Projected Income Statement: Stella-Jones Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Stella-Jones Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 878 1,108 1,610 1,653 - 1,438 1,408 1,820
Change - 26.2% 45.31% 2.67% - - -2.09% 29.26%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Stella-Jones Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 48 97 155 132 135.1 124.8 125
Change - 102.08% 59.79% -14.84% - -7.6% 0.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 203 128 -48 276 278.4 302.4 337.8
Change - -36.95% -137.5% 675% - 8.58% 11.74%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Stella-Jones Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.55% 14.62% 18.32% 18.25% 18.93% 17.95% 18.04% 18.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.85% 11.71% 15.03% 14.5% 14.78% 13.87% 14.06% 14.49%
EBT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.64% 12.99% 11.96% 12.8% 11.99% 12.12% 12.69%
Net margin (%) 8.25% 7.86% 9.82% 9.2% 9.65% 8.93% 9.08% 9.56%
FCF margin (%) 7.38% 4.18% -1.45% 7.96% - 7.54% 7.86% 8.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 89.43% 53.11% -14.72% 86.52% - 84.4% 86.61% 85.84%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 16.09% 18.5% 20.3% 17.76% - 15.9% 16.4% 17.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.2x 2.47x 2.65x 2.61x - 2.17x 2.03x 2.39x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.33x 8.66x -33.54x 5.99x - 5.16x 4.66x 5.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.75% 3.16% 4.67% 3.81% - 3.66% 3.25% 3.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12% 21.65% 25.49% 20.85% - 20.37% 18% 16.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.65% 75.78% -322.92% 47.83% - 48.51% 41.28% 37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.862 4.152 1.846 7.234 - 7.48 7.77 -
Change - 7.51% -55.54% 291.9% - - 3.88% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.72 0.8 0.92 1.12 - 1.37 1.493 -
Change - 11.11% 15% 21.74% - - 8.97% -
Book Value Per Share 1 22.28 26.34 28.5 34.77 - 39.98 42.91 -
Change - 18.24% 8.19% 22.01% - - 7.34% -
EPS 1 3.49 3.93 5.62 5.66 6.09 6.162 6.705 7.883
Change - 12.61% 43% 0.71% 7.6% 1.19% 8.8% 17.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 64,241 59,346 57,021 55,894 54,767 54,606 54,606 54,606
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.6x 14.4x
PBR 2.41x 2.24x
EV / Sales 1.81x 1.73x
Yield 1.42% 1.55%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
96.30CAD
Average target price
101.44CAD
Spread / Average Target
+5.34%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SJ Stock
  4. Financials Stella-Jones Inc.
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