incl. |
restructuring costs | lease payments | |
4% | 31.8% | 3.8 |
(-1% in Q4 2019) | (35.3% in Q4 2019) | DKK billion |
(DKK 2.8 billion in Q4 2019) | ||
• Material organic growth | • Higher than anticipated EBIT | • Operating working capital |
improvement in Q4 2020 - | margin driven by operating | ended in negative by the end |
first quarter with positive | leverage from top-line | of 2020 - lowest level ever |
organic growth since Q4 | growth | • 2020 was the second |
2017 | ||
• Gross margin remains strong | consecutive year with cash | |
• Performance supported by | - 1.5pp drag from raw | conversion well above 100% |
online growth of +104% - | materials and FX | |
both traffic and conversion | development compared with | |
rate are strong | last year | |
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BACK TO POSITIVE GROWTH IN Q4 - FIRST TIME SINCE Q4 2017
Organic growth supported by phasing of sell-in and shift in channel mix
DKK million, %-p growth (approximately)
4% | 0 | 4% | |
2.5% | |||
7,956 | 1.5% | -5% | |
-1% | 1% | ||
-1% |
Revenue, | Network | Sell-out | Phasing of | Channel mix | Organic | Forward | Total | FX | Total |
Q4 2019 | expansion | growth incl. | sell-in from | & other | growth, | integration | revenue | revenue | |
temporarily | Q3 to Q4 | Q4 2020 | growth in | growth in | |||||
closed stores | LC, | DKK, | |||||||
Q4 2020 | Q4 2020 |
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Commentary
- Network expansion has a 1pp negative impact due to net 80 store closures
- Sell-into Wholesale partners was boosted by the phasing from Q3 to Q4 (equivalent negative impact in Q3 2020)
- Channel mix supported the organic growth by 1pp (wholesale revenue converting to online revenue) and online freight income also supported organic growth by around 1pp
STRONG EBIT MARGIN IN A DIFFICULT ENVIRONMENT
EBIT margin at strong level despite COVID-19 headwind
%-p growth (approximately) | |||
35.3% | 1.5% | -2% | |
-2% | |||
-2.5% | 31.8% | ||
1.5% | |||
-3.7% | |||
28.1% |
EBIT margin | Leverage from | FX & | Non- | Programme | Programme | EBIT margin | Restructuring | Reported |
excl. | organic growth | commodities | recurring & | NOW | NOW cost | excl. | costs | EBIT margin, |
Restructuring | COVID-19 | investments | reductions | restructuring | Q4 2020 | |||
costs, | costs | costs, | ||||||
Q4 2019 | Q4 2020 |
19 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
Commentary
- Adverse foreign exchange development impacted the EBIT margin by -1pp driven by depreciation of the USD and GBP against the Danish krone, partly offset by a positive impact from weakening of the THB
- Higher silver prices dragged down the margin by 1pp
- COVID-19related costs - mainly additional costs to mange social distancing requirements in the stores - combined with other non-recurring costs negatively impacted the margin by 2pp
- Cost savings delivered were reinvested into driving the top-line and strengthening the organisation. In Q4 2020, significant investments in additional online capacity as well as in improved online customer service were made
- Restructuring costs of DKK 0.3 billion represent the final one-off costs under Programme NOW. No further restructuring costs will be reported separately in 2021
CONTINUED STRONG FREE CASH FLOW IN Q4
Free cash flow increased from last year and leverage at low end of policy range
Commentary
Strong free cash flow
• Strong free cash flow again in Q4 2020 closing |
the quarter better than Q4 2019, coming from |
a continued solid development in operating |
working capital, a relatively lower CAPEX level |
Q4 2019 | Q4 2020 |
171% | |
120% |
Cash conversion
excl. IFRS 16
3.8 |
2.8 |
Free cash flow incl. lease payments
(DKK billion)
1.1x |
0.5x |
NIBD to EBITDA excl. restructuring costs
2.3% |
1.6% |
CAPEX
(% of revenue)
and lower tax payments |
Working capital turn negative - not a sustainable level
• | Inventories ended 2020 almost 10% below last |
year and below our targeted weeks of | |
coverage. An increase in inventories in 2021 is | |
planned | |
• | Trade receivables significantly down compared |
Record low working capital dipping into negative levels
