Contents
2 3 4
5 6
1
Oil Balance Thailand: Jan - Aug 2020
Adequate refining capacity maintains the stability of country supply
Import (82%)
Supply
Domestic
Source: PTIT
233 KBD
Remark : (*)Refined product from refineries = 930 KBD, including domestic supply of LPG from GSPs and Petrochemical Plants = 92 KBD (**) Included Inventory
KBD = Thousand Barrels per day
2
Main driver of the Thai economy
Natural Gas Balance: Jan - Sep 2020
Remark: MMSCFD = Million Cubic Feet @ Heating Value 1,000 Btu/ft3
3
PTT Group:
Bt 13,151 bn (USD 418 Bn)
Bt 1,643 bn (USD 52 Bn)
Market Cap : SET & PTT Group
SET market Cap:
Robust revenue and net income growth since IPO (MMUSD) 1
2001 2001 | 2019 2019 |
Fully integrated & highly diversified over entire O&G value chain
International E&P business: 1,140 mmboe proved reserves in 2019
Sole operator & owner of gas transmission pipelines and Gas Separation Plants (GSPs) in Thailand
Largest refinery group in Thailand : 3 of 6 refineries
Largest petrochemical producer group in Thailand : 6 of 8 major petrochemical plants
Leading oil marketing business in Thailand : 1,911 retail stations2 and ~40%2 of market share by sales volume
International oil trading business having traded 82.9 bn liters3 in 2019
Power Plant flagship with committed capacity of 5,026 MW (equity portion)
1 2019 Annual Avg. BOT selling rate USD/THB of 31.22 (Avg. rate)
2 As of 31 Dec 2019
3 For the year 2019
Thailand best borrower award Best CEO
Best CFO
Best Managed Company Best Corporate Governance Best Investor Relations Best Corporate Social Responsibility
Best Commitment to Strong Dividend Policy
4
*Under the restructuring process, expected to be done within 2020
(100%)
Market Share ~ 40%
- Oil & Non-oil Retail
- Lubricants
- International Oil & Retail
(~48%)
Market Share > 50%
- Integrated Refinery & Petrochemical
(~48%)
Market Share > 50%
- Integrated Refineries & Petrochemical
(31.72%*)
5,026 MW
- Electricity
- Steam & Chill Water
- Energy Storage
• Ensuring customer satisfaction and loyalty by products and services
• Create value added thru downstream businesses
Remark: Percentage holding as of Oct 2020
5
5 6
6
PTTEP: Signed senior debt financing agreements of USD 14.9 bn to advance the first two-train LNG development
Signed ESPA with Oman's Ministry of Oil and Gas (MOG) : E&P rights of Block12
GPSC: Acquired Solar power plants in Thailand 39.5 MWOR: IPO Filing on 2 Apr 2020, SEC approved on 16 Sep 2020
PTT Group Refining Synergy amid COVID-19
• Rebalance JET & middle distillate during COVID-19
• Synergy group value chain optimization
• PTT group refineries U-rate
2Q20 : 95%
Subsidies during COVID-19
Public : reduced 3 baht/kg. (Apr.-Jul.)
Private : capped price at 15.31 baht/kg. for 5 months (16 Mar. -15 Aug.)
Low-income household 100 baht/person/month thru state welfare card for 6 months (Apr.-Sep.)
1Q20 : 101%
PTT Group's Bond issuance
Baht Bond USD Bond
: THB 35 bn Incl. Green Bond THB 2 bn : USD 700 mn
Key Business Drivers:
QoQ: Oil prices bottomed out in April and started to recover while gas pooled prices tend to decline HoH: During COVID-19 pandemic and oil price war, most of petroleum and petrochemical prices dropped
AVG. Petroleum Prices ($/bbl)
Dec-171Q1M8 ar-128Q18Jun-183Q18Sep-184Q18Dec-181Q1M9 ar-192Q1J9un-193Q19Sep-194Q19Dec-119Q20Mar-2Q020 Jun-J2u0l'20
Note: Figures are average & Naphtha (MOP'J)
Avg. NG Prices ($/MMBTU)
Dec-11Q718Mar-21Q818Jun-138Q18Sep-41Q8 18Dec-18Q19Mar-129Q1J9un-139Q1S9ep-194QD19ec-119Q2M0ar-220Q2J0un-J2u0l'20
PTT Consolidated Performance: 2Q20 & 1H20
QoQ: Improved NI from lower stock loss despite weaken demand & prices HoH: NI dropped from the impacts of Covid-19 pandemic and oil price war
Avg. Dubai (USD/BBL)40% QoQ
38% HoH
Revenue29% QoQ
Unit : MMTHB
-Lower from all businesses due to lower petroleum & petrochemical prices from oil price war and weaken demand caused by COVID-19
26% HoH
- Most businesses: Declined from lower selling prices and volumes due to Covid-19 impact + Power : Increased from GLOW's revenue
EBITDA67% QoQ
+ P&R: Increased from stock gain in 2Q20 (stock loss in 1Q20)
and improved Mkt GRM and most of petrochemical spreads
- EP : Soften from lower sales vol.& prices
- GAS : Weaken from GSP's turnaround and lower demand
- Oil : Declined from weaken demand and products' spread
44% HoH
- P&R : Declined from stock loss and lower GRM & Olefins spreads
- GAS : Lower from GSP's weaken selling prices & vol.
