FINANCIAL RESULTS FY 2020
ALEXANDER GEIS, CEO INKA KOLJONEN, CFO
MARCH 25, 2021
AGENDA
1 |
HIGHLIGHTS 2020 |
Alexander Geis |
2 |
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE |
Inka Koljonen |
3 |
OUTLOOK |
Alexander Geis |
4 |
APPENDIX |
REVIEW 2020: REVISED GUIDANCE ACHIEVED OR EVEN EXCEEDED
• Sales in line with guidance influenced by unfavourable market conditions and COVID-19
• Adj. EBIT margin on par with previous year and above revised guidance of 5 to 6 per cent
• Capex ratio more efficient than pre-pandemic guidance based on investment discipline
• NWC ratio significantly improved led by effective net working capital measures
• Operating free cash flow at record level; excellent cash conversion rate
EXCELLENT MARGIN AND CASH FLOW GENERATION IN A DIFFICULT MARKET ENVIRONMENT
REVIEW 2020: ROBUST PERFORMANCE IN A CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT
Resilience of business model
Strong market position in main regions
Higher share of profitable aftermarket business safeguarded profitability in 2020
FY 2020 adjusted EBIT margin with 6.1 per cent nearly stable compared with last year's 6.2 per cent
Preserved profitability
FORWARD 2.0 restructuring program in Americas and global SG&A cuts delivered targeted cost savings
New supplemental collective agreement provided further structural cost savings
Salary cuts and short time work
Financial discipline
Effective working capital management and investment activities
Strong operating free cash flow of more than 100 million
Continued strategy execution
Roll-out of SAF- HOLLAND Operational Excellence System
Ramp-up of Yangzhou greenfield activities
Further footprint optimization in Americas and APAC
Strong focus on aftermarket
GROUP: STRUCTURAL MARGIN IMPROVEMENTS ACHIEVED ACROSS ALL REGIONS
MAIN DRIVERS
• Sales decrease by 25 per cent mainly driven by the Americas region (-38 per cent), while the EMEA region was the most resilient (-12 per cent)
• After bottoming in Q2 2020, sales have recovered sequentially in all regions, especially in EMEA
• Streamlining of product portfolio, structural cost reductions and higher share of resilient aftermarket business safeguarded profitability
• Approx. € 12.0 mn of cost savings are not sustainable
(short-time work, etc.)
• Inventory write-downs of € 8.9 mn included in adj.
EBIT (not adjusted)
• Overall adjustments down from € 45 mn to € 28 mn demonstrating improved quality of earnings
GEARED TO SALES GROWTH WITH
MARKET REBOUND AT SIGNIFICANTLY
BETTER MARGINS
EMEA: FY 2020 ADJ. EBIT MARGIN ON PAR WITH PREVIOUS YEAR DESPITE COVID-19
MAIN DRIVERS
• Due to excellent market position and high share of aftermarket business, EMEA most resilient with only 12 per cent sales decrease and still 6 per cent adj. EBIT margin in Q2 2020
• Supplemental collective agreement and structural cost savings in SG&A helping to lower the break-even point in the OE business
• Approx. € 6.2 mn of the cost savings are not sustainable (short-time work, etc.)
• Inventory write-downs of € 3.2 mn included in adj.
EBIT (not adjusted)
EMEA REGION WELL POSITIONED FOR THE EXPECTED MARKET RECOVERY
AMERICAS: RESTRUCTURING INVESTMENT IS PAYING OFF
MAIN DRIVERS
• With 38 per cent sales decline and adj. EBIT margin down to 0.6 per cent in Q2, the Americas region was strongly hit by the pandemic
• FX effects (-2.1 per cent respectively € 11.5 mn)
• Structural reductions in COGS and SG&A under program FORWARD 2.0 and exiting of lossmaking product lines led to a strong margin improvement from Q3 onwards
• Approx. € 5.8 mn of cost savings are not sustainable
• Inventory write-downs of € 4.9 mn included in adj.
EBIT (not adjusted)
• Introduction of new ductile fifth wheel will strengthen market position in standard segment
AMERICAS REGION PREPARED FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
APAC: LOCKDOWN AND DELAYED RAMP-UP WEIGH ON SALES AND PROFITABILITY
MAIN DRIVERS
• China: Consolidation of production network and cleaning up of the balance sheet completed
• APAC (excl. China): Positive adj. EBIT margin despite sales drop of 26 per cent
• Substantially lower SG&A costs in absolute and relative terms
• Inventory write-downs of € 0.8 mn included in adj.
EBIT (not adjusted)
• China ready for the re-start; India ready for the market recovery
APAC REGION HAS LAID THE FOUNDATION FOR ADRESSING PROFITABLE GROWTH
INVESTMENTS: DISCIPLINED INVESTMENT POLICY
* Purchase of PP&E and intangible assets
• Investment approval process and capital allocation worked very well in 2020
• Focus of investing activities: further automation of production processes at various locations in the Americas region and Germany.
• Investment into growth and efficiency
• Investments in R&D stable at around 2 per cent of sales
RETURN TO SUSTAINABLE LONG-TERM INVESTMENT RATIO ENABLES PROFITABLE GROWTH PATH
NET WORKING CAPITAL: SUBSTANTIAL IMPROVEMENTS ACHIEVED
• Net working capital significantly down both in absolute and relative terms
• Inventories down by 24.8 per cent to € 126 mn
• Trade receivables down by 24.3 per cent to € 95 mn
• Trade payables only down 2.9 per cent to € 107 mn
• Cash-is-King program supported good performance
EFFICIENT STRUCTURAL BASIS TO MEET CYCLICAL REBOUND IN 2021
* Net working capital ratio (ratio of inventories and trade receivables less trade payables to LTM sales); Ratios for 2016 to 2019 retrospectively adjusted according to the new definition
CASH CONVERSION: RECORD LEVEL OPERATING CASH FLOW *
CASH FLOW (€ MN)
• Working Capital Management key factor in improving the operating free cash flow before taxes
*before income tax paid
• One-time fly-off cash conversion rate of 177 per cent driven by cyclical effects, mitigation measures and structural improvements
CYCLICAL REBOUND OF NWC WILL IMPACT OPERATING CASH FLOW IN 2021
CASH CONVERSION RATE: EXCEPTIONAL RESULT
in EUR thousands
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
• before income tax paid ** Operating cash flow divided by EBITDA
NET DEBT/EBITDA*: SIGNIFICANT DELEVERAGING IN CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT
* Unadjusted EBITDA (LTM)
• Q2 2020 strongly hit by COVID-19 with substantially lower EBITDA and higher Net Debt
• Q4 2020 shows strong improvement driven by significantly lower Net Debt and substantially better EBITDA (underlying drivers: lower NWC and investments)
• Strong gross liquidity position totalling € 371 mn (PY: € 243 mn)
• Improved balance sheet structure and financial headroom provide flexibility
ROBUST FINANCIAL PROFILE SET TO CONSISTENTLY IMPLEMENT STRATEGY AND UNLOCK ADDITIONAL GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
STRATEGIC FOCUS 2021: HIGH QUALITY GROWTH IN GLOBAL RECOVERY
• EMEA: building on excellent market position with increasing market shares
• Americas: gaining back customer confidence and continuing enhancements
• APAC: re-starting China and utilizing India and Australia market opportunities
Managing profitable growth | Strengthening individual | Expanding technological | Driving ESG |
market positions | advantages | excellence | |
in uncertain environment |
• Product improvements for total cost of ownership
• Strong focus on digitisation, electrification and autonomous driving
• New electric driven axle systems delivered to major key customers
• New digital business models
TRUCK AND TRAILER PRODUCTION 2021: STRONG UPSWING
EUROPE | NORTH AMERICA | SOUTH AMERICA* | CHINA | INDIA | |||||
Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer |
+15% | +16% | +41% | +32% | +30% | +6% | -15% to -20% | -5% to -10% | +30% | +40% |
SIGNIFICANT REBOUND IN | • | HIGHER VOLUMES IN EUROPE | CHINA WITH DECLINING |
NORTH AMERICA AND INDIA | AND SOUTH AMERICA | VOLUMES | |
Financial Results FY 2020 |
NOTE: Market estimates for trucks and trailers based on ACT Research, CLEAR, Deutsche Bank Research and local sources * mainly Brazil
GUIDANCE 2021*
FY 2020
FY 2021
€ 959,5 mn
6.1 per cent
CAPEX
2.5 per cent of sales
€ 1.050 mn to € 1.150 mn
Around 7 per centAround 2.5 per cent of sales
• The EBIT guidance for FY 2021 is based on the assumption that in the remainder of the year there will be no unexpected impacts from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic on the production and supply chains.
