Projected Income Statement: Transurban Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Transurban Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 13,546 15,623 16,477 17,686 19,345 20,885 20,851 20,814
Change - 15.33% 5.47% 7.34% 9.38% 7.96% -0.16% -0.18%
Announcement Date 8/8/21 8/17/22 8/15/23 8/7/24 8/19/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Transurban Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,045 613 1,175 1,116 907 408 146.7 143.8
Change - -41.34% 91.68% -5.02% -18.73% -55.02% -64.05% -1.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 774 1,531 1,726 2,459 2,659 2,420 2,539 2,755
Change - 97.8% 12.74% 42.47% 8.13% -8.98% 4.91% 8.49%
Announcement Date 8/8/21 8/17/22 8/15/23 8/7/24 8/19/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Transurban Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 58.59% 49.35% 50.71% 53.44% 53.87% 64.46% 65.1% 68.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.09% 16.85% 23.98% 27.48% 24.77% 38.9% 40.34% 45.75%
EBT Margin (%) -16.63% -7.63% 1.59% 9.2% 3.13% 16.38% 16.81% 22.17%
Net margin (%) 114.45% 0.47% 1.54% 7.91% 3.53% 13.44% 17.34% 20.98%
FCF margin (%) 26.82% 44.95% 41.52% 59.7% 70.53% 59.85% 62.42% 68.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 23.43% 9,568.75% 2,696.88% 754.29% 1,999.25% 445.42% 360.08% 328.8%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.67% 0.04% 0.17% 0.88% 0.37% 1.47% 2.3% 2.6%
ROE -2.65% 0.13% 0.47% 2.76% 1.32% 6.13% 12.56% 17.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 8.01x 9.29x 7.82x 8.04x 9.52x 8.01x 7.87x 7.58x
Debt / Free cash flow 17.5x 10.2x 9.55x 7.19x 7.28x 8.63x 8.21x 7.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 36.21% 18% 28.27% 27.09% 24.06% 10.09% 3.61% 3.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.8% 36.47% 55.74% 50.7% 44.66% 15.65% 5.54% 5.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 135.01% 40.04% 68.08% 45.38% 34.11% 16.86% 5.78% 5.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3263 0.3283 0.4743 0.528 0.4881 0.535 0.5798 0.5795
Change - 0.63% 44.46% 11.32% -7.56% 9.6% 8.37% -0.04%
Dividend per Share 1 0.365 0.41 0.58 0.62 0.65 0.6867 0.7184 0.7594
Change - 12.33% 41.46% 6.9% 4.84% 5.64% 4.62% 5.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.78 4.821 4.082 3.57 2.95 2.752 2.427 2.118
Change - 27.53% -15.34% -12.54% -17.36% -6.72% -11.83% -12.71%
EPS 1 1.206 0.006 0.021 0.106 0.043 0.2131 0.2191 0.2699
Change - -99.5% 250% 404.76% -59.43% 395.56% 2.82% 23.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,738,110 3,070,715 3,080,547 3,092,176 3,108,381 3,114,792 3,114,792 3,114,792
Announcement Date 8/8/21 8/17/22 8/15/23 8/7/24 8/19/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 65.1x 63.4x
PBR 5.04x 5.72x
EV / Sales 15.9x 15.8x
Yield 4.95% 5.18%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
13.99AUD
Average target price
14.36AUD
Spread / Average Target
+2.63%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TCL Stock
  4. Financials Transurban Group