- EP : lower due to avg. selling prices aligned with crude price
- Oil : Lower mainly from weaken Jet fuel demand + Power : Increased from GLOW's contribution
NI>100% QoQ + Higher NI from better EBITDA + Higher FX gain from THB appreciation in 2Q20 + Lower Tax expenses mainly from PTTEP
- Higher hedging loss on derivatives
- Impairment from PTTEP's Mariana Oil Sands project
81% HoH
- Weaken EBTIDA
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
- Higher DD&A from EP and power businesses from acquisition + Lower tax expenses from lower performances + Higher gain on derivatives offset with FX loss
2Q20
Oil & Retail/ Power & Others
P&R
PTTEP
21%
30%
Revenue
23%
Oil & Retail/ Power & Others
P&R
17%
PTT-
EBITDA
Trading
20%
PTT-Gas
Oil & Retail/ Power & Others
P&R
19%
PTT-Gas
PTT-Trading
42%
PTTEP
11%
25%
Net Income
23%
PTTEP
41%
PTT
9
2Q20 vs 1Q20 PTT Consolidated Performance (QoQ):
Group performance rebounded due to lower stock loss over weaken demand & prices
(1,554)
Oil & Retail/ Power/ Others
2Q20: 15,670 1Q20: 17,867
2,197
1,263
(1,643)
Depreciation & Amortization
(229)
OPEX
2Q20: 34,602 1Q20: 35,865
2Q20: (634) 1Q20: 1,009
Other
FX & Derivatives
2Q20: 3,166 1Q20: 3,395
2Q20: 10,085 1Q20: 2,478
2,932 1,357 3,767
48%
5,647
Int. & CIT exp.&
Other
PTTEP
PTT
5,569
1,716
P&R
(14,486)
Oil & retail/ Power/ OthersOthers
Coal : lower vol. & prices and other income (tax payback)
Oil & Retail
Margin decreased; Jet A-1 due to price structure
Vol. decreased from impact of Covid-19 and lockdown
Power
Higher GM from lower natural gas and coal cost Higher contribution from affiliates
Petrochemical & Refining
Stock gain in 2Q20 due to crude oil price recovery while stock loss in 1Q20
Higher GRM from lower crude premium
Aromatics: Higher PX spread as a sharp drop in feedstock priceOlefins: Better products' spread & Volume as no SD in 2Q20
4,963
Gas
Extra Items
(966)<100%
MarginStock gain/(loss)
2Q20: 67,527 1Q20: 85,945
2Q20: 2,351 1Q20: (35,693)
1Q20
2Q20
GSP: Soften demand from domestic fuel and petrochemical customers due to impact of COVID-19 & drought situation (GSP#1 & GSP#5: Shutdown & Turndown 50%)
S&M : Lower NG sales vol. from Power, GSP and industrialsectors due to impact of COVID-19
Trading
Capture arbitrage opportunity in a favorable market
environment
Soften performance caused by COVID-19 pandemic & Oil price war
1H20 vs 1H19 PTT Consolidated Performance (HoH):
MMTHB
Oil & retail/ Power/ Others
Others
PTT NGD: lower selling prices ref. FO
Coal: lower vol. and prices from weak global demandPTTLNG: stable rev. and gain on derivatives
Oil & Retail
Higher stock loss following crude oil prices
Vol. decreased esp. Jet from COVID-19's lockdownMargin slightly declined mainly from Diesel and Gasoline
Power
Increasing vol. from full recognition of GLOW in 1H20
Petrochemical & Refining
Huge stock loss in 1H20 as crude price sharply dropped in 1Q20
Lower GRM from reduced all products' spread
Olefins: lower vol. as GC's major T/A & olefin spreads dropped
Aromatics: PX spreads dropped; despite higher vol.
PTTEP
Lower ASP following crude oil prices decreased
Higher vol. from Malaysia Project & Partex acquisition; despite lower demand due to COVID-19 impact
Gas
GSP: declined petchem prices & vol. from GSP S/D
S&M: declined selling price of industrial customers due to lower FO price linked & softer power demand
Lower loss on NGV's business due to lower vol. & price uplift
Trading
Capture arbitrage opportunity in a favorable market environment
Lower vol. from global demand
Extra Items
1H20
1H20 : PTTEP's impairment loss 47 MMUSD (Marina oil sand) 1H19 : - PTT Group: Additional Employee Compensation
+ IRPC: Claim from UHV project
(Unit: MMTHB)
Business Unit | 2Q19 | 1Q20 | 2Q20 | QoQ | 1H19 | 1H20 | HoH |
Gas | 19,850 | 14,433 | 11,028 | 24% | 37,798 | 25,461 | 33% |
| 4,438 | 1,924 | 1,356 | 30% | 7,941 | 3,280 | 59% |
| 8,520 | 9,079 | 8,960 | 1% | 17,153 | 18,039 | 5% |
| 5,059 | 1,803 | (475) | <(100)% | 9,311 | 1,328 | 86% |
| (1,015) | (580) | (684) | 18% | (2,163) | (1,264) | 42% |
| 2,848 | 2,207 | 1,871 | 15% | 5,556 | 4,078 | 27% |
2018 | 2019 | 2019 vs 2018 |
94,083 | 71,407 | 24% |
18,917 | 15,148 | 20% |
35,157 | 34,037 | 3% |
34,060 | 16,017 | 53% |
(4,871) | (4,177) | 14% |
10,820 | 10,382 | 4% |
Trading2/
363907
1,251
38%
976
2,158
>100%
5,929 | 2,130 | 64% |
20,21315,34012,27920%38,77427,61929%
100,012 | 73,537 | 26% |
1/ Others include PTTLNG, PTTNGD, and PTTGL 2/ For MIS and include PTTT and PTTT LDN
Note Since July 2018 Oil business has been transferred to subsidiaries (OR), see more details in Oil business performance
Consolidated Balance Sheets
Key Financial Ratio
1.84
1,266,492 − Local Currency
Net Debt/EBITDA ≤ 2.0
AP & Other Liabilities
0.25
0.32
Net Debt/Equity ≤ 1.0
Interest Bearing Debt (IBD)
2019
1H20
Total Equity
131 Dec. 192* | 4 30 Jun. 250 |
Assets/Liabilities/ Equity:
- Decrease in accounts receivables and inventories: Impact from lower sales vol. and prices from COVID-19 & Price War
- Decrease in accounts payables: lower vol. and prices + Increase in right of use assets; asset reclassification according to TFRS 16 (Leases)
+ Higher Interest Bearing Debt (IBD) from increase in affiliated companies' long term borrowing (bond/loan)
