Tokio Marine Group
Investor Day
November 26, 2020
Today's Schedule and Speakers
I | Group Strategy |
(13:30-14:30 JST) |
II | Domestic Business Strategy |
(14:40-15:25 JST) |
- International Business Strategy
(15:35-16:20 JST)
- Asset Management Strategy
(16:30-17:00 JST)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Group CEO | Group CFO |
Group CCO | |
Satoru Komiya | Takayuki Yuasa |
President & CEO | President & CEO |
Tokio Marine & | Tokio Marine & |
Nichido | Nichido Life |
Shinichi Hirose | Katsumi Nakazato |
Co-Head of International Business
Akira Harashima
Group CIO
Yoshinari Endo
1
I
Group Strategy
Group CEO | Satoru Komiya |
Group CFO | Takayuki Yuasa |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 2 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Our Goal and Strategy
Continue the existing management strategy and turn the growth cycle at a fast and planned pace heading towards our goal
Our Goal
A global insurance group delivering attractive value to all stakeholders
Stable double-digit ROE | High-level shareholder return | |||||
Capital adjustment | ||||||
Capital | Shareholder return | |||||
Organic growth | ||||||
generation | ||||||
Business | Dividend increase | |||||
Sustain stable profit base in Japan | ||||||
Flexible capital level adjustment | ||||||
Enhance specialty in | investment | |||||
developed countries | |
Capture growth potential in | Disciplined and strategic M&A |
emerging countries | |
Disciplined risk taking
+
IN
Portfolio review
Strategic capital release
Appropriate risk control
OUT
ESG for sustainable growth
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 3 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Strategic Portfolio Review
Constantly review portfolio to further improve capital efficiency
IN
(Pure, Caixa, etc.)
Forward-looking portfolio review
Disciplined and strategic M&A, risk taking
Actual Profit | Volatility |
Growth Potential | |
Strategic Significance | |
ROR | |
of Business | |
Generate Capital / Fund | |
OUT | |
(TMR, Bail USA, Egyptian Life, etc.) | |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 4 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
For Further Growth
Enhance our actual capabilities with steady execution of business strategy towards our goal
[Adjusted Net Income/Adjusted ROE (normalized basis)*]
12. | M&A |
(Billions of JPY) | |
500.0 | Shorter time |
frame | |
420 | Organic |
growth | |
400.0 |
300.0
200.0 4.8%
114.1
100.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(Projection)
growth | Further |
Our Goal
M&A
Allocating capital for
M&A will enable further growth and shorter time frame
Medium- to long-term
target (Milestones)
Over ¥500 bn (Adjusted net income)
Around 12%
Organic growth
Medium- to long-term target can be achieved with organic growth
- Hardening overseas market
- Growth potential of Pure and Caixa
- Profitability improvement of fire insurance and expansion of specialty insurance
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | *: Natural catastrophes are adjusted to 2020 original projection level, and the impact of reinstatement premiums is excluded for 2018 and 2019. | 5 |
2020 figures exclude the impact of COVID-19. |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Portfolio Diversification
Appropriately control risk and realize sustainable growth
Risk diversification
FY2019 Diversification effects 48%
Risk after diversification | ||||||
12% | 24% | ¥2.7 trillion | ||||
Before | ||||||
24% ¥5.2 trillion | ||||||
■ Domestic non-life | ||||||
24% | ||||||
(underwriting) | ||||||
16% | ||||||
Control of nat-cat risk | ||||||
■ Domestic non-life | ||||||
(investment) | ||||||
Reduction of business-related | ||||||
FY2014 Diversification effects 44% | ||||||
equities risk | ||||||
■ Domestic life | ||||||
Control of interest rate risks | ||||||
Shift to protection-type products | ||||||
10% | 21% | |||||
■ International insurance | ||||||
14% | ||||||
Before | Diversification improvements | |||||
¥5.0 trillion | with business expansion | |||||
21% | 33% | |||||
Risk after diversification ¥2.8 trillion
- Others: Financial and General businesses, FX risk derived from net capital investments, etc.
Trends of premiums and risks*
¥4.5 Sustainable trillion growth
¥3.3 | Net premiums written + Life insurance premiums |
trillion | |
Risk
¥2.8 | Disciplined |
control | |
trillion | |
¥2.7
trillion
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | *: ESR risk (99.95% VaR, after tax basis) | 6 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Stabilization of Business Platform with Global Risk Diversification
Control impact on income from natural catastrophes and COVID-19 with risk diversification
Impact of natural catastrophes
Geographical and business diversification steadily controls impact of natural catastrophes on income
400.0
Adjusted | FY14-16 | FY17-19 | |||||
300.0 | Small natural | ||||||
catastrophes, large | |||||||
adjusted net income | |||||||
200.0 | |||||||
net | |||||||
FY11-13 | |||||||
income | |||||||
100.0 | Large natural catastrophes, | ||||||
large impact on income | |||||||
(*1) | |||||||
0 | 40.0 | 80.0 | 120.0 | 160.0 (billions of JPY) | |||
Net Incurred losses related to natural catastrophes (*1)
*1: 3 year average. Net incurred losses related to natural catastrophes based on a financial accounting basis (TMNF figures for domestic)
Impact of the COVID-19 on underwriting profit
- Impact of COVID-19 in FY2020 expected to be controlled compared to peers with risk
diversification
COVID-19*2>
Peers*3
Average Maximum Minimum
4.7%
3.6%
2.7% | 2.9% | |||
*2: Ratio of net incurred losses for COVID-19 in FY2020 to net premiums earned in FY2019.
Our figure is based on private insurance and net incurred losses excludes domestic non-life which benefited from great improvement in loss ratio for auto
*3: Allianz, AXA, Chubb, Zurich | Source: D&P research |
Impacts of Natural Catastrophes and COVID-19
- The impact of more than annual average natural catastrophes and COVID-19 is controlled to approx. 20% of income through global diversification
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
(Billions of JPY) | |||||
420.0 (normalized basis*4) | |||||
2020 | |||||
91.5*5 | |||||
Revised | |||||
projections | |||||
Impact of natural catastrophes and COVID-19*5 | -22% | ||||
*4: Normalizing natural catastrophes to an average annual level and excluding the impact of COVID-19 | |||||
*5: Natural catastrophes over annual average | 7 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Stable Business Platform
We have increased ROE by enhancing profitability and risk diversification through large-scale Mergers & Acquisitions in the U.S. and Europe
We will continue to further increase ROE towards our goal
Low | Capital efficiency |
Low
TMHD
(2014-2019)
Japanese P&C 1
Volatility
Japanese P&C 2
High
0.0%
Peer 1 | |
ROE standard | |
Peer 2 | deviation |
1.5% |
TMHD
(2009-2013)
High
Peer 4
Peer 3 |
3.0% |
3%5%7% (Cost of capital)
Average ROE
9% | 11% |
ROE: Financial accounting basis.
Figures for other companies are 2014-2019 averages. (2017 of AXA is excluded). Peers: Allianz, AXA, Chubb, Zurich Source: Bloomberg
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 8 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Promoting Integrated Group Management
Optimal allocation of diverse talents to globally leverage on expertise and knowledge
Appointment as
Co-Head
Generate Group's collective strength
Domestic Non-life | Domestic Life Insurance | International Insurance | Financial and general |
Insurance | |||
Donald Sherman | Christopher Williams |
Co-CIO (Group Co-Chief Investment Officer) | Co-Head of International Business |
Delphi Financial Group CEO | Co-CRSO |
(Group Co-Chief Retention Strategy Officer) |
Expertise
across the Group
Internal Audit
Desmond Yeo
TM Asia Regional Head of Internal Audit (additional post: TMHD)
Reinsurance
Barry Cook
CEO of International Group at TMHCC
(TMHD Global Reinsurance Advisor)
Reserving | Specialty | ||
Daniel Thomas | Philippe Vezio | ||
Chairperson of International | TM Asia Deputy CEO & | ||
P&C Reserving Actuary | Chief U/W Officer | ||
Committee | (Transferred form TMHCC Barcelona) |
Cyber Insurance | HR/Legal | |
Daljitt Barn | Caryn Angelson | |
Cyber Centre of Excellence | TMNAS CHRO & CLO | |
Global Head of Cyber Risk | (additional post: TMHD) |
Global Committee, etc.
ERM | ERM Committee | Digital | Digital Round Table | Investment | Global Investment | |||||
Strategy Committee | ||||||||||
Retention | Global Retention | |||||||||
International | International Executive | IT | Global Information | |||||||
Insurance | Committee | Strategy | Strategy Committee | Technology Committee | ||||||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 9 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Post-COVID-19 Medium- to Long-term Business Environment and Opportunities
Established global task force and identified post-COVID-19 business environment, etc.
