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UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | |
| 153.20 USD | +1.63% | +1.68% | -11.82% | |
| Nov. 28 | Social Buzz: Wallstreetbets Stocks Mostly Up Premarket; Spirit Airlines Poised to Rise | MT |
| Nov. 27 | Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed in Late Afternoon Trading | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 83 800 | 100 417 | 145 565 | 186 292 | 150 357 | 128 419 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 102 311 | 116 494 | 164 309 | 197 952 | 164 417 | 145 694 | 147 270 | 147 963 |
| P/E ratio | 17,7x | 22,9x | 103x | 14,6x | 13,2x | 17,9x | 15,3x | 13,7x |
| Yield | 3,73% | 3,28% | 2,40% | 2,14% | 3,55% | 4,28% | 4,38% | 4,57% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1,17x | 1,36x | 1,72x | 1,91x | 1,50x | 1,40x | 1,34x | 1,28x |
| EV / Revenue | 1,42x | 1,57x | 1,94x | 2,03x | 1,64x | 1,59x | 1,53x | 1,47x |
| EV / EBITDA | 10,7x | 11,1x | 14,4x | 12,3x | 9,69x | 10,9x | 10,2x | 9,45x |
| EV / FCF | 15,9x | 51,6x | 32,6x | 18,3x | 17,6x | 23,7x | 20,8x | 18,2x |
| FCF Yield | 6,28% | 1,94% | 3,07% | 5,46% | 5,68% | 4,21% | 4,80% | 5,49% |
| Price to Book | 27,7x | 30,6x | 197x | 13,1x | 7,68x | 6,57x | 6,08x | 5,95x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 859 226 | 857 823 | 864 398 | 869 142 | 864 918 | 851 926 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 97,5 | 117 | 168 | 214 | 174 | 151 | 151 | 151 |
| Announcement Date | 31/01/19 | 30/01/20 | 02/02/21 | 01/02/22 | 31/01/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 71 861 | 74 094 | 84 628 | 97 287 | 100 338 | 91 629 | 96 002 | 100 527 |
| EBITDA 1 | 9 591 | 10 510 | 11 416 | 16 097 | 16 965 | 13 351 | 14 452 | 15 662 |
| EBIT 1 | 7 384 | 8 150 | 8 718 | 13 144 | 13 853 | 9 935 | 10 943 | 12 107 |
| Operating Margin | 10,3% | 11,0% | 10,3% | 13,5% | 13,8% | 10,8% | 11,4% | 12,0% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 6 019 | 5 652 | 1 974 | 16 595 | 14 825 | 9 466 | 10 562 | 11 661 |
| Net income 1 | 4 791 | 4 440 | 1 427 | 12 890 | 11 548 | 7 279 | 8 326 | 9 309 |
| Net margin | 6,67% | 5,99% | 1,69% | 13,2% | 11,5% | 7,94% | 8,67% | 9,26% |
| EPS 2 | 5,51 | 5,11 | 1,64 | 14,7 | 13,2 | 8,44 | 9,83 | 11,0 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 6 428 | 2 259 | 5 047 | 10 813 | 9 335 | 6 141 | 7 075 | 8 119 |
| FCF margin | 8,95% | 3,05% | 5,96% | 11,1% | 9,30% | 6,70% | 7,37% | 8,08% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 67,0% | 21,5% | 44,2% | 67,2% | 55,0% | 46,0% | 49,0% | 51,8% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 134% | 50,9% | 354% | 83,9% | 80,8% | 84,4% | 85,0% | 87,2% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 3,64 | 3,84 | 4,04 | 4,58 | 6,18 | 6,45 | 6,60 | 6,89 |
| Announcement Date | 01/31/19 | 01/30/20 | 02/02/21 | 02/01/22 | 01/31/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period : December | 2021 Q2 | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 23 424 | 23 184 | 27 771 | 24 378 | 24 766 | 24 161 | 27 033 | 22 925 | 22 055 | 21 061 | 25 622 | 22 896 | 23 089 | 23 069 | 27 030 |