- Lower equity due to dividend payment despite lower net profit in 1H20
Dividend Policy & Historical Payments
1H2020 Dividend payout at 50.0% and dividend yield at 3.4%
Avg. since IPO 44%
Contents
5 6
Resilience
Ensure resiliency
• Spend SmarteR /Secure liquidity
• Optimize group value chain
• Ensure business continuity
• Safeguard customers & employees
Restart
Enhance competitiveness
• Synergize operation
• Maintain financial strength
• Build efficient & agile workforce
• Engage and retain customers
PTT Group Strategic Move for Growth
Reimagination :
Initiate business action: Both in existing businesses and new growth for the next normal
REIMAGINE Upstream
"Strategic move in LNG Business to be LNG Portfolio Player"
• Expand LNG Business overseas
• Globally Investment in upstream related businesses
REINFORCE downstream
"Enhance more synergy for group value to create sustainable long-term competitiveness"
• Strengthen collaboration and trust to maximize value along value chain
• Reduce redundant investment
REIGNITE new business at SCALE
"Drive strategic enablers to speed up execution"
• Invest in renewables-related businesses, e.g. Storage/Grid network, EV, Smart energy platform
• Explore & Expand into New Business (Life Sciences, Advanced Materials, Mobility & Life Style, Logistics)
~10%
New
Business Pharmaceutical
Develop Thailand's first cancer pharmaceutical factory
Explore M&A opportunities
Note: Currently, PTT Group's renewable energy portfolio is 200 MW : Investment budget is included in the Provisional CAPEX
Medical Device
EV Platform : Currently 30 stations
Target: 100 EV chargers in 2021
Develop Bio-Cellulose for Wound Dressing
Battery Plant & Smart Grid, Artificial Intelligence
Medical masks, Dust mask, and Medical gloves from the situation of the COVID-19
Strategic PARTNERSHIP
New PLATFORM
PTT: Committed CAPEX (PTT and Wholly Owned Subsidiaries)
Focus on core businesses (Gas and Downstream)
PTT 5-Years (2020-2024) Committed CAPEX Plan totaling Baht 173,3951/ million or ~ USD 5.4 bn
PTTLNG
28,696 MB
Transmission 31,961 MB
Other Infrastructure
10,780 MB i.e. EECi (Wangchan Valley), VC, and Energy related new business
New Pipelines2/
LNG Terminal 2
5th onshore Pipeline,
17% 6%
18%
Gas 10,794 MB
6%
GSP Maintenance
53%
Other wholly owned subsidiaries mainly downstream businesses
91,164 MB
i.e. Oil and retail businesses, MTP Phase#3 (PTT Tank)
Note: 2020 budget revision approved by BOD on 28 May. 20 & 2021-2024 revision is estimated by PTT's Planning and Budgeting Department : The Committed CAPEX excluded the restructuring transaction of power business within PTT Group
1/ The revision of 5-years capex plan decreased by 4% from 180,814 MB (Business Plan)
2/ Subject to project's approval
Total committed CAPEX during 2020-2024* : ~Bt 827 bn or USD 26 bn
Committed CAPEX: PTT Group
Power Business
Key Projects
• ERU
• Synergy Capture
• Renewable Energy (Solar/Wind)
PTT Business
Downstream Business
Key Projects
• TOP: Clean Fuel Project (CFP)
• GC: Olefin reconfiguration Plant,
Propylene Oxide/Polyols,
• IRPC: Euro V
• OR: Oil & Retail Expansion in domestic & international
• 2nd LNG Regasification Terminal
Upstream Business
Key Projects
Unit: MMTHB
• Onshore and Offshore Exploration and Production in Thailand (Bongkoch, Erawan etc.)
• Algeria HBR
• Southwest Vietnam
• SK410B
• Mozambique LNG
Gas Business Roadmap
Short term Gas Demand growth be maintained
Thailand Gas Demand Outlook (Short Term - 5 year plan)
New Supply
Additional capacity (mmscfd)
Bongkot Erawan Mozambique
700
800
LNG new project Cum. Capacity (MTA)
LNG Terminal 2 19.0
Stronger demand of NG for power plants
Newly Thailand Power Development Plan
PDP 2015*
PDP 2018 Rev.1
*Source: Ministry of Energy
** Source : EPPO (Public Hearing presentation)
Growth of natural gas upon Government fuel diversification policy for power generation
Natural Gas :
Old*
: Power
~ 2%
: GSP
: Industry ~ 1%
~ -7%
: NGV
~ -6%
Thailand Gas Demand Replace :
Coal กระบี่ (800 MW), EE 30%
2 3
5 6
2H2020 Petroleum and Gas Outlook
$/bbl
Price | 1Q20 | 2Q20 | 1H19 | 1H20 | Y19 | Y20(E) |
Dubai | 50.7 | 30.6 | 65.4 | 40.6 | 63.5 | 40-45 |
Mogas | 57.4 | 33.1 | 71.1 | 45.3 | 72.5 | 45-50 |
Gasoil | 61.7 | 36.3 | 78.0 | 49.0 | 77.2 | 48-53 |
FO (3.5%) | 43.4 | 28.9 | 64.6 | 36.2 | 58.7 | 35-39 |
Singapore GRM | 1.2 | (0.9) | 3.3 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 0.5-1.5 |
$/MMBTU 8
6 4 2 0
Gas/LNG |
Asian Spot LNGHenry Hub |
1Q19
2Q19
3Q19
4Q19
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20
4Q20
Price | 1Q20 | 2Q20 | 1H19 | 1H20 | Y19 | Y20(E) |
Asian Spot LNG | 3.6 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 2.7 - 3.3 |
Henry Hub (HH) | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 - 2.4 |
Source: PTT, PRISM Petroleum Rolling as of Jul 2020
Dubai
+ Global economy and oil demand recover after lockdown eased. However, market remains concern about the second wave of COVID-19.
+ OPEC+ cut oil output 7.7 MMBD from Aug. to Dec.'20, non-OPEC supply in 2020 is expected to decrease by 3 MMBD YoY (IEA).
+ Geopolitical Risk; U.S. conflicts with Iran, and Venezuela, plus unrest in other oil producing countries such as Libya, Nigeria.
- U.S. - China trade tensions, including political standpoints may weigh on market sentiment.