Q4 2019 | Q4 2020 | %, last 12 months rolling revenue | |||||||||
-16.9% | |||||||||||
-14.2% | |||||||||||
3.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | |||||||||
7.5% | |||||||||||
4.6% | |||||||||||
-2.1% | |||||||||||
Working capital | Trade receivables | Trade payables | Inventories | ||||||||
20 | Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation |
with 2019 as DSO close at an all time low in Q4 |
• Trade payables at high level boosted by non- |
recurring payables related to restructuring |
costs |
AGENDA OF TODAY
- Executive summary
- Business update incl. Programme NOW
- Q4 2020 Financials
- Financial guidance
- Appendix
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STABILISING THE TOP-LINE:
- In 2021, Pandora expects to reach an important milestone: returning to top-line growth after three years of decline
- In the absence of COVID-19 impact, Pandora would guide for slightly positive organic growth in 2021 versus 2019
- Having said that, 2021 will be impacted by COVID-19 lockdowns and performance therefore remains highly uncertain. Around 6% drag on revenue is assumed in 2021
- In order to increase transparency on Pandora's thinking about the underlying business and as a reflection of the high level of uncertainty on the materiality and duration of the COVID-19 impact, Pandora therefore provides supplementary information about what the guidance would have been in the absence of COVID-19 lockdowns
OFFICIAL 2021
GUIDANCE
Including impact from
COVID-19
ORGANIC REVENUE
GROWTH
Above 8%
(Above -3% vs 2019)
EBIT MARGIN
Above 21%
Excluding impact from
COVID-19
ORGANIC REVENUE
GROWTH
Above 14%
(Above 2% vs 2019)
EBIT MARGIN
Above 23%
22
FULL YEAR 2021 ORGANIC GROWTH GUIDANCE BRIDGE
2021 vs 2020 | |||
>14% | Above 14% | ~-6% | Above 8% |
~0% | |||
2020 revenue | Network | Sell-out growth in | 2021 | COVID-19 impact | 2021 incl. |
development | own channels & | expectations pre | COVID-19 | ||
sell-in to partners | COVID-19 impact |
2021 vs 2019
>3% | Above 2% | ~-5% | Above -3% |
~-1% |
2019 revenue | Network | Sell-out growth in | 2021 | COVID-19 impact | 2021 incl. |
development | own channels & | expectations pre | COVID-19 | ||
sell-in to partners | COVID-19 impact |
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GUIDANCE
ASSUMPTIONS 2021
- The guidance is based on the assumption that approximately 25% of the stores will be temporarily closed during the first half of 2021 and that organic growth will be negatively impacted by around -6% for the full year
- The guidance is also based on the assumption that the positive impact seen in late 2020 of reallocation of consumer spending away from travelling and services towards gifting and discretionary goods was not larger than the negative impact from temporary store closures
- The impact from forward integration is expected to be around 1% in 2021. Finally, Pandora expects headwind from foreign exchange rates of approximately -1% taking total revenue growth in DKK to above 8% in 2021
FULL YEAR 2021 EBIT MARGIN
GUIDANCE BRIDGE
%-points approximations
2021 expectations before
COVID-19 impact
~5.5%
~-1.5%
Above 23%
~-1.0% | ||||||||
20.4% | ~0.5% | Above 21% | ||||||
~-2.5% | ||||||||
EBIT margin | 2021 growth | No | Commodities, | EBIT margin | Elevated | Cost actions | 2021 EBIT | |
2020 | leverage | government | FX & other | expectations | COVID-19 risk & government | margin | ||
support or | pre COVID-19 | support | guidance | |||||
rent | ||||||||
concessions | ||||||||
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EBIT MARGIN GUIDANCE 2021
- As illustrated on the left there is significant positive operating leverage in the business model
- In the EBIT margin guidance this is not directly visible due to continued COVID-19 headwind and higher commodity prices
- The assumed COVID-19 lockdowns in H1 2021 drags down the margin by 2pp
- The quarterly phasing of the EBIT margin obviously depends on the COVID-19 development. As in prior years and in line with normal seasonality, Q4 is expected to be by far the most profitable quarter of the year
- CAPEX for the year is expected to be in the range of DKK 1.0-1.2 billion
- No major changes to the overall concept store network are expected
- The effective tax rate is expected to be 22-23%,
in line with 2020
CASH DISTRIBUTION IS SUSPENDED DUE TO UNCERTAINTY AROUND COVID-19
Ending 2020 with solid financials
Ample liquidity | NIBD to EBITDA ratio | |
DKK 10 billion | 0.5x | |
(DKK 3 billion in cash) | (Low end of capital structure policy) | |
Cash distribution development since 2015 (DKK billion)
Share buyback (cancelled due to COVID-19)
Share buyback | 5.9 | 19 | |||||
Dividend | 5.5 | 5.8 | |||||
- | |||||||
5.0 | 1.8 | COVID | |||||
4.0 | 4.0 | to | |||||
4.0 | |||||||
2.9 | due | ||||||
3.9 | 2.2 | ||||||
Suspended | |||||||
4.0 | 2.1 | ||||||
1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | ||||
0.8 | |||||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
25 | Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation |
- Pandora continues to be highly cash generative and has ample liquidity to initiate cash distribution to shareholders
- By the end of 2020, financial leverage was 0.5x. This is in the low end of the capital structure policy (NIBD to EBITDA between 0.5 and 1.5x)
- However due to the unprecedented uncertainty caused by COVID-19, Pandora considers it appropriate and prudent to await further certainty about the pandemic before re-initiating cash distribution to the shareholders
- At the Annual General Meeting in March 2021, Pandora will ask shareholders to authorise Pandora to distribute up to DKK 15 extraordinary dividend per share
- The Board of Directors already has the authority to initiate a share buyback at any point in time
- The capital structure policy remains unchanged
EXCITING PRODUCT LINE-UP FOR KEY
TRADING EVENTS IN Q1 2021
January 2021 | February 2021 | March 2021 | ||
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CLOSING REMARKS
Material improvement in | Pandora is making | Positive underlying | Cash distribution to be |
Q4 - positive growth | preparations for the | growth in 2021 excluding | resumed once COVID-19 |
despite COVID-19 | transition from | COVID-19 | is under control |
lockdowns | transformation to growth |
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Q&A
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APPENDIX
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PANDORA CONSUMERS ARE ACROSS GENERATIONS
Age distribution of our consumers who have purchased Pandora within the last 12 months
18 | 65 |
31%
25% | 25% |
19%
18-24 | 25-34 | 35-44 | 45-65* |
Source: Pandora Brand Tracker 2020 (n=2508)
Note: Markets include IT, ES, FR, UK, DE, RU, CA, CN, AU *Age range stops at 54 in China and Russia.
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PANDORA'S ONLINE BUSINESS & PRESENCE
Online store development
DKK million | Online store % of Group Revenue | Online store revenue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,600 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,400 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
52% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,800 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,400 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,200 | 2,533 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,000 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
800 | 16% | 21% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13% | 12% | 1,487 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,307 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
600 | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 15% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8% | 1,019 | 841 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | 543 | 621 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
438 | 447 | 477 | 455 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
104% | 32% | 20 | SINGLE | STRONG | ||||
ORGANIC | REVENUE SHARE OF | |||||||
GROWTH IN | GROUP REVENUE IN | MARKETS | DIGIT RETURN | PROFITABILITY | ||||
Q4 '20 | Q4 '20 | RATES | ||||||
Online platforms
Pandora online stores available in 20 markets across all regions, incl. China (own and Tmall distribution), Australia, Italy, the UK, the US etc.
More than 345 million visits on the Pandora online stores in 2020
18 million Pandora club members worldwide
16.9 million Facebook followers
8.3 million followers on Instagram
31 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
REVENUE DEVELOPMENT BY CHANNEL AND BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
Channel development
Growth, Q4 2020 | Growth, FY 2020 | |||||
Q4/Q4, | share of | FY/FY, | share of | |||
DKK million | Q4 2020 | LC | revenue FY 2020 | LC | revenue | |
Pandora owned retail | 5,525 | 12% | 70% | 13,426 | -2% | 71% |
- of which concept | 2,725 | -21% | 35% | 7,321 | -29% | 39% |
stores | ||||||
- of which online stores | 2,533 | 104% | 32% | 5,483 | 103% | 29% |
- of which other points | 266 | 7% | 3% | 622 | -18% | 3% |
of sale | ||||||
Wholesale | 2,143 | -10% | 27% | 4,949 | -25% | 26% |
- of which concept | 1,182 | -14% | 15% | 2,714 | -28% | 14% |
stores | ||||||
- of which other points | 961 | -5% | 12% | 2,235 | -21% | 12% |
of sale | ||||||
Third-party distribution | 223 | -10% | 3% | 634 | -33% | 3% |
Total revenue | 7,891 | 4% | 100% | 19,009 | -11% | 100% |
Product category development
Growth, Q4 2020 | Growth, FY 2020 | |||||
Q4/Q4, | share of | FY/FY, | share of | |||
DKK million | Q4 2020 | LC | revenue FY 2020 | LC | revenue | |
Charms | 3,936 | 1% | 50% | 9,646 | -13% | 51% |
Bracelets | 1,614 | 9% | 20% | 3,751 | -8% | 20% |
Rings | 1,113 | 5% | 14% | 2,774 | -8% | 15% |
Earrings | 580 | 8% | 7% | 1,319 | -9% | 7% |
Necklaces & Pendants | 649 | 10% | 8% | 1,519 | -6% | 8% |
Total revenue | 7,891 | 4% | 100% | 19,009 | -11% | 100% |
32 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
STORE NETWORK DEVELOPMENT
Net openings | |||
Number of points of sale | Q4 2020 | Q4 2020 vs Q3 2020 | Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019 |
Concept stores | 2,690 | 1 | -80 |
- of which Pandora owned | 1,382 | 3 | -15 |
- of which franchise owned | 797 | -12 | -59 |
- of which third-party distribution | 511 | 10 | -6 |
Other points of sale | 4,402 | -61 | -255 |
- of which Pandora owned | 235 | 3 | 28 |
- of which wholesale | 3,602 | -53 | -210 |
- of which third-party distribution | 565 | -11 | -73 |
Total points of sale | 7,092 | -60 | -335 |
33 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
KEY MARKETS REVENUE AND SELL-OUT GROWTH OVERVIEW
Sell-out growth | Share of | Sell-out growth | Share of | |||||
Organic Growth | incl. temporarily | revenue, | Organic Growth | incl. temporarily | revenue, | |||
DKK million | Q4 2020 | Q4/Q4 | closed stores | Q4 2020 | FY 2020 | FY/FY | closed stores | FY 2020 |
UK | 1,345 | 9% | 1% | 17% | 2,960 | 6% | -2% | 16% |
Italy | 825 | -3% | -12% | 10% | 2,021 | -11% | -16% | 11% |
France | 494 | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1,154 | -1% | -4% | 6% |
Germany | 418 | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1,014 | 6% | 4% | 5% |
US | 1,982 | 20% | 22% | 25% | 4,505 | 0% | 1% | 24% |
Australia | 537 | 24% | 19% | 7% | 1,120 | 2% | -2% | 6% |
China | 322 | -23% | -25% | 4% | 1,261 | -35% | -35% | 7% |
Group | 7,891 | 4% | -2% | 100% | 19,009 | -11% | -12% | 100% |
34 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
CONCEPT STORES PER MARKET
Growth | Growth | Growth O&O stores | Growth O&O stores | |||||||
Number of concept stores | Number of concept stores | Number of concept stores | Q4 2020 | Q4 2020 | Number of O&O | Number of O&O | Number of O&O | Q4 2020 | Q4 2020 | |
Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2019 | /Q3 2020 | /Q4 2019 | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2019 | /Q3 2020 | /Q4 2019 | |
UK | 217 | 217 | 230 | 0 | -13 | 139 | 139 | 126 | 0 | 13 |
Russia | 174 | 173 | 184 | 1 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Germany | 138 | 139 | 146 | -1 | -8 | 134 | 135 | 140 | -1 | -6 |
Italy | 146 | 146 | 148 | 0 | -2 | 107 | 107 | 107 | 0 | 0 |
France | 121 | 121 | 122 | 0 | -1 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Spain | 92 | 90 | 87 | 2 | 5 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Poland | 55 | 52 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 1 | 1 |
