Company Valuation: UPM-Kymmene Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 16,485 16,250 17,845 18,629 18,165 15,626 - -
Change - -1.42% 9.81% 4.39% -2.49% -13.98% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 16,032 16,306 18,492 21,003 20,597 17,916 17,148 16,089
Change - 1.71% 13.4% 13.58% -1.93% -13.02% -4.29% -6.17%
P/E ratio 15.5x 29x 13.9x 12.2x 46.7x 15.7x 11.7x 10.1x
PBR 1.64x 1.74x 1.65x 1.49x 1.63x 1.36x 1.29x 1.21x
PEG - -0.6x 0x 0.7x -0.6x 0x 0.3x 0.6x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.61x 1.89x 1.82x 1.59x 1.74x 1.44x 1.39x 1.36x
EV / Revenue 1.57x 1.9x 1.88x 1.79x 1.97x 1.65x 1.53x 1.4x
EV / EBITDA 8.66x 11.3x 10.2x 8.28x 13.1x 8.72x 7.11x 6.01x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 17.2x 12.6x 10x 20.3x 13x 10.2x 8.26x
EV / FCF 10.9x 87.2x -102x -23.6x 16.6x 16.2x 11x 8.79x
FCF Yield 9.16% 1.15% -0.98% -4.24% 6.03% 6.15% 9.1% 11.4%
Dividend per Share 2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.523 1.607 1.677
Rate of return 4.21% 4.27% 3.89% 4.29% 4.4% 5.2% 5.48% 5.72%
EPS 2 1.99 1.05 2.41 2.86 0.73 1.861 2.506 2.905
Distribution rate 65.3% 124% 53.9% 52.4% 205% 81.9% 64.1% 57.7%
Net sales 1 10,238 8,580 9,814 11,720 10,460 10,854 11,207 11,507
EBITDA 1 1,851 1,442 1,821 2,536 1,573 2,055 2,412 2,677
EBIT 1 1,404 948 1,471 2,096 1,013 1,378 1,686 1,948
Net income 1 1,061 560 1,286 1,526 388 1,005 1,336 1,550
Net Debt 1 -453 56 647 2,374 2,432 2,290 1,522 463.1
Reference price 2 30.91 30.47 33.46 34.93 34.06 29.30 29.30 29.30
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 533,324 533,324 533,324 533,324 533,324 533,324 - -
Announcement Date 1/30/20 1/28/21 1/27/22 2/2/23 2/1/24 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
15.75x1.65x8.72x+5.20%17.33B
11.92x2.87x5.56x+2.94%12.3B
25.68x5.46x15x+2.11%9.89B
23.04x3.05x13.7x+2.43%6.66B
7.27x1.09x5.78x+6.56%4.08B
7.4x0.68x6.92x+4.22%3.99B
114.42x - - +0.22%3.86B
9.68x1.61x5.66x+6.47%2.93B
14.67x - - +1.50%1.76B
43.86x0.55x4.68x+4.96%1.58B
Average 27.37x 2.12x 8.25x +3.66% 6.44B
Weighted average by Cap. 22.54x 2.57x 9.09x +3.68%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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