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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 100.92 USD | +0.44% |
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+6.38% | -19.97% |
| Dec. 09 | UPS-Owned Roadie Providing Same-Day Service for Bouqs Flower Deliveries | MT |
| Dec. 05 | 'Backbreaking' Work - Bundestag Debates Parcel Delivery Sector | DP |
Projected Income Statement: United Parcel Service, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 84,628 | 97,287 | 100,338 | 90,958 | 91,070 | 88,069 | 87,970 | 91,141 |
| Change | - | 14.96% | 3.14% | -9.35% | 0.12% | -3.3% | -0.11% | 3.6% |
| EBITDA 1 | 11,416 | 16,097 | 16,965 | 13,239 | 12,503 | 12,043 | 12,395 | 13,256 |
| Change | - | 41% | 5.39% | -21.96% | -5.56% | -3.68% | 2.92% | 6.95% |
| EBIT 1 | 8,718 | 13,144 | 13,853 | 9,873 | 8,894 | 8,297 | 8,706 | 9,517 |
| Change | - | 50.77% | 5.39% | -28.73% | -9.92% | -6.71% | 4.93% | 9.31% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -701 | -694 | -704 | -785 | -866 | -1,022 | -1,097 | -1,114 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,974 | 16,595 | 14,825 | 8,573 | 7,442 | 7,290 | 7,804 | 8,457 |
| Change | - | 740.68% | -10.67% | -42.17% | -13.19% | -2.05% | 7.05% | 8.37% |
| Net income 1 | 1,427 | 12,890 | 11,548 | 6,708 | 5,782 | 5,553 | 5,982 | 6,614 |
| Change | - | 803.29% | -10.41% | -41.91% | -13.8% | -3.95% | 7.72% | 10.56% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: United Parcel Service, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 18,744 | 11,660 | 14,060 | 16,192 | 14,966 | 19,352 | 20,168 | 20,756 |
| Change | - | -37.79% | 20.58% | 15.16% | -7.57% | 29.31% | 4.22% | 2.92% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: United Parcel Service, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 5,412 | 4,194 | 4,769 | 5,158 | 3,909 | 3,482 | 3,831 | 4,179 |
| Change | - | -22.51% | 13.71% | 8.16% | -24.21% | -10.92% | 10.03% | 9.07% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 5,047 | 10,813 | 9,335 | 5,080 | 6,213 | 4,596 | 5,274 | 4,741 |
| Change | - | 114.25% | -13.67% | -45.58% | 22.3% | -26.02% | 14.75% | -10.11% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: United Parcel Service, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 13.49% | 16.55% | 16.91% | 14.56% | 13.73% | 13.67% | 14.09% | 14.54% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 10.3% | 13.51% | 13.81% | 10.85% | 9.77% | 9.42% | 9.9% | 10.44% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 2.33% | 17.06% | 14.78% | 9.43% | 8.17% | 8.28% | 8.87% | 9.28% |
| Net margin (%) | 1.69% | 13.25% | 11.51% | 7.37% | 6.35% | 6.31% | 6.8% | 7.26% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.96% | 11.11% | 9.3% | 5.58% | 6.82% | 5.22% | 6% | 5.2% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 353.68% | 83.89% | 80.84% | 75.73% | 107.45% | 82.77% | 88.17% | 71.68% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 11.91% | 19.56% | 16.44% | 9.45% | 8.21% | 8.25% | 8.91% | 10.18% |
| ROE | 357.58% | 142.88% | 66.55% | 36.17% | 33.99% | 35.98% | 39.5% | 46.5% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.64x | 0.72x | 0.83x | 1.22x | 1.2x | 1.61x | 1.63x | 1.57x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 3.71x | 1.08x | 1.51x | 3.19x | 2.41x | 4.21x | 3.82x | 4.38x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 6.4% | 4.31% | 4.75% | 5.67% | 4.29% | 3.95% | 4.36% | 4.58% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 47.41% | 26.05% | 28.11% | 38.96% | 31.26% | 28.91% | 30.91% | 31.52% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 107.23% | 38.79% | 51.09% | 101.54% | 62.92% | 75.76% | 72.64% | 88.14% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 12.01 | 17.09 | 16.12 | 11.9 | 11.82 | 9.085 | 10.97 | 12.03 |
| Change | - | 42.33% | -5.69% | -26.14% | -0.67% | -23.17% | 20.75% | 9.67% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 4.04 | 4.58 | 6.18 | 6.48 | 6.52 | 6.548 | 6.529 | 6.6 |
| Change | - | 13.38% | 34.93% | 4.85% | 0.62% | 0.43% | -0.28% | 1.08% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.8566 | 16.31 | 22.63 | 20.12 | 19.55 | 18.54 | 17.6 | 17.23 |
| Change | - | 1,803.78% | 38.78% | -11.08% | -2.83% | -5.19% | -5.08% | -2.08% |
| EPS 1 | 1.64 | 14.68 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 6.75 | 6.486 | 7.097 | 7.927 |
| Change | - | 795.12% | -10.08% | -40.91% | -13.46% | -3.91% | 9.43% | 11.69% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 864,398 | 869,142 | 864,918 | 851,926 | 853,370 | 848,386 | 848,386 | 848,386 |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.6x | 14.2x |
| PBR | 5.44x | 5.73x |
| EV / Sales | 1.19x | 1.2x |
| Yield | 6.49% | 6.47% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- UPS Stock
- Financials United Parcel Service, Inc.
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