Projected Income Statement: SPS Commerce, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: SPS Commerce, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -257 -214 -275 -241 -151 -265 -413 -624
Change - 16.73% -28.5% 12.36% 37.34% -75.09% -55.85% -51.09%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/10/25 2/12/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SPS Commerce, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19.59 19.88 19.76 20.05 26.52 25.99 30.95 29.97
Change - 1.49% -0.6% 1.44% 32.32% -2% 19.07% -3.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 93.3 80.17 112.5 137.4 152.3 181.7 203.7 228
Change - -14.08% 40.37% 22.05% 10.86% 19.31% 12.11% 11.95%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/10/25 2/12/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SPS Commerce, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.78% 29.34% 29.36% 29.26% 30.79% 32.81% 34.63% 36.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.08% 25.81% 25.87% 26.18% 27.84% 29.95% 31.55% 33.65%
EBT Margin (%) 13.9% 15.82% 15.94% 15.6% 16.48% 17.52% 20.75% 23.63%
Net margin (%) 11.58% 12.23% 12.26% 12.08% 12.42% 12.26% 14.13% 16.12%
FCF margin (%) 24.22% 17.78% 20.96% 21.54% 20.26% 22.66% 23.68% 24.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 209.22% 145.41% 170.97% 178.25% 163.13% 184.74% 167.57% 152.17%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 14.83% 16.98% 17.76% 10.12% 17.74% 16.35% 16.66% 16.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.08% 4.41% 3.68% 3.14% 3.53% 3.24% 3.6% 3.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.3% 15.03% 12.54% 10.74% 11.46% 9.88% 10.39% 8.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.99% 24.8% 17.56% 14.59% 17.42% 14.31% 15.2% 13.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 29.2 33.74 38.9
Change - - - - - - 15.55% 15.29%
EPS 1 1.21 1.49 1.76 2.04 2.46 2.56 3.205 3.883
Change - 23.14% 18.12% 15.91% 20.59% 4.05% 25.23% 21.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 35,964 36,042 36,698 37,568 37,709 37,391 37,391 37,391
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/10/25 2/12/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 22.5x 18x
PBR 1.97x 1.71x
EV / Sales 2.36x 2.02x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
57.62USD
Average target price
78.82USD
Spread / Average Target
+36.79%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SPSC Stock
  4. Financials SPS Commerce, Inc.