South Africa | 30 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Turkey | 29 | 30 | 30 | -1 | -1 | 29 | 30 | 30 | -1 | -1 |
Ireland | 26 | 26 | 29 | 0 | -3 | 21 | 21 | 24 | 0 | -3 |
Netherlands | 25 | 25 | 26 | 0 | -1 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Ukraine | 31 | 31 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Portugal | 26 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Belgium | 22 | 23 | 24 | -1 | -2 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Romania | 23 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
United Arab Emirates | 17 | 18 | 18 | -1 | -1 | 17 | 18 | 18 | -1 | -1 |
Czech Republic | 19 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Israel | 17 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Austria | 11 | 11 | 14 | 0 | -3 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Greece | 11 | 11 | 14 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Denmark | 7 | 7 | 12 | 0 | -5 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 0 | -5 |
Saudi Arabia | 13 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sweden | 7 | 10 | 10 | -3 | -3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -3 | -3 |
Nigeria | 8 | 8 | 10 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
US | 403 | 401 | 402 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 153 | 158 | 1 | -4 |
Brazil | 84 | 87 | 95 | -3 | -11 | 54 | 54 | 57 | 0 | -3 |
Canada | 77 | 78 | 79 | -1 | -2 | 30 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 7 |
Mexico | 77 | 77 | 69 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 48 | 45 | 1 | 4 |
Caribbean | 27 | 26 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
China | 234 | 236 | 237 | -2 | -3 | 222 | 225 | 226 | -3 | -4 |
Australia | 122 | 123 | 128 | -1 | -6 | 38 | 37 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Philippines | 36 | 34 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Malaysia | 27 | 28 | 31 | -1 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hong Kong | 24 | 23 | 30 | 1 | -6 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 1 | -6 |
Thailand | 21 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
New Zealand | 18 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Singapore | 11 | 11 | 12 | 0 | -1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Rest of the World | 264 | 260 | 273 | 4 | -9 | 49 | 49 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
All markets | 2,690 | 2,689 | 2,770 | 1 | -80 | 1,382 | 1,379 | 1,397 | 3 | -15 |
35 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
PROFITABILITY DEVELOPMENT
Q4 2020 | Q4 2020 excl. | |||
DKK million | Q4 2020 reported | Restructuring costs | restructuring costs | Q4 2019 reported |
Revenue | 7,891 | - | 7,891 | 7,956 |
Cost of sales | -1,941 | -21 | -1,920 | -1,924 |
Gross profit | 5,950 | -21 | 5,971 | 6,032 |
Gross margin | 75.4% | - | 75.7% | 75.8% |
Operating expenses (incl. D&A) | -3,738 | -276 | -3,462 | -3,730 |
- of which sales, distribution and marketing expenses | -3,060 | -42 | -3,018 | -2,933 |
- of which administrative expenses | -678 | -234 | -444 | -797 |
EBIT | 2,212 | -296 | 2,508 | 2,302 |
EBIT margin | 28.0% | 31.8% | 28.9% | |
FY 2020 | FY 2020 excl. | |||
DKK million | FY 2020 reported | Restructuring costs | restructuring costs | FY 2019 |
Revenue | 19,009 | - | 19,009 | 21,868 |
Cost of sales | -4,634 | -159 | -4,475 | -5,966 |
Gross profit | 14,375 | -159 | 14,534 | 15,903 |
Gross margin | 75.6% | 76.5% | 72.7% | |
Operating expenses (incl. D&A) | -11,691 | -1,039 | -10,652 | -12,074 |
- of which sales, distribution and marketing expenses | -9,155 | -204 | -8,951 | -9,305 |
- of which administrative expenses | -2,536 | -834 | -1,702 | -2,770 |
EBIT | 2,684 | -1,197 | 3,881 | 3,829 |
EBIT margin | 14.1% | 20.4% | 17.5% |
36 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
WORKING CAPITAL AND CASH MANAGEMENT
DKK million | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 |
Inventory | 1,949 | 2,619 | 2,250 | 2,155 | 2,137 |
- Share of revenue (last 12 months) | 10.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
Trade receivables | 870 | 607 | 602 | 1,081 | 1,643 |
- Share of revenue (last 12 months) | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% |
Trade payables | -3,211 | -2,425 | -2,316 | -2,337 | -3,095 |
- Share of revenue (last 12 months) | -16.9% | -12.7% | -11.9% | -11.0% | -14.2% |
Operating working capital | -392 | 801 | 535 | 899 | 684 |
-
Share of revenue (last 12 months) Free cash flow excl. IFRS16
CAPEX
% of revenue
NIBD to EBITDA excl. restructuring costs (last 12 months)
-2.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
3,780 | 457 | 943 | -272 | 2,760 |
124 | 117 | 121 | 129 | 184 |
1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
0.5x | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.3x | 1.1x |
Selected KPIs
Days Sales of Inventory
- last 6 months of COGS (183 days) Days Sales of Outstanding
- last 3 months of wholesale and third-party distribution revenue (90 days)
126 | 288 | 228 | 134 | 109 |
23 | 30 | 89 | 46 | 36 |
37 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
HEDGING POLICY AND RAW MATERIALS SHARE OF PRODUCTION COSTS
Commodity hedging policy is to hedge
around 70% of future 12 months use in production
For illustrative purposes
Hedged Realised
100%
70% to 100% | 70% to 90% |
50% to 70%
30% to 50%
Q4 2020 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2021 | Q3 2021 | Q4 2021 |
- With an additional 2-4 months time lag from production to sale of the product and effect on the income statement, the impact of the recent increase in metal prices will be gradual.
38 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
Raw material share of cost of goods sold
Other Other raw materials Gold Silver
51% | 58% | 59% | 54% | 69% | ||||||||||
12% | ||||||||||||||
15% | ||||||||||||||
9% | ||||||||||||||
9% | ||||||||||||||
10% | ||||||||||||||
9% | 4% | |||||||||||||
8% | 6% | |||||||||||||
3% | ||||||||||||||
27% | ||||||||||||||
25% | ||||||||||||||
24% | 24% | 24% | ||||||||||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
- Other cost of goods sold consist of labour, cost to third-partyset-ups (i.e. plating) and licence, customs, freight cost, remelt and minor provisions
- 'Other raw materials' decreased in 2020 as plating is done in-house and expensed mainly through 'Other'.
OVERVIEW OF THE GLOBAL JEWELLERY MARKET
Fine jewellery market 2020-2024 | |
MARKET DEVELOPMENT | CAGR of 3% |
Jewellery market development | |||||||||||
10 years, EUR billion | |||||||||||
Costume Jewellery | Fine Jewellery | - | |||||||||
315COVID19 | |||||||||||
CAGR | 6% | ||||||||||
14% | 216 | 250 | |||||||||
146 | |||||||||||
2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
10 largest jewellery markets | Jewellery eCOM development | |||
2020, EUR million | EUR billion | |||
China | 78,324 | E-commerce | CAGR | |
USA | 52,430 | |||
India | 45,423 | ~29% | ~39 | |
Japan | 6,226 | ~28 | ||
Canada | 4,385 | ~23 | ||
UK | 4,044 | |||
S. Korea | 3,721 | |||
Taiwan | 3,387 | |||
Germany | 3,183 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
HK | 3,137 | |||
Global category share (2020) | |||
Wristwear | Earrings | Other | |
JEWELLERY DEVELOPMENT | Rings | Neckwear | |
4% | |||
18% | |||
31% | |||
29% |
18%
Source: Euromonitor
Fine jewellery metal split (2020)
Gold | Metal Combination |
Silver | Other |
Platinum | 8% |
9% | |
6% | |
15% | 62% |
World's 10 largest jewellery brands (2019)
Chow | Lao Feng Cartier | Tiffany | Lao Miao Tanishq Swarovski Malabar Bvlgari | ||
Tai Fook | Xiang | & Co | Gold | ||
~2.5% | ~0.5% | ||||
Market share (approx.) |
39 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
SUSTAINABILITY
We believe high-quality jewellery, superior business performance and high ethical standards go hand in hand, and we craft our jewellery with
respect for resources, environment
and people. We will become carbon neutral in our operations by 2025 and have committed to set Science Based Targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions across the full value chain.