| EBITDA 1 | 4 012 | 3 708 | 4 706 | 4 070 | 4 338 | 3 923 | 4 634 | 3 386 | 3 747 | 2 452 | 3 709 | 3 069 | 3 470 | 3 462 | 4 432 |
| EBIT 1 | 3 273 | 2 970 | 3 952 | 3 306 | 3 576 | 3 149 | 3 822 | 2 552 | 2 919 | 1 615 | 2 891 | 2 239 | 2 616 | 2 622 | 3 501 |
| Operating Margin | 14,0% | 12,8% | 14,2% | 13,6% | 14,4% | 13,0% | 14,1% | 11,1% | 13,2% | 7,67% | 11,3% | 9,78% | 11,3% | 11,4% | 13,0% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3 436 | 2 993 | 3 962 | 3 392 | 3 697 | 3 269 | 4 467 | 2 522 | 2 720 | 1 268 | 2 778 | 2 134 | 2 550 | 2 537 | 3 439 |
| Net income 1 | 2 676 | 2 329 | 3 093 | 2 662 | 2 849 | 2 584 | 3 453 | 1 895 | 2 081 | 1 127 | 2 144 | 1 642 | 1 962 | 1 952 | 2 645 |
| Net margin | 11,4% | 10,0% | 11,1% | 10,9% | 11,5% | 10,7% | 12,8% | 8,27% | 9,44% | 5,35% | 8,37% | 7,17% | 8,50% | 8,46% | 9,79% |
| EPS 2 | 3,05 | 2,65 | 3,52 | 3,03 | 3,25 | 2,96 | 3,96 | 2,19 | 2,42 | 1,31 | 2,53 | 1,93 | 2,30 | 2,31 | 3,12 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1,02 | 1,02 | 1,52 | 1,52 | 1,52 | 1,52 | 1,62 | 1,62 | 1,62 | - | 1,61 | 1,65 | 1,65 | 1,65 | 1,65 |
| Announcement Date | 07/27/21 | 10/26/21 | 02/01/22 | 04/26/22 | 07/26/22 | 10/25/22 | 01/31/23 | 04/25/23 | 08/08/23 | 10/26/23 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 18 511 | 16 077 | 18 744 | 11 660 | 14 060 | 17 274 | 18 851 | 19 544 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1,93x | 1,53x | 1,64x | 0,72x | 0,83x | 1,29x | 1,30x | 1,25x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 6 428 | 2 259 | 5 047 | 10 813 | 9 335 | 6 141 | 7 075 | 8 119 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 310% | 207% | 358% | 143% | 66,6% | 38,4% | 37,6% | 39,3% |
| Shareholders' equity 1 | 1 544 | 2 144 | 399 | 9 021 | 17 352 | 18 974 | 22 172 | 23 675 |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 13,2% | 12,1% | 11,9% | 19,6% | 16,4% | 10,4% | 11,2% | 12,3% |
| Assets 1 | 36 179 | 36 600 | 11 983 | 65 907 | 70 243 | 70 153 | 74 223 | 75 480 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3,52 | 3,83 | 0,86 | 16,3 | 22,6 | 22,9 | 24,8 | 25,3 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 14,6 | 9,94 | 12,0 | 17,1 | 16,1 | 14,4 | 14,7 | 16,2 |
| Capex 1 | 6 283 | 6 380 | 5 412 | 4 194 | 4 769 | 5 293 | 5 177 | 5 399 |
| Capex / Sales | 8,74% | 8,61% | 6,40% | 4,31% | 4,75% | 5,78% | 5,39% | 5,37% |
| Announcement Date | 01/31/19 | 01/30/20 | 02/02/21 | 02/01/22 | 01/31/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating :
Investor Rating :
ESG Refinitiv :
C
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
32
Last Close Price
150.74USD
Average target price
166.23USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.28%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. (M$) | |
|---|---|---|
| -13.29% | 128 B $ | |
| +46.31% | 63 712 M $ | |
| +21.89% | 54 943 M $ | |
| 0.00% | 13 291 M $ | |
| +14.97% | 8 966 M $ | |
| +31.34% | 6 670 M $ | |
| +25.11% | 6 176 M $ | |
| +40.01% | 5 968 M $ | |
| -26.53% | 4 378 M $ | |
| -1.16% | 4 040 M $ |
- Stock
- Equities
- Stock United Parcel Service Inc. - Nyse
- Financials United Parcel Service Inc.