Mogas
+ Gradual demand returns from lifting lockdown restrictions, reopening economic activity, driving season in US, despite the resurgence of COVID-19 infections.
- High regional supply remains due to ramping up in refinery runs and strong Chinese gasoline exports.
Gasoil+ An uptick in industrial activities will support demand
- The increase exports from India and China and the pullback in refinery runs would create supply overhang
Fuel Oil+ Bunker demand slowly improve following the recovery in trade activities
- Expected ease of supply due to lower level of OPEC+ production cuts
- Demand from power generation will be faded after summer
Singapore GRM+ Firmer crack margins affected by the recovery in demand
Gas/LNG
• Asian Spot LNG: + Higher demand as the region enters winter
- Record high inventory levels pressured demand growth
• Henry Hub:
- Reduction in economic activities result in lower prices
2H2020 Petrochemical Outlook
Olefins + Downstream demand recover after the easing of the COVID-19 restriction amid concern on the 2nd wave of COVID-19.
+ High demand from single-use applications, such as food packaging and medical products, will continue throughout this year.
- New supply from Malaysia and China in 2H20
Aromatics
-PX downstream demand expect to be stable-to-soft, especially in textile and clothing industries, due to slow growth of global macroeconomics.
- Incoming Chinese PX supply to startup at the end of this year
-Benzene downstream demand, especially automotive and appliance, gradually recover after the easing of the COVID-19 restriction but expect to slow toward the end of year
Polystyrene
Source: PTT, PRISM
Petrochemical Rolling as of Jul 2020
Polystyrene (PS)
+ Two major PS producers in Asia discontinued production due to bearish long-term outlook.
+ Healthy PS demand for food packaging and medical application as ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
- Demand from appliance, automotive and construction are not expected to show significant recovery in 2020 as global economic slowdown.
28
2 3 4
Upstream
*Note: compared to Business Plan
Intermediate
Gas Pipeline
• Performance maintain as per committed volume of pipeline
S&M
• Gas consumption in relation to domestic GDP both for power and industrial customers
GSP
• Optimal utilization rate to align with Petrochemical demand and domestic LPG demand
Total Gas volume ~ 6-11% : mainly due to industrial's and transportation's demand
Maximize utilization to mitigate gas market volatility
Downstream
Trading
• Crude/project supply and procurement optimization according to market
• Expected trading volume ~ 6%
• Sales volume both oil and non-oil businesses relative to country GDP
• PTT group refinery U-Rate in 2020 range from 90%-100%
• Running optimization with group central balance model to get optimal In & out take plan as a group
Infrastructure
Group's immediate focus & strengthening with closed monitoring
Strong foundation for growth thru any crisis
01 02 Resilience Restart Immediate actions to address challenges and ensure resiliency Restart the business back to scale quickly and ensure competitiveness
| 03 04 Re-imagination Reform Initiates & design business models for opportunities (Next Normal) Reform corporate & businesses to operate in every situation
|
Present focus on Resilience & Restart … to New normal
Reimagine & Reform … for Next normal
"Decrease-Discard-Defer" Measures & Prioritize CAPEX
Decrease
• Donation/CSR
• Outsources/ Advisory
Discard
• SG&A
• Advertising/ Events
Defer
• Maintenance
• New projects
2 3 4
PTT Group Performance : 2Q2020 (QoQ)
E&P | - PTTEP |
Petrochemical | |
- PTTGC | |
- Other | |
Refining | |
- TOP | |
- IRPC | |
Shared of Net Income from Affiliates |
Tax adjustment for gain on disposal of investment and asset |
PTT Conso. Net Income |
1/ Including BSA, PTT TCC, and RTC |
2Q19 | 1Q20 | 2Q20 | QoQ | |||
10,748 | 1,716 | 4,963 | >100% | |||
13,684 | 8,613 | 4,322 | (50%) | |||
2,269 | (8,712) | 1,728 | >100% | |||
2,202 | (8,784) | 1,671 | >100% | |||
67 | 72 | 57 | (21%) | |||
1,074 | (22,659) | 2,069 | >100% | |||
567 | (13,754) | 2,480 | >100% | |||
507 | (8,905) | (411) | 95% | |||
6,009 | 5,559 | 6,096 | 10% | |||
Inter | - PTTER/PTTGM | 303 | (2,007) | 1,218 | >100% | |
Gas | - PTTLNG/PTTNGD/PTTGL/TTM(T)/TTM(M) | 2,094 | 2,353 | 1,465 | (38%) | (30%) |
Utilities | - GPSC/TP/DCAP/PTTME/PTTES/PTTDIGITAL/ENCO | 1,526 | 2,234 | 2,568 | 15% | 68% |
Oil & Oth. | - PTTT/PTTOR/THAPPLINE/Others1/ | 2,086 | 2,979 | 845 | (72%) | (59%) |
23,036 | (17,199) | 14,215 | >100% | (38%) | ||
(313) | (402) | (12) | 97% | 96% | ||
33,471 | (15,885) | 19,166 | >100% | (43%) | ||
>100% | 47.12% |
<(100%) | 47.55% |
1% | |
>100% | 100% |
2Q19 | 1Q20 | 2Q20 | QoQ | YoY | |
10,748 | 1,716 | 4,963 | >100% | (54%) | |
8,934 | 5,569 | 2,801 | (50%) | (69%) | |
1,173 | (4,015) | 837 | >100% | (29%) | |
1,106 | (4,088) | 780 | >100% | (29%) | |
(15%) | 67 | 73 | 57 | (22%) | (15%) |
93% | 753 | (10,471) | 520 | >100% | (31%) |
540 | (6,255) | 690 | >100% | 28% | |
213 | (4,216) | (170) | 96% | <(100%) | |
4,643 | 6,049 | 2,944 | (51%) | (37%) | |
308 | 154 | 82 | (47%) | (73%) | |
1,862 | 2,386 | 1,337 | (44%) | (28%) | |
382 | 564 | 641 | 14% | 68% | |
2,091 | 2,945 | 884 | (70%) | (58%) | |
15,503 | (2,868) | 7,102 | >100% | (54%) | |
(313) | (402) | (12) | 97% | 96% | |
25,938 | (1,554) | 12,053 | >100% | (54%) | |
35 |
89
PTT Group Performance : 1H20 vs 1H19 (HoH)
Unit : MMTHB
Performance 100%
% PTT holdingEquity Method % PTT
Petrochemical |
- PTTGC |
- Other |
1H19 | 1H20 | 1H19 | 1H20 | HoH | |
19,164 | 6,679 | 19,164 | 6,679 | (65%) | |
26,163 | 12,935 | 17,081 | 8,370 | (51%) | |
8,782 | (6,984) | 4,177 | (3,178) | <(100%) | |
8,645 | (7,113) | 4,040 | (3,308) | <(100%) | |
137 | 129 | 137 | 130 | (5%) | |
5,635 | (20,590) | 2,592 | (9,951) | <(100%) | |
- TOP | 4,975 | (11,274) | 2,289 | (5,565) | <(100%) |
- IRPC | 660 | (9,316) | 303 | (4,386) | <(100%) |
Others Business | 15,365 | 11,655 | 12,549 | 8,993 | (28%) |
1,553 | (789) | 1,563 | 236 | ||
4,305 | 3,818 | (11%) | 3,755 | 3,723 | |
3,050 | 4,802 | 57% | 769 | 1,205 | |
6,457 | 3,824 | (41%) | 6,462 | 3,829 | |
55,945 | (2,984) | <(100%) | 36,399 | 4,234 | |
(313) | 390 | >100% | (313) | (414) | |
74,796 | 4,085 | (95%) | 55,250 | 10,499 |
(41%)
HoH
PTT Net operating Income
(65%)
E&P
- PTTEP
(51%)
64.88%
<(100%)
<(100%)
47.92%
(6%)
Refining
<(100%)
<(100%)
<(100%)
47.12% 47.55%
(24%)
Inter
- PTTER/PTTGM
<(100%)
100%
(85%)
Gas
- PTTLNG/PTTNGD/PTTGL/TTM(T)/TTM(M)
(1%)
Utilities
- GPSC/TP/DCAP/PTTME/PTTES/PTTDIGITAL/ENCO
57%
Oil & Oth.
- PTTT/PTTOR/THAPPLINE/Others1/
Shared of Net Income from Affiliates
(88%)
Tax adjustment for gain on disposal of investment and asset
32%
PTT Conso. Net Income
1/ Including BSA, PTT TCC, and RTC
(81%)
89
Statements of Consolidated Cash Flows : YE2019 vs 1H2020
Cash & cash eqi
Beginning Cash & Cash Equivalents | |
292,184 | 292,542 |
142,421 | 38,263 |
434,605 | 330,805 |
Operating | YE2019 265,107 | 1H2020 99,440 |
Net Income | 92,951 | 10,499 |
Changes in assets & liabilities | 26,663 | 33,197 |
Non-Cash Adjustment | 210,752 | 90,524 |
Income Tax | (65,259) | (34,780) |
Investing | YE2019 (188,218) | 1H2020 (130,894) |
CAPEX (PP&E, Intangible asset) | (149,951) | (80,267) |
Current investment | 108,719 | (63,524) |
Investment (Sub. & Affiliates & others) | (161,121) | (2,399) |
Others | 2,922 | 10,077 |
Dividend/Interest Received | 11,213 | 5,219 |
Unit : MMTHB
Current inv.
Financing Loan/Bond repayment
Ordinary share issuance of subsidiaries
Dividend Paid
Finance cost paid
Others /Derivatives
Received from loans/Bonds
Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents | 292,542 | 257,858 |
Current inv. | 38,264 | 97,373 |
Ending cash incl. S/T investment | 330,806 | 355,231 |
Statements of Cash Flows (PTT Only) : YE2020 vs 1H2020
Operating | YE2019 46,834 | 1H2020 16,681 |
Net Income | 61,657 | 28,030 |
Non-Cash Adjustment | (1,788) | (5,594) |
Income Tax | (29,289) | (3,642) |
Changes in assets & liabilities | 16,254 | (2,113) |
Cash | In/(Out) | |
Cash & cash eqi | (39,723) | (5,729) |
Current inv. | (6,970) | 6,451 |
Beginning Cash and Cash Equivalents | |
86,204 | 46,481 |
21,972 | 15,002 |
108,176 | 61,483 |
Investing | YE2019 6,212 | 1H2020 13,946 |
Dividend/Interest Received | 33,035 | 20,241 |
Others | (6,281) | 11,156 |
Investment (Sub. & Affiliates & others) | (20,098) | 1,493 |
Current investment | 17,761 | (9,632) |
CAPEX (PP&E, Intangible asset) | (18,205) | (9,312) |
Financing | (93,171) | (35,812) |
Dividend Paid | (59,979) | (31,416) |
Finance cost paid | (6,720) | (2,716) |
Loan/Bond repayment | (50,658) | (1,725) |
Received from loans/Bonds | 24,186 | 0 |
Others | 0 | 45 |
Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents | 46,481 | 40,752 |
Current inv. | 15,002 | 21,453 |
Ending cash incl. S/T investment | 61,483 | 62,205 |
Note : 1. PTT Data as of 30 Jun 20 (THB/USD = 31.0658 THB/JPY = 0.2906) excluding liabilities from finance leases.
2. Debt Outstanding represents amount and portion before derivative swaps, and reconciled with accounting.
3. Cost of debts, % fixed rate, and avg. debt life took into account the derivative transactions, including withholding tax (update as of 30 Jun 20).
Debt Outstanding and Repayment Profile
Unit : MM THB
As of 30 Jun 20
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000 -
Note: 1. Debt Outstanding for Repayment Profile represents financial data and portion after derivative swaps
*PTTC10DA (Century Bonds) is due on 2 Dec 2110
2. Bond repayment in 2022 is THB swaps to USD.
939 4
Data as of 30 Jun 2020
Subsidiaries
Consolidate
PTT Exploration & Production Plc. PTTEP 64.79%
PTT Natural Gas Distribution Co., Ltd. PTTNGD 58.00%PTT LNG Co., Ltd.
PTTLNG 100.00%
PTT Global LNG Co., Ltd
PTTGL 50.00%
Joint Ventures
Equity
Trans Thai-Malaysia (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Trans Thai-Malaysia (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd.
TTM (T) 50.00%
TTM (M) 50.00%Map Ta Phut Air Products Company Limited MAP 49.00%
Subsidiaries
PTT Oil & Retail Business Co., Ltd.
OR
Consolidate 100.00%
Others
Cost
PetroAsia (Maoming) Co., Ltd. PA(Maoming) 20.00%PetroAsia (Sanshui) Co., Ltd.
PA(Sanshui) 25.00%
Subsidiaries
Consolidate
Global Power Synergy Co., Ltd* Thai Oil Power Co., Ltd.*
TP 26.00%
PTT Digital Solutions Co., Ltd.* PTT Energy Solutions Co., Ltd.* Energy Complex Co., Ltd.
PTT DIGITAL 20.00%
PTTES 40.00%
EnCo 50.00%
Joint Ventures
Equity
District Cooling System and Power Plant
DCAP
35.00%
Others
Cost
Baania (Thailand) Company Ltd. HG Robotics Plc.
Baania 2.89%
HG Robotics 9.49%
Innospace (Thailand)
Innospace 19.42%
GPSC **22.81%Petrochemical Subsidiaries PTT Global Chemical Plc.* PTT Tank Terminal Co., Ltd.
Consolidate
GC 47.92%
PTTTANK 100.00%
Refining Subsidiaries
Consolidate
Thai Oil Plc.*
TOP 47.03%
IRPC Plc.*
IRPC 47.55%
Subsidiaries
Consolidate
PTT International Trading Pte. PTT International Trading London Ltd
PTTT 100.00%
PTTT LDN 100.00%
PTT International Trading USA Inc.
PTTT USA 100.00%
Subsidiaries
Consolidate
PTT Energy Resources Co., Ltd.
PTTER 100.00%PTT Green Energy Pte. Ltd PTTGE 100.00%
PTT Global Management Co., Ltd. PTTGM 100.00%
Subsidiaries
Consolidate
Business Service Alliance Co., Ltd.* PTT Regional Treasury Center Pte. Ltd. PTT Treasury Center Co. Ltd
BSA 25.00%
PTTRTC 100.00%
PTT TCC 100.00%
Others
Cost
Sarn Palung Social Enterprise Company Ltd. Dhipaya Insurance Plc.
SPSE 20.00%
TIP 13.33%
Remark : * Subsidiaries that PTT holds less than 50% but being consolidated because PTT has the power to control the financial and operating policies.
: ** After the restructuring process (which is expected to be done in 2020) will be 31.72%
E&P : Prices & Volume and NI
QoQ: Soften performance due to lower selling prices and volume
HoH: NI dropped from lower selling prices despite higher sales volume from acquisition
Product Prices
Sales Volume
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
Net Income (100%)
MMUSD
* Includes Gain/(Loss) on FX, Deferred tax from Functional currency, Current Tax from FX Revaluation, Gain/(Loss) from Financial Instruments, Impairment loss on assets and etc.
Key Highlights
QoQ
- Avg. Selling Price: decreased 22% according to lower crude oil price
- Volume: decreased 10% mainly from lower gas nomination in Bongkot & Contract 4 projects
- NI: dropped 51% as lower avg. selling prices & sales vol., hedging loss and impairment in Mariana Oil sand project
HoH
- Avg. Selling Price: decreased 15% as drop in crude oil price + Volume: increased 6% from acquisition of Malaysia project & Partex
Group despite lower sales vol. of Contract 4 project
- NI dropped 51% due to lower margin and higher DD&A, tax expenses, and impairment loss despite gain on derivatives
E&P: Guidance & Strategy
2030 Aspiration Targets
Achievable through "Execute" and "Expand" Strategy
PTTEP strategy
Gas Business : Prices & Sales Vol.
QoQ : Lower NG vol. from Power, GSP, and Industrial owing to COVID-19's weak demand HoH : Decreased in NG vol. of all customers esp. Power due to COVID-19 pandemic
* HSFO 180 CST 2%S
QoQ
- NG sales vol. declined 8% mainly from Power, GSP, and industrial customers due to
COVID-19
- GSP vol. decreased 11% as more planned SD and TD 50% of GSP1's & GSP5's in 2Q20 according to seasonal drought and COVID-19's lower demand + Avg. pooled gas price (cost) dropped 5% from Myanmar gas and imported LNG - NGV: selling prices of public car decreased 3 baht/kg. despite the lower sales vol. from COVID-19 effect
HoH
- NG sales vol. soften 9% from power, GSP, and industrial customers
- Power vol. dropped 8% mainly from COVID-19 pandemic
- GSP vol. decreased 9% from more SD & TD due to lower petrochemical demand
- Price: Industrial selling prices decreased according to dropped FO price due to IMO effect
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
- Avg. pooled gas price (cost) dropped 1% from Myanmar gas and imported LNG + NGV sales vol. dropped from lockdown policy and lower of alternative fuel prices 43
Gas Business Performance
QoQ: Lower EBITDA due to overall gas sales volume dropped esp. GSP from more planned SD & TD HoH: Lower EBITDA mainly from GSP and S&M while TM & LNG Terminal EBITDA sustained
QoQ
- GSP performance declined due to lower sales vol. from GSP's SD & TD in 2Q20 more than in 1Q20 and lower average selling prices
- S&M decreased from 8% lower gas sales vol. due to soften domestic power demand and GSP's SD and TD
- NGV higher loss from lower public selling prices but lower vol. from lock down
• TM & LNG terminal still contributed stable performances
HoH
- GSP dropped significantly due to
- Lower average selling prices from the lower global referenced petchem prices
- Lower sales vol. from planned SD and lower demand due to COVID-19 impact
- higher feed cost
- S&M decreased due to lower industrial selling prices linked to FO prices & drop of sales vol. mainly from COVID-19 impact caused lower NG demand
+ NGV lower loss from lower sales volume
• TM & LNG Terminal contributed stable performances
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
Trading Business:
QoQ & HoH: Higher EBITDA due to enhanced gross margin from arbitrage opportunity despite lower sales vol. owing to Covid-19 impact
Unit: THB/Liter
Gross Margin1
HoH
17% QoQ
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
1 PTT Trading BU + trading subsidiaries: FX Adjusted + gain/loss on derivatives
Unit: MM Liter
Sales Volume2
2Q19
1Q20
2 PTT Trading BU + trading subsidiaries
2Q20
1H19
1H20
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
