Topdanmark

Q1-Q3 2022 result

Financial highlights

Profit after tax (DKKm)

1,513

2021 2022

639

356 259

Q1-Q3 Q3

Non-life insurance

Result after tax (DKKm)

3.7%

184

2021

103

2022

Premium increase in non-life

insurance, Q1-Q3

-14

Q1-Q3

-16Q3

Discontinued operations

Investment return (DKKm)

362

2021

2022

22

-118

-555

Q3

Q1-Q3

Combined ratio

2021 2022

80.9 82.1 80.0 80.1

Q1-Q3 Q3

Combined ratio excl. run-off

2021 2022

83.6 83.9 83.6 81.9

Q1-Q3 Q3

Solvency 2022 (%)

282

255

221

Q1

H1

Q1-Q3

2

The profit forecast for 2022 is lowered to DKK 2,000- 2,150m after tax due to volatile financial markets

Profit forecast model for 2022

The assumed combined ratio for 2022 is narrowed from 82-84.5 to 82-83, excluding run-off in Q4 2022.

The profit forecast for 2022 has been lowered from DKK 2,100-2,350m to DKK 2,000-2,150m after tax, excluding run-off in Q4 but including the expected net gain of DKK 1.2bn from the divestment of Topdanmark Liv Holding A/S (closing assumed as at 31 December 2022).

The expected premium growth in non-life is narrowed from 3-4.5% to 3.5-4%.

Assumptions for 2023

A premium growth in non-life of

2-3.5%, and a combined ratio of

82.5-85.5, excluding run-off, are assumed for 2023 under the new IFRS 17 accounting standard.

Current profit forecast model 2022

Results

Forecast 2022

Forecast 2022

(DKKm)

2021

30 June 2022

30 September 2022

Non-life insurance

- Technical result

1,897

1,525

-

1,750

1,675

-

1,775

- Investment return after return and value adjustments

of non-life insurance provisions

564

-405

-

-390

-565

-

-550

- Other items

1

-25

-

-25

-40

-

-40

Profit on non-life insurance

2,461

1,095

-

1,335

1,070

-

1,185

Parent company etc.

-35

-65

-

-55

-65

-

-60

Profit before tax, continuing operations

2,426

1,030

-

1,280

1,005

-

1,125

Tax, continuing operations

-537

-230

-

-280

-230

-

-250

Profit after tax, continuing operations

1,889

800

-

1,000

775

-

875

Profit after tax, discontinued operations

248

1,300

-

1,350

1,225

-

1,275

Profit

2,138

2,100

-

2,350

2,000

-

2,150

Financial highlights

3

Agenda

1.

Premiums and distribution

7.

Discontinued operations

2.

Result Q3 and Q1-Q3 2022

8.

Divestment of Topdanmark Liv

3.

Claims

Holding A/S

4.

House insurance

9.

Investment return

5.

Inflation

10. Solvency

6.

Run-off

11. Efficiency programme

4

Continued strong momentum - premium growth of 3.7%

Premium growth (%), Q1-Q3 2021 vs. Q1-Q3 2022

Trend in average premiums, Q4 2013 = Index 100

5.5

120

House

Contents

Motor

115

3.7

110

105

1.9

100

95

90

Private

SME

Group

13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 22 22 22

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Premiums and distribution

5

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Topdanmark A/S published this content on 11 November 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 November 2022 14:41:02 UTC.