Projected Income Statement: Peloton Interactive, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Peloton Interactive, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -1,755 -1,607 308 873 803 811 578 482
Change - -191.57% -80.83% 183.44% -8.02% 1.06% -28.73% -16.61%
Announcement Date 9/10/20 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/22/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Peloton Interactive, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 156.4 241 353.3 82.4 19.7 5.985 11.57 17.9
Change - 54.09% 46.6% -76.68% -76.09% -69.62% 93.27% 54.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 220 -480.7 -2,373 -470 -85.8 215.6 195.6 227
Change - -318.5% 393.72% -80.2% -81.74% -351.33% -9.29% 16.04%
Announcement Date 9/10/20 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/22/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Peloton Interactive, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.45% 6.31% -27.43% -7.45% 0.13% 13.92% 14.36% 14.5%
EBIT Margin (%) -4.43% -4.67% -76.02% -42.75% -19.59% -2.05% 0.11% 1.31%
EBT Margin (%) -3.75% -4.93% -78.09% -44.93% -20.44% -5.75% -4.15% -2.66%
Net margin (%) -3.92% -4.7% -78.64% -45.06% -20.44% -5.77% -3.54% -1.85%
FCF margin (%) 12.05% -11.95% -66.25% -16.78% -3.18% 8.75% 7.97% 9.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) -307.26% 254.34% 84.25% 37.25% 15.55% -151.6% -225.22% -492.79%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.72% -5.06% -35.02% -21.13% -22.28% -5.55% - -
ROE -12.57% -11.01% -127.05% -482.2% - - - 319.39%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - -0.31x -4.18x 229.29x 2.37x 1.64x 1.33x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -0.13x -1.86x -9.35x 3.76x 2.96x 2.12x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.57% 5.99% 9.86% 2.94% 0.73% 0.24% 0.47% 0.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 132.88% 94.99% -35.95% -39.52% 562.86% 1.75% 3.28% 4.95%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 71.09% -50.14% -14.89% -17.53% -22.96% 2.78% 5.91% 7.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.704 -0.8156 -6.266 -1.118 -0.1808 0.5917 0.6472 0.64
Change - -147.86% 668.28% -82.16% -83.83% -427.23% 9.38% -1.12%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 11.65 5.844 1.757 -0.8271 -1.38 -1.029 -0.5157 -0.075
Change - -49.84% -69.94% -147.09% 66.8% -25.43% -49.88% -85.46%
EPS 1 -0.32 -0.64 -8.74 -3.64 -1.51 -0.3727 -0.2414 -0.1293
Change - 100% 1,265.62% -58.35% -58.52% -75.32% -35.23% -46.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 283,232 298,293 337,357 354,338 370,814 389,964 389,964 389,964
Announcement Date 9/10/20 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/23/23 8/22/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -17.3x -26.8x
PBR -6.28x -12.5x
EV / Sales 1.35x 1.26x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
6.460USD
Average target price
9.962USD
Spread / Average Target
+54.21%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PTON Stock
  4. Financials Peloton Interactive, Inc.