Maintaining disciplined risk management while capturing business opportunities with Integrated Group Management
Our view on COVID-19
COVID-19 will remain as | |
permanent risk due to the | |
nature of disease | |
| Balance between risk |
avoidance and restarting | |
economic activity will differ | |
by country | |
COVID-19 will accelerate DX | |
and business model reform | |
| Positive outcome |
recognized by businesses | |
and individuals will increase | |
(online sales, etc.) |
Impact on insurance business
Based on our view, identify medium- to long-term impact and core requirements for post- COVID-19
Core business | Expected impacts | |
requirements | ||
Digital capability/ | | Omni-channel sales with face-to-face and virtual communication |
data analytics
Accelerate creation of new values with use of technology and data Need to review operation model in response to digitalization
Resilience
- Preparing for uncertainties is essential for management
New normal
work-style
- Need for HR system review to enable flexible workstyle
- HR development to enhance digital capability
- Need for flexible organization design that can respond to rapid and dynamic environmental changes
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Incorporate details to strategy of each group company to build sustainable competitiveness
10
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Tokio Marine Group Digital Strategy
Utilize technology and data to implement digital transformation (DX) that builds competitive advantage
Achieve growth through internal systems reform and building new business model
Internal Systems
Reform (DX)
Improve productivity to achieve lean management system
Business Process/Operations DX
- Promote remote work and online sales
- Digitalize business process
(paperless operation, utilization of AI/RPA) | , |
Corporate Culture DX
- Promote new workstyle, create corporate culture that supports employee initiatives change
- Enhance digital resource recruitment and
development
Values Creation
Reform (DX)
Create new growth axis, enhance capacities
for resolving issues
model DX towards new growth
Enhance customer contact with digitalization
core insurance function CX with digitalization
Enhance measures targeting active seniors/digital
generation, etc.
Resolution of Social Issues DX
- Develop new products, services, and solutions that lead to prevention and reduction of
disasters
Global Digital Synergies
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 11 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Enhance Digital Strategy Platform
Recruit / develop digital resource and utilize external knowledge; boost competitiveness with lateral deployment
Digital resource recruitment / development | Collaboration with diverse partners | |
- Actively utilize external personnel with diverse career history and strong expertise
- Established "Data Science Hill Climb," a program for data scientist development under supervision by Professor Yutaka Matsuo of the University of Tokyo (TMHD original program)
- "Tokio Marine Innovation Program" seeks ideas for implementation from employees to promote innovation
- Accelerate data collaboration in various areas leveraging on the strength of algorithms and machine learning. JV established in November
- Trade platform JV utilizing blockchain established with NTT Data, Mitsubishi Corporation and MUFG Bank, etc.
5 Labs
- AI reenactment of accident. Introduced new function for automatic calculation of liabilities between parties in auto accident
- As part of strategic alliance under consideration, participated in reinsurance program
London Established in April 2020
- Daljitt Barn appointed as Global Head of Cyber to supervise the area
- Identify start-ups
Tokyo
- Supervise Global Labs
- Research on latest technologies and business model trends
Silicon Valley
- Identify start-ups
- Support DX by group companies in North America
Periodic Digital Round Table among | ||
Group companies for global knowledge | Singapore | Taipei |
sharing and synergy effect | ||
・ Research/identify digital technologies | Research/identify digital | |
and new business models | technologies and new | |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | ・ Support DX by group companies in Asia | business models |
NY Established in July 2020
12
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Strategic Direction for Next Mid-Term Business Plan | ESG | ||
To realize our long-term vision, enhance capabilities through business model reform and improving profitability of the insurance business
A global insurance group that delivers sustainable growth
Long-termvision by providing safety and security to customers worldwide - Our timeless endeavor to be a Good Company -
Our aspirations for the long-term vision | ||
Growth and stable high profit | Glocal × Synergy | Win-Win situation with |
(Medium- to long-term target of over ¥500.0 bn | ||
adjusted net income/around 12% adjusted ROE) | Stakeholders |
2+1 Growth Strategy | |
New Markets × New Approach | Enhance profitability of |
insurance business | |
- Precisely respond to the quickly changing customer needs and implement products/services and channel strategies reflecting the market
- Acknowledge issues including intensified natural catastrophes and low interest rates while utilizing business opportunities presented by hardening of premium rates and digitalization to enhance profitability of insurance business
+
Business investment for the next growth stage
Business Platform
(Human Resources / Integrated Group Management / Culture / Technology / ERM)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 13 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Win-Win Situation with Stakeholders | ESG | ||
Search for optimal solution to provide balanced values to all stakeholders based on our purpose
Our unchanging | Protect our customers and society in times of need by delivering safety and security |
purpose | |
Alleviate concerns of households and | ||
provide support to move forward | Customers | Society |
Resolve social issues and contribute to
creation of a resilient society
Provide an environment that enables | Employees | Share- |
diverse employees to actively | holders |
participate and grow |
Provide returns matching investment
through profit growth
Robust and agile organization
Passion to realize our | Many wisdoms and | Stay ahead of customers | Agility to adjust and | |
solidarity to overcome | and society to capture | Pursuit of speedy reform | ability to execute | |
purpose | ||||
difficulties | their needs | strategies | ||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 14 |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step |
(Reference)
History of Resolving Social Issues and Sustainable Growth
1914 | 1998 | 2001 | |||||
Launched Japan's first auto insurance | Launched Japan's first auto insurance | Launched microinsurance in India | |||||
to support motorization | with coverage for personal injury and | and contributed to addressing | |||||
realized early insurance payment | poverty problems |
Next MTP
ESG
2020
Launched indexed insurance to protect the livelihood of people directly following an earthquake
1959 | 1999 | 2002 | 2020 | |||||||
Launched Japan's first liability insurance to contribute to minimize consumer losses
Amid rising cyber risk worldwide, UK-based Tokio Marine Kiln (TMK) offered cyber-related coverage from early on
Launched Super Insurance, a globally unique integrated life and non-life insurance product
Developed insurance for offshore wind power generation projects to support the spread of renewable energy
Premiums | |||||||||||||
Direct Net Premiums Written*1 (Bar Graph) and Total Dividends (Line Graph) | |||||||||||||
¥3.99 trillion | |||||||||||||
Domestic non- | International | Total | |||||||||||
life insurance*2 | insurance*3 | dividends*4 | |||||||||||
Dividends
Tokyo Marine Holdings | ¥133.0 billion |
established | |
Founding
1879 | 1960 | 1965 | 1970 | 1975 | 1980 | 1985 | 1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | 2019 | (FY) |
*1: Excludes deposit premiums from policyholders | ||||||||||||||
*2: Premiums from Tokio Marine from FY2001 and prior, and combined premiums from Tokio Marine & Nichido and Nisshin Fire, etc. from FY2002 onward | ||||||||||||||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | *3: Premiums from FY2002 onward when Tokio Marine Holdings was established | 15 | ||||||||||||
*4: Does not include one-time dividends provided as capital level adjustment |
I.Group (Strategy) | Power of Execution | Next Step | Next MTP |
Management Focused on People | ESG | ||
Promote diversity and spread our core identity to enhance Group competitiveness
Promotion of Diversity & Inclusion
Promoting overseas talent
- Excellent talent who join the Group through overseas M&A, are appointed to positions such as Group Co-Heads and global committee leaders
Spreading the core identity
- CEO to engage in town hall meetings in Japan and overseas to engage in a global dialogue with employees
- Promote spread of group culture through town hall meetings to further enhance group governance
Promoting Success for Women
- Tokio Marine Group Women's Career College (TWCC) was established in Sep 2019 to assist female employees in voluntary career planning, and to ensure that women are active in their workplaces
Promoting Success for Young
- An in-house venture program was established to support young talent who are eager to innovate
Promoting D&I
- Continue discussions on D&I around the world
- Establish global Diversity Council chaired by Group CEO to accelerate initiatives
(FY2021) | TMNAS' Diversity & Inclusion Committee |
Developing Future Management Talent, etc.
- Discussions on talent development for future management and corporate function talents held at global CXO meetings
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Overseas town hall meeting led by | A town hall meeting led by the president of |
the Group CEO (Before COVID-19) | Tokio Marine & Nichido (During COVID-19) |
Exciting and Rewarding Work Environments
Culture & value survey*
4.3 points out of 5
(Proud to work for Tokio Marine Group)
*FY2019 survey result (total of overseas and HD)
Placing in best place to work rankings around the world
(Ceremony for Great Place to Work Award in Brazil) | 16 |
I. Group | FY20 Projections | Shareholder | Capital Policy |
(Shareholder Return) | |||
Return Policy |
FY2020 Revised Projections and Target KPIs
TSR/EPS
Adjusted net income
Adjusted ROE
Shareholder return
Payout ratio*3
Capital level adjustments
FY2020 projections (Normalized basis)*1
¥420bn
12.5%
40%
¥50bn*5
capital level adjustment as of end of September 2020
FY2020 target
¥400 - 450bn*2
10% or higher*2
35% or higher
Flexible execution
Mid-term Goal
Over ¥500bn
Around 12%
Gradually increase to
levels on par with global
peers*4
Flexible execution
*1: Normalizing natural catastrophes to an average annual level and excluding the impact of COVID-19.
*2: Calculated based on FY2017 normalized basis of ¥372bn.
Specifically, net incurred losses relating to natural catastrophes are normalized to an average annual level, and the impact of FX fluctuations and the one-time impact of U.S. tax reforms are excluded.
*3: Payout ratio is based on the five-year average adjusted net income. Based on original projections.
*4: Payout ratio of global peers is currently approx. 50%.
*5: The figure includes one-time dividends of approx. ¥25bn.
