This Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") is intended to help the reader understand the results of operations, financial condition and cash flows ofVeoneer, Inc. ("Veoneer ," the "Company," "we," or "our"). This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and accompanying notes to the financial statements included elsewhere herein, as well as the risk factors and other disclosures made in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2019 filed with theSEC onFebruary 21, 2020 . Introduction The following MD&A is intended to help you understand the business operations and financial condition of the Company. This MD&A is presented in the following sections: •Executive Overview •COVID-19 Commentary •2020 Outlook •Trends, Uncertainties and Opportunities •Market Overview •Results of Operations •Non-U.S. GAAP Financial Measures •Liquidity and Capital Resources •Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements and Other Matters •Contractual Obligations and Commitments •Significant Accounting Policies and Critical Accounting EstimatesVeoneer is aDelaware corporation with its principal executive offices inStockholm, Sweden . The Company functions as a holding corporation and owns two principal operating subsidiaries,Veoneer AB andVeoneer US, Inc. OnJune 29, 2018 the spin-off ofVeoneer fromAutoliv, Inc. ("Autoliv") was completed through the distribution byAutoliv of all the outstanding shares of common stock ofVeoneer toAutoliv's stockholders as of the close of business onJune 12, 2018 , the common stock record date for the distribution, in a tax-free, pro rata distribution (the "Spin-Off"). OnJuly 2, 2018 , the shares ofVeoneer common stock commenced trading on theNew York Stock Exchange under the symbol "VNE" and the Veoneer Swedish Depository Receipts representing shares ofVeoneer common stock commenced trading on Nasdaq Stockholm under the symbol "VNE SDB."Veoneer is a global leader in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of automotive safety electronics with a focus on innovation, quality and manufacturing excellence. Prior to the Spin-Off,Veoneer operated for almost four years as an operating segment withinAutoliv .Veoneer's safety systems are designed to make driving safer and easier, more comfortable and convenient for the end consumer and to intervene before a collision to avoid a potentially hazardous situation.Veoneer endeavors to prevent vehicle accidents or reduce the severity of impact in the event a crash is unavoidable. Through our customer focus, and being an expert partner with our customers, we intend to develop human centric systems that benefit vehicle occupants.Veoneer's current product offerings include automotive radars, mono and stereo vision cameras, night vision systems, positioning systems, advanced driver assist systems ("ADAS") electronic control units, passive safety electronics (airbag control units and crash sensors), brake control systems and a complete ADAS software offering towards highly automated driving ("HAD") and eventually autonomous driving. In addition, we offer driver monitoring systems, LiDAR sensors, RoadScape positioning and other technologies critical for HAD and AD solutions by leveraging our partnership network and internally developed intellectual property. 26 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Executive Overview Health and safety continue to be our first priorities and we are closely monitoring the development of the COVID-19 pandemic, which unfortunately shows signs of becoming more severe again, and we are staying ready to take the necessary safety precautions and business actions. Vehicle production accelerated through the quarter, leading to a rapid increase in demand in the entire automotive supply chain, in a time when we are still fighting the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic. In this challenging environment we executed a record number of activities including: successful vehicle launches, continued market adjustment initiatives, signing of a letter of intent with Qualcomm, finalizing the split of Zenuity and the divestment of our brake business. To summarize our underlying performance improved in almost all metrics. We are pleased withVeoneer's operational performance in the third quarter and would like to thank the entireVeoneer team for their focus, dedication and discipline during this highly unusual year. Cash flow was particularly strong in the quarter and while it included certain timing effects it allows us to expect a better 2020 full year cash flow before financing than previously expected. Our market adjustment initiatives also continue to deliver the targeted improvements, we are establishing new levels of run- rate for cash flow and capital expenditures and continue to drive improvements in RD&E efficiency. Our daily execution is the foundation that will allow our plans to materialize, and we are managing key launches well including the flagship Mercedes S-Class, the Subaru Levorg and theVolvo XC40 Electric . We are on track for additional fourth quarter and early 2021 launches. This development is fundamental to achieving our stated target to return to organic growth towards the later part of 2020. The selection by EuroNCAP of the Mercedes GLE as the best vehicle in its 2020 test for assisted driving, where most of the active safety content comes fromVeoneer is another recent important technology proof-point. The Qualcomm collaboration is important toVeoneer for multiple reasons. Technologically, it strengthens our capability to provide a full scalable system for the next generation ADAS and later autonomous driving. The combination ofVeoneer's software for perception and drive policy and Qualcomm's powerful and energy efficient System On a Chip (SoC) will bring a competitive offer to the market for vehicle launches in 2024 and beyond. Commercially, the go-to-market strategy led by Qualcomm will allow for broader access to the market. Our focus areas first outlined at the beginning of 2020 remain: successful customer launches in 2020 and heading into 2021, market adjustment initiatives to continue to drive efficiencies and improve cash flow, and continuing to win profitable new business. COVID-19 Commentary The COVID-19 pandemic continues to cause significant uncertainty in the global economy. This includes the automotive industry and light vehicle production ("LVP") for 2020 and the upcoming years ahead, which are dependent on underlying consumer demand. During the third quarter, our customers inEurope andNorth America generally experienced a sharp ramp-up of their production, after most factories had been idled, or running on very reduced schedules during the latter part of the first quarter and the early part of the second quarter. However, during the third quarter, we experienced an even stronger increase in production ramp-ups by our customers inChina , while there has been a stabilization of production in other Asian vehicle producing countries from the initial recovery during the second quarter this year. The strong customer call-offs, predominately inChina have continued in the fourth quarter and are creating some challenges in the supply chain for certain key components in the restraint control business. Our updated planning assumptions reflect the stronger than expected recovery of global LVP during the third quarter and our current customer forecasts for the fourth quarter. The latest IHS forecast implies a year-over-year LVP decline of approximately 4% for the second half of 2020 and approximately 19% for the full year 2020, which are both improvements fromJuly 2020 . However, we continue to monitor the situation as the number of new COVID-19 cases inEurope andthe United States seem to be on the rise, which may impact the LVP and our customer forecasts in the near-term. As our OEM customers recovered to more normal, or higher than normal in certain countries, we have returned to higher production levels as well. The health and safety of our associates continues to be our first priority, and we are taking the necessary actions to protect our associates, safeguard our operations and meet our customers' needs while managing through these unprecedented circumstances. As noted in our 2020 Outlook, in response to the pandemic, the Company continues to extend its market adjustment initiatives (MAIs) to further mitigate the impact of the pandemic on its cash flow and operating results. The actions taken by the Company 27 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- to mitigate the impact, include reducing its annual RD&E, net by more than$100 million and other expenses with the intention of reducing the Company's operating loss and conserving cash in 2020 so as to enter 2021 in a stable cash position.Veoneer estimates the negative organic sales impact from the lower customer demand to be approximately$30 million for the third quarter and approximately$250 million through the first nine months of 2020. In 2020, the most important driver forVeoneer's business is new customer and technology launches. For the top 15 launches we see no cancellations of projects; however, approximately half of such launches have been postponed by up to one quarter while the rest remain on track, or actually even slightly ahead of schedule. The exact volumes and consumer take rates are hard to predict at this point in time. 2020 Outlook The sharp production rebound in the third quarter of 2020 is expected to sequentially improve further during the fourth quarter. Based on current customer call-offs and forecasts,Veoneer expects to return to organic sales growth during the fourth quarter and to outperform the LVP for the second half of 2020. The Company expects this organic growth to accelerate into 2021.Veoneer remains on track with its implementation of additional MAIs with the underlying aim to offset the negative effects from lower sales and the impact on cash flow.Veoneer expects RD&E, net in full year 2020 to improve by more than$100 million as compared to 2019, on a comparable basis, and the operating loss to improve in full year 2020 as compared to 2019, on a comparable basis. Capital expenditures are expected to be less than$125 million for full year 2020. As a result of a better than expected third quarter, the Company's current outlook is for cash flow before financing activities to be better than$(170) million for the second half of 2020, however the COVID-19 pandemic continues to create a challenging and uncertain environment. Trends, Uncertainties and Opportunities Trend toward Collaborative Driving The environment around us continues to be rapidly changing and we currently see a shift across the automotive and autotech industries. The industry developments during 2019 have further strengthened the trend toward advanced driver support - Collaborative Driving - and away from fully autonomous cars for the consumer based vehicle mass market. New technologies, creating new levels of interaction and driver support are starting to revolutionize driving, but we also see the driver being actively involved for many years to come. While the industry refers to "Level 2+" or even "Level 2++"Veoneer calls this Collaborative Driving, and includes any SAE level of automation. At the same time there is a growing realization that the introduction of truly self-driving cars will likely take longer and be more expensive than previously anticipated. This fundamental insight opens up new opportunities for companies, includingVeoneer , but it also requires adjusting the priorities of resources. As such, we believe that the market will stay mainly focused on Level 1-Level 2+ autonomous driving solutions for the next decade however the recent developments of the COVID-19 pandemic, during the first half of 2020, and perhaps ongoing impact, could affect the evolution of ADAS, Collaborative Driving and AD for consumer purchased light vehicles. Global Regulatory and Test Rating DevelopmentsEurope continues to take a proactive role in promoting or requiring Active Safety technologies. The European New Car Assessment Program ("NCAP") continuously updates its test rating program to include more active safety technologies to help theEuropean Union reach its target of cutting road fatalities by 50% by 2030, as compared to 2020. OneJune 26, 2020 , theUNECE's World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations , announced the first binding international regulation on "level 3" vehicle automation. The new regulation marks an important step towards the wider deployment of automated vehicles to help realize a vision of safer, more sustainable mobility for all. Starting inJanuary 2021 the regulation provides guidelines on the Automated Lane Keep System ("ALKS") feature, requires driver availability recognition systems, and a "black box" data storage system for AD. It also outlines requirements for emergency and minimal risk maneuvers and driver transition demand as well as cyber-security and software update protocols. InMay 2020 Euro NCAP announced that is was postponing the roll-out of upcoming road map updates by one year (from 2022 to 2023 and from 2024 to 2025). This should help our industry to overcome the situation with respect to the COVID-19 pandemic, but it should not change the overall trend towards introduction of new roadmap requirements, which are just delayed by one year. We anticipate strong global sensor adoption rate increases (forward, side and rear) due to the European NCAP's push for crash avoidance, increased adoption rates due to growing demand around ADAS software features, volume growth due 28 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- to redundant sensing concepts needed for higher levels of autonomy, potential opportunities in relation to compliance with cyber-security and software updates and step-by-step increased demand for connectivity components as a result. OnMay 17, 2018 , theEuropean Commission proposed a new mandate, as part of the European General Safety Regulation ("GSR") road-map through 2028, to make certain Active Safety features compulsory in light vehicles by 2022. During March of 2019 the EU mandate was adopted as initially proposed by theEuropean Commission . We believe that adoption of the mandate will significantly expand demand for our Active Safety products. Indeed, with respect to sensors and ADAS software features, our order intake since the adoption of the mandate seems to reflect the anticipated increase in demand. However, during 2019 we have seen OEM delays in the sourcing of these technologies as customers reconsider how they want to architect and design, in a scalable way to include these new standard technologies. In addition, we believe that the mandate and the European GSR generally will influence other market regulators as they evaluate their respective vehicle test rating programs and safety legislation. InChina , theMinistry of Industry and Information Technology issued the Key Working Points of Intelligent Connected Vehicle Standardization for 2018 to promote and facilitate the development of the intelligent connected vehicles industry, and advance the development of fundamental standards and those that are in urgent demand. The guideline has pointed out that more than 30 key standards will be defined by 2020 to fund the systems for ADAS and low-level autonomous driving, and a system of over 100 standards will be set up by 2025 for higher level autonomous driving. During the third quarter of 2018, the Chinese government commenced testing of new vehicles according to the newChina New Car Assessment Program where active safety features like Autonomous Emergency Braking ("AEB") are required to achieve the maximum safety rating. OnOctober 4, 2018 , theU.S. Department of Transportation ("DoT") issued new voluntary guidelines on automated driving systems ("ADS") under its "Preparing for the Future of Transportation: Automated Vehicles 3.0" initiative, building on its "Vision for Safety 2.0" fromSeptember 2017 , which prioritized aligning federal guidance around twelve safety design elements of interest to the auto industry. This initiative should have a positive impact on the adoption of ADAS and HAD on the road towards Autonomous Vehicles ("AV"). OnApril 2, 2020 theU.S DoT closed the comment period for the "Automated Vehicles 4.0" which seeks to ensure a consistentU.S. Government approach to AV technologies, and to detail the authorities, research, and investments being made acrossthe United States so thatthe United States can continue to lead AV technology research, development, and integration. In 2018 theUN Economic Commission for Europe created a newWorking Party to deal with regulations for Automated/Autonomous and Connected Vehicles. In addition to the EU andJapan , which have both started to work closely together to develop ADAS regulations, in the last three years, theU.S. andChina have both indicated a willingness to be active in several working groups towards harmonization of future regulations for ADAS and AV. This would create a common umbrella for countries which follow type-approval rules (EU,Japan ,Australia ) and countries which are outside of type-approval system, e.g., under self-certification regimes (U.S. ,Korea ) or specific national rules (China ). Key future potential regulations are expected for (i) safety critical ADAS-features (e.g. AEB); (ii) Highway AV-features (Physical Tests + Real World Test Drive + Audit); (iii) Cyber-security and Software updates; and (iv) Connected Vehicles. On one hand, the agreement on minimal common base requirements for the industry will take a longer time and therefore may postpone introduction of regulations. On the other hand, the harmonization with base requirements would help the industry while a more active position fromChina may help to pull forward some safety critical ADAS technologies which are not yet considered as relevant for regulation in EU andJapan (e.g. Blind Spot or Night Vision). Market Overview Light Vehicle Production by Region - 2020 Millions (except where specified) China Japan Rest of Asia Americas Europe Other Total IHS as ofOctober 16, 2020
Third Quarter 2020 6.0 2.0 2.4 4.3 4.3 0.4 19.5 Change vs. 2019 9 % (12) % (17) % (4) % (8) % (12) % (4) % For the third quarter of 2020, global light vehicle production (according to IHS) declined by approximately 4% mainly due to lower production output in most vehicle producing countries exceptChina where the LVP increased 9%. At the beginning of the quarter the global global LVP was expected to decline by approximately 12%. Major vehicle producing geographies includeEurope (8)% andJapan (12), whileSouth Korea andNorth America are essentially flat as compared to 2019 for the third quarter. 29 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Light Vehicle Production by Region - 2020 Millions (except where specified) China Japan Rest of Asia Americas Europe Other Total IHS as ofOctober 16, 2020
Full Year 2020 21.3 7.6 9.1 14.2 16.3 1.6 70.1 Change vs. 2019 (9) % (16) % (26) % (23) % (23) % (17) % (19) % For the full year of 2020, global light vehicle production (according to IHS) is expected to decline by approximately 19%, due the anticipated full year effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. At the beginning of the quarter global LVP was expected to decline by approximately 22%. All major vehicle producing geographies are expected to be impacted by the pandemic including:China (9)%,Europe (23)%,South Korea (13)%,North America (21)% andJapan (16)%. The global LVP of approximately 70 million is the lowest level since 2010 of 72 million. The expected decline of approximately 16 million light vehicles in 2020 as compared to 2019 is the highest single year light vehicle decline on record, and is the third consecutive annual decline in light vehicle production from 2017 when a record 92 million light vehicles were produced. Results of Operations Three Months EndedSeptember 30, 2020 as compared to Three Months EndedSeptember 30, 2019 The following analysis illustratesVeoneer's overall and by segment performance for the three months endedSeptember 30, 2020 and 2019 along with components of change as compared to the prior year.Net Sales by Product The following tables illustrateVeoneer's consolidated net sales by product for the three months endedSeptember 30, 2020 and 2019 along with components of change as compared to the prior year. Net Sales Three Months Ended September 30
Components of Change vs. Prior Year
US GAAP (Dollars in millions, 2020 2019 Reported Change Currency Divestiture Organic1 except where specified) $ $ $ % $ % $ % $ % Restraint Control 188 193 (5) (3) 4 2 - - (9) (5) Systems Active Safety 170 178 (8) (5) 8 4 - - (16) (9) Brake Systems 13 91 (78) (85) 1 1 (77) (85) (2) (7) Total$ 371 $ 462 $ (91) (20) %$ 13 3 %$ (77) (17) %$ (27) (7) % 1 Non-U.S. GAAP measure reconciliation for Organic SalesNet Sales - Net sales for the quarter declined by 20% to$371 million as compared to 2019. Organic sales1 declined by 7% as compared to the 4% decline in LVP for the quarter. The remainder of the decline was the VNBS-Asia divestiture of 17% while the net currency effect was favorable by 3%. During the quarter, organic sales developed slightly better than our expectations entering the quarter. Sequentially, from the second quarter in 2020, net sales more than doubled from$184 million primarily due to the sharp recovery inNorth America andEurope . The negative impact of COVID-19 on organic sales is estimated to be approximately$30 million during the third quarter. Restraint Control Systems - Net sales for the quarter of$188 million decreased by 3% as compared to 2019. The organic sales decline of 5% was