WE ARE ON TRACK TO ACHIEVE OUR MID-TERM TARGETS
KEY TAKEAWAYS
1. Proven margin and cash flow performance during pandemic environment
2. Resilient and high aftermarket share
3. Best positioned for recovery with leaner structures and improved product portfolio
4. Benefiting from an upswing in Europe, North America, Brazil and India based on leading market positions
5. Disciplined approach to manage demand and working capital investments in recovery cycle
FINANCIAL CALENDAR & IR CONTACT
DATE
25.03.2021
30.03.2021
31.03.2021
14.04.2021
12.05.2021
02.06.2021
03.06.2021
10.06.2021
12.08.2021
01.09.2021
15.11.2021
Publication of the Annual Report 2020
EVENT
Jefferies Pan-European Mid-Cap Virtual Conference
Virtual Management Roadshow
Publication of the Quarterly Statement Q1 2021
ODDO BHF Next Cap Forum
Annual General Meeting
Publication of the Half-Year Financial Report 2021
Commerzbank Corporate Conference
Publication of the Quarterly Statement Q3 2021
APPENDIX
TRUCK AND TRAILER PRODUCTION 2020: STRONGLY INFLUENCED BY COVID-19
EUROPE | NORTH AMERICA | SOUTH AMERICA** | CHINA | INDIA | |||||
Truck* | Trailer | Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer | Truck | Trailer |
-27% | -23% | -38% | -39% | -20% | +6% | +50% | -5% | -60% | -60% |
NOTE: Market estimates for trucks and trailers based on ACT Research, CLEAR, ACEA and local sources
* Registrations, ** mainly Brazil
P&L FY 2020: EXTRAORDINARY ITEMS
in EUR thousands
Sales
Cost of sales Gross profit Other income Other expenses Impairment of goodwill Selling expenses Administrative expenses Research and development costs Operating profit
Share of net profit of investments accounted for using the equity method
EBIT
Finance income Finance expenses Finance result Result before taxes Income taxes
Tax rate (%)
Result for the period
FY 2020
959,519 -790,673 168,846 2,632 -2,489 - -56,119 -63,246 -19,468 30,156
946
31,102 2,275 -14,047 -11,772 19,330 -5,154 26.7% 14,176
TotalAdjustmentsFY 2020 adjusted*
-
9,985 9.985 -641 2,489 - 7.549 7,979 336 27,697
-
27,697 - - - 27,697 -7,379
20,318
959,519 -780,688 178,831 1,991 - - -48,570 -55,267 -19,132 57,853
946
58,799 2,275 -14,047 -11,772 47,027 -12,533 26.7%
34,494
in % of sales
100.0% -81.4% 18.6% 0.2% - - -5.1% -5.8% -2.0% 6.0%
0.1%
6.1% 0.2% -1.5% -1.2% 4.9% -1.3%
3.6%FY 2019
1,284,155 -1,082,414 201,741
4,010
-2,971
-6,692
-70,754
-71,289
-20,794 33,251
1,948
35,199 2,099 -13,087 -10,988 24,211 -13,914 57.5%
10,297
* Adjusted earnings correspond to the management perspective. The adjustments essentially include restructuring and transactions costs, write-off of goodwill, depreciation and amortization arising from purchase price allocations, expenses arising from the step-up of inventories arising from purchase price allocations and remeasurement effects related to call and put options.
Total AdjustmentsFY 2019 adjusted*in % of sales
1,284,155 100.0%
15,857 15,857
-2,167
2,971
6,692
7,688
13,086
490 44,617
-
44,617 - - - 44,617 -5,158
39,459
-1,066,557 -83.1%
217,598 16.9%
1,843 0.1%
- -
- -
-63,066 -4.9%
-58,203 -4.5%
-20,304 -1.6%
77,868 6.1%
1,948 0.2%
79,816 6.2%
2,099 0.2%
-13,087 -1.0%
-10,988 -0.9%
68,828 5.4%
-19,072 -1.5% 27.7%
49,756 3.9%
GROUP: RECONCILIATION EBIT TO ADJUSTED EBIT
in EUR thousands
FY 2020
FY 2019
Change absolute
Change in %
EMEA: RECONCILIATION EBIT TO ADJUSTED EBIT
in EUR thousands
FY 2020
FY 2019
Change absolute
Change in %
AMERICAS: RECONCILIATION EBIT TO ADJUSTED EBIT
in EUR thousands
FY 2020
FY 2019
Change absolute
Change in %
APAC: RECONCILIATION EBIT TO ADJUSTED EBIT
in EUR thousands
FY 2020
FY 2019
Change absolute
Change in %
D&A RATIO: AT PEAK LEVEL
• Investments in plant, property, equipment and intangible assets reached 2.5 per cent of Group sales (FY 2020 guidance: around 2.5 per cent of Group sales)
• Operating cash flow with € 137.9
mn (168 per cent of EBITDA) covers investments by far
• Focus of investments: Rationalisation investments in the US and Germany
• Close monitoring of the investment approval process to streamline capital allocation
• Depreciation and Amortization ratio (excl. PPA, impairment of goodwill and R&D projects) increased due to higher investments in recent years and significantly lower sales
GROUPEMEA
AMERICASAPAC
CURRENT FINANCING STRUCTURE
• RCF mostly undrawn ** option for an additional € 100 mn *** additional one year extension possible
Product
Loan RMB
Promissory note loan old (7 years) Promissory note loan new (3 years) Promissory note loan new (3.5 years) Revolving credit facility*** Promissory note loan new (5 years) Loan
Promissory note loan old (10 years) Non-current loan
Promissory note loan new (7 years) Promissory note loan new (10 years)
Amount € mnMaturity date
9.0 06/2022
5.0 11/2022
141.0 03/2023
20.0 09/2023
200.0 10/2024
69 03/2025
5 09/2025
9 10/2025
45.0 06/2026
15 03/2027
5 03/2030
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