Second Quarter 2020 Results

August 11, 2020

CLASSIFIED - INTERNAL USE ONLY

Forward-Looking Statements

Forward-looking statements in this presentation regarding the Company's future performance, including sales growth and off-premise sales growth, reopening and closures of dining rooms, estimated average weekly cash burn and underlying assumptions including full rent payments, re-opening costs, and other onetime COVID-19 expenses, preliminary weekly net comparable restaurant revenues and average net sales per restaurant, rollout of Donato's®in our Seattle market, and all other statements that are not historical facts, are made under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on assumptions believed by the Company to be reasonable and speak only as of the date on which such statements are made. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, words such as "expect," "believe," "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "project," "will" or "estimate," or the negative or other variations thereof or comparable terminology are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Except as required by law, the Company undertakes no obligation to update such statements to reflect events or circumstances arising after such date and cautions investors not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the statements based on a number of factors, including but not limited to the following: the extent of the impact of the COVID-19 global pandemic or any other epidemic, disease outbreak, or public health emergency, including the duration, spread, severity, and any recurrence of the COVID-19 pandemic, the duration and scope of related government orders and restrictions, the impact on our Team Members, economic, public health, and political conditions that impact consumer confidence and spending, including the impact of COVID-19 and other health epidemics or pandemics on the global economy; the amount of cash tax refund received as a result of the CARES Act; the rapidly evolving nature of the COVID-19 pandemic and related containment measures, including the potential for a complete shutdown of Company restaurants; changes in unemployment rate; the ability to achieve significant cost savings; the Company's ability to defer lease or contract payments or otherwise obtain concessions from landlords, vendors, and other parties in light of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; the economic health of the Company's landlords and other tenants in retail centers in which its restaurants are located; the economic health of suppliers, licensees, vendors, and other third parties providing goods or services to the Company; the Company's ability to continue to increase sales; the impact of political protests and curfews imposed by state and local governments; the effectiveness of the Company's marketing strategies and promotions and menu changes; the cost and availability of key food products, distribution, labor, and energy; the effectiveness of the Company's strategic initiatives including service model and technology solutions; the cost and availability of capital or credit facility borrowings; the adequacy of cash flows or available debt resources to fund operations; and other risk factors described from time to time in the Company's Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, and Form 8-K reports (including all amendments to those reports) filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

This presentation also contains non-GAAP financial information. Management uses this information in its internal analysis of results and believes that this information may be informative to investors in gauging the quality of the Company's financial performance, identifying trends in results, and providing meaningful period-to-period comparisons. For a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures presented in this document, see the Appendix of this presentation or the Schedules to the Q2 press release posted on redrobin.com.

PAGE 2

Business and Operational Update Related to COVID-19

  • Persevering through an unprecedented time for the business, industry, and country to combat the globalCOVID-19 crisis
  • Strategic investments made prior to the crisis inoff-premise, digital, and loyalty have enabled us to successfully shift the business to an off-premise model
  • Maintaining higheroff-premise sales of 208.7% growth in Q2 versus the prior year with the majority of dining rooms open
  • 53 California restaurants had tore-close indoor dining rooms in early July
  • With relentless focus on health and safety for Team Members and Guests, achieving record high Guest satisfaction scores
  • 84% ofCompany-operated restaurants have indoor dining rooms open with limited capacity and comparable restaurant revenue of (27.9)% as of August 9, 2020
  • Resuming certain strategic initiatives, including rollout of our Total Guest Experience ("TGX") hospitality model at reopened stores, continued rollout of Donatos® in our Seattle market, enhancing technology and digital capabilities and refining prototype for the future
  • Finalized an amendment to our Credit Facility, which provides covenant relief through the third quarter of 2021
  • Secured liquidity capacity and raised cash proceeds of $29.7 million on the first day of ourat-the-market equity offering, enhancing financial flexibility
  • Confident in our ability to emerge in an even stronger position and with a more robust business model, given our enduring brand promise, compelling value proposition, and commitment tobest-in-class operations