primarily due to lower LVP inEurope andNorth America . Active Safety - Net sales for the quarter of$170 million decreased by 5% as compared to 2019. This decline was primarily driven by the organic sales decline of 9%. This slight under-performance versus the LVP was driven by launch delays with certain customer models inNorth America ,Europe ,China andJapan , as mentioned in previous quarters. The COVID-19 impact on lower underlying LVP in our major markets for our Active Safety products more than offset the strong underlying demand for mono, stereo and thermal camera systems and ADAS ECUs on several customer models. Brake Systems - Net sales for the quarter of$13 million decreased by 85% or$78 million as compared to 2019. The VNBS-Asia divestiture accounted for$77 million of the decline year-over-year. 30 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Components of Change vs. Prior Electronics Segment Three Months Ended September 30 Year US GAAP (Dollars in millions, 2020 2019 Reported Change Currency Organic1 except where specified) $ % $ % $ % $ % $ % Net Sales$ 358 $ 371 $ (13) (4) %$ 11 3 %$ (24) (7) % Operating Loss / Margin$ (80) (22.2) %$ (90) (24.3) %$ 10 Segment EBITDA1 / Margin$ (53) (14.9) %$ (69) (18.5) %$ 16 Associates 7,329 7,616 (287) 1 Non-U.S. GAAP measure reconciliation for Organic Sales and Segment EBITDANet Sales - Net sales for the Electronics segment decreased by$13 million to$358 million for the quarter as compared to 2019. This sales decline was mainly due to the organic sales1 decline in Restraint Control Systems and Active Safety of$9 million and$16 million , respectively, which was partially offset by the positive net currency translation effects of$11 million . Operating Loss - Operating loss for the Electronics segment of$80 million for the quarter decreased by$10 million as compared to 2019. This decrease is mainly due to the RD&E, net underlying improvement related to lower gross costs and higher engineering reimbursements, which more than offset the costs related to the Zenuity software team, which was previously reported in the equity method loss. EBITDA1 - EBITDA loss for the Electronics segment decreased by$16 million to negative$53 million for the quarter as compared to 2019. This change is mainly due to the operating loss improvement for the segment while depreciation and amortization decreased by$6 million . Associates - Associates, net in the Electronics segment decreased by 287, net to 7,329 as compared to 2019, mainly due to a net reduction in engineering of more than 200 associates, even after the addition of approximately 220 Zenuity associates. Direct labor and temporary associates declined by approximately 140 and 180, respectively reflecting the volume decline as compared to 2019. Deliveries - Deliveries during the quarter were 2.7 million units for Restraint Controls Systems and 2.0 million units for Active Safety. Brake Systems Segment Three Months EndedSeptember 30 Components of Change vs. Prior Year US GAAP Reported (Dollars in millions, 2020 2019 Change Currency Divestiture Organic1 except where specified) $ % $ % $ % $ % $ % $ % Net Sales$ 9 $ 91 $ (82) (89) %$ 1 1 %$ (77) (85) %$ (6) (32) % Operating Loss / Margin$ (3) (35.2) %$ (17) (18.6) %$ 14 Segment EBITDA1 / Margin$ (4) (33.5) %$ (8) (9.3) %$ 4 Associates - 1,467 (1,467) 1 Non-U.S. GAAP measure reconciliation for Organic Sales and Segment EBITDANet Sales - Net sales for the Brake Systems segment decreased by$82 million to$9 million for the quarter as compared to 2019. The sales decrease was mainly attributable to the VNBS-Asia divestiture of$77 million . Operating Loss - Operating loss for the Brake Systems segment for the quarter decreased by$14 million to$3 million as compared to 2019. This change was mainly due to the VNBS-Asia divestiture, where the loss in 2019 was$10 million for the quarter and lower volumes in the remaining legacy Honda Brake Systems business. EBITDA1 - EBITDA loss for Brake Systems segment decreased by$4 million to negative$4 million for the quarter as compared to 2019. This change was mainly due to the net effect of the divestitures. Associates - Associates, net in the Brake Systems segment decreased by 1,467 as compared to 2019, due to the divestitures of VNBS-Asia and VBS-US operations. Deliveries - Deliveries during the quarter were 0.03 million units for the Brake Systems segment. 31 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corporate and Other Three Months Ended September 30 (Dollars in millions, 2020 2019 US GAAP Reported Change except where specified) $ % $ % $ % Net Sales$ 4 $ -$ 4 Operating Loss / Margin$ (20) - %$ (15) - %$ (5) EBITDA1 / Margin$ (20) - %$ (15) - %$ (5) Associates 104 45 59 1 Non-U.S. GAAP measure reconciliation for EBITDANet Sales -Net Sales of$4 million for the third quarter reflects the legacy Honda Brake Systems business after the VBS-US divestiture. Associates - Associates, net increased by 59 to 104 for the quarter as compared to 2019 due to the associates now included in Corporate and Other related to supporting the legacy Honda Brake Systems business. Operating Loss and EBITDA1 - Operating and EBITDA loss of$20 million increased by$5 million and$5 million , respectively, mainly due to associate related costs in the quarter as compared to 2019. The Brake Systems loss after the VBS-US divestiture was approximately$1 million .
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