Grant Samuel confirms that it:
has no conflict of interest that could affect its ability to provide an unbiased report; and
has no direct or indirect pecuniary or other interest in the proposed transaction considered in this report, including any success or contingency fee or remuneration, other than to receive the cash fee for providing this report.
Grant Samuel has satisfied the Takeovers Panel, on the basis of the material provided to the Panel, that it is independent under the Takeovers Code for the purposes of preparing this report.
Prepared by
GRANT SAMUEL & ASSOCIATES LIMITEDAuckland | Sydney | Melbourne |
| | |
June 2016
Table of ContentsTerms of the Proposed Transaction 1
Transaction Terms 1
Shareholder Approval 4
Scope of the Report 5
Purpose of the Report 5
Basis of the Evaluation 7
Sources of Information 7
Limitations and Reliance on Information 8
Overview of the Telecommunications Industry in New Zealand 11
Overview 11
Market Segments and Products 12
Market Structure 13
The Mobile Market 14
The Fixed Line Market 15
Infrastructure 16
Wholesale Access to Infrastructure 17
UFB and RBI 18
Market Trends and Outlook 18
Overview of the Television Broadcasting Industry in New Zealand 22
History of Broadcasting in New Zealand 22
Market Structure 22
Distribution of Content in New Zealand 23
Viewing Trends in New Zealand 24
Over-the-Top Services in New Zealand 25
Market Trends and Outlook 26
Profile of Sky TV 29
Background and History 29
Business Operations 29
Financial Performance 35
Financial Position 37
Cash Flow 39
Capital Structure and Ownership 40
Share Price Performance 40
Valuation of Sky TV 43
Summary 43
Value of Business Operations - DCF Analysis 44
Value of Business Operations - Multiples Analysis 48
Other Assets and Liabilities 59
Net Borrowings 60
Other Adjustments 60
Profile of Vodafone NZ 61
Background and History 61
Business Operations 62
Financial Performance 68
Financial Position 71
Cash Flow 72
Valuation of Vodafone NZ 73
Summary 73
Value of Business Operations - DCF Analysis 73
Value of Business Operations - Multiples Analysis 77
Profile of the Combined Group 90
Overview 90
Synergies 90
Earnings 90
Dividends 92
Financial Position 92
Cash Flow 93
Evaluation of the Proposed Transaction (Takeovers Code) 94
Summary 94
Rationale for the Proposed Transaction 96
Synergies 96
Strategic and Other Benefits 97
Impact on Capital Structure 98
Impact on Share Price 99
Control Issues 101
Acquisition Analysis 103
Merger Analysis 103
Terms of the Share Issue 104
Alternatives 105
Disadvantages and Risks 106
Other Matters 107
Investment Decision 108
Evaluation of the Issue Price and Terms (NZX) 109
Qualifications, Declarations and Consents 110
Qualifications 110
Disclaimers 110
Independence 110
Declarations 111
Consents 111
Appendices
Valuation Methodologies
Selection of Discount Rate
Market Evidence - Pay Television
Market Evidence - Telecommunications
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