We are committed signatories of the
United Nations Global Compact and certified member of the Responsible Jewellery Council since 2012.
Pandora supports the UN Sustainable
Development Goals Four goals in particular guide our strategy as this is where we can contribute the most.
Frontrunner in ESG
Investment Performance
For the fifth consecutive year, we received the top rating of AAA in the MSCI ESG Ratings assessment.
Climate and | As the world's largest jewellery maker, we are |
environment | determined to reduce our climate footprint and |
help set an example for the wider industry. |
Carbon neutral | 100% renewable energy | Committed to set | ||
in own operations | at our crafting facilities | Science Based Targets | ||
by 2025 | achieved in 2020 | to reduce emissions | ||
across full value chain | ||||
90% | ||
of waste was | Our two largest crafting facilities and | |
recycled at our | ||
crafting facilities | global office are Leadership in Energy and | |
Environmental Design (LEED) Certified. |
40 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
Data per Dec. 31, 2020
SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTS
From 60%1 recycled in | ||
99.8% | 2020 to 100% in 2025 | |
of all stones are | By 2025, 100% of products will | |
man-made | be made from recycled silver and gold | |
Responsible | ||
Sourcing | ||
Programme | ||
Pandora is committed | ||
to ensuring that our | ||
business practices, | ||
including our suppliers, | ||
live up to high social | ||
100% certified | and environmental | |
silver and gold grain suppliers | standards. | |
41 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
WORKPLACE AND SOCIETY
Inclusive workspace
At Pandora, we are committed to fostering a culture of diversity and inclusion in and beyond our own operations. We will not tolerate any form of discrimination and are committed to gender diversity in our organisation. We will continue to advance our approach to diversity and inclusion.
Partnering with UNICEF to empower young people
Pandora and UNICEF have
launched a global partnership to
support the most vulnerable children, especially girls, around the world to lead healthier and safer lives and fulfil their potential. Through sale of Jewellery and other initiatives,
Pandora will raise funds for
UNICEF's important work.
75%
of our Board of Directors are
women and 25% are men
Executive
Leadership Team
12.5% are women
87.5% are men
Data per Dec. 31, 2020
INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT DETAILS
Investor Relations team
John Bäckman
VP, Investor Relations, Tax & Treasury +45 5356 6909 jobck@pandora.net
Kristoffer Aas Malmgren
Director, Investor Relations
+45 3050 1174 kram@pandora.net
Mikkel Johansen
Analyst, Investor Relations +45 3042 8392 mijoh@pandora.net
42 Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
Share information | ADR information | ||||
Trading symbol | PNDORA | ADR trading symbol | PANDY | ||
Identification | DK0060252690 | Programme type | Sponsored level 1 | ||
number/ISIN | programme (J.P. Morgan) | ||||
4 ADRs : 1 ordinary share | |||||
GICS | 25203010 | Ratio (ADR:ORD) | |||
(4:1) | |||||
Number of shares | 100,000,000 | ||||
ADR ISIN | US 698 341 2031 | ||||
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury | |||||
Sector | |||||
Goods | |||||
Share capital | 100,000,000 | ||||
Nominal value, DKK | 1 | ||||
Free float (incl. treasury | 100% | ||||
shares) | |||||
Pandora Q4 2020 - Teleconference presentation
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Pandora A/S published this content on 04 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 February 2021 09:21:02 UTC.