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Projected Income Statement: The Carlyle Group Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,950 | 4,401 | 3,405 | 3,655 | 3,902 | 4,594 | 5,297 | - |
| Change | - | -11.08% | -22.64% | 7.35% | 6.73% | 17.76% | 15.29% | - |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,281 | 1,948 | 1,468 | 1,572 | 1,745 | 1,312 | 2,136 | 2,212 |
| Change | - | -14.61% | -24.61% | 7.07% | 11% | -24.85% | 62.87% | 3.57% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,244 | 1,909 | 1,430 | 1,526 | 1,691 | 1,762 | 2,075 | 2,134 |
| Change | - | -14.92% | -25.07% | 6.64% | 10.86% | 4.2% | 17.76% | 2.84% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -100.7 | -107.3 | -123.8 | -120.9 | -123.7 | -142.4 | -143.9 | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | 1,572 | -600.9 | 1,394 | 1,159 | 1,171 | 1,457 | 2,159 |
| Change | - | - | -138.21% | 331.94% | -16.83% | 1% | 24.4% | 48.22% |
| Net income 1 | - | 1,225 | -608.4 | 1,020 | 808.7 | 1,603 | 1,840 | 1,915 |
| Change | - | - | -149.67% | 267.72% | -20.75% | 98.2% | 14.77% | 4.09% |
| Announcement Date | 2/3/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/7/24 | 2/11/25 | 2/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: The Carlyle Group Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 5,283 | 6,529 | 6,979 | 6,911 | - | -391 | -1,834 | - |
| Change | - | 23.59% | 6.89% | -0.97% | - | - | -369.05% | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/3/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/7/24 | 2/11/25 | 2/6/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: The Carlyle Group Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 41.4 | 40.6 | 66.6 | 77.7 | 96.3 | 108.9 | 119 |
| Change | - | -1.93% | 64.04% | 16.67% | - | 13.11% | 9.27% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | - | -419.9 | 138.3 | -837.2 | 1,535 | 1,986 | 1,892 |
| Change | - | - | 132.94% | -705.35% | - | 29.36% | -4.73% |
| Announcement Date | 2/3/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/7/24 | 2/11/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: The Carlyle Group Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 46.09% | 44.26% | 43.13% | 43.01% | 44.73% | 28.55% | 40.33% | - |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 45.33% | 43.37% | 42.01% | 41.73% | 43.35% | 38.36% | 39.18% | - |
| EBT Margin (%) | - | 35.73% | -17.65% | 38.13% | 29.71% | 25.48% | 27.5% | - |
| Net margin (%) | - | 27.83% | -17.87% | 27.91% | 20.73% | 34.89% | 34.73% | - |
| FCF margin (%) | - | -9.54% | 4.06% | -22.9% | - | 33.42% | 37.49% | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | - | -34.28% | -22.73% | -82.05% | - | 95.78% | 107.95% | 98.81% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 9.68% | 7.39% | 5.52% | 4.61% | - | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| ROE | 44.83% | 27.41% | 19.58% | 22.8% | - | 21.89% | 22.41% | 18.43% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.32x | 3.35x | 4.75x | 4.4x | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | -15.55x | 50.47x | -8.25x | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.84% | 0.92% | 1.96% | 2.13% | - | 2.1% | 2.06% | - |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 1.81% | 2.08% | 4.54% | 4.94% | - | 7.34% | 5.1% | 5.38% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | - | -9.67% | 48.16% | -9.28% | - | 6.27% | 5.49% | 6.29% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.94 | -1.037 | 0.567 | -2.064 | - | 6.108 | - | - |
| Change | - | -121% | 154.67% | -464% | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.458 | 1.534 | 1.575 |
| Change | - | 30% | 7.69% | 0% | 0% | 4.13% | 5.21% | 2.69% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 14.86 | 17.17 | 16.01 | 17.77 | - | 47.6 | 44.25 | - |
| Change | - | 15.59% | -6.76% | 11% | - | - | -7.03% | - |
| EPS 1 | - | 3.35 | -1.68 | 2.77 | 2.18 | 3.552 | 4.292 | 4.552 |
| Change | - | - | -150.15% | 264.88% | -21.3% | 62.92% | 20.84% | 6.06% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 356,462 | 363,605 | 360,796 | 357,681 | 360,410 | 361,171 | 361,171 | 361,171 |
| Announcement Date | 2/3/22 | 2/7/23 | 2/7/24 | 2/11/25 | 2/6/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 13.3x | 11x |
| PBR | 0.99x | 1.07x |
| EV / Sales | 3.63x | 2.88x |
| Yield | 3.08% | 3.24% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials The Carlyle Group Inc.
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