Projected Income Statement: Thales

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,562 795 35.2 4,000 3,044 2,057 696 -949
Change - -68.97% -95.57% 11,263.64% -23.9% -32.42% -66.16% -236.35%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/8/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 386.9 450.8 534.6 625.6 616.8 720.4 769.4 817.5
Change - 16.52% 18.59% 17.02% -1.41% 16.79% 6.81% 6.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 958.7 2,256 2,491 2,026 2,027 1,959 2,357 2,575
Change - 135.31% 10.41% -18.66% 0.05% -3.34% 20.28% 9.25%
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/8/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.89% 14.5% 13.69% 14.01% 14.08% 16.11% 16.25% 16.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.96% 10.18% 11.01% 11.57% 11.75% 12.18% 12.62% 12.99%
EBT Margin (%) 3.43% 7.92% 7.66% 6.81% 6.1% 9.79% 10.47% 11.22%
Net margin (%) 2.84% 6.73% 6.38% 5.55% 6.9% 6.62% 7.52% 8.02%
FCF margin (%) 5.64% 13.93% 14.18% 10.99% 9.85% 8.92% 9.98% 10.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 198.49% 207.15% 222.19% 198.04% 142.8% 134.78% 132.74% 125.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.97% 3.37% 3.33% 2.79% 4.82% 4.54% 5.11% 5.52%
ROE 17.74% 18.74% 16.43% 25.25% 26.49% 24.41% 25.19% 24.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.01x 0.34x 0.01x 1.55x 1.05x 0.58x 0.18x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.67x 0.35x 0.01x 1.97x 1.5x 1.05x 0.3x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.28% 2.78% 3.04% 3.39% 3% 3.28% 3.26% 3.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.29% 19.2% 22.23% 24.23% 21.29% 20.35% 20.05% 19.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.36% 19.98% 21.46% 30.88% 30.43% 36.77% 32.65% 31.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.321 12.7 14.25 7.249 13.45 12.48 14.19 15.76
Change - 100.97% 12.16% -49.12% 85.56% -7.24% 13.71% 11.06%
Dividend per Share 1 1.76 2.56 2.94 3.4 3.7 3.794 4.338 4.837
Change - 45.45% 14.84% 15.65% 8.82% 2.54% 14.35% 11.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.03 30.43 34.14 33.05 36.6 39.91 44.66 50.34
Change - 26.66% 12.17% -3.2% 10.76% 9.04% 11.88% 12.74%
EPS 1 2.27 5.12 5.29 4.91 6.89 7.442 9.082 10.44
Change - 125.55% 3.32% -7.18% 40.33% 8.01% 22.03% 14.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 212,680 212,957 211,730 208,476 205,380 205,373 205,373 205,373
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/8/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 31.1x 25.4x
PBR 5.79x 5.18x
EV / Sales 2.25x 2.04x
Yield 1.64% 1.88%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
231.10EUR
Average target price
275.00EUR
Spread / Average Target
+19.00%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise