(dollars in millions, except per share data)

Business Overview

We manufacture alloy steel, as well as carbon and micro-alloy steel. Our portfolio includes special bar quality ("SBQ") bars, seamless mechanical tubing ("tubes"), value-added solutions such as precision steel components, and billets. In addition, we supply machining and thermal treatment services and manage raw material recycling programs, which are also used as a feeder system for our melt operations. Our products and services are used in a diverse range of demanding applications in the following market sectors: automotive; oil and gas; industrial equipment; mining; construction; rail; defense; heavy truck; agriculture; power generation; and oil country tubular goods ("OCTG").

SBQ steel is made to restrictive chemical compositions and high internal purity levels and is used in critical mechanical applications. We make these products from nearly 100% recycled steel, using our expertise in raw materials to create custom steel products. We focus on creating tailored products and services for our customers' most demanding applications. Our engineers are experts in both materials and applications, so we can work closely with each customer to deliver flexible solutions related to our products as well as to their applications and supply chains.

The SBQ bar, tube, and billet production processes take place at our Canton, Ohio manufacturing location. This location accounts for all of the SBQ bars, seamless mechanical tubes and billets we produce and includes three manufacturing facilities: the Faircrest, Harrison, and Gambrinus facilities. Our value-added solutions production processes take place at two downstream manufacturing facilities: Tryon Peak (Columbus, North Carolina) and St. Clair (Eaton, Ohio). Many of the production processes are integrated, and the manufacturing facilities produce products that are sold in all of our market sectors. As a result, investments in our facilities and resource allocation decisions affecting our operations are designed to benefit the overall business, not any specific aspect of the business.

The lead time for our products varies based on product type and specifications. As of the date of this filing, lead times for SBQ bars are averaging 15 to 18 weeks and lead times for tubes are averaging 18 weeks.

On February 16, 2021, management announced a plan to indefinitely idle our Harrison melt and casting assets, which was completed in the first quarter of 2021. Going forward, all of our melt and casting activities will take place at the Faircrest location. We worked collaboratively with employees, suppliers and a number of customers to ensure a well-organized and efficient transition. Our rolling and finishing operations at Harrison were not impacted by this action. Prior to indefinitely idling these assets, we had an annual melt capacity of approximately 2 million tons and shipment capacity of 1.5 million tons. After indefinitely idling these assets, our annual melt capacity is approximately 1.2 million tons and our shipment capacity is approximately 0.9 million tons.

We conduct our business activities and report financial results as one business segment. The presentation of financial results as one reportable segment is consistent with the way we operate our business and is consistent with the manner in which the Chief Operating Decision Maker ("CODM") evaluates performance and makes resource and operating decisions for the business as described above. Furthermore, the Company notes that monitoring financial results as one reportable segment helps the CODM manage costs on a consolidated basis, consistent with the integrated nature of our operations.

Impact of Raw Material Prices

In the ordinary course of business, we are exposed to the volatility of the costs of our raw materials. Whenever possible, we manage our exposure to commodity risks primarily through the use of supplier pricing agreements that enable us to establish the purchase prices for certain inputs that are used in our manufacturing process. We utilize a raw material surcharge mechanism when pricing products to our customers, which is designed to mitigate the impact of increases or decreases in raw material costs, although generally with a one-month lag effect. This timing effect can result in raw material spread whereby costs can be over- or under-recovered in certain periods. While the surcharge generally protects gross profit, it has the effect of diluting gross margin as a percent of sales.















                                       17


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents





Results of Operations

Net Sales

The charts below present net sales and shipments for the three months ended March 31, 2021 and 2020.



                     [[Image Removed]]   [[Image Removed]]

Net sales for the three months ended March 31, 2021 were $273.6 million, an increase of $13.9 million, or 5.4% compared with the three months ended March 31, 2020. The increase was primarily driven by an increase in surcharges of $21.7 million across all end-market sectors due to higher market prices for scrap and favorable price/mix of $11.5 million driven by the mobile end-market sector. These increases were partially offset by lower volumes of $19.3 million, primarily due to lower energy and OCTG billet shipments in the first quarter of 2021. Excluding surcharges, net sales decreased $7.8 million or 3.6%.

Gross Profit

The chart below presents the drivers of the gross profit variance from the three months ended March 31, 2021 to March 31, 2020.





                               [[Image Removed]]


Gross profit for the three months ended March 31, 2021 increased $22.9 million, or 293.6%, compared with the three months ended March 31, 2020. The increase was driven primarily by favorable manufacturing costs and raw material spread, partially offset by price/mix and lower volumes. Favorable manufacturing costs were primarily due to the Company's significant cost reduction actions and a favorable impact of higher production levels on fixed cost leverage, partially offset by higher variable compensation costs. Raw material spread was favorable due to higher scrap and alloy spreads. Unfavorable price/mix was driven by higher sales in the mobile end-market sector compared with the industrial and energy end-market sectors. Unfavorable volume was due to lower sales of OCTG billets in the first quarter of 2021 and a weak energy market.



                                       18



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents




Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

The charts below present selling, general and administrative ("SG&A") expense for the three months ended March 31, 2021 and 2020.



                               [[Image Removed]]



SG&A expense for the three months ended March 31, 2021 decreased by $3.9 million, compared with the same period in 2020. The decreases are primarily due to lower wages and benefits expense, which are a result of a reduction in employee headcount following the Company's restructuring actions. Other related cost reduction actions and lower controllable spend also contributed to the decrease. These decreases are partially offset by increases in variable compensation.



Restructuring Charges



Beginning in 2019, TimkenSteel made organizational changes to enhance profitable and sustainable growth. These company-wide actions included the restructuring of its business support functions, the reduction of management layers throughout the organization, the closure of the TimkenSteel Material Services ("TMS") facility in Houston, Texas and other domestic and international actions to further improve the Company's overall cost structure. Through these restructuring efforts, to date the Company has eliminated approximately 230 salaried positions and recognized restructuring charges of $12.2 million. Approximately 15 salaried positions were eliminated in the first quarter of 2021. The Company expects to realize annual savings of approximately $27 million as a result of these actions. Refer to "Note 4 - Restructuring Charges" in the Notes to the unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Interest Expense

Interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2021 was $1.9 million, a decrease of $1.3 million, compared with the three months ended March 31, 2020. The decrease in interest expense was primarily due to the adoption of the Accounting Standard Update 2020-06 on January 1, 2021, which caused the Convertible Notes to no longer have a debt discount that is amortized. The remaining decrease is due to a reduction in outstanding borrowings as well as lower overall interest rates. Refer to "Note 10 - Financing Arrangements" in the Notes to the unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.



Other (Income) Expense, net

                                                         Three Months Ended March 31,
                                                   2021               2020           $ Change
Pension and postretirement non-service
benefit (income) loss                          $       (9.6 )     $       (6.6 )   $       (3.0 )
Loss (gain) from remeasurement benefit plan             0.2                9.5             (9.3 )
Miscellaneous (income) expense                            -               (0.2 )            0.2
Total other (income) expense, net              $       (9.4 )     $        2.7     $      (12.1 )

Non-service related pension and other postretirement benefit income, for all years, consists of the interest cost, expected return on plan assets and amortization components of net periodic cost.

The TimkenSteel Corporation Retirement Plan ("Salaried Plan") has a provision that permits employees to elect to receive their pension benefits in a lump sum. In the first quarter of 2021, the cumulative cost of all lump sum payments exceeded the sum of the service cost and interest cost components of net periodic pension cost for the Salaried Plan. As a result, the Company completed a full remeasurement of its pension obligations and plan assets associated with the Salaried Plan during the first quarter of 2021, which resulted in a non-cash loss from remeasurement of $0.2 million. A full remeasurement of the pension obligations and plan assets



                                       19



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

associated with the Salaried Plan was also required in the first quarter of 2020 resulting in a non-cash loss from remeasurement of $9.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020. For more details on the remeasurement, refer to "Note 11 - Retirement and Postretirement Plans".

Provision for Income Taxes



                                              Three Months Ended March 31,
                                         2021            2020           $ Change

Provision (benefit) for income taxes $ 0.2 $ 0.1 $ 0.1 Effective tax rate

                          2.0 %           (0.5 )%         NM(1)


(1) "NM" represents data that is not meaningful.

The majority of the Company's income tax expense is derived from foreign operations. The Company remains in a full valuation for the U.S. jurisdiction for the three months ended March 31, 2021 and 2020.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Net Sales, Excluding Surcharges

The table below presents net sales by end-market sector, adjusted to exclude surcharges, which represents a financial measure that has not been determined in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("U.S. GAAP"). We believe presenting net sales by end-market sector adjusted to exclude surcharges provides additional insight into key drivers of net sales such as base price and product mix.

(dollars in millions, tons in thousands)


                                               Three Months Ended March 31, 2021
                                   Mobile         Industrial      Energy      Other       Total
Tons                                   103.5             84.4         5.5          -       193.4

Net Sales                       $      133.6     $      124.7     $   7.7     $  7.6     $ 273.6
Less: Surcharges                        32.8             32.7         2.1          -        67.6
Base Sales                      $      100.8     $       92.0     $   5.6     $  7.6     $ 206.0

Net Sales / Ton                 $      1,291     $      1,477     $ 1,400     $    -     $ 1,415
Surcharges / Ton                $        317     $        387     $   382     $    -     $   350
Base Sales / Ton                $        974     $      1,090     $ 1,018     $    -     $ 1,065

                                               Three Months Ended March 31, 2020
                                   Mobile         Industrial      Energy      Other       Total
Tons                                    88.8             81.2        18.4       25.0       213.4

Net Sales                       $       97.7     $      113.3     $  25.2     $ 23.5     $ 259.7
Less: Surcharges                        16.6             18.8         4.2        6.3        45.9
Base Sales                      $       81.1     $       94.5     $  21.0     $ 17.2     $ 213.8

Net Sales / Ton                 $      1,100     $      1,395     $ 1,370     $  940     $ 1,217
Surcharges / Ton                $        187     $        231     $   229     $  252     $   215
Base Sales / Ton                $        913     $      1,164     $ 1,141     $  688     $ 1,002




                                       20


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents




Liquidity and Capital Resources

Amended Credit Agreement

On October 15, 2019, the Company entered into a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the "Amended Credit Agreement") with JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent, Bank of America, N.A., as syndication agent, and the other lenders party thereto, which further amended and restated the Company's Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement dated as of January 26, 2018.

The Amended Credit Agreement requires the Company to (i) unless certain conditions are met, maintain certain minimum liquidity as specified in the Amended Credit Agreement during the period commencing on March 1, 2021 and ending on June 1, 2021 and (ii) maintain a minimum specified fixed charge coverage ratio on a springing basis if minimum availability requirements as specified in the Amended Credit Agreement are not maintained.

The minimum liquidity required for the period commencing on March 1, 2021 and ending on June 1, 2021 is equal to the sum of (i) the aggregate outstanding principal amount of the Convertible Senior Notes due 2021 and (ii) an amount equal to 12.5% of the lesser of the borrowing base and the total capacity of $400 million. As of March 31, 2021, the total minimum liquidity requirement is $71.1 million (calculated as the sum of $40.2 million in outstanding Convertible Senior Notes due 2021 and $30.9 million, representing 12.5% of the borrowing base as of March 31, 2021). The Company is currently compliant with this minimum liquidity requirement and expects to remain compliant through June 1, 2021.

For additional details regarding the Amended Credit Agreement please refer to "Note 14 - Financing Arrangements" in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.

Convertible Notes

In May 2016, the Company issued $75.0 million aggregate principal amount of Convertible Senior Notes due 2021, plus an additional $11.3 million principal amount to cover over-allotments. The Convertible Senior Notes due 2021 bear cash interest at a rate of 6.0% per year, payable semiannually on June 1 and December 1, beginning on December 1, 2016. The Convertible Senior Notes due 2021 will mature on June 1, 2021, unless earlier repurchased or converted. The net proceeds received from the offering were $83.2 million, after deducting the initial underwriters' discount and fees and paying the offering expenses. We used the net proceeds to repay a portion of the amounts outstanding under our credit agreement.

In December 2020, the Company entered into separate, privately negotiated exchange agreements with a limited number of holders of the Company's currently outstanding Convertible Senior Notes due 2021. Pursuant to the exchange agreements, the Company exchanged $46.0 million aggregate principal amount of Convertible Senior Notes due 2021 for $46.0 million aggregate principal amount of its new Convertible Senior Notes due 2025. The Company did not receive any cash proceeds from the issuance of the Convertible Senior Notes due 2025.

The Convertible Senior Notes due 2025 bear cash interest at a rate of 6.0% per year, payable semiannually on June 1 and December 1, beginning on June 1, 2021. The Convertible Senior Notes due 2025 will mature on December 1, 2025, unless earlier repurchased or converted. The net amount of this exchange was $44.5 million, after deducting the initial underwriters' fees and paying other transaction costs.

For additional details regarding the Convertible Notes please refer to "Note 14 - Financing Arrangements" in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.

































                                       21


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents




Additional Liquidity Considerations

The following represents a summary of key liquidity measures under the Amended Credit Agreement as of March 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020:



                                March 31,       December 31,
                                  2021              2020
Cash and cash equivalents      $     115.7     $        102.8

Credit Agreement:
Maximum availability           $     400.0     $        400.0
Suppressed availability(1)          (152.7 )           (183.2 )
Availability                         247.3              216.8
Amount borrowed                          -                  -
Letter of credit obligations          (5.5 )             (5.5 )
Availability not borrowed      $     241.8     $        211.3

Total liquidity                $     357.5     $        314.1

(1) As of March 31, 2021, and December 31, 2020, TimkenSteel had less than $400 million in collateral assets to borrow against.