PAGE 3

Red Robin Second Quarter Financial and Operating Results

  • Red Robin entered fiscal 2020 with strong business momentum and substantially improved guest satisfaction scores
    • Through the first eight weeks of the year, comparable restaurant revenue grew 3.7%, driven in part by positive Guest counts
  • Comparable restaurant revenue decreased 41.4% for Q2 due to the severe impact of theCOVID-19 pandemic
  • 346 indoor dining roomsre-opened as of August 9, 2020
  • Off-premisesales increased 208.7% for Q2 comprising 63.8% of total food and beverage sales, including catering
  • GAAP loss per diluted share was $4.09 compared to $0.08 in Q2 2020. Adjusted diluted loss per share(1)was $3.31 compared to earnings per diluted share of $1.03 in Q2 2019
  • Net loss was $56.3 million compared to net income of $1.0 million in Q2 2019
  • Adjusted EBITDA(1)was a loss of $15.3 million compared to $25.5 million in Q2 2019
  • Restaurant-leveloperating profit(1)was 2.0% compared to 18.2% in the prior year
  • Since the closing of indoor dining rooms in California, five sequential weeks of net sales improvement through August 9, due tore-opened dining room sales and the continued strong growth in off-premise
  • See reconciliations ofnon-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures in Appendix.

PAGE 4

Responding to the COVID 19 Pandemic

  • Estimate through the third quarter

PAGE 5

Recent Performance and Dining Room Openings

• Since the mid-March peak impact of the

COVID-19 pandemic, substantial

Weekly Average Net Sales Per Restaurant

improvement in average weekly net sales

$60,000

per restaurant with sequential increases

$57,596

over the last five weeks

$56,364

• On April 28, Red Robin began opening

$53,798

select dining rooms in a limited capacity

$50,000

• During the week of July 5, 53 California

restaurants had to re-close indoor dining

$43,079

$40,596

rooms

$36,783

$40,000

$38,471

$38,031

$38,259

84% of Company-operated indoor dining

$32,239

$34,222

$34,731

$37,239

rooms re-opened as of August 9

$33,938

$35,164

$30,000

$28,895

Resuming certain strategic initiatives,

$27,202

$26,444

$29,598

including rolling out Donatos®to our Seattle

$24,435

$24,514

market

$21,177

$20,000

$18,031

$19,527

$16,421

$10,000

Feb

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

May

May

May

May

May

Jun

Jun

Jun

Jun

-

-

-

-

Aug

Aug

15

22

29

-

12

-

19

-

26

-

-

14

-

21

-

28

-

Jul

12

Jul

19

Jul

26

Jul

23

-

-

8

-

-

-

3

10

-

17

-

24

-

31

-

5

2

9

-

5

-

7

-

-

1

QT

D

Note: Father's Day occurred the week of June 21, 2020 and the week of June 14, 2019

PAGE 6

Recent Performance and Dining Room Openings

  • Increasing average weekly net sales per restaurant since California indoor dining rooms closed:

Week ended

Company-owned Restaurants

14-Jun(2)

21-Jun(2)

28-Jun

5-Jul(3)

12-Jul

19-Jul

26-Jul

2-Aug

9-Aug

Weekly Net Comparable Restaurant Revenues

(35.5)%

(27.4)%

(30.4)%

(33.9)%

(33.9)%

(35.9)%

(34.3)%

(35.4)%

(32.8)%

Average Net Sales per Restaurant

$38,259

$40,596

$38,471

$33,938

$34,731

$35,164

$36,783

$37,239

$38,031

# of Comparable Company-operated Restaurants

413

413

413

413

413

413

412

412

412

  • As of August 9, 2020, the Company hasre-opened 346 indoor dining rooms with limited capacity, representing approximately 84% of currently open Company-owned restaurants:

Week ended

Re-openedCompany-owned Restaurants(1)

14-Jun(2)

21-Jun(2)

28-Jun

5-Jul(3)

