Projected Income Statement: PTT

Forecast Balance Sheet: PTT

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 523,978 853,539 630,265 572,392 582,988 588,702 517,187 379,394
Change - 62.9% -26.16% -9.18% 1.85% 0.98% -12.15% -26.64%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: PTT

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 135,678 161,874 163,734 160,460 163,734 175,912 156,246 128,286
Change - 19.31% 1.15% -2% 2.04% 7.44% -11.18% -17.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 182,547 26,489 218,311 212,780 135,632 156,614 175,626 204,054
Change - -85.49% 724.15% -2.53% -36.26% 15.47% 12.14% 16.19%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: PTT

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.95% 14.59% 13.58% 12.82% 12.5% 15.12% 14.8% 14.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.99% 8.58% 7.29% 7.36% 5.67% 8.24% 8.13% 8.38%
EBT Margin (%) 9.72% 6.31% 7.52% 5.85% 6.59% 7.22% 7.21% 7.66%
Net margin (%) 4.8% 2.71% 3.56% 2.91% 3.39% 3.69% 3.66% 3.84%
FCF margin (%) 8.08% 0.79% 6.94% 6.89% 5.09% 5.72% 6.23% 6.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.46% 29.05% 194.88% 236.23% 150.42% 155.05% 170.04% 181.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.85% 2.81% 3.3% 2.61% 3.51% 3.19% 3.15% 3.46%
ROE 11.47% 8.85% 10.3% 7.93% 7.92% 8.89% 8.72% 9.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.74x 1.48x 1.44x 1.75x 1.42x 1.24x 0.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 32.22x 2.89x 2.69x 4.3x 3.76x 2.94x 1.86x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.01% 4.81% 5.21% 5.19% 6.15% 6.43% 5.54% 4.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.7% 32.95% 38.35% 40.5% 49.19% 42.5% 37.44% 29.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 74.33% 611.09% 75% 75.41% 120.72% 112.32% 88.97% 62.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.29 6.711 13.37 13.05 10.54 11.1 11.25 12.33
Change - -40.54% 99.19% -2.36% -19.25% 5.32% 1.36% 9.62%
Dividend per Share 1 2 2 2 2.1 2.3 2.087 2.11 2.147
Change - 0% 0% 5% 9.52% -9.27% 1.12% 1.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 35.24 36.85 39.25 40.25 39.8 41.33 42.95 45.45
Change - 4.56% 6.51% 2.55% -1.12% 3.84% 3.93% 5.81%
EPS 1 3.79 3.2 3.92 3.15 3.15 3.544 3.614 3.938
Change - -15.57% 22.5% -19.64% 0% 12.5% 1.97% 8.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,562,996 28,324,336 28,324,336 28,324,336
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 10.3x 10.1x
PBR 0.88x 0.85x
EV / Sales 0.59x 0.55x
Yield 5.72% 5.78%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
36.50THB
Average target price
39.52THB
Spread / Average Target
+8.26%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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