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 17 |
I. Group | FY20 Projections | Shareholder | Capital Policy | TSR/EPS |
(Shareholder Return) | Return Policy | |||
Shareholder Return Policy
Our primary means of shareholder return is dividends and we plan to sustainably increase total dividends along with profit growth
Dividends
- Payout ratio is at or above 35% of the 5-year average adjusted net income
- Gradually increase the payout ratio*1 to levels that are on par with global peers to achieve mid-term goal
Capital level adjustment
- Adjust capital levels flexibly through share buybacks, etc. based on a comprehensive consideration of the market environment, business investment opportunities, etc.
High level shareholder return
Ninth consecutive year of higher dividends projected
190 | 200 | Global Peer Level*4 | |||
180 | |||||
DPS (JPY) | 160 | ||||
140 | 40% | ||||
38% | |||||
35% | 35% | 36% | |||
Payout ratio*1
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Our Goal |
(Projections)
*1: Payout ratio based on the original projection basis.
Total dividends*2 (billions of JPY) | 105.3 | 117.6 | 128.0 | 133.0 | 139.6 |
Capital level adjustment*3 | 50.0 | 150.0 | 125.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
(share buybacks, etc.) (billions of JPY) | |||||
*2: The figure for 2020 (projections) is before reflecting share buybacks.
*3: Total amount approved by the announcement date of financial results of each fiscal year. The figures include approx. ¥50.0bn for 2018 and approx. ¥25.0bn for 2019 and 2020, respectively as one-time dividends.
*4: Payout ratio of global peers is currently approx. 50%.
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 18 |
I. Group | FY20 Projections | Shareholder | Capital Policy | TSR/EPS |
(Shareholder Return) | Return Policy | |||
Disciplined Capital Policy
Capital policy based on ESR | ESR | |
ESR*1
210%
Target
Range
150%
100%
Implementation of;
- Business investment, and/or
- Additional risk-taking, and/or
- Shareholder return
Strategic consideration of;
- Business investment, and/or
- Additional risk-taking, and/or
- Shareholder return
- Aim to recover capital level through accumulation of profits
- Control risk level by reducing risk-taking activities
- De-risking
- Consideration of capital increase
- Review of shareholder return policy
(trillions of JPY)
153%163%
4.2 | 4.3 | ||||||
2.7 | Net | 2.6 | Net | (Reference) | |||
asset | asset | ESR after deducting | |||||
Risk | value | Risk | value | restricted capital | |||
117% | |||||||
End of Mar 2020 | End of Sep 2020 | ||||||
18,917 yen | Nikkei Stock | 23,185 yen | |||||
Average | |||||||
0.44% | 30Yr JPY interest | 0.60% | |||||
rate | |||||||
2.72% | 1.36% | ||||||
Credit Spread | |||||||
ESR sensitivity*2 (End of Sep 2020)
+30% -30% | +50bp -50bp | 10% | 10% | -50bp +50bp |
appreciation | depreciation |
+5pt | +6pt |
+1pt | +1pt |
-1pt
*1: Economic Solvency Ratio
Risk is calculated using a model based on 99.95%VaR (AA credit rating equivalent)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
-6pt | -6pt | |
-8pt | ||
*2: Sensitivity based on parallel shift | *3: See p73 of reference material for details | 19 |
I. Group | FY20 Projections | Shareholder | Capital Policy | TSR/EPS |
(Shareholder Return) | Return Policy |
Strong Track Record
Our steady implementation of management strategies has resulted in above-market TSR and an EPS that is comparable to our peers
TSR*1 | EPS*3CAGR(2014-2019) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Performance | 3Y | 6Y | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Before Sep. 2020) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
As of end of Sep. 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tokio Marine | 118 | 169 | Peers*2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Peers*2 | 97 | 143 | Average Maximum Minimum | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | MSCI World Insurance | 100 | 135 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOPIX (Insurance) | 97 | 141 | 337 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+6.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOPIX | 104 | 141 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
300 | Peers*2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
241 | +2.7% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOPIX | +1.9% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
216 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOPIX (Insurance) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-5.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
214 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MSCI World | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | Insurance | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
210 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | Source: Bloomberg | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*1: Total Shareholder Return (TSR): Capital return after reinvesting dividends. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
April 2002 | April 2004 | April 2006 | April 2008 | April 2010 | April 2012 | April 2014 | April 2016 | April 2018 | April 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Stock price indexed at 100 as of April 1, 2002. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*2: Allianz, AXA, Chubb, Zurich | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | *3: Financial accounting basis | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
II
Domestic Business Strategy
Tokio Marine & Nichido
President & CEO | Shinichi Hirose |
Tokio Marine & Nichido Life | |
President & CEO | Katsumi Nakazato |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 21 |
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Largest Japanese Non-life Insurer with Growth Outperforming the Market
Secure business efficiency advantages and steadily increase share in the domestic market with stable growth potential
Growth outperforming the market | Share in domestic non-life market | ||||
Top line*1 (billions of JPY) | ■ TMNF | FY2019*1,3 | vs FY2010*1,3 | ||
■ Market*2 |
CAGR + 2.7%
CAGR + 3.3%
2,486.2 | |||||||||||||
1,851.4 | Market | ||||||||||||
26.5% | |||||||||||||
25.0% | |||||||||||||
Share | |||||||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Other, | 2.0% | 1.5% | |||||||||
1.1% | |||||||||||
15.0% | TMNF, | 1.0% | |||||||||
26.5% | |||||||||||
AD, | |||||||||||
14.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
SJ, | |||||||||||
MS, 18.5% | -1.0% | ||||||||||
-0.8% | |||||||||||
26.0% | |||||||||||
-2.0% | |||||||||||
-1.7% |
Competitive business efficiency
Expense Ratio (all lines) | TMNF | |
35.0% | Market*4 | |
Net income | CAGR | 33.5% | ||||
+6.0% | ||||||
169.9 | ||||||
100.7 | ||||||
2010 | 2019 |
*1: Direct net premiums written
*2: Total of the members of The General Insurance Association of Japan. Source: Website of the General Insurance Association of Japan, Insurance Statistics (Sompo Toukeigo)
*3: Total of the members of The General Insurance Association of Japan. Source: Website of the General Insurance Association of Japan, company websites | 2010 |
*4: Total of the members of The General Insurance Association of Japan (excluding TMNF). Source: Website of the General Insurance Association of Japan |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
33.3%
Reduce workloads
on a long-term basis
By 20-30%
30.8%
2019
22
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Presence in Auto Insurance Market
Support growth of non-life business by steadily increasing market share with increased coverage that meets the needs of our customers
Auto insurance growth potential | Solid unit premiums growth | |||||||||||||||
Achieved unit premiums growth with development of DAP*5 which | ||||||||||||||||
Top line*1 (billions of JPY) | ||||||||||||||||
CAGR | contributes to accident prevention, increase in coverage that | |||||||||||||||
1,078.3 | meets the needs of customers, and strengthening sales force, etc. | |||||||||||||||
+2.7% | ||||||||||||||||
| Strengthen initiatives by increasing added values with further | |||||||||||||||
increase in coverage (new DAP in Apr. 2021) and sophisticated AI | ||||||||||||||||
utilization, etc. | ||||||||||||||||
850.8 | 25.6% | |||||||||||||||
Policy coverage with room for growth (current ratio) | ||||||||||||||||
24.3% | Market Share*2 | • DAP: several percentage points | ||||||||||||||
• Car rental expense coverage: about 60% | ||||||||||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | • Vehicle insurance: about 70% | ||||||
Number of policies outperforming the market
*Growth rate, TMNF non-fleet unit premiums in FY2010 is set at index value of 100
- Achieved strong growth with attractive products/services, superior agency system, increased activities, and high-quality claims service, etc.
- As the number of owned automobiles gradually decrease (CAGR: -0.4%), steadily capture number of insured automobiles by enhancing our strength
*Growth rate, FY2010 is set at index value of 100
TMNF number of insured | |||
115.0 | 111.7 | automobile*3 | |
Number of owned | |||
115
110
105
100
113.8
110.0 | automobiles in Japan*4 |
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
105.0 | 103.7 | |||||||
*1: Net premiums written | ||||||||
100.0 | *2: Direct net premiums written Source: Insurance Statistics (Sompo Vol.4864) | |||||||
*3: Managerial accounting basis | ||||||||
95.0 | *4: Source: "Joyosha Dealer Vision (Passenger Vehicle Dealer Vision)" (FY2019) | |||||||
*5: Drive Agent Personal (DAP). A product using original driving recorder with communications function that | ||||||||
2010 | 2015 | 2019 | 2025 | 2030 | provides accident prevention and accident response services. | |||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 23 |
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Specialty Insurance Growth
Realize sustainable growth by contributing to solving social issues through expansion of specialty insurance with high growth potential, etc.
Specialty insurance growth potential
- Top line*1(billions of JPY)
CAGR | 646. |
+4.1% | |
448.7 |
Presence in renewable energy area
- Strong expansion expected for transition to a carbon-free society
- Enhance initiatives by utilizing the expertise of Gcube and cooperation with major trading houses, etc.
Enhance initiatives in SME market that supports
regional revitalization
- Market size of about ¥400bn, penetration ratio of 5-10%*2
- Started digital sales to employees of SMEs belonging to Chamber of Commerce to enhance the SMEs company benefits
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Capturing increased needs created by COVID-19
- Respond to increase in teleworking, companies considering business succession, and restaurants providing to-go services
1H20 News Releases
1H20 News Releases
Packaged products for SMEs:
- Legal trouble resolution support service (July 2020)
- Business suspension clause/infectious disease coverage rider (January 2021)
Group long-term disability income insurance:
- Treatment and work support rider (October 2020)
- Nursing care and work support rider (October 2020)
Packaged products for SMEs
(billions of JPY)
60.0 | 4.4倍 | 52.2 |
600 |
40040.0
20020.0 11.9
0 0
2010 2013 2016 2019
- Microsoft Azure user cloud insurance (June 2020)
- M&A NEXT (M&A insurance) (July 2020)
- To-go/deliverycomprehensive coverage plan (July 2020)
*1: Direct net premiums written, including P.A.
*2: Estimated from actual sales of our packaged products for SMEs and public data on the number of SMEs.
*3: As the risk may involve significant concentration of losses, build a system for capturing concentration/risk management in addition to establishment of appropriate Group level underwriting framework.
*4: The General Insurance Association of Japan (Survey on Cyber Insurance 2018)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Protection for increasing cyber risks
(cyber risk insurance)
- FY2019 uptake was several billion yen, but double-digit growth each term*3
- Market size of about ¥180bn (according to research firm), penetration ratio of 12%*4
- In response to increased teleworking and Revised Personal Information Protection Act of 2022, further enhance
efforts with coverage/services expansion and webinars | 24 |
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Profitability Improvement of Fire Insurance
In addition to fire insurance rate revision, contribute to building a society resilient to catastrophes through initiatives on disaster prevention and reduction, and realize continuous RoR improvement
Fire insurance rate revision
Increase in natural catastrophes and water leak
Issues | damage in aging buildings |
Industry insurance payment trend*1 (billions of JPY) |
Arrange reinsurance/catastrophe loss reserves
- Appropriate arrangement of reinsurance and catastrophe loss reserves based on natural catastrophe risk and reinsurance market environment
900.0
300.0 | Over ¥1.3tn | ||||||
Natural | |||||||
catastrophes*2 | |||||||
200.0 | |||||||
Over ¥900bn | |||||||
100.0
0
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Other (water leakage, etc.)
Fire/lightning/ruptur e/explosion Natural catastrophes
*1
Actual data for residential properties up to FY2017. General Insurance Rating Organization of Japan "Kasai hoken/jishin hoken no gaikyo (Overview of fire insurance and earthquake insurance)"
*2
Actual results for fire insurance in FY2018 and FY2019. Calculated based on figures published by The General Insurance Association of Japan
Safety in preparation
-
Personalized video sent from Mobile Agent (app)
Information on preparation for typhoons and rainstorms delivered to customers in an easy-to-understand video - Alert on disaster prevention/mitigation Cooperate with agents to deliver useful information on disaster prevention/mitigation, measures against wind/salt damage, measures against flooding
-
NADIAct: Enterprise Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Alert System
Distribute disaster prevention information utilizing real time disaster prevention weather report and flooding risk management expertise (September 2020)
Advisory | May 2018 | Oct 2019 | (TBD) | ||
rate | |||||
+5.5% | +4.9% | ||||
revision | |||||
Oct 2019 | Jan 2021 | ||||
Advisory rate revision +α | Advisory rate | ||||
revision +α | |||||
+Approx. ¥16bn | |||||
+ | 20 | ||||
Our action | Approx. ¥ | bn | |||
(Before tax/net basis) | (Before tax/net basis) |
Breaking down water damage rate for corporate fire insurance
Continuous efforts on various issues including long-term contracts
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Safety in recovery
- Restoration by BELFOR Support early business reopening with advanced cleaning technology of a disaster
recovery specialist | Before restoration | After restoration |
- Enhance insurance payout process
Digitalize whole process to complete insurance claim process online
25
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Further Improve Business Efficiency (1)
Further reduce 20-30% of office work by FY2026 by reforming business process and work-style with effective use of digitalization. Use the time generated to provide optimal service for customers through pursuit of more value-added business
Initiatives between 2008-2019 | Initiatives from 2020 |
2008-2014 | 2015-2019 |
Business process reform | Work-style reform |
project |
Sales |
Build remote sales framework with superior customer experience |
(CX) and flexibility (smartphone contracting process and online |
negotiations, etc.), minimize internal administration/inquiry |
response |
Simplify business process with streamlined products / administration / IT systems (policy reporting/credit management, etc.)
Respond to inquiries using AI, promote paperless process and use of tablets, etc.
Claims |
Build remote claims services framework with superior CX and |
flexibility (complete insurance claims online, etc.), minimize |
internal administration |
Work-style, etc. |
Build paperless business process, renew internal communication |
- Empowering employees
Rotating employees from administrative positions to sales
- Reduce sales administration by
about 30%
- Increase area course sales force
FY2008: 120
FY2019: 1,951
tools and office environment, build a structure that supports |
motivation |
High value- | ||
Sales | added business | |
administ- | Sales | |
ration | ||
Reduce internal | administ- | |
ration | ||
Claims | administration | |
By 20-30% | Claims | |
administ- | ||
ration | administ- | |
ration | ||
20192026
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 26 |
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Further Improve Business Efficiency (2)
Enhance CX by effective use of digitalization and build a business model with focus on productivity and flexibility
Sales | Claims |
Reduce internal administration and build a structure focusing on sales | Reduce internal administration and expand areas for providing value |
Sales activity, etc.
Inquiries
Policy management
/ reporting
Other internal administration (Various inspections, etc.)
- Utilize AI and chatbot to automate inquiry response, self-application
- Centralize in Group company, etc.
- Digitalize contract related business
(Online procedures, etc.)
- Centralize administration in Group company
- Internal infrastructure renewal (Utilize Office 365, etc.)
- Review various inspection operations
Accident reception
/ initial response
Loss review, etc.
Settlement negotiation
/ progress report
Various inspections / insurance payment
Prevention / Follow-up Services
- Complete online (self- application)
- Reenactment of accident
- Expand coverage areas of Group companies
- AI image recognition (efficiency)
- AI elimination of fraud (support decision making, etc.)
- Chat format communication
- Complete online (self-application)
- AI speech recognition (automate records)
- Automated approval
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 27 |
II. Domestic Non-Life | Our Position | Next Step | Next MTP |
Strategic Direction for Next Mid-Term Business Plan
Build a framework that enables stable profit generation in uncertain environment with development of a business model based on best mix of digitalization and people's power, and aim to become a company of choice by the customers that addresses social issues and continue growing
Creation of new markets
Create markets focusing on growth markets by leveraging on collective Group strength while contributing to resolution of social issues in Japan
Priority | • | Health care (contribute to healthy longevity society) |
• SMEs (contribute to regional revitalization) | ||
• Renewable energy (contribute to carbon-free society) | ||
area | • New corporate risks (increased cyber risks, etc.) | |
• | Data strategy | |
Building a lean business operation
- Utilize digitalization to build simple and speedy business process and realize flexible and productive workstyle
- Pursue high value-added business at the same
time for further growth
DX
Products /
Services
MarketingCustomer
Contact
Digital × Point
People's
power
Sales | Internal |
process | process |
Claims
process
Enhance profitability of insurance business
- Enhance initiatives for improving profitability of fire insurance and enhancing underwriting discipline to build a sustainable fire insurance system
- Enhance sustainable growth with combination of investment and thorough business expense reduction
- Increase growth of profitable specialty insurance
Development of digital-integrated channels
- Enhance customer contact point and sales capacity of agencies with renewal of agency systems, etc.
- Build a sales model utilizing online negotiation, etc.
Organizational culture and people that create initiatives and motivation
Improve employee | Corporate culture | Promote D&I | Human resource |
engagement | reform | development | |
Joint creation of social values, contribution to sustainable society
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 28 |
II. Domestic Life | Growth Strategy | Integrated life & non-life | Risk Control | Next MTP |
Growth Strategy
Maintain growth exceeding the market by focusing on profitable "protection-type products and installment variable annuities" and implementing unique product strategy
Focus on profitable "protection-type products and installment variable annuities"
- Mainstay product for TMNL secured RoR above capital cost (7%)
Growth exceeding the market
- Unique products in focus area to achieve growth exceeding the market
Return*2
TMNL mainstay product risk/return*1 (image)
TMNL product portfolio | TMNL growth capacity*5 |
(FY2019 New Policies ANP ¥40.5bn)
<Protection-type products>
Household
income
Term
ROR 7%
(Cost of capital)
Medical
insurance*4
Medical Kit R
Market Link
Installment | Protection- | +7.8% | ||
variable | type | +5.0% | ||
annuities | ||||
Products | ||||
20% | Medical | |||
65% | ||||
Other | ||||
Kit R | ||||
15% | TMNL | Market*6 | ||
18% | ||||
Market Link | Medical | |
20% | insurance*4 |
17%+66.9%
Other | Household | |
protection- | ||
type | Income | +24.7% |
Term | ||
13% | ||
17% | ||
TMNL | Market*6 |
Numerous unique products supporting strong growth
0 Risk*3
Household
Income Term
First in Japan*7 insurance for inability to work
Medical Kit R
First in Japan medical insurance that returns unused premiums
Market Link
Reduce investment risk with long-termdiversified investment
*1: Size of the bubble indicates new policies ANP for the product (FY2019 actual)
*2: Value of new business and future release of cost of non-hedgeable risks (FY2020 forecast-basis)
*3: Sum of necessary capital for future fiscal years
*4: Excludes Medical Kit R
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
*5: CAGR (2014-2019) of number of in-force policies for protection-type products and YoY % of number of new policies in FY2019 for variable insurance
*6: Medical, cancer and fixed-term insurance for protection-type products, fixed-term for variable insurance Source: Insurance Statistics (Seimei Hoken Toukeigo), the Life Insurance Association of Japan website
*7: In addition to instance of death, fixed coverage provided for reduced income throughout insurance period
in case of inability to work caused by the five diseases | 29 |
II. Domestic Life | Growth Strategy | Integrated life & non-life | Risk Control | Next MTP |
Enhance Integrated Business Model for Life and Non-life
Accelerate cross-selling by introducing competitive products for clear targets.