3 PTT Trading BU + trading subsidiaries: FX Adjusted + gain/loss on derivatives
Key Highlights
QoQ + Margin increased 17% from lower domestic condensate discount
- Volume decreased 8% mainly from out-out transaction of crude oil & petroleum products from impact of COVID-19 + EBITDA increased from higher GM from capturing arbitrage opportunity
HoH
- Volume decreased 4% due to lower out-out transaction of crude oil & petroleum products from impact of COVID-19 + EBITDA increased from other income and capturing arbitrage opportunity
1H20
Oil Business : OR Group
QoQ: lower EBITDA from lower margin and sales volume during lockdown
HoH : lower EBITDA from decreased sales volume from COVID-19 impact and higher stock loss
Petroleum Prices
Gross margin1/Sales volume
3Q19
2Q19 1Q20 2Q20
QoQYoYHoH
1Q18
2Q18
3Q18
4Q18
1Q19
2Q19
OR Group - EBITDA
QoQ
YoY
HoH
Oil
Non-oil
Inter & Other
25%
31% 36%
33%
39% 18%
74%>100% 7%
Total
22%
27% 30%
4Q19
1Q20
2Q20
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1/Excluded Non-oil, stock gain/loss, non-recurring item
Key Highlights
1H20
QoQ
- Margin was lower mainly from Jet A-1 (lower margin amid 2Q20 oil price uptrend as "month -1" selling price structure)
- Volume dropped 18% in all products from COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns mainly jet fuel
- EBITDA decreased 22% due to lower oil's margin & volume and non-oil EBITDA amid COVID-19's lockdown
HoH
- Margin decreased mainly from Diesel and Gasoline as well as higher stock loss
-
Volume dropped 8% in all products from COVID-19 Pandemic and lockdowns mainly Jet fuel
- EBITDA decreased 30% due to oil's lower margin & volume and non-oil EBITDA due to COVID-19 impact
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
P&R Businesses
2Q20
QoQ: Improved performance thanks to oil demand recovery HoH: Soften performance in line with global trend
Olefins
2Q19
Refinery U-Rate
Dubai
101%
67.4
Spread toDubai: 7.5 $/bbl
12.4
5.6
11.0
6.7
(2.3)
1Q20
101%
95%
Refinery
1H19
1H20
102% 65.4
50.7
30.6
98% 40.6
12.2
8.5
12.6 12.6
Diesel 8.4
5.7
2.6
4.6
4.2 Kerosene
(0.1)
(1.6)
(0.9)
Gasoline (4.5) FO 3.5%
(7.4)
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
Unit: $/BBL | 2Q19 | 1Q20 | 2Q20 | 1H19 | 1H20 |
Mkt GRM | 2.44 | 0.83 | 1.60 | 2.44 | 1.22 |
Stock G/L excl. NRV | 0.02 | -9.00 | -3.33 | 0.83 | -6.44 |
Hedging G/L | 0.36 | 0.79 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
A/C GRM | 2.82 | -7.38 | -1.56 | 3.41 | -4.72 |
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
Net Income (100%)
TOP's T/A (Aro)
>100% QoQ
1H20
Unit : MMTHB
GC's T/A (Aro I)
<(100%) HoH
14,417
3,343
GC's T/A (Olefin)
3,797
67 2,202 507
567
72
(31,371)
(13,754)
(8,905)
(8,784)
57 1,671 2,480
(411)
137 8,645 660 4,975
(27,574)
PTT TANK
TOP
IRPC
GC
129
(11,274)
(9,316)
(7,113)
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
P&R : Projects Update
ME plants2 | UHV Catalyst Cooler | Low Sulfur FO Project. | PO/ Polyols | MTP Retrofit (Olefins Reconfiguration) | CFP (Clean Fuel Project) | |
Objective/C apacity |
|
|
|
*94% in progress as of June 2020 |
*91% in progress as of June 2020 |
|
CAPEX | 1,650 MB (~50 MMUSD) | 1,320 MB (~40 MMUSD) | 3 MB | 888 MMUSD | 985 MMUSD | 4.8 Bn.USD incl. ERU unit 757 M.USD |
COD | Apr'19 | Phase I: May'19 Phase II: Aug'19 | Jul'19 | 2H20 (FID Aug'17) | 2H20 (FID Jan'18) | 1Q23 (FID Jul'18) |
Other Businesses : Coal Business (SAR)
QoQ & HoH : NI dropped due to lower other income from tax lawsuit case and lower selling prices & volume
Unit: $/Ton
Avg. Selling Price1/ & Cash cost1/
kTon
Sales Volume
1/Average Calorific value ~ 5,400 kcal/kg
QoQ
- Volume dropped 16% from lower export from Jembayan
- Avg. Selling Price: lower 12% due to referenced New Castle Coal price + Cash cost was down 6% from lower gasoil price & New Castle Coal price
- NI decreased 93% from no payback on tax lawsuit case as in 1Q20
HoH
- Volume decreased 7% due to lower export from Jembayan
- Avg. Selling Price: down 14% due to lower referenced New Castle price + Cash cost was lower 13% according to gasoil price and New Castle price
- NI decreased from lower payback on tax lawsuit case
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
QoQ: NI increased from lower NG cost and higher contribution from affiliates HoH: Higher performance from the full recognition of GLOW
Sales Volume
QoQ
YoY
HoH
Power Steam
2 %
7% 36%
2 %
4% 22%
Key Drivers: Weighted Avg. Selling & NG Prices
QoQYoY
HoH
SPP Avg. Selling Prices
Avg. NG Cost
1%3% 3%
1 %4% 5%
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
Net Income
QoQ
YoY
HoH
NI
20%
75%
72%
Unit: MMTHB
3,476
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
Key Highlights
QoQ
- Sales vol. decreased slightly due to lower dispatch vol. of Sriracha according to EGAT instruction while SPP and VSPP volume improved + SPP Avg. NG Cost decreased according to lower NG prices + NI increased mainly from lower NG and coal cost, and higher contribution from affiliates (XPCL,GRP solar power plants, ISP1)
HoH
+ Sales vol. increased from the full recognition of GLOW in 1H20
+ SPP Avg. NG Cost decreased according to lower NG prices
+ NI increased from full recognition of GLOW in 1H20 despite lower Energy Payment from Sriracha
2Q19
1Q20
2Q20
1H19
1H20
Upcoming Projects to Bolster Future Growth
Committed Capacity SCOD from 2020 - 2023
GPSC Growth Pipeline and Strategy
GPSC Electricity Growth Pipeline
Notes:
1. Consisting of operating projects 4,708 MW (COD before 2020), GRP, NNEG
2. Maintain original capacity of Glow Cogeneration plants
3. SPP Replacement Stage 1: Glow Energy Phase 2 (new plant with 2 PPAs with EGAT, total capacity of 192 MW electricity and 300 T/h steam, SCOD in 2022; and SPP Replacement Stage 2: Glow SPP2 and Glow SPP3 is under feasibility study for internal investment approval.
