A frightful piece of information came to light recently. The t pharmaceutical giant Pfizer announced its 2022 revenue at $100 billion. This is more than the combined health spending of 108 countries in 2020 according to calculations of The People's Vaccine Campaign. The Pfizer COVID vaccine, of course, helped the dollars roll in. In fact, some reports suggest that Pfizer charged some countries $130 per dose of vaccine, while it is estimated that it costs less than $2 per dose to make. That equated to a markup of a stupefying 10 000% but we don't know the full pricing details because the contracts are marked 'secret'.

Figures like these make one's eyes water.

In this pandemic, tackling the pharmaceutical sector and the perversities of its pandemic profiteering has been the focus of an international movement of health activists united under the banner of the People Vaccine Campaign. Partly because of severe resistance by governments in the global north and inaction locally, access to timely supplies of affordable and essential COVID vaccines, medicines and diagnostics has not materialised. But the struggle continues not only to tackle these structural barriers to beat COVID and future pandemics but also to help ensure implementation of Universal Health Coverage (UHC) systems. UHC means that everyone would be able to get the quality health services they need and benefit from scientific progress -irrespective of their ability to pay and without having to face financial hardship.

A Herculean task

South Africa, too, has committed to attaining UHC by 2030 as part of a set of promises made on the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals. South Africa's main strategy to attain UHC is to implement a National Health Insurance (NHI) system. Unfortunately, progress has been historically slow, but in the build-up to the 2024 elections, the African National Congress (ANC) Members of Parliament (MPs) are rushing the law reform process despite an acknowledgement even from the health ministry that progress and timelines are hampered by the socio and mainly economic impacts of the pandemic. This includes a fiscus crisis with additional pandemic-related debt, and according to Dr Nicholas Crisp, Deputy Director-General in the health department responsible for NHI, "the NHI could take decades to be implemented at full scale".

It will require a Herculean task to unify our apartheid-era two-tiered healthcare system, with the right skills, funding base, and transparency in decision-making around health policy and medicine selection. The pandemic has highlighted why all these elements are critical for healthcare for everyone.

We provide a short overview of our research below.

It will require a Herculean task to unify our apartheid-era two-tiered healthcare system, with the right skills, funding base, and transparency in decision-making around health policy and medicine selection.

Law reform

Last year, the Portfolio Committee on Health in Parliament deliberated on the 'NHI Bill', but there were no significant changes made to it. It needs major revision. Many serious concerns and recommendations from parliamentary submissions by multiple stakeholders have gone unaddressed. The Health Justice Initiative (HJI) has focused on medicine procurement provisions in the Bill and in 2022 raised at least 17 questions that require greater attention before the law is passed. Neglecting to address the public's submissions is not surprising seeing that ANC MPs serving on the committee were resolute in having the National Assembly adopt the Bill before the ANC Conference in December 2022. However, time ran out before the adoption of the Bill by Parliament, and the Parliamentary process is seemingly going to resume this month.

Stakeholder submissions to Parliament on the Bill (of which there were 64 000 written submissions following Parliament's call for comment in 2019) and various commentators have warned about the 'looming disaster' that the Bill in its current form poses, but they are often divided on the main reasons. A tiny minority resists the principle of unified health systems and Universal Health Care for all (meaning, also for the poor). Many more groups agree that NHI is an ethical necessity but are concerned about South Africa's disintegrating public health system, energy crisis, high levels of state corruption involving health product procurement, and the in/ability of the Department of Health to actually implement NHI in its current proposed form.

Other groups have rightfully pointed out concerns over conferring too much power on the Minister of Health, inadequate financing models, the feasibility of NHI in SA post-COVID, and the exclusion of specific categories of people from NHI. (For a curated archive of critical submissions, please see here).

Risks to medicine access

Regrettably, the provisions in the Bill on Medicine Selection, Pricing, and Procurement are ambiguous at best, and as the HJI pointed out in 2022, the entire shift of our medicine selection, procurement, and reimbursement system to "NHI reimbursement" has not been adequately thought through, potentially posing a great risk for the future of medicine selection and access in the country for all people. This requires immediate attention at the highest levels of the executive and the legislature too - and likely needs a multi-department and stakeholder technical group to urgently determine the exact trajectory of this planned process.