Enhance integrated business model for life and non-life with further development of Group customer base to establish advantage in increasingly competitive market
Further develop Group customer base | ||
Current cross-selling | ||
- Utilize "Super Insurance" to cross-sellwith integrated business model for life and non-life
Deep cultivation of senior generation
<TMNL & TMNF Policy Portfolio (Mar. 31, 2020)>
Room for | |
cultivation of | TMNL |
senior customers | |
TMNF |
Results
About 20,000 policies sold |
Visualize risks for the family | 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 (Policyholder age) | |
to propose optimal insurance | + | × |
Super Insurance policies exceeded | ||
1.9 million | ||
Product that captures the needs of the market/agencies | ||
Latest cross-sell ratio of 24.4% | ||
New product "Medical Kit Yell" | ||
(Medical insurance with relaxed underwriting criteria, August 2020) | ||
policies with either life or third sector> | Big data analysis achieved improved product appeal and ease of sales |
Relaxed underwriting standard for seniors with preexisting conditions or | ||||
24.4% | concerns over health and simplify sales administration | |||
Industry top level price competitiveness for seniors | ||||
23.9% | ||||
22.6% | Strong coverage/services | |||
Online medical | Support health | |||
consultation and | maintenance with | |||
Mar. 2019 | Mar. 2020 | Sep. 2020 | hospital/doctor | health advice app |
appointment service | ||||
selling-cross Accelerate
|
in first two months |
Record sales second only to |
mega-hit product "Medical |
Kit R" |
(about 200,000 policies sold |
in a year, about 50,000 |
policies in first two months) |
Further cultivate the
customer base with the
product to enhance integrated business model for life and non- life
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 30 |
II. Domestic Life | Growth Strategy | Integrated life & non-life | Risk Control | Next MTP |
Addressing Risks
Partially due to COVID-19 pandemic, accelerated digital sales initiatives, including fully online contracting process. With prolonged low interest rate environment expected, control interest rate risk by shifting to protection-type products and installment variable annuities and implementing strict ALM
Response to COVID-19 pandemic
- Led the industry with online contracting process and online consulting by agencies and prevented fall in sales during the COVID-19 pandemic
Key processes for insurance application by customers (current)
Agency consultation | Contracting process |
Available online or in person | Can be completed by post |
without face-to-face | |
transaction | |
Impact on top line |
Interest rate risk control
Shift to protection-type products / installment variable annuities
- Stop sales of long-termsaving-type products with significant interest rate risks, and promote shift to protection-type products / installment variable annuities with lower interest rate risks
20152019
Oct. 2016
Sales Suspension of long-termsavings-type products
4% Other
<1Q FY2020 New policies ANP YoY (individual insurance + individual annuities)>
TMNL | Non-life affiliated | Market*2 |
life insurance*1 |
-21.5% | -26.4% |
Ratio of protection- type products and installment variable annuities*3
New business margin*4
30Y JGB*5
(Yearly average)
Promote
43% | shift | |
57% | 96% | |
4.5%6.3%
1.28%0.40%
-55.4% |
Accelerate digital sales initiatives including fully online contracting process
*1: Average of Sompo Himawari Life and Mitsui Sumitomo Aioi Life
*2: Total of the members of the Life Insurance Association of Japan (excluding TMNL and non-life affiliated life insurance)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Strict ALM
- As a result of investment in super-long-term bonds in the past 18 months, hedge ratio improved to about 90% as of end of Sep 2020
*3: Ratio among products for individuals (excluding business insurance), new policy ANP basis
*4: Value of new business / Present value of new business premiums, including business insurance
*5: Source: Bloomberg
31
II. Domestic Life | Growth Strategy | Integrated life & non-life | Risk Control | Next MTP |
Strategic Direction for Next Mid-Term Business Plan
To resolve the social issues in the era of 100-year lifespan, deploy integrated product/sales strategy in the three areas of seniors, healthcare and asset formation; and accelerate digitalization for overall customer contact point/business process also in preparation for post-COVID-19 era, to create a new growth path
Market-oriented integrated product/sales strategy
Seniors
- Develop products/services responding to the needs of seniors and improve underwriting
- Strongly promote cultivation of Group customer base to enhance the integrated business model for life and non-life
Healthcare
- Provide unique set of products and services in response to the development of healthcare technologies
- New market cultivation starting with healthcare service
Asset formation
- Improve asset formation product appeal by responding to the customers' needs in the 100-year lifespan era
- Develop/increase sales force with high financial literacy
Enhance customer contact and business process improvement with digitalization
Accelerate DX in preparation of post-COVID-19 era | Promote R&D to secure competitive advantage | |||||||||||||
Digital sales | Maintenance/ | Products / Services | Marketing | Business process | ||||||||||
insurance payout | enhancement | |||||||||||||
• | Build fully online | • | Promote fully online | • | Big data analysis | • Digital marketing | • | Business process | ||||||
contracting process | maintenance procedures | • | Leading-edge | improvement | ||||||||||
• | Build online consulting | • | Automated assessment | • | medical technology | • | Promote digital | |||||||
know-how | of insurance payout | IoT/wearables | technology utilization |
Unchanging values and business platform
Spirit of insurance professional that | Human Resource development / | |
protects customers | New normal work-style | |
ERM | Pursuit of quality to be chosen by | |
customers | ||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 32 |
Ⅲ International Business Strategy
Co-Head of International Business
Akira Harashima
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 33 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
M&A Transactions
Creating strong franchise by acquiring blue chip companies with unique strength
In recent years, promoting selection and diversification of business to optimize business portfolio
2000 | 2007 | 2012 | 2015 | 2018 | 2020 |
Expand into non- | ||
Japanese businesses | ||
P&C in | Life in | |
emerging | emerging | |
markets | markets | |
(-2000) | Reinsurance |
focused on
Japanese clients
Business diversification | |||||||
Regional diversification | Acquired | ||||||
Secure entry point to | Feb 2020 | ||||||
emerging markets | |||||||
Growth and business | Acquired | Invested | Announced | ||||
Aug 2018 | Dec 2018 | Jan 2020 | |||||
diversification in the U.S. | |||||||
Established | |||||||
material presence in | Acquired | Acquired | |||||
the U.S. and Europe | |||||||
May 2012 | Oct 2015 | ||||||
Acquired | Acquired | Review business portfolio | |||||
Mar 2008 | Dec 2008 | ||||||
TMK UK non- | |||||||
Japanese | |||||||
Business | |||||||
Run-off | Tokio Marine | ||||||
July 2019 |
Egypt Family
Takaful
Divested
Sep 2020
Divested
Mar 2019
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 34 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Profitable Business Model in Developed Market (1)
Achieve high profit growth and profitability exceeding the market by establishing robust specialty franchises in the U.S.