Strategic Direction and Growth Strategy Selective Growth
"Continuously seeking more international growth opportunities"
Focus Countries: Thailand, Myanmar, Vietnam, and Taiwan
Natural Gas Price Structure : Jan-Jun 2020
Gas prices are mostly agreed under long term contracts and volatility pass-through to ensure stable returns
Sales Price Structure
Customers
+
+
Power Producers 60%
: EGAT 19%
: IPP 12%
1.75% * 1.75% * 9.33% *
: SPP 29%
* EGAT IPP and SPP Supply Margins not more than 2.1525 and 11.4759 bt/mmbtu respectively
GSP 20%
Charged at the same price structure of power producers
Petrochemicals Feedstocks
•
Ethane, Propane, LPG
Profit-sharing mechanism based on market prices of petrochemicals
NGL
Reference to Naphtha market price
Local Cooking Gas
At GSPs cost (adjusted every 3 months)
Export Cooking Gas
Reference to Saudi Aramco's contract price
Charged at prices comparable to fuel oil
Public transportation vehicles : regulated and capped to minimize the impact from the rising global crude prices on end-users
• Since 16 May 2018 : Allowance to adjust NGV public price from 10.62 Baht/Kg. to 13.62 Baht/Kg. by every 4 month
(16 May 19, 16 Sep 19 and 16 Jan 20)
• As of Aug 2020 = 13.62 Baht/Kg.
135
Private vehicles: reflect the natural gas cost, gas quality adjustment and operating cost (not fully cover PTT's operating cost)
• Since 16 Jul 2016 : The retail price is set to reflect the natural gas cost but operating cost is still regulated
• Since 5 Sep 2017 : Allowance to adjusted +0.46 Baht/Kg. to 3.8920 Baht/Kg. for gas quality improvement cost
• As of 16 Aug 2020 = 14.41 Baht/Kg.
• Contract periods are ~ 25-30 years or until depletion of gas fields or the expiration of concessions
Overview
Gas transmission pipeline capacity
Sole owner and operator of entire gas transmission pipelines in Thailand (~ 4,000 km), a regulated business
• IRROE ranges between 12.5% - 18% for transmission pipeline investment
Supply & marketing of natural gas provides fixed margin with long-term contracts of 25-30 years
6 Gas Separation Plants; Total production 6.7 MTA; are on petrochemical market price-linked profit sharing basis
Incorporate in PTT Strategic Direction
Sustainability Framework
Balancing Sustainability : PEOPLE PLANET & PROSPERITY
PTT commits to sustainably operate its business with an emphasis to balance 3 sustainability management aspects (3P)
Prosperity
People
Planet
Create Sustainable Growth for the Thai Economy and SocietyDeveloping Human Resources, Creating Quality Livelihoods and Inclusive Business Growth with Community and Society
Conserving Natural Resources and the Environment, and Caring for Community and Society
Green House Gas (GHG) Reduction Target
Thailand's Greenhouse
Gas Reduction Target
PTT: GHG Emission from operation (scope 1 & 2) Target
Verified by 3rd party
Increase PTT Group's revenue from low carbon products in 2023
16 % vs BAU
18 % vs BAU
20 % vs BAU
Implement carbon pricing for new investment in 2020
Water Management
Waste Management
Reduction Target on Water Intensity by 2030
Water Recycling Efforts
Target: Zero Industrial Hazardous Waste to Landfill in 2020
• Committing to the 3Rs principle - Reduce, Reuse, and Recycle
: Production sector 12.6% : Office building 10%
• Desalinating seawater to reduce reliance on public water resources
7.32% of water recycled & reused to total water consumption in 2019
0.15% of routine hazardous waste to landfill to total routinghazardous waste in 2019
Short-term: 2020 Target
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions 7-20% from business as usual level
Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs)
Long-term: 2030 Target
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions 20 - 25% from business as usual level Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs):
Reduce Operational Carbon Footprint
: Set up GHG Reduction Target from Operation
Thank you
PTT Public Company Limited - Investor Relations Department
Tel. +66 2 537-3518, Fax. +66 2 537-3948
E-mail:ptt-ir@pttplc.com
Website:http://www.pttplc.com
Disclaimer
The information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal reference only. Please do not circulate this material. If you are not an intended recipient, you must not read, disclose, copy, retain, distribute or take any action in reliance upon it. In addition, such information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect our current views with respect to future events, financial performance and result of PTT's activities. These views are based on assumptions subject to various risks and uncertainties. No assurance is given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that our assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected.
The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and PTT does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
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PTT pcl published this content on 02 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 02 November 2020 14:59:01 UTC