Projected Income Statement: SKF AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: SKF AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 18,460 17,360 19,034 16,191 16,472 12,134 8,249 3,200
Change - -5.96% 9.64% -14.94% 1.74% -26.34% -32.02% -61.21%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/3/22 2/2/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SKF AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,380 3,933 5,389 5,960 5,682 4,206 4,655 4,527
Change - 16.36% 37.02% 10.6% -4.66% -25.97% 10.66% -2.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,885 2,100 295 7,916 5,110 7,200 6,906 7,705
Change - -57.01% -85.95% 2,583.39% -35.45% 40.9% -4.09% 11.58%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/3/22 2/2/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SKF AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.99% 17.31% 14.43% 16.63% 16.83% 15.89% 16.93% 18.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.28% 13.26% 10.53% 12.49% 12.34% 12.68% 13.31% 14.13%
EBT Margin (%) 8.42% 12.31% 7.52% 8.84% 9.21% 7.16% 10.08% 12%
Net margin (%) 5.74% 8.97% 4.61% 6.16% 6.56% 4.67% 7.25% 8.25%
FCF margin (%) 6.53% 2.57% 0.3% 7.62% 5.18% 7.79% 7.3% 8.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.66% 28.65% 6.6% 123.78% 78.93% 166.77% 100.64% 97.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.65% 7.71% 4.25% 5.74% 5.6% 5.48% 6.86% 7.21%
ROE 12.31% 18.81% 9.35% 12.22% 11.52% 10.65% 12.76% 13.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.76x 1.23x 1.36x 0.94x 0.99x 0.83x 0.52x 0.19x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.78x 8.27x 64.52x 2.05x 3.22x 1.69x 1.19x 0.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.52% 4.81% 5.56% 5.74% 5.76% 4.55% 4.92% 4.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.28% 27.8% 38.53% 34.5% 34.2% 28.64% 29.08% 26.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.19% 187.29% 1,826.78% 75.29% 111.19% 58.42% 67.41% 58.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 18.14 11.52 12.39 30.27 23.7 23.43 22.86 26.17
Change - -36.5% 7.56% 144.34% -21.7% -1.13% -2.44% 14.46%
Dividend per Share 1 6.5 7 7 7 7.5 7.267 7.911 8.608
Change - 7.69% 0% 0% 7.14% -3.1% 8.85% 8.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 75.35 95.85 114 116 131 131.1 138 147.8
Change - 27.21% 18.94% 1.75% 12.93% 0.11% 5.24% 7.08%
EPS 1 9.44 16.09 9.81 14.04 14.22 9.378 15.27 17.79
Change - 70.44% -39.03% 43.12% 1.28% -34.05% 62.82% 16.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 455,351 455,351 455,351 455,351 455,351 455,351 455,351 455,351
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/3/22 2/2/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 26.5x 16.3x
PBR 1.89x 1.8x
EV / Sales 1.35x 1.28x
Yield 2.93% 3.19%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
248.30SEK
Average target price
264.44SEK
Spread / Average Target
+6.50%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise