Projected Income Statement: PTT

Forecast Balance Sheet: PTT

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 377,366 523,978 853,539 630,265 572,392 657,649 571,148 413,650
Change - 38.85% 62.9% -26.16% -9.18% 14.89% -13.15% -27.58%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: PTT

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 143,344 135,678 161,874 163,734 160,460 217,786 202,218 129,231
Change - -5.35% 19.31% 1.15% -2% 35.73% -7.15% -36.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 75,248 182,547 26,489 218,311 212,780 95,292 126,264 200,031
Change - 142.59% -85.49% 724.15% -2.53% -55.22% 32.5% 58.42%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: PTT

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.97% 18.95% 14.59% 13.58% 12.82% 13.25% 13.94% 13.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.52% 10.99% 8.58% 7.29% 7.36% 7.2% 7.52% 7.77%
EBT Margin (%) 4.03% 9.72% 6.31% 7.52% 5.85% 6.06% 6.35% 6.91%
Net margin (%) 2.34% 4.8% 2.71% 3.56% 2.91% 3.03% 3.16% 3.32%
FCF margin (%) 4.66% 8.08% 0.79% 6.94% 6.89% 3.11% 4.19% 6.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 199.25% 168.46% 29.05% 194.88% 236.23% 102.75% 132.8% 199.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.5% 3.85% 2.81% 3.3% 2.61% 2.88% 2.76% 3.35%
ROE 4.29% 11.47% 8.85% 10.3% 7.93% 8.28% 8.27% 8.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.67x 1.22x 1.74x 1.48x 1.44x 1.62x 1.36x 0.98x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.01x 2.87x 32.22x 2.89x 2.69x 6.9x 4.52x 2.07x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.87% 6.01% 4.81% 5.21% 5.19% 7.12% 6.72% 4.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 63.52% 31.7% 32.95% 38.35% 40.5% 53.71% 48.18% 30.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 190.5% 74.33% 611.09% 75% 75.41% 228.55% 160.15% 64.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.653 11.29 6.711 13.37 13.05 10.94 11.64 12.92
Change - 47.5% -40.54% 99.19% -2.36% -16.19% 6.39% 10.96%
Dividend per Share 1 1 2 2 2 2.1 1.909 1.904 1.918
Change - 100% 0% 0% 5% -9.09% -0.28% 0.76%
Book Value Per Share 1 30.88 35.24 36.85 39.25 40.25 41.63 43.54 45.61
Change - 14.13% 4.56% 6.51% 2.55% 3.43% 4.58% 4.77%
EPS 1 1.32 3.79 3.2 3.92 3.15 3.251 3.43 3.515
Change - 187.12% -15.57% 22.5% -19.64% 3.2% 5.52% 2.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,363,336 28,363,336 28,363,336
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 9.23x 8.75x
PBR 0.72x 0.69x
EV / Sales 0.49x 0.47x
Yield 6.36% 6.35%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
30.00THB
Average target price
33.47THB
Spread / Average Target
+11.56%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise