Projected Income Statement: Ryanair Holdings plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,277 1,452 -559 -1,373 -1,304 -2,180 -3,514 -4,367
Change - -36.23% -138.5% -145.62% 5.03% -67.2% -61.19% -24.27%
Announcement Date 5/17/21 5/16/22 5/22/23 5/20/24 5/19/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 294.7 1,182 1,915 2,392 1,552 2,036 1,976 2,579
Change - 300.95% 62.04% 24.92% -35.09% 31.15% -2.97% 30.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,743 758.9 1,976 766 1,863 1,980 2,282 1,995
Change - 127.67% 160.42% -61.24% 143.24% 6.25% 15.26% -12.58%
Announcement Date 5/17/21 5/16/22 5/22/23 5/20/24 5/19/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -16.41% 7.91% 23.17% 23.21% 19.88% 24.39% 25.94% 25.7%
EBIT Margin (%) -51.31% -7.07% 14.6% 15.33% 11.17% 15.77% 17.27% 17.07%
EBT Margin (%) -67.78% -8.95% 14.6% 15.83% 12.79% 15.96% 17.49% 17.59%
Net margin (%) -62.06% -5.02% 12.19% 14.26% 11.55% 14.01% 15.7% 15.61%
FCF margin (%) -167.67% 15.81% 18.34% 5.7% 13.36% 12.8% 14.03% 11.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 270.19% -315.16% 150.43% 39.96% 115.61% 91.36% 89.32% 73.18%

Profitability

        
ROA -6.02% -2.58% 8.33% 11.42% 9.29% 12.06% 13.06% 13.44%
ROE -17.06% -6.97% 23.49% 28.92% 22% 28.54% 27.74% 24.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -8.48x 3.82x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.83x 1.91x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.02% 24.61% 17.77% 17.79% 11.13% 13.16% 12.14% 14.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -109.8% 311.11% 76.7% 76.66% 56% 53.98% 46.8% 57.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -10.74% 155.7% 96.88% 312.26% 83.32% 102.86% 86.58% 129.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -2.205 1.716 3.414 2.758 3.084 3.779 4.049 4.313
Change - 177.84% 98.97% -19.22% 11.81% 22.55% 7.15% 6.52%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.353 0.4 0.4651 0.5695 0.6391
Change - - - - 13.31% 16.28% 22.43% 12.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.12 4.887 4.955 6.679 6.614 7.782 9.646 11.45
Change - 18.62% 1.39% 34.8% -0.97% 17.65% 23.95% 18.69%
EPS 1 -0.9142 -0.213 1.153 1.674 1.455 2.069 2.452 2.644
Change - 76.7% 641.27% 45.23% -13.1% 42.21% 18.5% 7.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,127,657 1,134,481 1,138,665 1,139,908 1,065,713 1,049,961 1,049,961 1,049,961
Announcement Date 5/17/21 5/16/22 5/22/23 5/20/24 5/19/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.3x 11.2x
PBR 3.53x 2.84x
EV / Sales 1.72x 1.55x
Yield 1.7% 2.08%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
27.43EUR
Average target price
32.56EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.72%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RYA Stock
  4. Financials Ryanair Holdings plc