Regrettably, the provisions in the Bill on Medicine Selection, Pricing, and Procurement are ambiguous at best.

The World Health Organization has emphasised that UHC programmes will only be successful if there is "affordable access to safe, effective, and quality medicines and health products". In addition, the COVID pandemic has taught us that timely and fairly priced access to essential diagnostics, therapeutics, and vaccines is key to addressing any public health emergency and improving health outcomes. We cannot safeguard public health without access to medicines - procured fairly, delivered on time, and based on expert and transparent decision-making and approval.

The cost of medicine, as elsewhere in the world where there are national health systems, remains a key concern. The Minister of Health last November in the National Assembly said that the funds for the NHI would be collected through a combination of taxes, including the reallocation of medical scheme credits paid to medical schemes, provincial health budgets to the NHI Funds, and payroll tax.

The financial feasibility of implementing the NHI is still unclear and a huge risk to the fiscus in a post-COVID economy that is dealing with a recession, load shedding, and high unemployment rates.

In late 2022, HJI argued that the Bill does not adequately consider the complexities of medicines access and that our medicines system could be severely jeopardised if poorly drafted sections in the current Bill become law. We said that government should set up a task team to urgently determine the exact trajectory of this planned process.

The Health Department's recent response to submissions and its own recommendations on amendments to the Bill sadly does not realise the gravity of the threat to the future of medicine selection and access.

17 questions

In HJI's 2022 analysis of the Bill, we raised 17 key questions that we believe must be addressed by lawmakers in the next version of the Bill and before NHI comes into effect. These include:

What specific measures are envisaged to enable and promote public transparency related to medicine selection, procurement, and contracting processes under the NHI?

How will the price of medicines not included in or covered by the NHI be regulated? And what role will External Reference Pricing (ERP) methodology play in the NHI and beyond?

How will the NHI Fund (e.g., the Office of Health Products Procurement, the NHI Board) negotiate with global pharmaceutical manufacturers and suppliers to procure for government and how will that process be transparent and accountable?

How will the Minister determine that the NHI is 'fully implemented', and what will take place in terms of what medical schemes can and cannot offer members during the transition period, and after the (undefined) date?

Has consideration been given to designing a competitive and different single medicine pricing system for SA?

(See the full list of questions here).

The need for safeguards

Drawing on our work on medicine access during the HIV and COVID pandemic, we appreciate that there are powerful vested interests located in the multi-trillion-dollar pharmaceutical industry - this is why there is a need for legal safeguards, sound legislation, and independent and transparent institutions to ensure access to affordable medicines for all of us living here.

The pandemic showed that a lack of transparency, autonomy, and information around expert advice can bedevil open government decision-making. Secret procurement contracts for essential vaccines could become the norm even under NHI as they did in COVID, something we are fighting in our courts to open up, later this year.

Figuring out a sound system for a unified medicine access system under NHI is a formidable undertaking that requires a multi-disciplinary task team with experts from various fields, experience, and technical know-how. It is not easy to simply merge two parallel medicine procurement and selection systems. The risk is that the status quo could continue - where the rich and insured access the best medicines at a higher price.

The pandemic showed that a lack of transparency, autonomy and information around expert advice can bedevil open government decision-making. Secret procurement contracts for essential vaccines could become the norm even under NHI as they did in COVID.

We believe that the principles underpinning NHI for our highly regressive, unequal two-tiered healthcare system are too important for our collective health, well-being, and our Constitutional democracy to have lacklustre legal provisions and worrying gaps on the essential issues of medicine procurement and selection.

As the Bill currently stands, it will strengthen the private healthcare sector's stranglehold on us and our fiscus. It will leave us at the mercy of advisory committees that bear no duty to be transparent in deciding which medicines you and I will be able to access under NHI.

We can and need to do better.

* Nokhepheyi and Richter are researchers and Hassan the Director of the Health Justice Initiative.

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