Projected Income Statement: SAAB AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAAB AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 4,273 2,125 -2,432 -2,343 -2,211 -557 -1,877 -5,141
Change - -50.27% -214.45% 3.66% 5.63% 74.81% -236.98% -173.89%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAAB AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,891 2,520 2,310 3,538 3,942 6,262 5,638 5,678
Change - -12.83% -8.33% 53.16% 11.42% 58.85% -9.96% 0.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,909 3,193 2,344 2,924 1,893 714.5 1,736 4,263
Change - 9.76% -26.59% 24.74% -35.26% -62.26% 142.97% 145.56%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAAB AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8% 12.33% 12.86% 12.71% 13.18% 13.59% 14.04% 14.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.73% 7.38% 7.79% 8.28% 8.88% 9.65% 10.15% 10.58%
EBT Margin (%) 3.14% 6.58% 6.71% 8.56% 8.3% 9.58% 9.76% 10.16%
Net margin (%) 3.03% 4.92% 5.23% 6.55% 6.54% 7.43% 7.67% 7.99%
FCF margin (%) 8.21% 8.15% 5.58% 5.67% 2.97% 0.92% 1.92% 4.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) 271.11% 165.78% 106.79% 86.48% 45.38% 12.41% 24.99% 51.01%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.78% 3.07% - - 4.52% 4.8% 5.5% 5.9%
ROE 5.1% 9% 8.6% 11.1% 12.4% 15.11% 16.13% 17.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x 0.44x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.47x 0.67x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.16% 6.44% 5.5% 6.86% 6.18% 8.08% 6.23% 5.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 102.05% 52.22% 42.77% 53.95% 46.92% 59.46% 44.34% 37.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 99.38% 78.92% 98.55% 121% 208.24% 876.4% 324.78% 133.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.83 10.72 8.701 12.02 12.48 16.75 22.45 25.4
Change - -1.06% -18.8% 38.17% 3.85% 34.14% 34.03% 13.16%
Dividend per Share 1 1.175 1.225 1.325 1.6 2 2.664 3.19 4.18
Change - 4.26% 8.16% 20.75% 25% 33.22% 19.71% 31.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 40.58 43.58 55.64 60.1 66.33 75.36 85.56 99.43
Change - 7.39% 27.68% 8.02% 10.36% 13.61% 13.53% 16.21%
EPS 1 2.002 3.612 4.102 6.29 7.74 10.7 13.06 15.86
Change - 80.4% 13.56% 53.32% 23.05% 38.29% 22.04% 21.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 528,614 526,704 529,386 532,293 534,427 537,166 537,166 537,166
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 45.2x 37x
PBR 6.42x 5.66x
EV / Sales 3.35x 2.85x
Yield 0.55% 0.66%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
483.95SEK
Average target price
490.40SEK
Spread / Average Target
+1.33%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise