> Petroleum product sales
2Q20 1H20 vs vs 2Q20 1Q20 2Q19 2Q19 Sales in kb/d* 1H20 1H19 1H19 Total Marketing & Services 1,301 1,656 1,860 -30% sales 1,478 1,848 -20% 740 906 1,004 -26% Europe 823 1,008 -18% 561 750 856 -34% Rest of world 656 840 -22%
* Excludes trading and bulk refining sales
Petroleum product sales volumes fell by 30% in the quarter and by 20% in the first half year-on-year notably due to the impact of the lockdown on demand.
> Results
2Q20 1H20 vs In millions of vs 2Q20 1Q20 2Q19 2Q19 dollars 1H20 1H19 1H19 Adjusted net 129 302 423 -70% operating income* 431 766 -44% Organic 155 109 204 -24% investments 264 283 -7% (5) 6 96 ns Net acquisitions 1 89 -99% 150 115 300 -50% Net investments 265 372 -29% Operating cash flow before working capital 492 390 626 -21% changes ** 882 1,208 -27% Cash flow from 819 (399) 611 +34% operations ** 420 843 -50%
* Detail of adjustment items shown in the business segment information annex to financial statements.
** Excluding financial charges, except those related to leases
Adjusted net operating income was $129 million in the second quarter 2020, a drop of 70% due to the decrease in volumes. It decreased by 44% in the first half compared to last year for the same reason.
Operating cash flow before working capital changes was $492 million in the second quarter 2020 and $882 million in the first half.
Group results
> Adjusted net operating income from business segments
Adjusted net operating income from the business segments was:
-- $821 million in the second quarter 2020, a decrease of 77% compared to a year ago due to lower Brent prices, natural gas prices and refining margins as well as the impact of the Covid-19 crisis on demand. -- $3,121 million in the first half 2020, a decrease of 55% year-on-year for the same reasons.
> Adjusted net income (Group share)
Adjusted net income (Group share) was:
-- $126 million in the second quarter 2020, compared to $2,887 million a year ago due to lower Brent prices, natural gas prices and refining margins as well as the impact of the Covid-19 crisis on demand. -- $1,907 million in the first half 2020 for the same reasons.
Adjusted net income excludes the after-tax inventory effect, special items and the impact of effects of changes in fair value(12) .
Total net income adjustments(13) were -$8,495 million in the second quarter 2020, including -$8,101 million for impairments.
The effective tax rate for the Group was -6.8% in the second quarter 2020, compared to 30% in the previous quarter. The negative rate is explained by the adjusted net operating loss in Exploration & Production, which has a high tax rate, and was not offset by the positive results in the Downstream, which has a lower tax rate.
> Adjusted fully-diluted earnings per share
Adjusted earnings per share was:
-- $0.02 in the second quarter 2020, calculated on the basis of a weighted average of 2,598 million fully-diluted shares, compared to $1.05 in the same period last year. -- $0.68 in the first half 2020, calculated on the basis of a weighted average of 2,598 million fully-diluted shares, compared to $2.07 in the same period last year.
The number of fully-diluted shares was 2,605 million on June 30, 2020.
> Acquisitions - asset sales
Acquisitions were:
-- $857 million in the second quarter 2020, comprised notably of finalizing the acquisition in India of 50% of a portfolio of installed solar activities from Adani Green Energy Limited as well as the acquisition of interests in Blocks 20 and 21 in Angola. -- $2.5 billion in the first half 2020, comprised of the elements above as well as the finalization of the acquisition of 37.4% of Adani Gas Limited in India and the payment for a second tranche linked to taking the 10% stake in the Arctic LNG 2 project in Russia.
Asset sales were:
-- $136 million in the second quarter 2020. -- $678 million in the first half 2020, comprised notably of the sales of Block CA1 in Brunei, the Group's interest in the Fos Cavaou regasification terminal in France, and 50% of a portfolio of solar and wind assets from Total Quadran in France.
> Net cash flow
Net cash flow(14) for the Group was:
-- $226 million in the second quarter 2020 compared to $3.3 billion a year ago due to the decrease in operating cash flow before working capital changes in the context of sharply lower oil and gas prices. It remains positive thanks to the decrease in net investments. -- $0.6 billion in the first half 2020 compared to $6.2 billion year-on-year due to the decrease in operating cash flow before working capital changes of $5.6 billion in the context of sharply lower oil and gas prices.
> Profitability
The return on equity was 7.5% for the twelve months ended June 30, 2020.
In millions of dollars July 1, 2019 April 1, 2019 July 1, 2018 June 30, 2020 March 31, 2020 June 30, 2019 Adjusted net income 8,214 11,079 13,125 Average adjusted shareholders' equity 109,448 113,607 117,787 Return on equity (ROE) 7.5% 9.8% 11.1%
The return on average capital employed was 7% for the twelve months ended June 30, 2020.
In millions of dollars July 1, 2019 April 1, 2019 July 1, 2018 June 30, 2020 March 31, 2020 June 30, 2019 Adjusted net operating income 10,125 13,032 15,087 Average capital employed 145,621 150,418 145,247 ROACE 7.0% 8.7% 10.4%
Total SE accounts
Net income for Total SE, the parent company, was EUR4,710 million in the first half 2020 compared to EUR6,282 million a year ago.
2020 Sensitivities*
Estimated impact Estimated impact on adjusted net on cash flow from Change operating income operations Dollar +/- 0.1 $ per EUR -/+ 0.1 B$ 0 B$ Average liquids price** +/- 10 $/b +/- 2.9 B$ +/- 3.3 B$ European gas price - NBP ($/Mbtu) +/- 1 $/Mbtu +/- 0.35 B$ +/- 0.35 B$ Variable cost margin, European refining (VCM) +/- 10 $/t +/- 0.5 B$ +/- 0.6 B$
* Sensitivities are revised once per year upon publication of the previous year's fourth quarter results. Sensitivities are estimates based on assumptions about the Group's portfolio in 2020. Actual results could vary significantly from estimates based on the application of these sensitivities. The impact of the $-EUR sensitivity on adjusted net operating income is essentially attributable to Refining & Chemicals. Please find the indicators detailed page 15.
** In a 60 $/b Brent environment.
Summary and outlook
Oil prices strengthened since the beginning of June, reaching around 40 $/b, benefiting from strong compliance with the OPEC+ quotas and the decline of hydrocarbon production in the United States and Canada as well as a recovery in demand.
The oil environment, however, remains volatile, given the uncertainty around the extent and speed of the global economic recovery post-Covid-19.
The Group demonstrates discipline in the implementation of its 2020 action plan:
- Net investments below $14 billion,
- Savings of $1 billion on operating costs compared to 2019.
Total will continue to profitably grow in low carbon electricity, particularly in renewables, with close to $2 billion of investments in 2020.
In LNG, Total anticipates significant deferred liftings in the third quarter and expects the decline in oil prices observed in the second quarter to have an impact on long-term LNG contract prices in the second half of the year.
Considering the implementation of the OPEC+ quotas and the situation in Libya, the Group now expects 2020 production to be between 2.9 Mboe/d and 2.95 Mboe/d, with a low point in the third quarter during the summer season. The ramp up of Iara's second FPSO in Brazil will contribute to production growth in the last part of the year. In the Downstream, high inventory levels continue to weigh on refining margins and utilization rates. In Marketing, activity in Europe returned to 90% of its pre-crisis level since June and the Group anticipates that it will remain at a comparable level in the coming months.
The Group's priority is to generate a level of cash flow that allows it to continue to invest in profitable projects, to preserve an attractive shareholder return and to maintain a strong balance sheet. To this end, the Group's teams are focused on the four priorities of HSE, operational excellence, cost reduction and cash flow generation.
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07-30-20 0830ET