Projected Income Statement: Southwest Airlines Co.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -3,003 -4,777 -4,204 -3,467 -2,026 2,018 3,629 3,952
Change - -59.07% 11.99% 17.53% 41.56% 199.61% 79.83% 8.9%
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 515 505 3,924 3,520 2,054 2,593 2,933 3,213
Change - -1.94% 677.03% -10.3% -41.65% 26.23% 13.14% 9.53%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,642 1,817 -134 -356 -1,592 -576.4 192.8 678.4
Change - 210.66% -107.37% -165.67% -347.19% 63.79% 133.45% 251.81%
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -41.74% -0.06% 10.38% 9.28% 7.69% 7.62% 12.2% 13.29%
EBIT Margin (%) -55.61% -8.11% 4.7% 3.45% 1.66% 1.8% 6.75% 7.84%
EBT Margin (%) -47.04% 8.39% 3.06% 2.59% 2.18% 1.99% 6.95% 7.77%
Net margin (%) -33.97% 6.19% 2.26% 1.91% 1.69% 1.51% 5.33% 5.93%
FCF margin (%) -18.15% 11.51% -0.56% -1.36% -5.79% -2.05% 0.63% 2.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 53.42% 185.98% -24.86% -71.49% -342.37% -135.37% 11.78% 35.52%

Profitability

        
ROA -10.16% -3.58% 2.02% 2.74% 1.32% 1.88% 5.93% 6.84%
ROE -37.54% -13.18% 6.85% 9.29% 4.46% 5.64% 19.03% 21.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 0.94x 0.97x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -3.5x 18.82x 5.83x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.69% 3.2% 16.48% 13.49% 7.47% 9.22% 9.56% 9.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -13.64% -5,611.11% 158.8% 145.33% 97.16% 121.04% 78.31% 74.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -31.36% 27.79% -2,928.36% -988.76% -129.02% -449.78% 1,521.25% 473.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.995 3.813 5.903 4.944 0.7185 3.155 5.374 7.363
Change - 291.15% 54.83% -16.26% -85.47% 339.07% 70.33% 37.03%
Dividend per Share 1 0.18 - - 0.72 0.72 0.7289 0.7501 0.7965
Change - - - - 0% 1.23% 2.91% 6.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.71 17.59 18.02 17.67 17.44 15.41 15.77 17.98
Change - 11.98% 2.45% -1.94% -1.29% -11.65% 2.31% 14%
EPS 1 -5.44 1.61 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.777 3.108 3.789
Change - 129.6% -45.96% -6.9% -6.17% 2.24% 299.92% 21.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 590,273 591,920 593,752 596,115 599,737 517,155 517,155 517,155
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 54.8x 13.7x
PBR 2.76x 2.7x
EV / Sales 0.85x 0.83x
Yield 1.71% 1.76%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
42.55USD
Average target price
41.80USD
Spread / Average Target
-1.76%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. LUV Stock
  4. Financials Southwest Airlines Co.