12-Jul

19-Jul

26-Jul

2-Aug

9-Aug

Weekly Net Comparable Restaurant Revenues

(27.0)%

(22.4)%

(26.3)%

(29.7)%

(28.4)%

(30.5)%

(29.5)%

(30.4)%

(27.9)%

Average Net Sales per Restaurant

$42,271

$44,134

$40,834

$35,592

$36,845

$37,380

$38,393

$39,058

$39,808

# of Comparable Company-operated Restaurants

336

359

385

328

336

349

350

348

346

  1. Net sales performance for restaurantsre-opened for full fiscal week presented. Restaurant count shown is as of the end of fiscal week presented.
  2. Father's Day occurred the week of June 21, 2020 and the week of June 14, 2019
  3. 53 California restaurants had to close indoor dining rooms the week of July 5, 2020

PAGE 7

Red Robin is Well-positioned to Emerge Strong Coming Out of the Crisis

PAGE 8

Comparable Restaurant Revenue Trend(1)

5.0%

1.6% 1.3%

0.0%

-0.9%

-1.5%

-2.6%

-5.0%

-3.4%

-4.5%

-3.3%

-10.0%

-15.0%

-20.0%

-20.8%

-25.0%

-30.0%

-35.0%

-40.0%

-41.4%

-45.0%

Q1-18

Q2-18

Q3-18

Q4-18

Q1-19

Q2-19

Q3-19

Q4-19

Q1-20

Q2-20

(1) Calculated at constant currency rates for periods with Canadian operations for FY 2018 and 2019

PAGE 9

Continued Off-Premise Sales Growth

US Comp Locations Off-Premise Sales as a % of Gross F&B Sales

225.0%

208.7%

200.0%

175.0%

150.0%

125.0%

100.0%

86.1%

75.0%

50.0%

25.0%

10.1%

10.6%

11.6%

12.5%

13.2%

13.9%

9.4%

9.6%

0.0%

Q1-18

Q2-18

Q3-18

Q4-18

Q1-19

Q2-19

Q3-19

Q4-19

Q1-20

Q2-20

PAGE 10

Appendix

PAGE 11

Second Quarter2020 Sales Highlights

Q2-20

Q2-19

Change

Q2-20 YTD

Q2-19 YTD

Change

(12 Weeks)

(12 Weeks)

(28 Weeks)

(28 Weeks)

Restaurant revenue

$160.1 million

$302.4 million

(47.0)%

$461.6 million

$702.9 million

(34.3)%

Total company revenues

$161.1 million

$308.0 million

(47.7)%

$467.2 million

$717.8 million

(34.9)%

Company-owned comp revenue(1)

(41.4)%

(1.5)%

(29.7)%

(2.4)%

Price/Mix

(2.9)%

4.9%

(1.2)%

3.5%

Guest counts

(38.5)%

(6.4)%

(28.5)%

(5.9)%

Franchised comp revenue(2)

(41.0)%

(2.8)%

(31.3)%

(2.2)%

Company avg. weekly revenue/unit(1)- total

$32,287

$52,907

(39.0)%

$37,915

$52,272

(27.5)%

Company avg. weekly revenue/unit(1)(2)- comp

$32,277

$54,932

(41.2)%

$38,357

$54,464

(29.6)%

Avg. weekly restaurant level operating profit/unit(1)- comp

$559

$11,185

(95.0)%

$2,824

$11,149

(74.7)%

Operating weeks

4,960

5,716

(13.2)%

12,174

13,447

(9.5)%

Net Sales/sq. ft (TTM)

$377

$445

(15.5)%

  1. Comparable revenue growth is calculated by comparing the same calendar weeks. Comparable restaurants are thoseCompany-owned restaurants that have operated five full quarters during the period presented, and such restaurants are only included in the comparable metrics if they are comparable for the entirety of both periods presented.

