Company Valuation: Vipshop Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 66,006 124,302 36,156 57,408 68,234 47,191 - -
Change - 88.32% -70.91% 58.78% 18.86% -30.84% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 57,538 106,021 23,947 35,397 42,149 19,717 15,342 11,157
Change - 84.26% -77.41% 47.81% 19.08% -53.22% -22.19% -27.28%
P/E ratio 16.7x 21.4x 7.91x 9.57x 8.73x 6.19x 5.9x 5.45x
PBR 3.08x 4.37x 1.11x 1.47x 1.58x 1.06x 0.91x 0.78x
PEG - 0.5x -0.4x 0.2x 0.2x -7.56x 1.24x 0.65x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.71x 1.22x 0.31x 0.56x 0.6x 0.44x 0.43x 0.42x
EV / Revenue 0.62x 1.04x 0.2x 0.34x 0.37x 0.18x 0.14x 0.1x
EV / EBITDA 9.59x 15.4x 3.58x 4.76x 4.05x 1.84x 1.44x 1.03x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 18.1x 4.29x 5.71x 4.63x 2.15x 1.64x 1.17x
EV / FCF 7.18x 11.1x 7.56x 4.77x 4.59x 2.36x 1.56x 1.12x
FCF Yield 13.9% 9.01% 13.2% 21% 21.8% 42.3% 64% 89.5%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - 3.095 3.176 4.646 5.434
Rate of return - - - - 2.46% 3.59% 5.25% 6.14%
EPS 2 5.92 8.56 6.75 9.83 14.42 14.3 14.98 16.23
Distribution rate - - - - 21.5% 22.2% 31% 33.5%
Net sales 1 92,994 101,858 117,060 103,152 112,856 107,431 110,205 113,561
EBITDA 1 6,002 6,867 6,691 7,432 10,407 10,729 10,636 10,820
EBIT 1 5,052 5,860 5,582 6,197 9,104 9,170 9,344 9,572
Net income 1 4,017 5,907 4,681 6,299 8,117 7,744 7,954 8,401
Net Debt 1 -8,468 -18,281 -12,209 -22,012 -26,085 -27,473 -31,848 -36,034
Reference price 2 98.66 183.52 53.36 94.08 125.93 88.46 88.46 88.46
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 668,998 677,324 677,559 610,223 541,822 533,450 - -
Announcement Date 3/5/20 2/25/21 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
6.19x0.18x1.84x+3.59%6.66B
12.84x1.03x5.29x+1.30%190B
8.32x1.55x5.11x-.--%130B
54.61x4.7x28.31x-.--%101B
20.64x1.54x10.93x-.--%92.96B
180.51x9.4x59.93x-.--%86.47B
34.19x10.76x25.08x - 47.6B
19.51x3.32x10.61x+1.83%28.95B
-20.92x0.1x0.85x+0.15%14.32B
-68.25x6.89x36.71x-.--%5.47B
Average 24.76x 3.95x 18.47x +0.76% 70.25B
Weighted average by Cap. 40.00x 3.52x 17.71x +0.50%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Vipshop Holdings Limited
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