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After hours 03:59:56 pm | |||
| 23.81 EUR | +0.80% |
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23.84 | +0.10% |
| 11:43am | UPM says co plans to permanently close its paper mill in Ettringen, closing impacts 189 employees | RE |
| 11:37am | UPM-Kymmene to close production in Ettringen | FW |
Projected Income Statement: UPM-Kymmene Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 8,580 | 9,814 | 11,720 | 10,460 | 10,339 | 9,802 | 10,155 | 10,576 |
| Change | - | 14.38% | 19.42% | -10.75% | -1.16% | -5.2% | 3.61% | 4.14% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,442 | 1,821 | 2,536 | 1,573 | 1,734 | 1,351 | 1,756 | 2,089 |
| Change | - | 26.28% | 39.26% | -37.97% | 10.24% | -22.09% | 29.97% | 18.99% |
| EBIT 1 | 948 | 1,471 | 2,096 | 1,013 | 1,224 | 882.9 | 1,215 | 1,583 |
| Change | - | 55.17% | 42.49% | -51.67% | 20.83% | -27.87% | 37.61% | 30.3% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -26 | -15 | -30 | -70 | -97 | -100.6 | -96.06 | -97.57 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 737 | 1,548 | 1,944 | 464 | 500 | 572.8 | 1,101 | 1,382 |
| Change | - | 110.04% | 25.58% | -76.13% | 7.76% | 14.55% | 92.14% | 25.61% |
| Net income 1 | 560 | 1,286 | 1,526 | 388 | 436 | 492.4 | 934.7 | 1,237 |
| Change | - | 129.64% | 18.66% | -74.57% | 12.37% | 12.95% | 89.8% | 32.38% |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: UPM-Kymmene Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 56 | 647 | 2,374 | 2,432 | 2,869 | 3,276 | 3,005 | 2,642 |
| Change | - | 1,055.36% | 266.92% | 2.44% | 17.97% | 14.19% | -8.27% | -12.08% |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: UPM-Kymmene Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 818 | 1,432 | 1,398 | 1,026 | 543 | 397.3 | 343.7 | 366.4 |
| Change | - | 75.06% | -2.37% | -26.61% | -47.08% | -26.83% | -13.51% | 6.61% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 187 | -182 | -890 | 1,243 | 809 | 853.4 | 1,093 | 1,308 |
| Change | - | -197.33% | -389.01% | 239.66% | -34.92% | 5.49% | 28.08% | 19.68% |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: UPM-Kymmene Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 16.81% | 18.56% | 21.64% | 15.04% | 16.77% | 13.78% | 17.29% | 19.75% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 11.05% | 14.99% | 17.88% | 9.68% | 11.84% | 9.01% | 11.96% | 14.97% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 8.59% | 15.77% | 16.59% | 4.44% | 4.84% | 5.84% | 10.84% | 13.07% |
| Net margin (%) | 6.53% | 13.1% | 13.02% | 3.71% | 4.22% | 5.02% | 9.2% | 11.7% |
| FCF margin (%) | 2.18% | -1.85% | -7.59% | 11.88% | 7.82% | 8.71% | 10.76% | 12.37% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 33.39% | -14.15% | -58.32% | 320.36% | 185.55% | 173.29% | 116.94% | 105.73% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.93% | 7.27% | 8.26% | 3.68% | 4.93% | 2.56% | 5.07% | 6.3% |
| ROE | 5.8% | 12.7% | 13% | 3.2% | 4% | 5.36% | 8.99% | 11.19% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.04x | 0.36x | 0.94x | 1.55x | 1.65x | 2.43x | 1.71x | 1.26x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.3x | -3.55x | -2.67x | 1.96x | 3.55x | 3.84x | 2.75x | 2.02x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 9.53% | 14.59% | 11.93% | 9.81% | 5.25% | 4.05% | 3.38% | 3.46% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 56.73% | 78.64% | 55.13% | 65.23% | 31.31% | 29.41% | 19.57% | 17.54% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 437.43% | -786.81% | -157.08% | 82.54% | 67.12% | 46.56% | 31.44% | 28.01% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.89 | 2.34 | 0.95 | 4.25 | 2.54 | 2.216 | 2.592 | 2.825 |
| Change | - | 23.81% | -59.4% | 347.37% | -40.24% | -12.75% | 16.97% | 8.98% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.508 | 1.55 | 1.582 |
| Change | - | 0% | 15.38% | 0% | 0% | 0.56% | 2.76% | 2.06% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 17.53 | 20.34 | 23.44 | 20.93 | 20.89 | 19.8 | 20.03 | 20.52 |
| Change | - | 16.03% | 15.24% | -10.71% | -0.19% | -5.22% | 1.17% | 2.42% |
| EPS 1 | 1.05 | 2.41 | 2.86 | 0.73 | 0.82 | 0.8721 | 1.696 | 2.26 |
| Change | - | 129.52% | 18.67% | -74.48% | 12.33% | 6.35% | 94.47% | 33.28% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 533,324 | 533,324 | 533,324 | 533,324 | 533,324 | 527,324 | 527,324 | 527,324 |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/5/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 27.3x | 14x |
| PBR | 1.2x | 1.19x |
| EV / Sales | 1.62x | 1.53x |
| Yield | 6.33% | 6.51% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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