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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 78.85 BRL | +9.33% |
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+4.33% | +9.57% |
| Jan. 14 | LatAm stocks rise as geopolitical tensions lift commodity prices | RE |
| Jan. 12 | Capital World Investors reaches 5.02% stake in Brazil's Vale | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Vale S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 40,018 | 54,502 | 43,839 | 41,784 | 38,056 | 37,984 | 39,843 | 40,246 |
| Change | - | 36.19% | -19.56% | -4.69% | -8.92% | -0.19% | 4.89% | 1.01% |
| EBITDA 1 | 21,954 | 31,343 | 19,931 | 17,961 | 14,840 | 15,447 | 16,596 | 16,488 |
| Change | - | 42.77% | -36.41% | -9.88% | -17.38% | 4.09% | 7.44% | -0.65% |
| EBIT 1 | 18,720 | 28,309 | 16,760 | 14,891 | 11,783 | 10,988 | 12,022 | 11,826 |
| Change | - | 51.22% | -40.8% | -11.15% | -20.87% | -6.75% | 9.41% | -1.63% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -2,908 | -1,316 | - | -1,027 | -1,051 | -923.3 | -1,614 | -1,652 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,969 | 29,541 | 19,781 | 11,151 | 6,696 | 10,006 | 10,571 | 10,367 |
| Change | - | 494.51% | -33.04% | -43.63% | -39.95% | 49.44% | 5.64% | -1.93% |
| Net income 1 | 4,881 | 22,445 | 18,788 | 7,983 | 6,166 | 8,472 | 8,199 | 7,921 |
| Change | - | 359.84% | -16.29% | -57.51% | -22.76% | 37.39% | -3.21% | -3.4% |
| Announcement Date | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/16/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/19/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Vale S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,853 | 5,480 | - | 9,560 | 10,499 | 13,177 | 14,056 | 13,844 |
| Change | - | 42.23% | - | - | 9.82% | 25.51% | 6.67% | -1.51% |
| Announcement Date | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/16/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/19/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Vale S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 4,430 | 5,227 | 5,446 | 5,920 | 6,447 | 5,500 | 5,720 | 5,735 |
| Change | - | 17.99% | 4.19% | 8.7% | 8.9% | -14.69% | 4% | 0.27% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 9,892 | 20,449 | 6,039 | 7,245 | 2,919 | 4,227 | 5,940 | 5,540 |
| Change | - | 106.72% | -70.47% | 19.97% | -59.71% | 44.8% | 40.53% | -6.73% |
| Announcement Date | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/16/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/19/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Vale S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 54.86% | 57.51% | 45.46% | 42.99% | 39% | 40.67% | 41.65% | 40.97% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 46.78% | 51.94% | 38.23% | 35.64% | 30.96% | 28.93% | 30.17% | 29.39% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 12.42% | 54.2% | 45.12% | 26.69% | 17.6% | 26.34% | 26.53% | 25.76% |
| Net margin (%) | 12.2% | 41.18% | 42.86% | 19.11% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 20.58% | 19.68% |
| FCF margin (%) | 24.72% | 37.52% | 13.78% | 17.34% | 7.67% | 11.13% | 14.91% | 13.77% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 202.66% | 91.11% | 32.14% | 90.76% | 47.34% | 49.89% | 72.44% | 69.94% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.31% | 24.74% | 21.31% | 8.82% | 7.07% | 9.83% | 9.15% | 9.08% |
| ROE | 13.23% | 63.93% | - | 20.38% | 16.33% | 21.78% | 18.76% | 16.85% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.18x | 0.17x | - | 0.53x | 0.71x | 0.85x | 0.85x | 0.84x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.39x | 0.27x | - | 1.32x | 3.6x | 3.12x | 2.37x | 2.5x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 11.07% | 9.59% | 12.42% | 14.17% | 16.94% | 14.48% | 14.36% | 14.25% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.18% | 16.68% | 27.32% | 32.96% | 43.44% | 35.6% | 34.46% | 34.78% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 44.78% | 25.56% | 90.18% | 81.71% | 220.86% | 130.12% | 96.3% | 103.52% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | - | 5.114 | 2.476 | 3.01 | 2.188 | 2.854 | 2.625 | - |
| Change | - | - | -51.58% | 21.55% | -27.3% | 30.41% | -8.02% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.196 | 2.753 | - | - | - | 0.8111 | 0.9756 | 0.7796 |
| Change | - | 130.17% | - | - | - | - | 20.29% | -20.1% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 6.788 | 6.87 | - | 9.386 | 8.089 | 10.39 | 10.66 | 10.97 |
| Change | - | 1.2% | - | - | -13.82% | 28.51% | 2.51% | 2.96% |
| EPS 1 | 0.95 | 4.47 | 4.05 | 1.83 | 1.44 | 1.996 | 1.891 | 1.738 |
| Change | - | 370.53% | -9.4% | -54.81% | -21.31% | 38.59% | -5.25% | -8.11% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 5,129,911 | 4,891,940 | 4,542,591 | 4,302,854 | 4,269,039 | 4,268,780 | 4,268,780 | 4,268,780 |
| Announcement Date | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/16/23 | 2/22/24 | 2/19/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 7.35x | 7.76x |
| PBR | 1.41x | 1.38x |
| EV / Sales | 2x | 1.92x |
| Yield | 5.53% | 6.65% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- VALE3 Stock
- Financials Vale S.A.
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