FY 2019 preliminary results

February 4, 2020

Disclaimer: estimated data

The Management Board of PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna (the "Company" or "PGE") emphasize that figures presented hereby are preliminary estimates, which may change. The financial statements of PGE Group are still in the preparation process. Consolidated report for 2019 will be released on March 10, 2020.

This presentation has been prepared by the Management of PGE. This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be constructed as an offer to sell or the solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for securities of the Company, any of its subsidiaries in any

jurisdiction. No part

of this presentation, nor the fact of its

distribution, should

form the

basis of,

or

be relied on

in connection with, any

contract

or

commitment

or investments decision whatsoever.

3Estimated operating volumes and sales data

[TWh]

Q4 2019

Q4 2018

y/y

2019

2018

y/y

Net electricity generation, by fuels:

14.88

16.82

-12%

58.32

65.91

-12%

lignite

7.38

9.60

-23%

32.20

38.98

-17%

hard coal

5.40

5.33

1%

18.94

20.66

-8%

natural gas

1.37

1.25

10%

4.49

4.12

9%

pumped-storage plants

0.20

0.12

67%

0.65

0.39

67%

hydro

0.05

0.05

0%

0.37

0.37

0%

wind

0.36

0.32

13%

1.27

1.06

20%

biomass

0.11

0.14

-21%

0.36

0.32

13%

Sales of heat [PJ]

16.31

17.28

-6%

48.76

49.66

-2%

Sales of electricity to final off-takers

11.23

11.06

2%

44.01

42.57

3%

Distribution of electricity

9.26

9.33

-1%

36.38

36.41

0%

Average realized wholesale price of electricity

[PLN/MWh]

Q4 2019

Q4 2018

y/y

2019

2018

y/y

Conventional Generation segment

250.6

183.3

37%

246.1

176.9

39%

District Heating segment

253.4

164.1

54%

254.2

164.5

55%

Total (Conv. Gen. and District Heating)

251.0

180.4

39%

247.0

175.7

41%

4Estimated key financial data

[PLN m]

Q4 2019

Q4 2018

y/y

2019

2018

y/y

EBITDA PGE Group, including:

1 046

1 231

-15%

7 118

6 375

12%

Conventional Generation

114

300

-62%

2 880

2 101

37%

District Heating

321

276

17%

1 186

852

39%

Renewables

126

109

16%

536

463

16%

Distribution

496

570

-13%

2 306

2 463

-6%

Supply*

-252

-193

31%

280

227

23%

Other + consolidation adjustements

240

169

42%

-70

269

n/d

One-off items

LTC compensations

5

-37

-8

-120

Change of reclamation provision

-589

-129

-835

-146

Change of actuarial provision

-63

-71

-99

-71

Additional EUA emission rights

10

0

1 446

0

Recurring EBITDA

1 683

1 468

15%

6 614

6 712

-1%

*According to accounting standards (IAS 37), Supply segment created provisions in years 2018 and 2019 for onerous contracts, resulting from the Act on electricity prices (2018) and from approval of the price of electricity for households -G Tariff for 2020 (2019). However, PGE Group made respective simultaneous adjustment on the consolidated result which reverses the impact of provision.

5Estimated CAPEX, net debt and EPS

[PLN m]

Q4 2019

Q4 2018

y/y

2019

2018

y/y

CAPEX

2 541

3 097

-18%

7 009

6 856

2%

Net debt (end of period)

11 415

9 600

1 815

Consolidated net result to equity

-309

-199

n/a

1 864

1 498

24%

Computation of net result to equity ex. impairments

Fixed assets impairment (pre-tax)*

-223

-200

-410

-402

Fixed assets impairment (after tax)*

-181

-162

-332

-326

Consolidated net result to equity - ex.

-128

-37

n/a

2 196

1 824

20%

Impairments*

Earnings per share [PLN]

-0.17

-0.11

n/a

1.00

0.80

24%

Earnings per share - ex. impairment

-0.07

-0.02

n/a

1.17

0.98

20%

*Impairment of Property, Plant and Equipment, Intangible Assets and Right-of-Use Assets

6Drivers of periodic results

Key factors that influenced y/y results dynamics

Q4 2019

2019

Recurring EBITDA increased by 15%y/y

  • Average realized wholesale price of electricity in Conventional Generation segment higher by67 PLN/MWh
  • Increased margin on electricity generated by District Heating segment (electricity price higher by89 PLN/MWh)
  • Generation volume lower by1.9 TWh, including 2.2 TWh lower generation from lignite
  • Cost of CO2 emission higher by approx.PLN 0.11bn
  • Personnel expenses higher by approx.PLN 0.29bn
  • Support forhighly-efficient cogeneration decreased by PLN 0.14bn
  • Sales of heat declined by1.0 PJ

Recurring EBITDA decreased by 1%y/y

  • Average realized wholesale price of electricity in Conventional Generation segment higher by69 PLN/MWh
  • Increased margin on electricity generated by District Heating segment (electricity price higher by90 PLN/MWh)
  • Generation volume lower by7.6 TWh, including 6.8 TWh lower generation from lignite
  • Cost of CO2 emission higher by approx.PLN 1.64bn
  • Personnel expenses higher by approx.PLN 0.58bn
  • Support forhighly-efficient cogeneration decreased by PLN 0.36bn
  • Sales of heat declined by0.9 PJ

Reported EBITDA lower by 15%y/y

Reported EBITDA higher by 12%y/y

Negative balance of one-offs y/y PLN-400mmainly as a

Positive balance of one-offs y/y PLN +841mimpacted by

result of higher reclamation provision.

additional EUA allowances granted in HY'19, increasing

financial results by PLN +1 446m.

7

Investor Relations contacts

Jakub Frejlich

Tel: (+48 22) 340 10 32

jakub.frejlich@gkpge.pl

Mob: +48 695 883 902

Krzysztof Dragan

Tel: (+48 22) 340 15 13

krzysztof.dragan@gkpge.pl

Mob: +48 601 334 290

Filip Osadczuk

Tel: (+48 22) 340 12 24

filip.osadczuk@gkpge.pl

Mob: +48 695 501 370

Stanisław Ozga

Tel: (+48 22) 340 12 69

stanislaw.ozga@gkpge.pl

Mob: +48 887 171 324

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PGE - Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA published this content on 04 February 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 February 2020 22:38:01 UTC