Robust specialty franchises
Top 10
べ
in commercial lines*1
Best in Class
Specialty Markets
Focus in niche markets, | Specialized in HNW |
such as NPO, etc. | insurance market |
Strength in | Mainly provides |
employee benefit, etc. | specialty products |
*1. The U.S. commercial P&C direct premiums written in FY2019, Source: S&P Global
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Bottom-line focus
(High profit growth and profitability exceeding the market)
<Bottom-line*2> <Combined ratio>
2015-2019 CAGR | 2015-2019 Ave. | ||
6.6% | 95.5% | ||
vs Market*3 | +4.7pt | vs Market*3 4.0pt Favorable | |
<Bottom-line*2> | FY2020 ~ | ||
(USD mn) | |||
1,600 |
1,200
800
400
0
2008 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
*2. | Annual after-tax profit on a local accounting basis. | |||||
For 2017, the one-time impact of U.S. tax reforms was excluded. | ||||||
*3. | Source: S&P Global | 35 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Profitable Business Model in Developed Market (2)
Maintaining competitive advantages of higher profitability and lower volatility based on diversified portfolio
Diversified business portfolio
100+ business portfolio in "our U.S. business"
Medical Stop Loss | Human Services | ||
Crop | Premium Composition | Real estate | |
Non profit | |||
U.S. Surety | (image) | organization | |
D&O、E&O |
Disability (life)
Excess Workers'
Compensation
Other non-life
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Higher profitability and lower volatility
10-year C/R in "U.S. P&C market"
LowProfitability HighPeer 3 | 0.0% | Low | |||
Peer 4 | Peer 2 | Volatility | |||
SD | |||||
U.S. P&C 3 | C/R | ||||
5.0% | * | ||||
Japan P&C 1 | U.S. P&C 1 | ||||
Peer 1 | |||||
U.S. P&C 2 | Japan P&C 2 | ||||
10.0% | |||||
105.0% | 97.5% | 90.0% | High | ||
Average C/R*
*︓C/R of U.S. P&C business through 2010 to 2019, Source: S&P Global | |
Peer︓Allianz, AXA, Chubb, Zurich | |
U.S. P&C︓Tokio Marine selected from P&C insurers focusing mainly on U.S. commercial business with market cap of | 36 |
¥1.5+ trillion (Travelers, AIG, Hartford) |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Far-Reaching Business Expansion in Emerging Countries
Strategic expansion focusing on markets with high growth potential in order to develop businesses generating ¥5bn-level profit in a stable manner
India | Thailand | |||||||||
IFFCO-TOKIO General | Tokio Marine Safety Insurance | |||||||||
Insurance (49.0%) | (Thailand) (99.3%) | |||||||||
2018 | 2019 | Profit | 2018 | 2019 | ||||||
Profit | 1.2 → ¥1.3 bn | 2.0 → ¥4.7 bn | ||||||||
M/S | No. 9 (4%) | M/S | No. 4 (8%) | |||||||
¥1.0tn | ||||||
¥2.9tn | ||||||
¥1.0tn | ¥0.5tn | |||||
South Africa | Malaysia | |||||
Hollard Holdings (22.5%) | Tokio Marine Insurans | |||||
(Malaysia) (100%) | ||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 | |||
Profit | → ¥1.3 bn | Profit | 2.3 → ¥2.8 bn | |||
Consolidation) | ||||||
(New- | ||||||
M/S | No. 2 (10%) | M/S | No. 8 (5%) |
Profits: Business unit profits
M/S: Source: AXCO, IPRB, SUSEP, Swiss Re, FSCA Financial Sector Conduct Authority
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. Figures in brackets by the company name: Ownership ratio as of Mar. 2020 Figures in circles: GWP as of FY2019, Source: Swiss Re
Brazil
-
Tokio Marine Seguradora
(97.8%)
Profit | 2018 | 2019 |
9.1 → ¥10.8 bn | ||
M/S | No. 6 (5%) |
¥3.6tn
<> Premiums>
2015-2019CAGR
9.8%
vs Market +2.2pt
Non-Life Premiums: NWP for Tokio Marine,
GWP for others37 Source: Swiss Re
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Strength in International Insurance
Achieve stable profit growth supported by the strength
Well-balanced business portfolio, | Well-disciplined underwriting / | |
strong specialty franchise | Adequate risk control | |
Strength | ||
Competitive Advantages | ||
Group level financial strength and | Integrated Group Management | |
sophisticated ERM | ||
International: Business Unit Profits
Further Risk Diversification
&
Lower Volatility
■ Philadelphia | ■ | |
■ Delphi | ■ Asia | ¥179.5bn |
■ Europe | ■ Life | |
■ TMHCC | ■ |
¥52.7bn*
¥3.5bn
2002 | 2010 | 2019 |
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | *: Before adjustment relating to natural catastrophe in 1Q 2011 | 38 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Initiatives During Current Mid-Term Business Plan
Steadily addressed issues and prepared for capturing "opportunities" in the future
Strengthening of
Management Structure
- Establish "Co-Head of International Business" structure
- Strengthen business platform through large M&A (PURE, etc.), Bolt-on M&A, and divestment
- Globalize corporate function (ERM・Internal Audit・IT Support, etc.)
- Group-widetalent management (strategic allocation of executive candidates and experts)
Social Inflation / | Reserve review, enhancement of underwriting discipline, reduction of limit, rate increase above | ||||
loss cost, prompt claim settlement (PHLY) | |||||
Medical Cost Inflation | |||||
Rate and Self Insured Retention increase on Medical Stop Loss (TMHCC) | |||||
Response to | |||||
Changing Social | Shift to improve underwriting profit based on lower interest rate on each Group Company | ||||
/ Business | Lower Interest Rate | Rate and Self Insured Retention increase on Excess Workers' Compensation (DFG) | |||
Environment | Optimization of investment portfolio under lower interest rate environment | ||||
Risk Control by | Reduction of profit volatility through controlling group retention | ||||
Reviewing | |||||
Appropriate reinsurance program based on NatCat and market environment | |||||
Reinsurance Program | |||||
Review of | Divestment of TMR | ||||
Strengthening | Restructuring of UK/EU business, Strengthening of TMK Management structure, and profitability | ||||
Management Strategy/ | |||||
of GC's | improvement through focusing on areas / products where TMK has competitive advantage | ||||
Business Restructuring | |||||
Management | Integration of Safety (acquired) and an existing subsidiary in Thailand | ||||
Structure and | Allocation of Group | ||||
Operation | Group-wide digital utilization and busuness process improvement | ||||
Resources | |||||
39 | |||||
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Strategic Direction for Next Mid-Term Business Plan
Contribute to the Group through both profit growth and risk-diversification
Strategic Direction for Next Mid-Term Business Plan
Our Key Initiatives
Enhance capability to increase underwriting profits
Foster and increase "Pillars of profit", including continued enhancement of synergies within the Group
Further accelerate innovation and improve operational efficiency under post COVID-19 environment
Effectively manage investment within Group risk appetite
Steady implementation of revival plan for respective group company
Seek further opportunity for strategic M&A
Strengthen global business management and governance capabilities
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 40 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Enhance Capability to Increase Underwriting Profits (1)
Key lines have realized rate increases above hardening market
Aim to achieve higher profitability
Figures in brackets for | |||||||||||||||
FY2019 Premiums | |||||||||||||||
General Liability (32.4%) | Commercial Auto (16.6%) | Umbrella (8.3%) | |||||||||||||
13.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 30.0% | |||||||||||
PHLY | 11.0% | 11.0% | 25.0% | 22.1% | |||||||||||
Market*1 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 20.0% | 20.0% | ||||||||||
15.0% | |||||||||||||||
7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | ||||||||||||
5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | |||||||||||||
2019.4Q | 2020.1Q | 2020.2Q | 2019.4Q | 2020.1Q | 2020.2Q | 2019.4Q | 2020.1Q | 2020.2Q | |||||||
TMHCC
Market*1
For Medical Stop Loss, estimated loss cost (Leveraged Trend) is used because there is no market data
Medical Stop Loss*2 (37.3%) | U.S. D&O*3 (8.6%) | Property D&F*4 (2.3%) | |||||||||||||
30.0% | Shown on a yearly basis due to heavy volume in 1Q | 30.0% | 24.7% | 30.0% | |||||||||||
25.0% | 23.5% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 19.3% | |||||||||||
23.4% | |||||||||||||||
20.0% | |||||||||||||||
21.0% | |||||||||||||||
20.0% | 20.0% | ||||||||||||||
15.0% | |||||||||||||||
13.3% | |||||||||||||||
15.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | |||||||||||||
10.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | |||||||||||||
2019.4Q | 2020.1Q | 2020.2Q | |||||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020.1H | 2019.4Q | 2020.1Q | 2020.2Q | ||||||||||
*1: U.S. Commercial P&C Market (Excluding Medical Stop Loss & U.S. D&O ) Source: COMMERCIAL PROPERTY / CASUALTY MARKET INDEX Q2/2020,
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. The Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers
*2: TMHCC: Effective rate change basis, including higher deductible effect Market: Estimated loss cost (Leveraged Trend)
*3: Market: Public Primary D&O, Source: Aon41
*4: Market: Rate increase data for "Property" line total
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Enhance Capability to Increase Underwriting Profits (2)
Continue / enhance improving profitability for some entities to increase profits
Improve profitability for PHLY (measures for social inflation)
- Implemented past reserve provision in FY2019 ($273M) and strengthened underwriting discipline
*1> | 102.0% | |||||
97.8% | ||||||
93.5% | 95.3% | |||||
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 1H | *1: Local management | ||
accounting basis | ||||||
Improve profitability for TMK (Lloyd's)
- Restructuring of UK/EU business
- Refocus on Lloyd's business and focus on areas / products where TMK has competitive advantage to improve profitability
- Run-offunprofitable UK non-Japanese company business
- Capturing market hardening expected in most lines of business in FY2020 & FY2021
- Implemented proactive rate increase initiative ahead of peers. Profitability will improve going forward
<Rate Increase>
12%9.9%
8% | PHLY | 7.2% | |
3.2% | Market*2 | ||
4% | |||
0% | |||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 1H |
*2: Source: Willis Towers Watson
- Strengthened underwriting discipline on new and renewal book. The ability to win new business book remains strong
- In line with 2020 plan even under COVID-19
(USD mn)
490 520 490
10y ave. | 2019 | 2020 Plan |
80% | TMK(Syndicate510) *3 | |||
Lloyd's Total *4 | ||||
69.2% | ||||
61.1% | ||||
Steady progress of | ||||
profitability | 48.4% | Around 50% | ||
40% | improvement | |||
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 1H *5 |
*3: Local management accounting basis
*4: Source: Lloyd's Annual Report
*5: Excluding impact of COVID-19
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 42 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Foster and increase "Pillars of profit" (1)
Stable profit growth through fee-driven Pure Group in HNW market with high growth potential
Pure's Strong top-line growth*1
Customer loyalty supporting Pure's growth (NPS*2)
Achieved 22% | |
growth during | |
CAGR | COVID-19 |
pandemic | |
24% | (As of 1H20) |
35 39
71 77
47 52
(USD mn)
1,153
963
781
Homeowners | Auto | Apple | Intel | Pure | Starbucks |
insurance insurance
industry industry
average average
*2: Net Promoter Score
Source: Customer GURU, NICE Satmetrix 2019 Consumer Net Promoter Benchmark Study
640
Original Services
responding to client needs
490
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 (image) |
*1: Premiums under management company
(Example)
Aug. / Sep. 2020, Western U.S. Response to record scale wildfire
- Information gathering from forecast companies or SNS and alert emailing to client
- Worked tirelessly around the clock to prevent fire spread to multiple properties
Coating property with gel
to prevent fire spread
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
43
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Foster and increase "Pillars of profit" (2)
Steady execution of strategies to increase future profit in market with high growth potential
Bolt-on M&A by TMHCC
Establish JV with Caixa Bank | Completed integration with Safety |
No.4 market share in country | |
Tokio Marine
Insurance (Thailand)
Insurance JV | Tokio Marine Safety | ||
Insurance (Thailand) | |||
- May 2020: TMHCC acquired UK insurance agent handling insurance in the area of renewable energy business
- Insurance market size in the area is $500- 700mn*1 and is expected to expand further(GCube's top-lineto exceed $150mn in FY2023)
- Contribute to promoting creation of a sustainable future through insurance business
- Established insurance JV with Caixa Bank, who has 70% market share in mortgage market, to sell highly profitable home insurance (mortgage insurance, homeowners insurance)
- Steady progress towards start of operation in February 2021
- Aim at about ¥6 billion after-taxprofit*3 in five years (FY2025) (equivalent to Tokio Marine's 25% equity holding)
- February 2020: Completed integration of existing subsidiaries with Safety (acquisition in Aug. 2018)
- Affected by impact from COVID-19 at the moment, but maximize synergy in the largest insurance market in Southeast Asia and fast-growing insurance market to sell personal and business insurance
Growth of | CAGR | |
renewable | 6% | |
energy | Renewable Energy | |
Brazil
2019
$1.8bn Home insurance Top-line*4
2019
$9.3bn Top-line*5
Thailand
business | 51% |
18% | 27% |
Market
2015-2019
Market
2015-2019
(Ratio to global | 2005 | 2020(E) 2035(E) 2050(E) |
power supply) | ||
*1: Estimated by TMHD
*2: Source: McKinsey
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
+7.6% Home insurance Top-line CAGR*4
*3: FX on announcement
*4: Source: Brazilian insurance regulator SUSEP
+7.2% Top-line CAGR*5
*5: Source: Swiss Re
44
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Foster and increase "Pillars of profit" (3)
Create synergies by leveraging our global network and Group-wide expertise, etc.
Group synergies
Revenue | Investment |
Leverage our | Leverage |
global network | Delphi's asset |
management | |
capabilities | |
Group | |
synergies | |
Annual results: | |
USD 318mn | |
Capital | Cost |
Optimize retention / | Leverage group resources |
reinsurance on a group | and economies of scale |
basis |
Impact on profits from expanded group synergies
318 (USD mn)
170
20162019
>
Revenue Synergy in Pure group
- Sell TMHCC products like crisis management insurance and event cancellation insurance to Pure policy holders
- Partnership between leading PHLY and Pure agents (sales partnership)
- Joint marketing by Hawaii subsidiary and Pure for Hawaiian agent
- Private jet UW support by TMNF
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 45 |
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Further Accelerate Innovation and Improve Operational Efficiency under Post COVID-19 Environment
Accelerate digitalization to prepare for post-COVID-19 environment
Tackle operational reform by making the most of advantages of integrated group management
Examples of digital utilization
in Asia
Improve CX | Introduce new sales model | Cost reduction |
Aim at CX improvement to earn | Introduce new sales model to | Aim at significant cost reduction |
customer loyalty in Asia | capture growth potential in Asia | to reduce large volume of |
manual processes in Asia |
-
Digital recommendation tool for sales agent standardizing information and quality to customers
Our life business in India grew despite
market decline under COVID-19
Expand partnership with platformers |
(E-commerce, ride sharing, etc.) |
Customer inquiry response and |
product recommendation by chat-bot |
AI fraud detection on automobile |
insurance |
<Top-line growth*>
14%
Tokio Marine
Life biz. in India
Market
-11%
Customer targeting and tele- |
marketing with bank data to millions |
of bank clients |
Considering up and cross-selling with |
Streamline claim service operation |
with RPA |
Considering to establish "RPA Library" |
- Prompt insurance payment with AI (within 30 mins)
*: Top-line growth in FY2020 1H (individual insurance)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
information from healthcare platform |
each GC can utilize to share RPA |
know-how |
46
III. International | Strengths | Current MTP | Next MTP |
Seek Further Opportunity for Strategic M&A
Determination of intrinsic value will remain the key even in post-COVID-19 environment Capture further growth and pursue business diversification through various strategic options while maintaining discipline
M&A strategy
Developed markets | Emerging markets | |
M&A
M&A including bolt-on M&A
Partnership (Bancassurance, etc.)
Strict acquisition criteria to maintain discipline
Cultural fit
Target | High profitability | Hurdle rate |
Solid business model
Additional risk taking
Developed / Emerging
markets
Establish new offices
Cost of capital (7%)
- risk premium
- country interest rate spread
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 47 |
Ⅳ | Investment Strategy |
Group CIO Yoshinari Endo
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 48 |
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
Group Asset Management Policy
Secure long-term and stable investment income under a policy reflecting the characteristics of insurance liabilities
with ALM at the core
Investment Portfolio (Sep. 30, 2020)
Non-Investment Assets
12.6% | Investment | |||
Assets | ||||
¥22.3 trillion | ||||
Other 5.1% | ||||
Domestic | 8.4% | HD Total | ||
equities | Assets | Domestic bonds | ||
(Mostly business-related | ||||
¥25.5 trillion | ||||
equities) | 42.6% | |||
Loans | 6.1% | (Sep. 30, 2020) | ||
(Mainly overseas CRE 3.6%)
Foreign
securities, etc. 25.3%
(Foreign bonds 21.8%, CLO 3.5%)
1. Domestic bonds: Enhance ALM based on insurance liabilities
2. Foreign securities, etc./Loans: Profit contribution by asset
diversification
3. Domestic equities: Mainly business-related equities
Secure stable yield
Interim
Japan | Overseas | Group | ||
(Reference) Open Market Rates
FY2020
Interim
Period
US 10Y Treasury 10Y JGB
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 49 |
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
Investment Risk Appetite
Each risk is managed within the ERM framework from an overall Group perspective Aim at profit contribution by taking credit risks under appropriate risk control
Control of interest rate risk
- Control of interest rate risk with appropriate ALM in each country/entity
- For domestic life, interest rate risk is managed by matching asset and liability interest rate sensitivity rather than by using duration, which lacks the concept of volume (about 90% hedge ratio, Sep. 30, 2020)
Control of credit risk
- Take certain credit risk mainly with highly rated bonds
- Diversify domestic and overseas risks and investment methods
- Leverage on the strength of DFG for appropriate integrated risk control and risk taking in US/Japan
- HD engaged in cautious monitoring including risk limit management, etc.
Control of FX risk
- Each country/entity mainly makes investments in own currency corresponding to insurance liabilities
- Foreign currency denominated assets are fully hedged using currency options and derivatives
Control of equities risk
- Continue to reduce business-related equities to improve capital efficiency
Bonds and similar assets by rating (Sep. 30, 2020)
Others
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 50 |
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
DFG's Strong Asset Management Capabilities
Achieved strong track record steadily outperforming the market utilizing profound investment expertise and abundant experience
Long-term investment style
- Invest in interest rate assets such as bonds and loans that match the cash flow structure of the long-term, stable insurance liabilities (liquidity risk is acceptable)
- Hold to maturity based on ALM regardless of short-term market fluctuation (average duration: 4 years for assets, 6 years for liabilities)
Strength of DFG investment team
- Team experienced numerous market events including the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and produced stable returns throughout the market cycles
- Data gathering and analysis leveraging on broad network
- Continuous portfolio rebalancing in response on the economy, etc.
Category | Amount |
(FY2020 interim |
Stable track record
[Investment Returns*2]
- Secured positive returns throughout the period despite some negative effects such as collapse of Lehman Brothers
8.0%
DFG
6.0%
Market*3
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-2.0%
*2: (Income + gains/losses on sale + impairment loss)/AUM
*3: Average of US P&C companies (market cap $10bn+) (Source) SNL, Factset
[Track record vs. index]
period) | |||
Group Total Assets | ¥25.5 trillion | ||
DFG Proprietary | Approx. ¥2.8 | ||
assets | |||
Of which DFG | trillion | ||
AUM*1 | |||
Group company | Approx. ¥1.5 | ||
assets | |||
trillion | |||
*1: Amount as of Sep. 30, 2020, with JPY / USD rate as of Sep. 30
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
7.63% | |
6.66% | |
4.04% | 4.27% |
3-year average | 2007-2019 |
(2017-19) | Average |
- DFG ■ Barclays Aggregate
3.26% | 3.21% | |
2.87% | ||
1.56% | ||
3-year average | 2007-2019 | |
(2017-19) | Average |
51
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
DFG Asset Management Strategy
Aim to improve profitability with allocation based on return on risk among similar investment assets that generate profit from credit risk
DFG Investment Portfolio
(including assets entrusted by Group company)
Risk/return ratio for key assets
Other 7%
Loans 24%
(Of which CRE loans 20%)
Mar. 31, 2018 | |
¥2.8 trillion | |
Securitized bonds 27% | |
(Of which CLO 15%) | |
Other 6% | |
Loans 31% | Sep. 30, 2020 |
(Of which CRE loans | |
¥4.3 trillion | |
25%) |
Securitized bonds 23%
(Of which CLO 15%)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
Bonds 42%
Bonds 40%
Returns
High | Improved profitability | |
with DFG's strength | ||
CRE | ||
Loan | ||
CLO | CMBS | |
(A) | (A) |
Bonds
(BBB)
Bonds (AAA)
Low
Low | High |
Risks
52
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
Control of US Credit Risk Assets (CLO)
Invest in CLO, leveraging on DFG's strong expertise and abundant experience
CLO investment (Sep. 30, 2020)
Balance | Approx. ¥900bn |
Main asset | DFG |
management entity | |
Currency | USD |
Insurance liabilities | USD*1 |
Underlying assets | Corporate loans |
Average rating | A |
*1: Includes some JPY denominated insurance liabilities with FX risk hedged
DFG's strength in CLO investment
- Insurance liabilities allow holding to maturity
- Data gathering network built over the years
- Expertise to accurately capture the CLO tranche structure from contracts
- Detailed risk management (monthly monitoring, stress testing based on conservative scenarios, strong checks on outside managers*2)
*2: Asset manager for replacing underlying assets
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
CLO investment scheme and status
- The Group mainly holds CLOs rated BBB or above which are unlikely to default at present
- Stress testing indicates that CLOs rated BBB or above will not incur losses unless in case of 3 consecutive years of 10% or more default ratio
CLO | ||||||||
Asset manager | Group | |||||||
selects/replaces | AAA | investment | ||||||
securities | ||||||||
60ー65% | targets | |||||||
Leveraged | ||||||||
Leveraged | ||||||||
loans for 100- | AA 7ー15% | Portfolio | ||||||
loan | ||||||||
300 | A 3ー8% | composition | ||||||
market | ||||||||
companies | BBB 3ー7% | (Sep. 30, 2020) | ||||||
BBーB 5ー8% | AAA-AA: 30% | |||||||
Equities 9ー10% | A | : 39% | ||||||
BBB | : 26% |
- Default ratio for corporate loans underlying CLOs is increasing, but was 4.2% as of September 2020
Leveraged loan default ratio
12.0% | Long-term | Nov. 2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10.0% | average | 10.8% | Sep. 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
(from 1999) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
8.0% | 4.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
6.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
4.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
May-02 | Mar-03 | Jan-04Nov-04Sep-05Jul-06May-07 | Mar-08 | May-12 | Mar-13 | May-17 | Mar-18 | |||||||||||||||||
Jan-99 | Nov-99 | Sep-00 | Jul-01 | Jan-09 | Nov-09 | Sep-10 | Jul-11 | Jan-14Nov-14Sep-15 | Jul-16 | Jan-19 | Nov-19 | Sep-20 | ||||||||||||
53 |
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
Control of US Credit Risk Assets (CRE Loans)
Invest in CRE loans, strictly selecting prime transactions, based on close cooperation between DFG and outside managers
CRE loans investment (Sep. 30, 2020)
Balance | Approx. ¥920bn |
Main asset | DFG |
management entity | |
Currency | USD |
Insurance liabilities | USD*1 |
Loan to Value*2 | 62% |
Main property | Office |
Rental housing | |
category | |
Hotel | |
*1: Includes some JPY denominated insurance liabilities with FX risk hedged
*2: Loan balance / collateral value
DFG's strength in CRE loans investment
- Active involvement in decision making by attending the outside manager's investment committee (careful investment process and monitoring)
- Active collection activities (workout) for underperforming loans possible as the sole lender
CRE loans investment scheme and status
- Invest in real estates strictly selected with consideration of LTV and ease of attachment and collection, based on the outside manager's broad network (TMHD has right to veto)
- Short average holding period of about 3 years. Easy to change sectors after maturity
- Diversified investment without concentrating in specific region/sector
Provide loans | Agency | Tokio | |||
CRE | Outside | agreement | Marine | ||
CRE | Manager | Group | |||
Loan | Collect | ||||
Tenant | principal | Active | (Investor) | ||
and interest | |||||
involvement | |||||
Lease agreement
(Rent payment)Equity Property ownership
Sponsor
- Some interest deferral request has been made due to the impact of COVID-19, but appropriateness of payment plan has been confirmed through negotiation with the sponsors
- New investments are limited to multi-family housing, warehouses and logistics facilities, etc., which are less affected by COVID-19 (shift of portfolio target sectors)
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 54 |
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
Reduce Business-related Equities
Ongoing efforts to reduce business-related equities from the perspective of capital efficiency improvement
- Book value of business-related equities declined to 35% from Mar. 31, 2002 through steady action
- Sold total amount of approx. ¥2.2tn*1 since FY2002
- In this mid-term business plan, we will also plan to sell ¥100bn or more a year
Book value of business-related equities*2
Non-Investment Assets | |||||
12.6% | Domestic | ||||
Other | |||||
Bonds | |||||
5.1% | |||||
42.6% | |||||
Domestic | Total Assets | ||||
100 | equities | ||||
¥25.5 trillion | |||||
8.4% | |||||
(Sep. 30, 2020) | |||||
Loans | |||||
82 | 6.1% | ||||
Foreign securities, etc. | |||||
25.3% | |||||
57 | |||||
42 | 36 | ||||
35 | |||||
End of Mar 2002 | End of Mar 2007 | End of Mar 2012 | End of Mar 2017 | End of Mar 2020 | End of Sep 2020 |
*1: Market price at the time of sale
Sales amount
Fiscal Year | Plan | Results | |
Previous | 2015 | ¥122.0bn | |
Mid-Term | ¥100.0bn | ||
Business | 2016 | ¥117.0bn | |
or more | |||
Plan | |||
2017 | ¥108.0bn | ||
Current | 2018 | ¥107.0bn | |
Mid-Term | ¥100.0bn | ||
2019 | ¥107.0bn | ||
Business | |||
or more | |||
Plan | |||
2020 | ¥72.0 bn | ||
(Sep. 30, 2020) | |||
Continue selling efforts to reduce risk
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | *2: Indexed to the end of Mar. 2002 as 100. | 55 |
IV. Asset Management | Group | International | Domestic | Future Plans |
Future Plans in Light of COVID-19
Promote initiatives to secure stable investment returns in COVID-19 affected market environment
FY2020 | Japan | Overseas |
Decrease in | ||
investment return | -¥4.0bn | -¥34.0bn |
due to COVID-19 | ||
COVID-19>
Existing policies were prepared for the risk of decreased return, but implement following measures
- Continue ALM reflecting the characteristics of insurance liabilities
- Steady implementation of ALM reflecting the characteristics of insurance liabilities under any environment
- Agile response to change in market environment (interest rate volatility and further economic downturn)
- Increase the ratio of cash and deposits to prepare for further economic downturn from COVID-19 and agile investment upon market recovery
- Considering the interest rate risks including sudden fluctuation, make balanced investment between fixed and variable rates
- Investment based on risk and return
- Utilize DFG's data network and analysis capacities, strictly select attractive investments based on risk and return with consideration of default losses for each asset
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. | 56 |
Disclaimer
These presentation materials include business projections and forecasts relating to expected financial and operating results of Tokio Marine Holdings and certain of its affiliates in current and future periods. All such forward looking information is based on information and assumptions available to Tokio Marine Holdings when the materials were prepared and is subject to a range of inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results may vary materially from those estimated, anticipated, expected or projected in the accompanying materials and no assurances can be given that any such forward looking information will prove to have been accurate. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements in these materials. Tokio Marine Holdings undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of this forward looking information, whether as a result of new information, recent or future developments, or otherwise.
These presentation materials do not constitute an offering of securities in any jurisdiction. To the extent distribution of these presentation materials or the information included herein is restricted by law, persons receiving these materials must inform themselves of and observe any such restrictions.
For further information...
Investor Relations Group, Corporate Planning Dept.
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
URL : www.tokiomarinehd.com/en/inquiry/
TEL : +81-3-3285-0350
Copyright (c) 2020 Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc.
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Tokio Marine Holdings Inc. published this content on 27 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 30 November 2020 10:22:03 UTC