PAGE 12

Second Quarter 2020 Restaurant Results

% of Restaurant Revenue

% of Restaurant Revenue

Favorable (Unfavorable)

Q2-20

Q2-19

(bps)

Cost of sales

24.2%

23.9%

(30)

Labor

39.2%

35.2%

(400)

Other operating

21.6%

14.3%

(730)

Occupancy

13.0%

8.4%

(460)

Restaurant Level Operating Profit(1)

2.0%

18.2%

(1,620)

(1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAPrestaurant-level operating profit to net income (loss)

PAGE 13

Second Quarter2020 Commodity Update

% of Total COGS in Q2-20

Variable vs. Fixed Pricing

Ground beef

20.0%

Variable (market driven)

Steak fries

13.2%

100% fixed through 10/21

Poultry

10.9%

100% fixed through 1/21

Produce

7.4%

70% fixed through 10/21

Bread

5.8%

85% fixed through 12/20, 15% fixed through 8/20

Cheese

5.2%

90% fixed through 1/23

Meat

3.7%

Variable (market driven)

Fry oil

2.0%

100% fixed through 2/21

Seafood

1.4%

Cod fixed through 12/20, Shrimp & Salmon fixed through 12/20

PAGE 14

Restaurant Level Operating Profit Reconciliation to Income (Loss) from Operations and Net Income (Loss)

($ in thousands)

2018

2019

2020

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Restaurant revenue

$414,702

$310,392

$290,218

$300,897

$400,484

$302,418

$289,862

$296,757

$301,434

$160,144

Restaurant operating costs(1):

Cost of sales

98,515

74,874

69,003

71,112

93,715

72,387

69,017

68,285

70,426

38,780

Labor

143,015

106,476

102,322

104,449

142,894

106,538

104,870

102,476

118,566

62,742

Other operating(2)

55,025

42,668

43,612

40,779

55,565

43,000

44,317

43,594

52,291

34,663

Occupancy

35,010

26,460

26,629

26,047

35,020

25,458

24,942

26,378

33,657

20,758

Restaurant-level operating profit

83,137

59,914

48,652

58,510

73,290

55,035

46,716

56,024

26,494

3,201

Add - Franchise and other revenue(2)

6,817

4,996

4,659

5,882

9,382

5,563

4,360

6,188

4,631

978

Deduct - Other operating:

Depreciation and amortization

29,193

22,323

21,819

22,036

28,438

21,369

21,280

20,703

28,320

20,560

General and administrative expenses

28,588

20,408

16,763

18,335

30,090

21,791

19,220

19,345

26,723

14,141

Selling(2)

17,730

15,209

12,017

17,408

18,026

13,443

17,556

16,507

14,779

5,556

Pre-opening and acquisition costs

1,137

569

387

-

319

-

-

-

153

3

Other charges (gains)(2)

6,287

10,615

520

21,708

2,398

16,847

(1,757)

4,110

119,379

14,501

Total other operating

82,935

69,124

51,506

79,487

79,271

73,450

56,299

60,665

189,354

54,761

Income (loss) from operations

7,019

(4,214)

1,805

(15,095)

3,401

(12,852)

(5,223)

1,547

(158,229)

(50,582)

Interest expense, net and other

3,407

2,385

2,295

2,838

3,238

2,153

1,812

1,907

3,370

1,979

Income tax (benefit) expense

(768)

(4,725)

(2,199)

(7,299)

(476)

(15,986)

(5,214)

7,342

12,699

3,700

Net income (loss)

$4,380

$(1,874)

$1,709

$(10,634)

$639

$981

$(1,821)

$(7,702)

$(174,298)

$(56,261)

  1. Excluding depreciation and amortization, which is shown separately
  2. Certain amounts presented in prior periods have been reclassified to conform with the current period presentation

PAGE 15

EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income (Loss)

($ in thousands)

2018

2019

2020

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Net income (loss) as reported

$4,380

$(1,874)

$1,709

$(10,634)

$639

$981

$(1,821)

$(7,702)

$(174,298)

$(56,261)

Adjustments to net income (loss):

Depreciation and amortization

29,193

22,323

21,819

22,036

28,438

21,369

21,280

20,703

28,320

20,560

Income tax (benefit) expense

(768)

(4,725)

(2,199)

(7,299)

(476)

(15,986)

(5,214)

7,342

12,699

3,700

Interest expense, net

3,277

2,458

2,390

2,550

3,345

2,322

2,229

2,245

3,234

2,194

EBITDA

36,082

18,182

23,719

6,653

31,946

8,686

16,474

22,588

(130,045)

(29,807)

Goodwill impairment

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

95,414

-

Restaurant asset impairment

-

9,643

-

18,483

-

14,064

-

1,030

15,498

5,281

Litigation contingencies

4,000

-

-

795

-

-

-

-

4,500

-

Board and stockholder matter costs

-

-

-

-

-

1,152

1,311

798

1,482

967

Restaurant closure and refranchising costs (gains)

-

-

-

-

304

1,001

(3,922)

1,430

1,406

7,602

Severance and executive transition

-

-

-

-

1,994

370

594

492

881

-

COVID-19 related costs

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

198

651

Spiral menu disposal

-

506

-

2,430

-

-

-

-

-

-

Reorganization costs

2,287

466

521

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Executive retention

-

-

-

-

100

260

260

360

-

-

Adjusted EBITDA

$42,369

$28,797

$24,240

$28,361

$34,344

$25,533

$14,717

$26,698

$(10,666)

$(15,306)

PAGE 16

Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted

Earnings (Loss) Per Diluted Share to Earnings (Loss) Per Diluted Share

($ in thousands, except per share data)

2018

2019

2020

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Net income (loss) as reported

$4,380

$(1,874)

$1,709

$(10,634)

$639

$981

$(1,821)

$(7,702)

$(174,298)

$(56,261)

Adjustments to net income (loss):

Goodwill impairment

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

95,414

-

Restaurant asset impairment

-

9,643

-

18,483

-

14,064

-

1,030

15,498

5,281

Litigation contingencies

4,000

-

-

795

-

-

-

-

4,500

-

Board and stockholder matter costs

-

-

-

-

-

1,152

1,311

798

1,482

967

Restaurant closure and refranchising costs (gains)

-

-

-

-

304

1,001

(3,922)

1,430

1,406

7,602

Severance and executive transition

-

-

-

-

1,994

370

594

492

881

-

COVID-19 related costs

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

198

651

Spiral menu disposal

-

506

-

2,430

-

-

-

-

-

-

Reorganization costs

2,287

466

520

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Executive retention

-

-

-

-

100

260

260

360

-

-

Income tax (expense) benefit of adj.

(1,617)

(2,777)

(135)

(5,644)

(623)

(4,380)

457

(1,069)

(31,039)

(3,770)

Adjusted net income (loss)

9,050

5,964

2,094

5,430

2,414

13,448

(3,121)

(4,661)

(85,958)

(45,530)

Diluted net income (loss) per share(1):

Net income (loss) as reported

0.34

(0.14)

0.13

(0.82)

0.05

0.08

(0.14)

(0.60)

(13.51)

(4.09)

Adjustments to net income (loss):

Goodwill impairment

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

7.40

-

Restaurant asset impairment

-

0.74

-

1.43

-

1.08

-

0.08

1.20

0.38

Litigation contingencies

0.30

-

-

0.06

-

-

-

-

0.35

-

Board and stockholder matter costs

-

-

-

-

-

0.09

0.10

0.06

0.11

0.07

Restaurant closure and refranchising costs (gains)

-

-

-

-

0.03

0.07

(0.30)

0.11

0.11

0.55

Severance and executive transition

-

-

-

-

0.15

0.03

0.05

0.04

0.07

-

COVID-19 related costs

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

0.02

0.05

Spiral menu disposal

-

0.04

-

0.19

-

-

-

-

-

-

Reorganization costs

0.17

0.04

0.04

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Executive retention

-

-

-

-

0.01

0.02

0.02

0.03

-

-

Income tax (expense) benefit of adj.

(0.12)

(0.22)

(0.01)

(0.43)

(0.05)

(0.34)

0.03

(0.08)

(2.41)

(0.27)

Adjusted EPS - diluted

0.69

0.46

0.16

0.43

0.19

1.03

(0.24)

(0.36)

(6.66)

(3.31)

(1) For the second and fourth quarters of 2018, the impact of dilutive shares is included in the calculations as the adjustments for the quarter resulted in adjusted net income

PAGE 17

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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. published this content on 11 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 August 2020 20:52:02 UTC