Projected Income Statement: Philip Morris International, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Philip Morris International, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 24,256 23,310 39,916 44,849 41,479 39,958 37,095 34,275
Change - -3.9% 71.24% 12.36% -7.51% -3.67% -7.17% -7.6%
Announcement Date 2/4/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Philip Morris International, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 602 748 1,077 1,321 1,444 1,517 1,535 1,611
Change - 24.25% 43.98% 22.66% 9.31% 5.02% 1.19% 4.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,210 11,219 9,726 7,883 10,773 10,992 12,932 14,368
Change - 21.81% -13.31% -18.95% 36.66% 2.03% 17.65% 11.1%
Announcement Date 2/4/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Philip Morris International, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.19% 46.13% 43.45% 40.35% 41.13% 43.87% 44.53% 45.56%
EBIT Margin (%) 40.77% 42.95% 40.64% 37.92% 38.78% 40.34% 40.6% 41.49%
EBT Margin (%) 38.17% 38.95% 36.63% 29.71% 32.21% 36.78% 37.74% 38.4%
Net margin (%) 28.08% 29% 28.49% 22.21% 18.63% 27.44% 28.1% 28.89%
FCF margin (%) 32.1% 35.72% 30.62% 22.41% 28.44% 26.73% 29.01% 30.3%
FCF / Net Income (%) 114.32% 123.16% 107.49% 100.9% 152.66% 97.39% 103.24% 104.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 18.37% 21.16% 18.03% 14.7% 16.09% 17.97% 19.66% 21.15%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.91x 1.61x 2.89x 3.16x 2.66x 2.22x 1.87x 1.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.63x 2.08x 4.1x 5.69x 3.85x 3.64x 2.87x 2.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.1% 2.38% 3.39% 3.76% 3.81% 3.69% 3.44% 3.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.75% 5.16% 7.8% 9.31% 9.27% 8.41% 7.73% 7.46%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.54% 6.67% 11.07% 16.76% 13.4% 13.8% 11.87% 11.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.298 7.676 6.961 5.927 7.852 7.853 8.75 10.03
Change - 21.88% -9.32% -14.86% 32.48% 0.02% 11.43% 14.59%
Dividend per Share 1 4.74 4.9 5.04 5.2 5.4 5.584 5.925 6.235
Change - 3.38% 2.86% 3.17% 3.85% 3.41% 6.1% 5.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 -8.069 -6.486 -5.771 -7.228 -7.551 -6.398 -4.104 -4.558
Change - 19.61% 11.03% -25.24% -4.48% 15.28% 35.86% -11.06%
EPS 1 5.16 5.83 5.81 5.02 4.52 7.234 8.055 8.823
Change - 12.98% -0.34% -13.6% -9.96% 60.03% 11.36% 9.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,557,316 1,556,828 1,550,202 1,552,406 1,554,833 1,556,517 1,556,517 1,556,517
Announcement Date 2/4/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 25.3x 22.8x
PBR -28.6x -44.7x
EV / Sales 7.91x 7.23x
Yield 3.05% 3.23%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
183.27USD
Average target price
183.73USD
Spread / Average Target
+0.25%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PM Stock
  4. Financials Philip Morris International, Inc.