Our principal sources of liquidity are cash and cash equivalents, cash flows from operations and available borrowing capacity under our credit agreement. As of March 31, 2021, taking into account our view of mobile, industrial, and energy market demands for our products, and our 2021 operating and long-range plan, we believe that our cash balance as of March 31, 2021, projected cash generated from operations, and borrowings available under the Amended Credit Agreement, will be sufficient to satisfy our working capital needs, capital expenditures and other liquidity requirements associated with our operations, including servicing our debt obligations, for at least the next twelve months. Regarding the Convertible Senior Notes due June 1, 2021, we plan to repay the remaining outstanding principal balance plus accrued interest upon maturity with available cash. As of March 31, 2021, the outstanding principal balance on the Convertible Senior Notes due June 1, 2021 was $40.2 million.

The full extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic will impact our operations and financial results is uncertain and ultimately will depend on, among many other factors, the duration of the pandemic, further Federal and State government actions and the speed of economic recovery. To the extent our liquidity needs prove to be greater than expected or cash generated from operations is less than anticipated, and cash on hand or credit availability is insufficient, we would seek additional financing to provide additional liquidity. We regularly evaluate our potential access to the equity and debt capital markets as sources of liquidity and we believe additional financing would likely be available if necessary, although we can make no assurance as to the form or terms of any such financing. We would also consider additional cost reductions and restructuring, changes in working capital management and further reductions of capital expenditures. Regardless, we will continue to evaluate additional financing or may seek to refinance outstanding borrowings under the Amended Credit Agreement to provide us with additional flexibility and liquidity. Any additional financing beyond that incurred to refinance existing debt would increase our overall debt and could increase interest expense.

For additional details regarding the Amended Credit Agreement and the Convertible Notes please refer to "Note 14 - Financing Arrangements" in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.

Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security ("CARES") Act

On March 27, 2020, the President of the United States signed the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security ("CARES") Act, an economic stimulus package intended to provide support, principally in the form of tax benefits and additional liquidity, to companies and individuals negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the majority of the provisions included in the CARES Act did not immediately benefit the Company from a cash tax perspective due to its significant net operating losses, the Company has taken advantage of the deferral of the employer share (6.2% of employee wages) of Social Security payroll taxes that would otherwise have been owed from the date of enactment of the legislation through December 31, 2020, as afforded by the Act. At December 31, 2020, the Company deferred approximately $6.4 million of payroll taxes as permitted by the CARES Act, all of which will be paid in two equal installments at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2022. Additionally, the Company is currently in the process of filing for the Employee Retention Credit and accrued a benefit of approximately $2.3 million for this credit in the fourth quarter of 2020.

Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 ("CAA")

On December 27, 2020, the President of the United States signed the Consolidated Appropriation Act, 2021 ("CAA"). The CAA includes additional COVID-19 relief that expands upon the relief provided in the CARES Act, including, but not limited to, the extension of tax deductions, credits, and incentives. The Company has evaluated the CAA for any potential impact. While it was determined that the CAA revised and extended the Employee Retention Credit into 2021, the CAA is not expected to have an impact on the Company as



                                       22



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

furloughs related to the COVID-19 pandemic ceased in 2020. Furthermore, the Company does not expect any of the other provisions within the CAA to provide a benefit.

American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 ("ARPA")

On March 11, 2021, the President of the United States signed the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 ("ARPA"). The ARPA strengthens and extends certain programs enacted through the CARES Act and establishes new relief programs aimed at mitigating the financial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Company is evaluating the provisions within the ARPA. At this time, two provisions are anticipated to impact the Company.

The first applicable provision imposes new requirements related to health coverage provided by the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act ("COBRA"). Under the ARPA, employers are required to provide a 100% premium subsidy for COBRA health care continuation coverage for certain employees for the period of April 1, 2021 through September 30, 2021. The Company will be reimbursed for this additional coverage through fully refundable payroll tax credits.

The second applicable provision offers funding relief for single-employer defined benefit pension plans. Specifically, the ARPA provides enhanced interest rate stabilization, as well as extended amortization of funding shortfalls. The Company is currently evaluating the impact and timing of election options permitted by the ARPA on required contributions to our domestic defined benefit pension plans. At this time based on current assumptions and expected asset returns, pending further IRS guidance, we believe that the ARPA provisions are likely to result in a delay in the timing of required Company contributions until 2028. However, these estimates are subject to significant uncertainty.

