Projected Income Statement: Telia Company AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Telia Company AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 78,343 63,133 71,397 73,758 71,378 61,749 61,748 62,009
Change - -19.41% 13.09% 3.31% -3.23% -13.49% -6.81% 0.42%
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Telia Company AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 13,710 15,647 15,908 15,466 13,889 14,980 13,231 13,513
Change - 14.13% 1.67% -2.78% -10.2% 7.86% -9.54% 2.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,114 11,729 8,094 9,204 4,023 9,282 9,813 11,530
Change - -22.4% -30.99% 13.71% -56.29% 130.72% 8.44% 17.5%
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Telia Company AB

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.42% 33.8% 33.39% 34.08% 35.17% 34.25% 39.99% 40.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.96% 11.36% 12.48% 12.23% 14.17% 12.87% 17.86% 18.66%
EBT Margin (%) -23.62% 14.26% -14.07% 1.24% 6.46% 9.01% 13.96% 14.9%
Net margin (%) -25.69% 13.22% -16.12% 0.34% 7.94% 4.35% 10.27% 10.94%
FCF margin (%) 16.95% 13.28% 8.91% 10.37% 4.51% 11.46% 12.08% 13.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) -65.97% 100.42% -55.29% 3,037.62% 56.83% 263.32% 117.58% 127.46%

Profitability

        
ROA -9.34% 5.04% -6.37% 2.36% 2.54% 4.29% 4.4% 4.61%
ROE -29.87% 16.32% -20.19% 9% 13% 14.32% 16.99% 17.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.55x 2.11x 2.35x 2.44x 2.28x 2.23x 1.9x 1.85x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.18x 5.38x 8.82x 8.01x 17.74x 6.65x 6.29x 5.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.37% 17.71% 17.51% 17.42% 15.58% 18.5% 16.28% 16.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.66% 52.4% 52.45% 51.12% 44.31% 54% 40.72% 40.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 90.71% 133.4% 196.54% 168.04% 345.24% 161.39% 134.84% 117.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.047 6.694 5.948 6.274 5.39 7.02 6.479 6.64
Change - -5.01% -11.15% 5.49% -14.09% 30.24% 0.18% 2.49%
Dividend per Share 1 2 2.05 2 2 2 2 2.158 2.277
Change - 2.5% -2.44% 0% 0% 0% 6.12% 5.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.36 19.74 16.34 13.6 14.1 12.99 13.16 13.11
Change - 28.52% -17.23% -16.77% 3.68% -7.89% -2.91% -0.36%
EPS 1 -5.6 2.86 -3.63 0.08 0.97 0.9 2.149 2.315
Change - 151.07% -226.92% 102.2% 1,112.5% -7.22% 32.32% 7.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,089,632 4,089,632 3,932,109 3,932,109 3,932,109 3,932,109 3,932,109 3,932,109
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - -
1SEK
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 43.8x 21.8x
PBR 3.03x 3.56x
EV / Sales 2.67x 3.03x
Yield 5.08% 4.61%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
46.95SEK
Average target price
41.05SEK
Spread / Average Target
-12.57%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TELIA Stock
  4. Financials Telia Company AB
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