Projected Income Statement: Poste Italiane S.p.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Poste Italiane S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 93,714 96,774 98,662 91,182 89,405 85,010 84,755 84,336
Change - 3.27% 1.95% -7.58% -1.95% -4.92% -0.3% -0.49%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 3/23/22 3/30/23 2/29/24 2/21/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Poste Italiane S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 680 754 810 846 965 913.8 933.3 965.6
Change - 10.88% 7.43% 4.44% 14.07% -5.3% 2.13% 3.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,237 3,430 -630 568 - 2,058 2,576 2,638
Change - 177.28% -118.37% 190.16% - - 25.15% 2.42%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 3/23/22 3/30/23 2/29/24 2/21/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Poste Italiane S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.13% 23.49% 26.25% 28.29% 30.31% 31.38% 32.16% 33.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.48% 16.45% 19.27% 21.6% 23.52% 24.42% 24.99% 25.73%
EBT Margin (%) 14.97% 19.32% 19.58% 22.49% 21.22% 24.69% 25.81% 26.52%
Net margin (%) 11.47% 14.06% 12.67% 15.85% 15.84% 17.25% 18.15% 18.56%
FCF margin (%) 11.75% 30.57% -5.3% 4.68% - 15.78% 19.36% 19.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 102.49% 217.36% -41.83% 29.55% - 91.47% 106.7% 104.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.47% - 0.55% 0.72% 0.73% 0.79% 0.75% 0.75%
ROE 11.38% 13.37% 14.35% 21.17% 18.21% 19.46% 19.14% 19.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 42.14x 36.71x 31.61x 26.58x 23.43x 20.77x 19.81x 18.67x
Debt / Free cash flow 75.76x 28.21x -156.61x 160.53x - 41.31x 32.91x 31.97x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.46% 6.72% 6.81% 6.98% 7.67% 7.01% 7.02% 7.08%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.58% 28.6% 25.95% 24.66% 25.29% 22.33% 21.82% 21.38%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.97% 21.98% -128.57% 148.94% - 44.4% 36.24% 36.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.472 - - - - 2.192 2.366 2.518
Change - - - - - - 7.92% 6.44%
Dividend per Share 1 0.486 0.59 0.65 0.8 1.08 1.207 1.289 1.362
Change - 21.4% 10.17% 23.08% 35% 11.74% 6.82% 5.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.807 9.303 - 7.968 8.947 9.54 10.19 10.86
Change - 5.63% - - 12.29% 6.63% 6.8% 6.58%
EPS 1 0.927 1.214 1.158 1.483 1.54 1.729 1.834 1.933
Change - 30.96% -4.61% 28.07% 3.84% 12.26% 6.09% 5.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,300,852 1,300,877 1,298,574 1,295,434 1,294,617 1,294,116 1,294,116 1,294,116
Announcement Date 2/17/21 3/23/22 3/30/23 2/29/24 2/21/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.4x 12.7x
PBR 2.44x 2.28x
EV / Sales 8.82x 8.63x
Yield 5.2% 5.55%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
23.23EUR
Average target price
22.08EUR
Spread / Average Target
-4.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PST Stock
  4. Financials Poste Italiane S.p.A.