Projected Income Statement: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Forecast Balance Sheet: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -314,907 -335,431 -707,836 -764,452 -1,435,557 -1,760,234 -2,507,230 -3,592,911
Change - -6.52% -111.02% -8% -87.79% -22.62% -42.44% -43.3%
Announcement Date 1/14/21 1/13/22 1/12/23 1/18/24 1/16/25 - - -
1TWD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 507,239 839,196 1,082,672 949,820 956,007 1,261,308 1,412,126 1,570,399
Change - 65.44% 29.01% -12.27% 0.65% 31.94% 11.96% 11.21%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 315,430 272,965 527,927 292,150 870,170 951,085 1,345,545 1,846,373
Change - -13.46% 93.4% -44.66% 197.85% 9.3% 41.47% 37.22%
Announcement Date 1/14/21 1/13/22 1/12/23 1/18/24 1/16/25 - - -
1TWD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.09% 67.55% 68.84% 67.24% 68.58% 68.98% 68.73% 68.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.32% 40.95% 49.53% 42.63% 45.68% 49.73% 49.43% 49.54%
EBT Margin (%) 43.66% 41.77% 50.54% 45.3% 48.57% 52.45% 52.27% 52.31%
Net margin (%) 38.67% 37.58% 44.9% 38.79% 40.54% 43.81% 43.39% 43.19%
FCF margin (%) 23.55% 17.2% 23.32% 13.51% 30.06% 25.19% 29.54% 33.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 60.91% 45.76% 51.93% 34.84% 74.17% 57.49% 68.08% 77.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 20.61% 16.9% 23.39% 15.98% 19.2% 22.25% 22.21% 22.17%
ROE 29.8% 29.69% 39.76% 26.2% 30.29% 33.57% 31.83% 30.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 37.87% 52.87% 47.82% 43.94% 33.03% 33.4% 31% 28.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.45% 78.26% 69.47% 65.34% 48.17% 48.43% 45.11% 41.8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 160.81% 307.44% 205.08% 325.11% 109.86% 132.62% 104.95% 85.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 31.73 42.89 62.12 47.9 70.43 83.35 106.6 128.5
Change - 35.19% 44.82% -22.89% 47.03% 18.35% 27.94% 20.52%
Dividend per Share 1 10 11 11 13 16.99 19.71 23.28 27.36
Change - 10% 0% 18.18% 30.69% 16.04% 18.09% 17.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 71.33 83.62 113.6 133.4 165.4 208.2 261.7 333.9
Change - 17.23% 35.86% 17.42% 23.98% 25.9% 25.68% 27.59%
EPS 1 19.98 23.01 39.2 32.34 45.25 64.12 77.19 92.98
Change - 15.17% 70.36% -17.5% 39.92% 41.7% 20.38% 20.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,930,380 25,930,380 25,930,380 25,932,071 25,932,733 25,932,524 25,932,524 25,932,524
Announcement Date 1/14/21 1/13/22 1/12/23 1/18/24 1/16/25 - - -
1TWD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 23.3x 19.4x
PBR 7.18x 5.71x
EV / Sales 9.8x 7.96x
Yield 1.32% 1.56%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
34
Last Close Price
1,495.00TWD
Average target price
1,775.24TWD
Spread / Average Target
+18.74%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)