Cash Flows

The following table reflects the major categories of cash flows for the three months ended March 31, 2021 and 2020. For additional details, please refer to the unaudited Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows included in this quarterly report.



                                                             Three Months Ended March 31,
                                                             2021                   2020

Net cash provided (used) by operating activities $ 13.2 $ 63.8 Net cash provided (used) by investing activities

                  (2.3 )                   4.9
Net cash provided (used) by financing activities                   2.0                   (30.2 )

Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 12.9 $ 38.5






Operating activities

Net cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended March 31, 2021 was $13.2 million compared to net cash provided of $63.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020. The decrease in the first quarter of 2021 as compared to the first quarter of 2020 was primarily due to lower cash flows from working capital in the first quarter of 2021 due to increasing customer demand and production levels during the first quarter of 2021 as compared to the benefits of cost saving initiatives achieved in the first quarter of 2020.

Investing activities

Net cash used by investing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2021 was $2.3 million, as compared to net cash provided of $4.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020. The change was primarily due to no proceeds from disposals of property, plant and equipment in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter of 2020.

Financing activities

Net cash provided by financing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2021 was $2.0 million compared to net cash used by financing activities of $30.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020. The change was primarily due to no repayments on credit agreements in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter of 2020.



                                       23



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents




Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The preparation of these financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the periods presented. We review our critical accounting policies throughout the year.

New Accounting Guidance

See "Note 2 - Recent Accounting Pronouncements" in the Notes to the unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements set forth in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (including our forecasts, beliefs and expectations) that are not historical in nature are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In particular, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contains numerous forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as "anticipate," "believe," "could," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "outlook," "intend," "may," "plan," "possible," "potential," "predict," "project," "seek," "should," "target," "will," "would," or other similar words, phrases or expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Form 10-Q. We caution readers that actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of us due to a variety of factors, such as:





   •  deterioration in world economic conditions, or in economic conditions in any
      of the geographic regions in which we conduct business, including additional
      adverse effects from global economic slowdown, terrorism or hostilities.
      This includes: political risks associated with the potential instability of
      governments and legal systems in countries in which we or our customers
      conduct business, and changes in currency valuations;


   •  the effects of fluctuations in customer demand on sales, product mix and
      prices in the industries in which we operate. This includes: our ability to
      respond to rapid changes in customer demand; the effects of customer
      bankruptcies or liquidations; the impact of changes in industrial business
      cycles; and whether conditions of fair trade exist in the U.S. markets;


   •  the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our operations and
      financial results, including cash flows and liquidity;


   •  competitive factors, including changes in market penetration; increasing
      price competition by existing or new foreign and domestic competitors; the
      introduction of new products by existing and new competitors; and new
      technology that may impact the way our products are sold or distributed;


   •  changes in operating costs, including the effect of changes in our
      manufacturing processes; changes in costs associated with varying levels of
      operations and manufacturing capacity; availability of raw materials and
      energy; our ability to mitigate the impact of fluctuations in raw materials
      and energy costs and the effectiveness of our surcharge mechanism; changes
      in the expected costs associated with product warranty claims; changes
      resulting from inventory management, cost reduction initiatives and
      different levels of customer demands; the effects of unplanned work
      stoppages; and changes in the cost of labor and benefits;


   •  the success of our operating plans, announced programs, initiatives and
      capital investments; and our ability to maintain appropriate relations with
      unions that represent our associates in certain locations in order to avoid
      disruptions of business;


   •  unanticipated litigation, claims or assessments, including claims or
      problems related to intellectual property, product liability or warranty,
      and environmental issues and taxes, among other matters;


   •  the availability of financing and interest rates, which affect our cost of
      funds and/or ability to raise capital, including our ability to refinance
      and/or repay prior to or at maturity the Convertible Notes; our pension
      obligations and investment performance; and/or customer demand and the
      ability of customers to obtain financing to purchase our products or
      equipment that contain our products; and the amount of any dividend declared
      by our Board of Directors on our common shares;


   •  the overall impact of the pension and postretirement mark-to-market
      accounting; and


   •  those items identified under the caption Risk Factors in our Annual Report
      on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.

You are cautioned that it is not possible to predict or identify all of the risks, uncertainties and other factors that may affect future results, and that the above list should not be considered to be a complete list. Except as required by the federal securities laws, we



                                       24



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

© Edgar Online, source Glimpses